World Retail Congress 2017 Day 3: Digitalizing Supply Chains, … · 2017. 4. 7. · World Retail...
Transcript of World Retail Congress 2017 Day 3: Digitalizing Supply Chains, … · 2017. 4. 7. · World Retail...
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
World Retail Congress 2017 Day 3: Digitalizing Supply Chains, Serving Chinese Consumers and Making Apparel Production More Sustainable
TheFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyteamattendedWorldRetailCongress2017inDubaithisweek.Hereareourtoptakeawaysfromthethirdandfinaldayoftheconference:
1) Retailhasbeendigitalized,butthesupplychainremainslargelyanalog,accordingtoLi&FungHonoraryChairmanDr.VictorFung.Li&Fungistakingtheleadondigitalizingthesupplychain.
2) TheChineseconsumerisbecomingthemostdiscerninganddiscriminatingshopperintheworld,accordingtoDr.Fung.AlibabaGroupiscateringtothisconsumerwithits“newretail”model,whichcombinesonlineretail,offlineretail,dataandlogistics.
3) Twomajorimpactsonapparelbrandsandretailersarepriceparitybetweengeographicmarketsandshopperexpectationsofdiscounts,accordingtoNormanJaskolka,PresidentofAldoGroupInternational.
4) Manufacturersandretailersarefacingincreasingpressuretoensuregreatersustainabilityinapparelproduction.Lastyear,garmentsproducedfromclosed-looprecyclingaccountedfor5%ofZara’stotalsales.
WorldRetailCongress2017concludedonApril6inDubai.Here,wefeatureourtoptakeawaysfromthefinaldayoftheconference.ReaderscanfindourreportsondaysoneandtwooftheeventatWRC2017Day1TakeawaysandWRC2017Day2Takeaways.
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
DigitalSupplyChainsandChineseConsumersDr.VictorFung,HonoraryChairmanofLi&Fung,undertheFungGroup,returnedtotheconferenceforasecondannual“firesidechat”withStephenLaughlin,IBM’sVicePresidentandGeneralManager,GlobalConsumerIndustry.Theconversationrangedfromomnichannelretailingtodigitalsupplychainstoglobaltradechallenges.HerearesomekeythoughtsfromDr.Fung:
• Retailhasbeendigitalized,butthesupplychainremainslargelyanalog.Li&Fungisfocusingondigitalizingthesupplychain,whichcouldresultinthedeploymentoftechnologiessuchas3Dprinting,blockchainandtheInternetofThings(IoT).
• Thesupplychainismovingawayfromsegmentedblockstoamorefluidmodel.Retailers’supplychainswillreachallthewaytotheconsumer,enablingfirmstoreactrapidlytoshopperdemand—forinstance,bymakingswiftadjustmentstoaproductinitssecondmanufacturingrun.Digitalizationandamorefluidsupplychainmeanwecouldseeproductsmovefromideatoconsumersaleinaslittleas10daystotwoweeks.
• TheChineseconsumerisbecomingthemostdiscerninganddiscriminatingshopperintheworld.TheimpactofChineseconsumersonretailingisshapedbythreefactors:First,theChineseconsumerswhoarespendingmoneyare,onaverage,10yearsyoungerthantheircounterpartsintheWest.Second,Chineseshoppersarehighlytechenabledandwebenabled.Third,China’shighoutboundtouristnumbersmeantheimpactofChineseconsumersextendstoretailersworldwide.
• NewomnichannelretailmodelscouldemergefromChina,andtheFungGroupisleadingtheexplorationofnewmodels,strategiesandtechnologiesinitsExploriumlaboratoryinShanghai.Exploriumisnowaccommodatingincubatorstonurtureretail-relatedstartups.
JD.comandAlibabaGrouponServingChineseConsumers
Source:FungGlobalRetail&Technology
Wealsoheardfromexecutivesate-commercegiantsJD.comandAlibabaGroupaboutcateringtoChineseconsumers.LauraXiong,SeniorVicePresidentatJD.com,outlinedhowhercompanyisservingshoppersandhowithasencouragedthemtoconvertfromofflineshoppingtoonlineshopping:
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
• CounterfeitsareachallengeforonlineretailinChinaandJD.comhasastrictno-counterfeitpolicy.ThisiscentralforbrandsinChina,Xiongsaid.
• Uniquely,JD.comcontrolsthefulfillmentprocess,endtoend:ithasinvestedinsevenlogisticshubs,256warehouses,and6,900deliveryandpickupstations.Thisdeliveryserviceisprovidedfreetocustomers.
XiongconcludedthattheseelementsincombinationgiveJD.comauniquepositioningintheChinesemarket.
GuruGowrappan,GlobalManagingDirectoratAlibabaGroup,alsonotedsomecharacteristicsofthemarketandhowhiscompanyisservingshoppers:
• By2020,morethan50%ofChina’surbanpopulationwillbeintheuppermiddleclass.Currently,themedianageofChineseonlineshoppersisjust29.
• SalesonAlibaba’ssitesonSingles’Day(November11)grewmorethantenfoldfrom2010to2016,from$14.5millionto$17.8billion.
• Alibabaisaimingtoserveyouthful,tech-enabledChineseconsumerswith“newretail,”amodelthatcombinesonlineandofflineretail,dataandlogistics.
ReaderscanlearnmoreaboutAlibabaGroup’s“newretail”modelbyreadingourreportonthetopic.
ApparelBrandsandtheChangingRetailLandscapeOndaytwooftheconference,weheardfromMannyChirico,CEOofPVHCorp.,onthechallengesapparelbrandownersarefacing.Chiriconotedthattheseretailersareoperatingwithinachangingretaillandscapeastheyattempttobalancetheirownbrick-and-mortarstores,theirowne-commercesites,wholesalingtotraditionalbrick-and-mortarplayersandwholesalingtonewere-commerceretailers.
Source:FungGlobalRetail&Technology
Ondaythreeoftheconference,weheardmoreaboutthesechallengesfromNormanJaskolka,PresidentoffootwearcompanyAldoGroupInternational.Jaskolkanotedtwoshiftsthathavealreadyoccurredinthemarketandthreeconceptsforthefuture,particularlywithregardtoapparelbrandssuchasthosesoldbyhiscompany.Hesaidthattwomajorchangesimpactingapparelbrandsandretailersare:
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
1. Itisnolongerviabletosetsubstantiallydifferentpricesindifferentregionalmarkets,eveniftherearedifferentcosts.Shopperslookandbuyacrossbordersandwillnotaccepthigherpricesinonemarketthaninanother.
2. Evenoncepricesarestandardized,shoppersthenexpectadiscount.Theyareunwillingtopayfullprice.
Intheory,thesetwoshiftscouldresultinaproductthatwasoncepricedat,say,$130,droppingfirstto$100(duetostandardization)andthendownto$80(asaresultofdiscounting).Suchachangeclearlycannotbemadewithoutsubstantialcompressionofmargins.
Jaskolka’sthreethemesforapparelbrandsinthecomingyearsare:
1. Brick-and-mortarretailingisnolongerdrivenbybrandsandmarketing,butbyexperience.(Thisemphasisonexperienceinstoreswasechoedbyanumberofcommentatorsacrossthethreedaysoftheconference.)
2. Profitsinthevaluechainwillfall,andthosemostimmunetomargincompressionwillbethoseaddingthemostvalue.
3. Retailisnotdead,andonline-onlyretailersmaybejealousofsomeaspectsofbrick-and-mortarretailers,suchastheabilitytoprovideavaluableexperiencetocustomers.
SustainabilityPressuresinApparelProduction
Source:FungGlobalRetail&Technology
Brandsarenotonlybeingforcedtoslashmarginsandadjusttheirdistributionstrategies,butalsoarebeingpressuredtoincreasetheirsustainabilityeffortswhenproducingapparel.WeheardfromThomasTochtermann,AdvisoratrestaurantchainVapianoandSupervisoryBoardMemberatDanskSupermarked,onsustainability,aswellasfromAlfredVernis,SustainabilityAcademicDirectoratInditex.
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Tochtermannnotedthesubstantialimpactofapparelproduction:
• Some400billionsquaremetersoffabricwasusedinapparelproductionin2015,andthisannualvolumewillgrowby60%by2030.
• Producingjustonekilogramofcottonrequires2,000–3,500litersofwater.
• Evenwhenapparelisrecycled,itistypicallynotrecycledinaclosed-loopprocesswherebyitisusedtocreatenewapparel.
• By2030,thegapbetweenwaterdemandandwatersupplywillbearound40%,i.e.,therewillbea40%shortfallinwatersupply.
Vernisalsodiscussedthescaleoftheissue:
• Intheory,sustainabilitymeansmeetingtheneedsofthepresentgenerationwithoutcompromisingtheneedsoffuturegenerations.Inpractice,profitandsustainabilityaretwosidesofthesamecoin.
• Garmentsproducedfromclosed-looprecyclingaccountedforsome5%ofZara’ssaleslastyear.Whilethatisasmallpercentage,itequatedtomorethan40millionrecycledgarments.
• ThetopconcernforChineseconsumers—acrosscategories—isclimatechange.
TheImpactofChangingShopperDemandsArecurringthemeacrossthethreedaysoftheconferencewastheimpactofchangingshopperdemands,andparticularlymillennials’expectationsofqualitybrandexperiences.Toconcludeourwrapupofthisyear’sconference,wefeaturesomefurtherone-linetakeawaysonthistheme:
“Consumersdon’tthinkaboutchannels.So,don’tthinkchannelfirst;thinkshopperfirst.”
–RosieO’Neill,Cofounder,Sugarfina
“Createcompellingcontentandexperiences.Customerswillforgetwhatyousaid,butnothowyoumadethemfeel.”
–LanaHopkins,FounderandCEO,MonPurse
“Ina‘horizontal’world,thebasisofconsumertrustisemotionalconnection.”
–CédricDucrocq,CEO,Dia-MartConsulting
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April7,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comJohnMercerSeniorAnalyst
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