WorldAffairs 2012: Navigating in a Shifting Global Landscape

Whether it is evidenced in the Arab Spring or the financial meltdown, civil conflict or weather extremes, we are experiencing rapid and sometimes wrenching change that no single state, sector or citizen can manage alone. It requires us all.

WorldAffairs 2012 is an opportunity for each of us to teach and to learn—together. We can equip ourselves with the knowledge we need as a society to navigate this fast-changing global landscape, to capture its benefits and to mitigate its dangers. Through conversations with one another and an impressive list of esteemed speakers, we will gain deeper insight and understanding of the critical issues that confront us as citizens. These issues will command the attention of our next president and will pose hard choices for a growing number of decision-makers around the world.

We know that globalization—the combination of the information revolution and economic integration—has both offered up new challenges and been the source of remarkable opportunity at home in California and abroad. As a result, according to the World Bank’s recent report, the proportion of people living in extreme poverty is on the decline, and the number of children completing a primary education is on the rise. But as the Occupy Wall Street movement suggests, the benefits are not felt by all. And so we will explore the ways in which globalization has expanded the reach of individuals. We will consider the remarkable advances that can improve the human condition, including economic, social and technological innovations that carry the promise of access to capital, to global markets, to education, to safe food and water, and to health care in the most remote regions of the world.

We are grateful to our trustees, donors and members who are dedicated to the exploration of critical global issues and who ensure the depth and engagement that are the hallmarks of the WorldAffairs annual event and all that we do. We thank our sponsors whose generous support makes this year’s conference possible. And, we thank you for your commitment to knowledge and to the future we share.

Sincerely yours,

Peter Robertson Chairman of the Board

Jane Wales President and CEO

Welcome to WorldAffairs 2012, the Bay Area’s annual community event devoted to global issues presented by the World Affairs Council.

“… a state-of-the-world perspective

equal to none.” – WorldAffairs conference participant

4 | Agenda

FRIDAY, MARCH 30

Agenda

Registration Opens

Welcome Peter Robertson, Chairman, Board of Trustees, World Affairs Council

Keynote ConversationsThe End of War in Afghanistan: A Turning Point in US Foreign Policy

The Transition to Afghanistan Sovereignty: Progress and ChallengesKarl Eikenberry, Distinguished Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University; Former US Ambassador to Afghanistan

Obama’s Reluctant Realism in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and BeyondMichael O’Hanlon, Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy, The Brookings Institution

Moderator: Anja Manuel, Principal, The RiceHadley Group LLC

Break

1:00 PM Sculpture

2:00-3:15 PM

Gallery Ballroom

3:15 PM

Navigating in a Shifting Global LandscapeWe face numerous challenges around the globe in 2012—from critical foreign policy debates, to the dynamics of the global economy, to long term developmental and environmental trends. What are the major issues that impact the way that the United States maintains its place in the world? How has the world changed in 2012 and how is it likely to change in the longer term? Over the course of a day and a half, the WorldAffairs 2012 conference will examine key shifts in the global landscape and how the US and the international community may respond to them.

Discussions in Depth

Global SecurityAfter the Arab Spring: Prospects for Change

Ellen Laipson, President and CEO, Stimson CenterRobin Wright, Senior Fellow, US Institute of Peace; Distinguished Scholar, Woodrow Wilson International Center for ScholarsModerator: Suzanne Siskel, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, The Asia Foundation

Global EconomyFrom Bailouts to Brussels: Rethinking the Future of the European Union

Megan Greene, Head of European Economics, Roubini Global EconomicsJacob Funk Kirkegaard, Research Fellow, Peterson Institute for International EconomicsModerator: Reuven Glick, Group Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Global FutureThe Arctic: New Frontier for Navigation, Exploration, and Exploitation

John Bellinger, Adjunct Senior Fellow for International and National Security Law, Council on Foreign Relations Melissa Bert, Council on Foreign Relations Military Fellow, US Coast GuardLawson Brigham, Distinguished Professor of Geography and Arctic Policy, University of Alaska FairbanksModerator: Leila Monroe, Staff Attorney, Oceans Program, Natural Resources Defense Council

Coffee Break

3:30-4:30 PM

Conservatory

Impressionist

Modernist

4:30 PMSculpture

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 5

6 | Agenda WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 7

5:00-6:00 PMGallery Ballroom

6:00-7:00 PMYerba Buena Terrace

8:30 AM Sculpture

8:30-9:15 AMGallery Ballroom

9:15 AM

9:30-10:45 AMGallery Ballroom

10:45 AMSculpture

Keynote ConversationShifting Political and Economic Landscapes: How Can the US Adapt

Richard & Judith Guggenhime SpeakerThat Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind in the World It Invented and How We Can Come BackMichael Mandelbaum, Professor and Director of the American Foreign Policy Program, Johns Hopkins University, SAISModerator: Jane Wales, President and CEO, World Affairs Council

Take Action ReceptionNetwork and engage with a group of nonprofit organizations nominated as our Take Action partners for their innovative solutions to global problems.

SATURDAY, MARCH 31

Registration Opens

Take Action BreakfastJoin a conversation over breakfast with senior representatives from our Take Action partner organizations and other moderators on one of three themes: Global Future, Global Economy, or Global Security.

Break

Keynote ConversationThe World in 2050: Global Innovation and Solutions to the Energy Challenge

Need, Speed, Greed: The Innovation EconomyVijay Vaitheeswaran, Shanghai Bureau Chief and China Business Editor, The EconomistIn conversation withRhonda Zygocki, Executive Vice President, Policy and Planning, Chevron CorporationModerator: Peter Robertson, Chairman, Board of Trustees, World Affairs Council

Break

11:00-Noon

Conservatory

Modernist

Impressionist

12:15 PMYerba Buena Terrace

orCollections


Global SecurityAfter bin Laden: Where is the Terrorist Threat

Michael Nacht, Professor of Public Policy and former Dean, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California BerkeleyBarbara Sude, Senior Political Scientist, RAND CorporationModerator: Nancy Jarvis, Attorney, Farrand Cooper, PC

Global EconomyThe Building BRICs: A New Economic Paradigm

Rafiq Dossani, Director, South Asia Initiative, Stanford UniversityPaulo Sotero, Director, Brazil Institute, Woodrow Wilson International Center for ScholarsAndrew Weiss, Director, Center for Russia and Eurasia, RAND CorporationModerator: Bruce Pickering, Executive Director, Asia Society Northern California

Global FutureFood and Water: Sustaining Life on a Crowded Planet

Gawain Kripke, Director of Policy and Research, Oxfam AmericaPeter Lochery, Director, Water Team, CAREModerator: Juliet Christian-Smith, Senior Research Associate, Pacific Institute

Luncheon

Education Scholars and Donors Luncheon

FRIDAY, MARCH 30 CONTINUED SATURDAY, MARCH 31 CONTINUED

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 98 | Agenda


2:45 PM

3:00-4:00 PM

Conservatory

Modernist

Keynote ConversationUnderstanding the Shifting Global Economic Landscape

America in the Age of DeclineEdward Luce, Chief US Commentator, Financial Times

Competing Capitalisms: The Battle of Ideas that May Signal the End of American DominanceDavid Rothkopf, Visiting Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Moderator: Terry Kramer, Entrepreneur in Residence, Harvard Business School

Break


Global SecurityWhat’s Next for Israel in a Turbulent Middle East

Martin Indyk, Vice President and Director of Foreign Policy, The Brookings Institution; Former US Ambassador to IsraelIn conversation withJane Wales, President and CEO, World Affairs Council

Global EconomyFrom Longitudes to Latitudes: The Rise of a South-South Economic Zone

Uri Dadush, Senior Associate and Director, International Economics Program, Carnegie Endowment for International PeaceShantayanan Devarajan, Chief Economist, Africa Region, World BankModerator: Kausik Rajgopal, Principal, McKinsey & Co

Impressionist

4:00 PMSculpture


5:30-6:00 PMSculpture

Global FutureHow Will We Power the World in 2050

Lisa Margonelli, Director, Energy Policy Initiative, New America FoundationMeghan O’Sullivan, Kirkpatrick Professor of the Practice of International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard UniversityModerator: Dickon Pinner, Principal, McKinsey & Co

Break

Keynote ConversationThe World in 2050: The Next Big Idea

NASA in a Dynamic International Environment Charles Bolden, Administrator, National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Developing the Developed WorldPeter Thiel, Entrepreneur, Investor and Philanthropist

Moderator: Margit Wennmachers, Partner, Andreessen Horowitz

Closing RemarksPeter Robertson, Chairman, Board of Trustees, World Affairs Council

Closing Reception, Adjournment

SATURDAY, MARCH 31 CONTINUED

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 1110 | Speaker Biographies

Juliet Christian-Smith*Senior Research Associate, Pacific Institute Dr. Juliet Christian-Smith is also a frontiers of science fellow for the National Academy of Sciences. Christian-Smith is a recipient of the Environmental Protection Agency’s Award for Outstanding Achievement and serves on the executive board of the Agricultural Water Management Council. Prior to coming to the Pacific Institute, Christian-Smith was in Portugal on a Fulbright Fellowship studying the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive and examining agricultural water usage in the Alentejo region. Christian-Smith holds a PhD in environmental science, policy and management from the University of California, Berkeley and a BA in biology from Smith College.

Lawson BrighamDistinguished Professor of Geography and Arctic Policy, University of Alaska FairbanksLawson Brigham is also a senior fellow at the Institute of the North in Anchorage. Previously, he was chair of the Arctic Council’s Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment, chief of strategic planning at Coast Guard Headquarters, and a career US Coast Guard officer. Brigham has been a research fellow at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, faculty at the US Coast Guard Academy and the Naval Postgraduate School, and deputy director of the US Arctic Research Commission. He is a graduate of the US Coast Guard Academy and the US Naval War College, and holds an MS from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and an MPhil and PhD from the University of Cambridge.

Uri DadushSenior Associate and Director, International Economics Program, Carnegie Endowment for International PeaceUri Dadush is also the editor of the Carnegie International Economic Bulletin. Dadush previously served as the World Bank’s director of international trade, director of economic policy, and director of the Bank’s world economy group. Prior to joining the World Bank, he was president and CEO of the Economist Intelligence Unit and Business International, part of the Economist Group, group vice president, international, for Data Resources, Inc., and a consultant with McKinsey & Co in Europe. Dadush is the co-author of Paradigm Lost: The Euro in Crisis; Currency Wars; and Juggernaut: How Emerging Markets Are Reshaping Globalization.

Melissa BertCouncil on Foreign Relations Military Fellow, US Coast Guard Captain Melissa Bert, USCG, is also vice chair on the board of the Coast Guard Academy Alumni Association. She has served as commander of Coast Guard Sector Juneau and special assistant to the commandant of the Coast Guard. As a judge advocate, she served as deputy staff judge advocate, military judge in special courts-martial, and former prosecutor. Her honors include the United Way American Values Award, three Meritorious Service Medals and the Judge Advocates Association Outstanding Career Armed Services Attorney Award. Bert is a graduate of the Coast Guard Academy, the Naval War College, and George Washington University Law School.

John BellingerAdjunct Senior Fellow for International and National Security Law, Council on Foreign Relations John B. Bellinger III is also a partner at Arnold & Porter LLP and a member of the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague. He has represented the US before the International Court of Justice and the Iran-US Claims Tribunal. Bellinger has served as legal adviser for the US Department of State and the National Security Council, counsel to the Criminal Division of the Justice Department, and special counsel to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. Bellinger received his AB from Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, his JD from Harvard Law School, and an MA in foreign affairs from the University of Virginia.

2012 Speaker Biographies*Moderator

Charles BoldenAdministrator, National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNominated by President Barack Obama, retired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Charles Frank Bolden Jr. is the former CEO of JACKandPANTHER LLC, and he first joined NASA in 1980. He traveled to orbit four times, commanding two of the missions, and after his final space shuttle flight in 1994 Bolden returned to active duty with the Marine Corps as the deputy commandant of midshipmen at the US Naval Academy. Bolden’s many military decorations include the Defense Superior Service Medal and the Distinguished Flying Cross. Bolden earned a BS in electrical science and an MA in systems management from the University of Southern California. He was inducted into the US Astronaut Hall of Fame in 2006.


Martin IndykVice President and Director of Foreign Policy, The Brookings InstitutionMartin S. Indyk is also a former US ambassador to Israel. He was founding director of the Saban Centre for Middle East Policy at The Brookings Institution, founding executive director of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, and adjunct professor at Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies. He has served as assistant secretary of state for Near East Affairs and senior director for Near East and South Asia in the US National Security Council. He is the author of Innocent Abroad and co-author of Bending History: Barack Obama’s Foreign Policy. Indyk holds a PhD from the Australian National University.

Megan GreeneHead of European Economics, Roubini Global EconomicsMegan Greene is one of the leading voices in interpreting developments in the eurozone crisis. At RGE, Greene conducts and coordinates macroeconomic forecasts on the eurozone’s most significant economies and responds to policy decisions at the national and EU level. She regularly appears in broadcast and print media, including the Financial Times and Newsnight. Greene has worked as the eurozone crisis expert at the Economist Intelligence Unit, as an investment banking analyst at JP Morgan Chase, and as an advisor to the Liechtenstein royal family. Greene received a BA in political economy from Princeton University and an MSc in European studies from Nuffield College, Oxford University.

Reuven Glick*Group Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of San FranciscoReuven Glick has also served as director of the Bank’s Center for Pacific Basin Monetary and Economic Studies and chief of the international Research Section. Glick was a professor of economics and international business in New York University’s Graduate School of Business. He taught at the University of California, Berkeley, served as a consultant to the World Bank, and worked as an economist in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He co-edited Asia and the Global Financial Crisis and Financial Crises in Emerging Markets, among others. Glick received a PhD in economics from Princeton University and a BA in economics from the University of Chicago.

Karl EikenberryDistinguished Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford UniversityKarl Eikenberry is also an affiliated faculty member with the Center for International Security and Cooperation and an affiliated researcher with the Europe Center. He served as US ambassador to Afghanistan from 2009 to 2011. He is a trustee for the International Institute for Strategic Studies and former president of the Foreign Area Officers Association. He also had a thirty-five year career in the US Army. He has received many awards, including the Department of State Distinguished, Superior, and Meritorious Honor Awards. Eikenberry graduated from the US Military Academy, received MAs from Harvard University and Stanford University, and was a National Security Fellow at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard.

Rafiq DossaniDirector, South Asia Initiative, Stanford UniversityRafiq Dossani is also a senior research scholar at Stanford University’s Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center. Dossani chairs FOCUS USA and serves on the board of the Industry Studies Association. He has served as a trustee of Hidden Villa, chairman and CEO of a stockbroking firm on the OTCEI stock exchange in India, deputy editor of Business India Weekly, and professor of finance at Pennsylvania State University. Dossani is author or co-author of several books, including Higher Education in India and Does South Asia Exist?. Dossani holds a BA in economics from St. Stephen’s College; an MBA from the Indian Institute of Management; and a PhD in finance from Northwestern University.

Shantayanan DevarajanChief Economist, Africa Region, World BankShantayanan Devarajan has served as a principal economist and research manager for public economics in the Development Research Group, and chief economist of the Human Development Network and the South Asia Region at the World Bank. He was the director of the World Development Report 2004, Making Services Work for Poor People. Previously, he was on the faculty of Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. The author or co-author of over 100 publications, Devarajan’s research covers public economics, trade policy, and natural resources and the environment. Devarajan received his BA in mathematics from Princeton University and his PhD in economics from the University of California, Berkeley.

14 | Speaker Biographies WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 15

Peter LocheryDirector, Water Team, CAREPeter Lochery, an environmental engineer, has worked with the World Bank’s Water and Sanitation Program, and latterly with CARE. At CARE, he is responsible for providing leadership to CARE’s relief and development programming. He has supported CARE’s participation in international, regional and in-country partnerships and led CARE’s advocacy for increased awareness of and support for water, sanitation and hygiene in developing countries. He has worked with major US foundations to develop long-term programs, and has facilitated relationships with the private sector to extend corporate social responsibility. He is a board member of three nonprofits: Building Partnerships for Development in Water and Sanitation, the Millennium Water Alliance, and Water Advocates.

Gawain KripkeDirector of Policy and Research, Oxfam America Gawain Kripke is the Director of Policy and Research at Oxfam America, and has more than 20 years of experience working on public policy and advocacy issues. His department conducts research and policy advocacy, focusing on the effectiveness of foreign aid and development, climate change, trade and agriculture, humanitarian issues and extractive industries. At Oxfam, Kripke previously served as senior policy advisor on Oxfam’s Make Trade Fair campaign, which aims to reform unfair trade rules so that international trade can become a powerful force for reducing global poverty.

Ellen LaipsonPresident and CEO, Stimson CenterEllen Laipson also directs the Middle East/Southwest Asia program at the Stimson Center. Previously, she served as vice chair of the National Intelligence Council and special assistant to the US permanent representative to the UN. Laipson was director for Near East and South Asian Affairs for the National Security Council, national intelligence officer for Near and South Asia, and a specialist in Middle East affairs for the Congressional Research Service. Laipson has been named to the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board and the US Department of State’s Foreign Affairs Policy Board. She has an MA from the School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, and a BA from Cornell University.

Jacob Funk KirkegaardResearch Fellow, Peterson Institute of International EconomicsJacob Funk Kirkegaard is also a senior associate at the Rhodium Group. Before joining the Institute, he worked with the Danish Ministry of Defense, the United Nations in Iraq, and in the private financial sector. He is author of The Accelerating Decline in America’s High-Skilled Workforce, co-author of US Pension Reform and Transforming the European Economy, and assisted with Accelerating the Globalization of America. His current research topics include European economies and reform, demographics, and high-skilled immigration. Kirkegaard is a graduate of the Danish Army’s Special School of Intelligence and Linguistics with the rank of first lieutenant, the University of Aarhus, and Columbia University.

Terry Kramer*Entrepreneur in Residence, Harvard Business SchoolTerry Kramer is also former regional president of Vodafone Americas. He sat on the board of Verizon Wireless and was a member of the Verizon Wireless HR Committee. Kramer was also chairman of Vodafone Ventures. In 2008, he was named Vodafone’s group strategy and business improvement director. Prior to this, Kramer was CEO of Q Comm International and worked for twelve years at PacTel/AirTouch Communications. He began his career in marketing at the Harris Corporation and was an associate with Booz Allen & Hamilton. He holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a BA in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles.

Nancy Jarvis*Attorney, Farrand Cooper, PCNancy Jarvis has practiced law since 1981 with Farrand Cooper, PC, a forty-year-old San Francisco law firm that represents commercial clients and nonprofit institutions. Prior to her legal career, she was the foreign policy editor at MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts. She served as chairman of the World Affairs Council from 1993 to 1995. She is a member of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, London, the Council on Foreign Relations, New York, and the Pacific Council on International Policy, Los Angeles.


Leila Monroe*Staff Attorney, Oceans Program, Natural Resources Defense CouncilLeila Monroe works at the state, national and international levels on issues including: ocean governance, coastal and marine spatial planning, offshore oil and gas exploration and extraction, siting of ocean renewable energy, marine protected areas, and ocean pollution. Prior to joining NRDC, she worked for T.C. Hoffmann & Associates, the Environmental Integrity Project, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Office of General Counsel for International Law. Monroe received a JD from Georgetown University Law Center with a focus on international and environmental law and a BS in foreign service with a focus on international politics and security studies from Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service.

Michael NachtProfessor of Public Policy and former Dean, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, BerkeleyMichael Nacht also chairs Berkeley’s International Strategy Task Force and is the policy head for the Nuclear Science and Security Consortium. He served as assistant secretary of defense for global strategic affairs in the Obama Administration, where he chaired the NATO High Level Group. He co-authored two chapters in WMD Terrorism: Science and Policy Choices, and has published numerous articles. His books include The Age of Vulnerability: Threats to the Nuclear Stalemate and Missing the Boat: The Failure to Internationalize American Higher Education. Nacht holds a BS in aeronautics and astronautics and an MS in operations research from New York University and a PhD in political science from Columbia University.

Anja Manuel*Principal, The RiceHadley Group LLCAnja Manuel is also a lecturer in Stanford’s International Policy Program and a Visiting Scholar at CISAC. Manuel has served as special assistant to Under Secretary for Political Affairs Nicholas Burns at the US Department of State. Manuel was also an attorney at the law firm of WilmerHale and worked in the investment banking division of Salomon Brothers. She is a member of the Aspen Strategy Group, the Center for a New American Security’s India Policy Group, and serves on the board of the San Francisco-Bangalore Sister City Initiative. Manuel graduated cum laude from Harvard Law School, and holds a BA and an MA with distinction from Stanford University.

Michael Mandelbaum Professor and Director of the American Foreign Policy Program, Johns Hopkins University, SAISMichael Mandelbaum is a former faculty member at Harvard University, Columbia University and The United States Naval Academy. From 1986 to 2004, he was a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Mandelbaum is the author or co-author of 13 books, including The Frugal Superpower: America’s Global Leadership in a Cash-Strapped Era and That Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind in the World It Invented and How We Can Come Back. Mandelbaum has been a guest on such programs as Charlie Rose, All Things Considered, and The Daily Show with Jon Stewart. He currently is working on a book on the global economy.

Lisa MargonelliDirector, Energy Policy Initiative, New America FoundationLisa Margonelli writes about the global culture and economy of energy and is the author of Oil On the Brain: Petroleum’s Long Strange Trip to Your Tank. Margonelli has been published in The Atlantic, The New York Times online, The Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, San Francisco Chronicle, and Wired, among other publications. Her column, “Money Tales,” which combined economics and oral history in the San Francisco Chronicle online, won an Excellence in Journalism award from the Northern California Society of Professional Journalists in 2003. In 1999 to 2000, she was awarded a Sundance Fellowship. Margonelli is a graduate of Yale University.

Edward LuceChief US Commentator, Financial TimesEdward Luce writes a weekly column on US politics, economy and foreign policy for the Financial Times. Previously, Luce served as FT ’s Washington bureau chief, FT ’s South Asia bureau chief in New Delhi, capital markets editor in London, and as the Philippines correspondent. Between December 1999 and January 2001, Luce was the speechwriter for Lawrence H. Summers, secretary of the treasury during the Clinton administration. In 2006, he authored In Spite of the Gods: The Strange Rise of Modern India. Luce graduated with degrees in politics, philosophy and economics from Oxford University and completed a post-graduate

degree in journalism from City University in London.


Kausik Rajgopal*Principal, McKinsey & CoKausik Rajgopal is also the founder and leader of McKinsey’s global Digital Financial Services and Payments Practice. Rajgopal joined McKinsey in 1997, and has served a range of corporate, foundation and public sector clients. He serves on the board and executive committee of the Bay Area Council and the Advisory Board of Stanford University’s Center for Comparative Studies in Race and Ethnicity. Rajgopal was born and raised in Chennai, India. He received a BA with distinction in industrial engineering and political science from Stanford University and his MBA from Stanford’s Graduate School of Business, where he was an Arjay Miller Scholar.

Peter Robertson*Chairman, Board of Trustees, World Affairs CouncilPeter Robertson is retired vice chairman of the board of Chevron Corporation. He spent 35 years at Chevron, serving in a variety of leadership positions. He is currently an independent advisor to Deloitte LLP, a director of Jacobs Engineering and Universal Pegasus International and an advisory director of Campbell-Lutyens. He is co-chairman of the US-Saudi Arabian Business Council, vice chairman of the board of the International House at Berkeley, a director of the Washington, DC-based Resources for the Future and an advisor to Scottish Enterprise.

Meghan O’SullivanKirkpatrick Professor of the Practice of International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard UniversityMeghan L. O’Sullivan is also an adjunct senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a consultant to the National Intelligence Council. She is a foreign affairs columnist for Bloomberg View and a member of the Trilateral Commission and the Aspen Strategy Group. O’Sullivan serves on the board of TechnoServe and the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. O’Sullivan was special assistant to President George W. Bush and a fellow at The Brookings Institution. She was awarded the Distinguished Public Service Medal, and three times received the State Department’s Superior Honor Award. O’Sullivan received a BA from Georgetown University, an MS and DPhil from Oxford University.

Bruce Pickering*Executive Director, Asia Society Northern CaliforniaBruce Pickering is also a member of the board of the ChinaSF Advisory Board and the advisory council of USC’s Center for International Business Education and Research. He has served as director of public affairs and development at UC Berkeley’s Graduate School of Journalism, program director of the World Affairs Council, and executive director of the US-Japan 21st Century Project. Pickering was a foreign service officer with the US Department of State and was deputy political counsel on the US Delegation to the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Vienna. He holds a PhD from the University of California, Berkeley and an MA from Stanford University.

Dickon Pinner*Principal, McKinsey & CoDickon Pinner also leads McKinsey’s North America Cleantech and Global Solar Practices. He co-founded McKinsey’s Global Cleantech Practice. Pinner has served many of the world’s leading semiconductor companies on strategy, capital productivity and company turnarounds. Previously, Pinner worked at Shell as a reservoir engineer, where he was responsible for the drilling of some of the earliest multi-lateral horizontal wells. He holds a PhD in the physics of organic semiconductor devices from Cambridge University, an MSc in physics from the University of California, Berkeley, where he was a Fulbright Scholar, and a BA in physics from Cambridge University.

Michael O’Hanlon Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy, The Brookings InstitutionMichael O’Hanlon is also a visiting lecturer at Princeton University and an adjunct professor at Johns Hopkins University. O’Hanlon has worked at the Institute for Defense Analyses and as an analyst at the Congressional Budget Office. His recent books include Toughing It Out in Afghanistan and The Wounded Giant, and Bending History (co-authored). O’Hanlon has written several hundred op-eds and he has contributed to the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, and many other papers. O’Hanlon holds a PhD in public and international affairs, and a BA and MA in the physical sciences, all from Princeton University.


Vijay VaitheeswaranShanghai Bureau Chief and China Business Editor, The EconomistVijay Vaitheeswaran is also a life member at the Council on Foreign Relations, an advisor to the World Economic Forum, and a regular speaker at the Clinton Global Initiative. He teaches at New York University’s Stern Business School, and his commentaries have appeared in The Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times and The New York Times. He is chairman of The Economist’s series of conferences on innovation, The Ideas Economy, and author of several books, including Need, Speed and Greed and Power to the People. Vaitheeswaran is an engineering graduate of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he was named a Harry S. Truman Presidential Scholar by the US Congress.

Barbara SudeSenior Political Scientist, RAND CorporationBarbara Sude is a senior political scientist specializing in counter-terrorism and counterinsurgency at the RAND Corporation. During her 33-year career at CIA, she was part of the small cadre of pre-9/11 analysts specializing in al Qaeda and followed the group as a senior analyst at both CIA’s Counterterrorism Center and the National Counterterrorism Center. She also served as an analyst of political Islam, the Near East, and Africa. She is co-author of An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al-Qa‘ida in Iraq. Sude holds a PhD in near eastern studies from Princeton and a BA in Arabic from Georgetown University.

Peter ThielEntrepreneur, Investor, PhilanthropistIn 1998, Peter Thiel co-founded and led PayPal. In 2002, he sold PayPal to eBay and founded a global macro fund, Clarium. Thiel co-founded and manages Founders Fund, which pioneers new methods of venture financing that benefit founders. Through Founders Fund, as well as through his private investing, he has helped the next generation of tech companies, such as SpaceX, LinkedIn, Yelp, Causes, RoboteX and Spotify. In 2010, he created the 20 Under 20 Thiel Fellowship, which nurtures the tech visionaries of tomorrow. He earned a BA in philosophy from Stanford University and a JD from Stanford Law School.

Suzanne Siskel*Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, The Asia FoundationSuzanne E. Siskel oversees the operations of the Asia Foundation in San Francisco, Washington, DC and its 17 field offices in Asia. She served at the Ford Foundation in various leadership positions in Southeast Asia and New York, including as director of social justice philanthropy. Siskel is past president of the Fulbright Association, and also served on the Governing Council of the European Foundation Centre. Currently she is a member of the Global Philanthropy Committee of the Council on Foundations and serves on the board of the Youth Orchestra of the Americas. Siskel studied social anthropology at Harvard University and Johns Hopkins University.

Paulo Sotero Director, Brazil Institute, Woodrow Wilson International Center for ScholarsPaulo Sotero is also a contributing columnist to O Estado de S. Paulo and an adjunct professor of the Elliot School of International Affairs at George Washington University. Sotero has testified before the US House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs on issues of US-Brazil relations and energy security. He received the Abril Award of Investigative Journalism and the Maria Moors Cabot Prize–Special Citation from the Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism. He is a member of the Maria Moors Cabot Prize Board and of GACINT. He has an MA in journalism and public affairs from American University and a BA in history from Catholic University of Pernambuco, Recife.

David RothkopfVisiting Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International PeaceDavid Rothkopf is also the president and chief executive of Garten Rothkopf, an international advisory firm, and CEO and editor-at-large of the FP Group. Rothkopf writes daily on national security and international economic policy for Foreign Policy. He chairs the Carnegie Economic Strategy Roundtable and is chairman of the National Strategic Investment Forum Dialogue. Previously, Rothkopf has served as chairman, CEO, and co-founder of Intellibridge Corporation, managing director of Kissinger Associates, and acting US under secretary of commerce for international trade for the Clinton Administration. Rothkopf is the author of Superclass and Running the World.


Margit Wennmachers*Partner, Andreessen Horowitz Margit Wennmachers manages Andreessen Horowitz’s overall brand and marketing strategy and advises portfolio entrepreneurs on their communications strategies. She also participates in the firm’s deal flow, evaluating entrepreneurs and their companies’ potential. Wennmachers co-founded and ran The OutCast Agency, an award-winning communications firm with offices in New York City and San Francisco. Before founding OutCast she served as a member of the executive management team at Hill & Knowlton/WPP-owned Blanc & Otus. She has lived and worked in Germany, Spain and the US. She is fluent in English, German, Spanish, and French. Wennmachers is on the board of the World Affairs Council and Next Fifteen.

Robin WrightSenior Fellow, US Institute of Peace; Distinguished Scholar, Woodrow Wilson International Center for ScholarsRobin Wright is a journalist, author and foreign policy analyst. She is the author of Rock the Casbah: Rage and Rebellion Across the Islamic World and The Iran Primer: Power, Politics, and U.S. Policy. She has also written for The New Yorker, The New York Times Magazine, TIME, Foreign Affairs and many others. She most recently covered US foreign policy for The Washington Post. Wright has also been a fellow at The Brookings Institution, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Yale University, Duke University, Stanford University, the University of California at Santa Barbara, and the University of Southern California. Wright received her MA and BA from the University of Michigan.

Rhonda Zygocki Executive Vice President, Policy and Planning, Chevron CorporationRhonda I. Zygocki has worked for Chevron Corporation since 1999. She has served as vice president of Policy, Government, and Public Affairs, vice president of Health, Environment and Safety, manager of strategic planning, and managing director of Chevron Australia. Additionally, she has been general manager and chief financial officer for Chevron Canada Resources. Zygocki serves on the boards of directors of GBC Health and the United States Energy Association; the board of trustees of the San Francisco Ballet; and the advisory board of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars Canada Institute. Zygocki earned a BA in civil engineering from Memorial University of Newfoundland.

Andrew Weiss Director, Center for Russia and Eurasia, RAND CorporationAndrew Weiss is also executive director of the RAND Business Leaders Forum and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He has served as director for Russian, Ukrainian, and Eurasian Affairs at the National Security Council; a member of the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff; a policy assistant in the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy; and a budget analyst in the Department of the Army. Weiss was also a vice president at American International Group, Inc. Weiss received a BA in Russian regional studies from Columbia University and an MA from Columbia’s School of International and Public Affairs.

Jane Wales*President and CEO, World Affairs CouncilJane Wales is also president and CEO of the Global Philanthropy Forum and vice president of the Aspen Institute. She is host of the nationally syndicated weekly National Public Radio interview show It’s Your World. In 2008, Wales also chaired the Poverty Alleviation Track for the Clinton Global Initiative. Previously, she served in the Clinton Administration as special assistant to the President, senior director of the National Security Council and associate director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. She chaired the international security programs at the Carnegie Corporation and served as acting CEO of The Elders from 2007 to 2008.

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 2524 | Take Action

Take Action

Asylum Accesswww.asylumaccess.orgAsylum Access is an innovative international nonprofit dedicated to making refugee rights a reality. Asylum Access empowers refugees in Africa, Asia and Latin America to live safely, work, send children to school and rebuild their lives.

CAREwww.care.org Founded in 1945 with the creation of the CARE Package, CARE is a leading humanitarian organization fighting global poverty. CARE places special focus on working alongside poor girls and women because, equipped with the proper resources, they have the power to lift whole families and entire communities out of poverty. Last year CARE worked in 84 countries and reached 122 million people around the world.

EARNwww.earn.orgEARN is a nonprofit that gives low-income working families the power to create prosperity for generations. As the nation’s leading microsavings provider, EARN gives families the tools to build wealth and achieve life-changing goals such as saving for college, buying a first home, or starting a small business. Since 2001, we have helped tens of thousands of low-wage families through innovative financial products including matched savings accounts, checking accounts for the unbanked, and financial coaching.

International Rescue Committeewww.rescue.org The International Rescue Committee (IRC) is among the world’s largest non-sectarian, voluntary agencies providing relief, protection, and resettlement services for refugees and victims of oppression or violent conflict. The mission of the IRC in Northern California is to help refugees and asylees start a new life of self-reliance in this country through a well-conceived resettlement plan. By providing compassionate support, resources, and information, the IRC enables these courageous individuals to rebuild their lives and regain their sense of dignity.

Kivawww.kiva.orgKiva is a non-profit organization with a mission to connect people through lending to alleviate poverty. Leveraging the internet and a worldwide network of microfinance institutions, Kiva lets individuals lend as little as $25 to help create opportunity around the world.

Oxfam Americawww.oxfamamerica.org Oxfam America is an international relief and development organization that creates lasting solutions to poverty, hunger and injustice. Together with individuals and local groups in more than 90 countries, Oxfam saves lives, helps people overcome poverty and fights for social justice. We are one of the 15 affiliates in the international confederation, Oxfam.

Every year, World Affairs Council Student Ambassadors participate in Take Action by presenting progress on their projects geared toward spreading awareness and inspiring participation on matters of global importance. At WorldAffairs 2012, the Student Ambassador projects focus on: • Human rights in the Middle East and North Africa • Economic development in East Asia • Community development in South America • Education in South East Asia • Water in Africa

Thank you to the International Forum, a globally minded multicultural volunteer group of the Council, for their help organizing the Take Action events of WorldAffairs 2012.

What Can You Do?

Take Action presents Bay Area-based innovative nonprofit organizations who are working to address global challenges along the themes of our annual conference. For WorldAffairs 2012, we are pleased to partner with the following organizations. Please take advantage of this opportunity to learn how to get involved locally to affect change globally.

TAKE ACTION PARTNERS


Education Program

Inspiring our youth to be the global citizens and international leaders of tomorrow is critical to our mission. For the past 40 years, our Education Program has engaged the younger generation in the most critical global issues of the day by providing opportunities to meet with international experts, to participate in in-depth institutes, to attend our WorldAffairs conference and to study abroad through our scholarship program.

The Education Program focuses on building global awareness and promoting critical thinking, communication, leadership and civic engagement. In 2007, we founded the Youth Outreach Initiative, a program that extends this powerful program to urban high schools and students in economically disadvantaged neighborhoods in the Bay Area. Since launching this project, we have served over 900 students in San Francisco and Oakland schools. The program is flourishing from one year to the next, and this year we will continue to expand our reach into more high schools around the Bay Area.

This year, 47 students and teachers have received scholarships to attend WorldAffairs 2012. They are part of a long tradition of student and educator participation. We welcome and applaud the accomplishments and intellectual curiosity of this year’s scholarship recipients.

Students at WorldAffairs 2011, photographer Julie Brookman

26 | Education Program

2012 World Affairs Council of Northern California Scholarship Recipients

STUDENTS

Jacqueline Alas, UC Berkeley

Devyani Bhadkamkar, Henry M. Gunn High School

Varun Bhadkamkar, Henry M. Gunn High School

Karen Camacho, Henry M. Gunn High School

Shannon Chien, De Anza College

Kaela Connors, UC Berkeley

Theresa Diederich, UC Berkeley

Melina Dunham, International High School

Yujing (Jean) Fan, San Mateo High School

Erfan Faridmoayer, De Anza College

Dawn Fleming, University of the Pacific

Hayley (Paisley) Frost, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Jessie Hernandez, UC Berkeley

Karen Hernandez, UC Berkeley

Hyllery Hershberger, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Andrea Jao, UC Davis

Adrian Jaycox, Mission San Jose High School

Sandhya Jetty, Mira Loma High School

Elena Kempf, UC Berkeley

David Latt, Mills High School

Seward Lee, UC Berkeley

EDUCATORS

Paul Joy, St. Bernard School

Cynthia Martinez, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Julia Salido, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Daniela Leyva, Dominican University of California

Yingshi Liang, Mission High School

Ryan Lim, Mills High School

Yizhuang (John) Liu, De Anza College

Sara Menges, University of the Pacific

Isvari Mohan, Abraham Lincoln High School

Vaishali Mullapudi, Mira Loma High School

Adrienne Ou, Mills High School

Eli Pollock, Lowell High School

Anupama Rajan, Henry M. Gunn High School

Alisa Ratorgueva, Lowell High School

Emilie Robert Wong, Lycée Français La Pérouse

Rachel Siegman, Menlo School

Morgan Smith, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Mariana Sosa Cordero, College of Marin

Ian Sugar, San Lorenzo Valley High School

William Swain, San Rafael High School

Camilo Vilaseca, Berkeley High School

Ajna Weaver, San Lorenzo Valley High School

Wentao Xu, Lowell High School

Valeria Yermakova, Mills High School

Bailin (Lucy) Zhang, St. Bernard School


2012 World Affairs Council of Northern California Endowed Scholarships

Each student and educator is uniquely matched with the scholarship they receive based on their extraordinary interest and commitment to foreign affairs.

GEORGE & JOANNA BALLOU MEMORIAL AWARDCynthia Martinez, San Lorenzo Valley High School

RICHARD CASTILE AWARDEmilie Robert Wong, Lycée Français La Pérouse EDITH COLIVER MEMORIAL AWARDTheresa Diederich, UC BerkeleyWilliam Swain, San Rafael High School CARLTON DUDLEY MEMORIAL AWARDRyan Lim, Mills High School PHILIP HABIB MEMORIAL AWARDSeward Lee, UC Berkeley

CAROL MARQUIS MEMORIAL AWARDJulia Salido, San Lorenzo Valley High School JEFFERSON PEYSER MEMORIAL AWARDAndrea Jao, UC Davis GERALDINE H. READ MEMORIAL AWARDWentao Xu, Lowell High School

The World Affairs Council thanks WorldAffairs 2012 sponsors for making this event possible.

WORLD AFFAIRS COUNCIL AFFILIATE SCHOLARSHIPS

MARIN CHAPTER / College of MarinMariana Sosa Cordero

PENINSULA CHAPTER / Henry M. Gunn High SchoolDevyani BhadkamkarVarun BhadkamkarKaren CamachoAnupama Rajan

SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY / University of the PacificDawn FlemingSara Menges

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Community Sponsors

Leadership Sponsors

Our Sponsors

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 3130 | About the Council

Committee for the Future

LEGACY CIRCLEEnsuring the Future of the World Affairs Council of Northern California

For more than six decades the World Affairs Council has been the preeminent organization in Northern California dedicated to informing, engaging and connecting a community of global citizens to the critical issues of the day. The landscape of increasingly pressing political, economic and social challenges we face at home and abroad demands international understanding and cooperation. Our mission of engaging global citizens in the exploration of issues and opportunities that transcend borders is needed now more than ever.

You can help ensure the continued and future vitality of the Council through a renewed and lasting commitment in the form of bequests, charitable gift annuities and other life-income gifts. Consider joining our Legacy Circle to preserve the mission of the Council for generations to come.

Call: Susana Rodriguez at 415.293.4665

Email: [email protected]

Visit: worldaffairs.org/support

In Memorium

Malcolm Read

Malcolm Read, long-time supporter and member of the World Affairs Council, passed away on December 30, 2011. Active with the Council for over thirty years, Malcolm and his wife Geraldine Hansen Read (Gerri) participated in many of the Council’s travel programs and together served on the Council’s Scholarship Committee. When Gerri passed away in 2005, Malcolm made a contribution to the Council to establish the Geraldine H. Read Memorial Scholarship Endowment in her honor and to celebrate her commitment to encouraging student engagement in international affairs. Malcolm was part of the World Affairs Council Legacy Circle and upon his passing made an additional bequest to the Council.

The Council and generations of students will always be grateful for Malcolm and Gerri’s support of our mission to engage and inspire the global citizens and international leaders of tomorrow.

Geraldine H. Read Memorial Scholarship Recipients

2008: Amanda Brown, Foothill College

2009: Lani Amaro, Albany High School

2010: Gier Hernandez, Phillip & Sala Burton Academic High School

2011: Amanda Zerbe, San Francisco University High School

2012: Wentao Xu, Lowell High School

WorldAffairs 2012 Program | 3332 | About the Council

BOARD OF TRUSTEESPeter J. Robertson, Chairman*Jane Wales, President and CEO*

Sara Abbasi*Manpreet Singh AnandSigurd AndersonDavid D. ArnoldLouis deK. BeldenCharlyn BelluzzoW. Richard Bingham*Maureen Blanc*John BolandJ. Dennis BonneyA.W. ClausenMaggie Marlette CoxTimothy D. DattelsDuke DayalDavid deWildeSedge DienstElliott Donnelley IIWilliam H. Draper IIINancy Richards FareseElizabeth F. FarnsworthCharles L. FrankelWilliam P. Fuller*William G. GaedeIra D. Glick, M.D.Kenneth GuernseyRichard GuggenhimePhil HalperinMartha S. Hertelendy*Morris W. Hirsch*George B. James II*Nancy A. JarvisJan H. Kalicki*

Kerry King*Amanda Hayne KirkwoodTerry D. KramerSteve KrauszRalph A. KuiperGregory MagedJames ManyikaClark W. MaserPaul MatteucciLinda McKenzieLinda R. MeierJudith A. MillerLori MirekRuediger Naumann-EtienneR. Douglas NorbyBetty A. OverhoffLawrence L. PippinJoan PlattKevin M. PursgloveHarriet Meyer QuarréFrank RettenbergElizabeth Rindskopf-ParkerNayla RizkRosemary RoachGeorge M. ScaliseMaria W. Starr*Brewer S. StoneJackson StrombergMax Thelen Jr.Terry ThygesenJonathan TurnerJonathan VisbalJohn S. Wadsworth Jr.Margit WennmachersDavid WeberRandy Wells

Hon. Rebecca WesterfieldMason WillrichJohn D. Wilson*Kimberly Wright-ViolichPatricia YoungHarold ZlotKatie J. Zoglin

ADVISORY COMMITTEEWilliam J. Perry, Co-ChairGeorge P. Shultz, Co-Chair

Michael H. ArmacostWillie L. Brown Jr.Gerhard CasperJohn ChambersBruce ChizenElizabeth F. FarnsworthJames C. GaitherChong-Moon LeeGeorge LucasMichael McCurryKanwal RekhiArun SarinOrville SchellCharles SchwabRoselyne C. Swig

Council Leadership

*Indicates member of the Executive Committee

About the Council

The World Affairs Council of Northern California believes that informed citizens can make a difference in the world. Founded in 1947 following the San Francisco conference that established the United Nations, we are a non-partisan, membership organization whose mission is to explore global issues and opportunities that transcend borders. Through our speaker events, education program and annual conference, we engage the globally minded with ideas that stimulate, issues that matter and leaders who inspire. We are all about making connections —to others who share our hopes for a better world and to solutions that can help get us there.

Learn more: worldaffairs.org

Follow us: Twitter: @world_affairs or Facebook.com: worldaffairscouncil

Join us: worldaffairs.org/membership

Support us: worldaffairs.org/support

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ConservatoryYerba Buena

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Modernist

LEVEL FOUR

WorldAffairs 2012: Navigating in a Shifting Global Landscape

News & Politics

Transcript of WorldAffairs 2012: Navigating in a Shifting Global Landscape