Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21...

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www.hertsdirect .org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci, AFBPsS, FFPH Director of Public Health for Hertfordshire Winners 2015

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Where we are A crowded and confused market of products and users which is becoming increasingly differentiated and fragmented while the prevalence of tobacco use and burden of disease, disability and death is still highest in –Routine and manual workers –Pregnant women – People with long term conditions including HIV –People with mental health problems –Some BME communities

Transcript of Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21...

Page 1: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

To e-cig or not to e-cig?Hertfordshire Tobacco Control AllianceConference, 21st January 2016

Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci, AFBPsS, FFPH

Director of Public Health for Hertfordshire

Winners 2015

Page 2: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Changing World for tobacco control• Footfall for traditional smoking cessation

plummeting nationally• Segmentation of the population – a long tail

market?– E cigs - Roll ups– Shisha - Illicit tobacco– Young people still initiating smoking

• National campaigns• Legislation, Regulation and Licensing changes

Page 3: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Where we are• A crowded and confused market of products

and users which is becoming increasingly differentiated and fragmented while the prevalence of tobacco use and burden of disease, disability and death is still highest in

– Routine and manual workers– Pregnant women – People with long term

conditions including HIV– People with mental health problems– Some BME communities

Page 4: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

What this requires• Some clear thinking about what our aims and

objectives are• The use of new tools for a new social situation

Page 5: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Continued loss of healthy life

References:1. ASH Factsheet, Smoking Statistics: illness & death, October 2011 (http://ash.org.uk/files/documents/ASH_107.pdf) NB area represents value

Obesity: 34,100

Smoking: 81,400

Alcohol: 6,541

Suicide:5,377

Drug misuse: 1,738

HIV: 529

Traffic:2,502

Each year smoking causes the greatest number of preventable deaths

Page 6: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Tobacco – A driver of Inequalities

Smokers from the highest social class have a lower life expectancy than non-smokers in the lowest social class

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I+II IV+VSocial Class

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Male non-smokers Male smokers

Highest Lowest

The life expectancy

between rich and poor smokers is

similarRicher smokers have a lower life expectancy than

poorer non-smokers

Page 7: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Driver of inequalities

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Year

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3 53 3 3 2 3 2

3 43 1 3 1 3 0 2 9 3 0

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2 0 2 1 2 0 1 91 7

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Page 8: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Herts Ambitions 2015-2017Reduce Adult smoking prevalence• by 1% per year from 15.5% baseline*• in Routine and Manual workers by 2% per year

from the 25.7% baseline*Reduce Young People uptake• continuous reduction in REGULAR and

OCCASIONAL smoking in 15 year olds to 5% by 2017 (from a baseline of 10% in 2014)

Reduce Smoking in Pregnancy• smoking prevalence at the time of delivery

(SATOD) is less than:– 5% for women registered with HVCCG (from a

baseline of 6.6% in14/15) and to – 7% for women registered with ENHCCG (from a

baseline of 9.2% in 14/15).

Page 9: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Traditional methods are not going to be enough in the new social circumstances

Tobacco control has showed itself to be innovative. It’s time to do that again

What does that mean in 2016?

Page 10: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

“The Big 4” issues going forward

1. Continue to control tobacco and its effects2. Keep going with nuanced strategy – segment

populations3. Getting people into quitting by targeting and

segmentating audiences1. Harm reduction2. Ecigs3. Stoptober, Our Services.....

4. New technologies, new solutions, new markets, and new allies?

Page 11: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

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The fundamental question....• What form do e-cigarettes play in a

comprehensive local tobacco control framework?

• Aims:– Less tobacco, fewer deaths, less disability– Stop people from taking up tobacco

Page 12: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

My contention....After more debate and reading bad and good science than I care to remember

• E cigarettes have a fundamental part to play in a coherent whole system approach to tobacco control

• We need to become friendly to their use and their distribution

• The science supports this• Much, much, safer than tobacco• No convincing evidence of gateway or

renormalisation

Page 13: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

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Where this leaves us• For me I have fundamentally changed my mind

on e-cigarettes. I am convinced if we do not seize their benefits, we will see stop smoking services cuts drastically across England

• Demographics have changed• Over 2.4m people have used ecigs to quit

tobacco according to UK figures

Page 14: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Key questions

1. The end game for tobacco is still what we want, yes? Denormalising tobacco

2. Our current strategy is reducing in return3. Quitting is NOT something some people will or can do.

Nice recognised this on Harm guidance4. The remaining core of tobacco smokers won’t or cant

give up tobacco as things stand5. Time to rethink our offer.....

Page 15: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Mental health as an example• Allowing people with

mental health problems to just keep smoking perpetuates the myth that it’s a kindness and the fact that 64% of tobacco use, and associated disease and death, falls on this population. Early deaths are a sign of our failure.

• Making people with mental health problems go cold turkey is inhuman

• Offering enough real alternatives for people to find an easy way out of tobacco is the challenge.

For people with MH issues who quite tobacco, major health benefits accrueIncluding the ability to reduce doses of many medicines

Page 16: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

My reading of that context...

Hertfordshire should follow the lead of Leicestershire and others and become as e-cigarette friendly as we can be, in the recognition that the public health gains from e-cigarettes significantly outweigh the risks.

We will keep this under regular review

Page 17: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

The Big Wins• E cigarettes as part of the tobacco control repertoire • Reduce deaths, disease and disabillity• An acceptable route for people with mental health issues• Normalising e-cigarette use does NOT mean

renormalising smoking• Save some money in austerity climate• Help people to help themselves

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Am J Public Health. 2015 Oct;105(10):1967-72. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2015.302764. Epub 2015 Aug 13.Smoking Norms and the Regulation of E-Cigarettes.

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Page 18: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

How.....• Working with ecig users in our services taking

their choice of tool (an ecig) seriously • Publicity about ecigs as a valid option for

quitting• Looking at how and whether we can give ecig

starter kits especially in MH facilities• Accrediting safe and knowledgeable retailers• Helping review vaping policies in workplaces

and elsewhere

Page 19: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Safe Retailers are important, we should support them

• Can we tell consumers that there are vendors they can trust to be of good quality and safety?

Page 20: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Could we go even further, what if..??• In Hertfordshire trusted e cig vendors operated

under explicit endorsement from us? “come here and quit tobacco” – directing would be quitters to knowledgeable and helpful vape vendors? Even a badge or quality mark?

Endorsed by Hertfordshire Public Health Service

Give up Tobacco Here!

Ecigs – helping people quit tobaco in Herts

Benefits to Taxpayers?Benefits to Quitters?Benefits to Vendors?

Page 21: Www.hertsdirect.org To e-cig or not to e-cig? Hertfordshire Tobacco Control Alliance Conference, 21 st January 2016 Prof. Jim McManus, CPsychol, Csci,

www.hertsdirect.org

Thank you

[email protected]

www.hertsdirect.org/healthinherts

Winners 2015