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Transcript of World Oilfield Services Market Forecast 2016-2020 Leaflet + Contents
The World Oilfield Services Market Forecast 2016-2020energy business insight
e: [email protected] t: +44 (0)203 4799 505
www.douglas-westwood.com
Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore
Xtreme Drilling and Coil Services
© 2016 Douglas-Westwood 19World Oilfield Services Market Forecast 2016-2020 Q1By purchasing this document, your organisation agrees that it will not copy or allow to be copied in part or whole or otherwise circulated in any form any of the contents without the written permission of Douglas-Westwood
D&PAustralasia
Chapter 3 : Regional Analysis
Annual OFS expenditure in Australasia
will average $ bn throughout the
forecast. Extensive drilling programs
were undertaken in recent years to
provide feedstocks for Australia’s
large CBM-to-LNG projects – seeing
expenditure spike to $ bn in 2013.
With the majority of drilling now com-
pleted, activity has dropped to much
lower levels.
As a result of the aforementioned
CBM projects, the majority of OFS
expenditure in Australasia occurs
onshore, accounting for % over
2011-2015 and % over 2016-2020.
Such developments will lead to coiled
tubing services and perforation
experiencing strong growth through
to 2020. Coiled tubing methods are
widely used for the drilling, interven-
tion and completion of shallow gas
wells, while multiple perforation runs
are necessary for maximising flow
from horizontal wells drilled into the
coal seams.
Future offshore OFS expenditure will
be driven by large scale projects off
the west coast of Australia, including
Shell’s Prelude FLNG project. DW
expects offshore OFS spend to peak
in 2018 at $ m as a consequence
of a drop in project sanctioning in the
near-term as a result of the market
downturn.
Table 6: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020
Figure 12: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Rig
& C
rew
Exp
endi
ture
($b
n)
Expe
nditu
re (
$bn)
Figure 13: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Expe
nditu
re (
$bn)
OffshoreOnshore
$millions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR (2016-20)
Casing & Tubing ServicesCementingCoiled Tubing ServicesCompletion EquipmentDirectional Drilling ServicesDrill BitsDrilling FluidsFishingMud LoggingMWD & LWDPerforationProduction Testing Rig & CrewSlickline ServicesSolids Control EquipmentStimulationSurface Well TestingWaste ManagementWireline LoggingWireline Services
OnshoreOffshore
TOTAL
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D&PSlickline Services
Chapter 4 : Service Line Analysis
Slickline services costs consist of the
rental of slickline units and operating
crew. Slickline is a thin non-electric
wireline used to set and retrieve
wellbore equipment and can addition-
ally be used to open and close valves.
Despite being an older oilfield technol-
ogy, slickline remains a commonly used
well intervention tool as it is cost-
effective, reliable and uncomplicated.
The slickline market is closely associ-
ated with the completions phase of
drilling, driven by global drilling activity.
However, slickline also sees wide use
in the brownfield phase of develop-
ment, including workover, fishing and
plug removal and setting.
Slickline services spend dropped %
for onshore markets and % for
offshore in 2015 – this is expected to
continue into 2016, though at only %
and %. Decline has been largely due
to day rate reduction while drilling
activity decline has been somewhat
offset by brownfield requirements of
slickline services. Moreover, where
interchangeable, slickline has been
a preferred conveyance method to
wireline in the current cost-cutting
environment, further limiting 2015
decline.
Table 38: Slickline Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020
Figure 50: Slickline Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-20202011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Expe
nditu
re (
$bn)
Figure 51: Slickline Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Expe
nditu
re (
$bn)
$millions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR(2016-20)
AfricaAsiaAustralasiaEastern Europe & FSULatin AmericaMiddle EastNorth AmericaWestern Europe
Onshore TotalAfricaAsiaAustralasia %Eastern Europe & FSULatin AmericaMiddle EastNorth AmericaWestern Europe
Offshore TotalGlobal Total
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D&PWireline Logging – Top 30 Markets
Chapter 4 : Service Line Analysis
Table 49: Wireline Logging – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020
“The costs can vary a lot. It depends on the contract, for example SLB is the only service provider in Oman and logging price is very cheap comparing to other countries.”
Oilfield Service Provider
“Wireline still has its advantages over LWD. Measurements can be carried out without drilling vibration, drill string interference, drill string rotation and often at lower temperatures which can negatively impact the data and also cause tool failures in LWD tools.”
Oilfield Service Provider
“Wireline logging is the most common service in order to give us geological and petrophysical data about the formation.”
Oilfield Service Provider
“It is significantly more cost-effective to wireline log as opposed to logging while drilling but then you have the pay-off of not knowing immediately what the subsurface situation is.”
Oilfield Service Provider
“For exploration wells you need all types of services and it costs more but in development wells you don’t need all the same ser-vices.”
Oilfield Service Provider
“Using MWD/LWD saves rig time and I know for a fact that this is what they use in the Caspian but wireline OH logging gives you significantly more information about the well.”
Oilfield Service Provider
$millions 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR(2016-20)
China
Russia
USA
Canada
Thailand
Saudi Arabia
Argentina
Kazakhstan
India
Venezuela
Kuwait
Oman
Mexico
Indonesia
Australia
Colombia
United Arab Emirates
Egypt
Algeria
Uzbekistan
Brazil
Nigeria
Qatar
Norway
Iraq
UK
Romania
Iran
Turkmenistan
Peru
Others
Douglas-Westwood’s (DW) NEW quarterly publication The World Oilfield Services Market Forecast provides unique insight into the global oilfield services (OFS) market. The product delivers historic, current and future expenditure forecasting of 20 common OFS service lines including rig & crew, cementing, well testing, logging.
With a forecast through to 2020 and utilising a proprietary methodology, DW’s World Oilfield Services Market Forecast provides granular analysis of a market which is expected to stead-ily increase from $192 billion (bn) in 2016 to $241bn in 2020, after falling 38% year-on-year from 2014 to 2015. The forecast includes a regional assessment of total OFS spending, with additional in-depth analysis of each service line at a national level. DW’s detailed service line models include workover, as well as drilling and completion for the onshore & offshore markets, providing unparalleled insight into the OFS sector.
Taking into account the latest macro-economic trends through explicit commodity price inputs to all service line models, DW’s OFS forecast provides up-to-date analysis of one of the most
important and fast moving markets in the oil & gas sector.
DW’s World Drilling & Production Forecast (DWD&P) generates the wells drilled forecast which drives DW’s OFS forecast. D&P is con-tinuously updated, providing detailed hydro-carbon production and drilling data that covers 96% of global production. This established foundation provides a base for the further modelling of footage and drilling days — key drivers of OFS spending.
The World Oilfield Services Market Forecast contains:
• Oilfield services expenditure data – gener-ated in-house using models exclusive to DW; the OFS market forecast utilises DW’s own D&P models for wells drilled, footage and drilling days.
• Full global coverage – the only product to provide country-by-country analysis of the global OFS market.
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• Detailed analysis – regional overview with data and analysis of historic, current and future OFS spending by service line in the onshore and offshore markets. Service line analysis and data at a regional and national level for the onshore and offshore markets.
• Industry insight – hundreds of man-hours per quarter of industry consultation to ensure accurate and reliable data inputs. Service line specific insight from industry participants has been provided throughout the report.
• Comprehensive experience – gained from 25 years of research, the forecast has been developed through exposure to industry-leading M&A engagements including numerous diligence exercises conducted for oilfield services organisations worldwide. This has included opaque or less publicised markets such as China, the Middle East and Russia.
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ISBN 978-1-910045-32-9
DW’s World Drilling & Production Forecast (DWD&P) generates the wells drilled forecast which drives DW’s OFS forecast. D&P
is continuously updated, providing detailed hydrocarbon production and drilling data that covers 96% of global
production. This established foundation provides a base for the further
modelling of footage and drilling days — key drivers of OFS spending.
D&PDrilling and Production
Driven by...
2016World Oilfield Services Market Forecast
D&PDrilling and Production
2016-2020Q1 March 2016
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D&P
Contents
Table of Contents
1 Methodology ...............................................................7Methodology: Overview .............................................................................................................. 8Service Line Cost Inclusions ....................................................................................................... 9Well Cost Breakdown ................................................................................................................ 10Barriers and Limitations ............................................................................................................ 11
2 Global Analysis ........................................................ 12Global Expenditure: Overview ................................................................................................. 13Global Expenditure: Onshore/Offshore Breakdown ........................................................... 14Global Expenditure: Service Line Breakdown ....................................................................... 15
3 Regional Analysis .................................................... 16Africa ............................................................................................................................................. 17Asia ................................................................................................................................................ 18Australasia .................................................................................................................................... 19Eastern Europe & FSU ................................................................................................................ 20Latin America ............................................................................................................................... 21Middle East ................................................................................................................................... 22North America ............................................................................................................................ 23Western Europe .......................................................................................................................... 24
4 Service Line Analysis .............................................. 25Casing & Tubing Services ........................................................................................................... 26Casing & Tubing Services – Top 30 Markets .......................................................................... 27Cementing .................................................................................................................................... 28Cementing – Top 30 Markets ................................................................................................... 29Coiled Tubing Services ............................................................................................................... 30Coiled Tubing Services – Top 30 Markets .............................................................................. 31Completion Equipment .............................................................................................................. 32Completion Equipment – Top 30 Markets ............................................................................. 33Directional Drilling Services ..................................................................................................... 34Directional Drilling Services – Top 30 Markets .................................................................... 35Drill Bits ........................................................................................................................................ 36Drill Bits – Top 30 Markets ....................................................................................................... 37
Drilling Fluids ............................................................................................................................... 38Drilling Fluids – Top 30 Markets .............................................................................................. 39Fishing ............................................................................................................................................ 40Fishing – Top 30 Markets ........................................................................................................... 41Mud Logging ................................................................................................................................. 42Mud Logging – Top 30 Markets ................................................................................................ 43MWD & LWD .............................................................................................................................. 44MWD & LWD – Top 30 Markets............................................................................................. 45Perforation ................................................................................................................................... 46Perforation – Top 30 Markets .................................................................................................. 47Production Testing ...................................................................................................................... 48Production Testing – Top 30 Markets ..................................................................................... 49Rig & Crew ................................................................................................................................... 50Rig & Crew – Top 30 Markets .................................................................................................. 51Slickline Services ......................................................................................................................... 52Slickline Services – Top 30 Markets ........................................................................................ 53Solids Control Equipment ......................................................................................................... 54Solids Control Equipment – Top 30 Markets ........................................................................ 55Stimulation .................................................................................................................................... 56Stimulation – Top 30 Markets................................................................................................... 57Surface Well Testing ................................................................................................................... 58Surface Well Testing – Top 30 Markets .................................................................................. 59Waste Management .................................................................................................................... 60Waste Management – Top 30 Markets ................................................................................... 61Wireline Logging ......................................................................................................................... 62Wireline Logging – Top 30 Markets ........................................................................................ 63Wireline Services ........................................................................................................................ 64Wireline Services – Top 30 Markets ....................................................................................... 65
5 Appendix .................................................................. 66Data and Text Conventions ...................................................................................................... 67
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Contents
Figures
Figure 1: Example well cost breakdown .......................................................................................................... 10Figure 2: Global Oilfield Services Expenditure Regional Split 2011-2020 ...................................... 13Figure 3: Global Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ................ 13Figure 4: Global Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................................... 14Figure 5: Global Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................................... 14Figure 6: Global Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................... 15Figure 7: Global Onshore and Offshore Spending 2011-2020 ............................................................ 15Figure 8: Africa Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 ........................................... 17Figure 9: Africa Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 .................. 17Figure 10: Asia Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 ........................................... 18Figure 11: Asia Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ................... 18Figure 12: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 .............................. 19Figure 13: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 .... 19Figure 14: Eastern Europe & FSU Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 .... 20Figure 15: EE & FSU Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ....... 20Figure 16: Latin America Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 ....................... 21Figure 17: Latin America Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 21Figure 18: Middle East Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 ............................ 22Figure 19: Middle East Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ... 22Figure 20: North America Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 .................... 23Figure 21: N. America Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ... 23Figure 22: Western Europe Oilfield Services Expenditure Breakdown 2011-2020 ................. 24Figure 23: W. Europe Oilfield Services Expenditure Onshore Offshore Split 2011-2020 ..... 24Figure 24: Casing & Tubing Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .......................................... 26Figure 25: Casing & Tubing Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .......................................... 26Figure 26: Cementing Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 28Figure 27: Cementing Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 28Figure 28: Coiled Tubing Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .............................................. 30Figure 29: Coiled Tubing Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .............................................. 30Figure 30: Completion Equipment Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020............................................. 32Figure 31: Completion Equipment Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020............................................. 32Figure 32: Directional Drilling Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................... 34Figure 33: Directional Drilling Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................... 34Figure 34: Drill Bits Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................................. 36Figure 35: Drill Bits Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................................. 36
Figure 36: Drilling Fluids Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................................................. 38Figure 37: Drilling Fluids Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................................................. 38Figure 38: Fishing Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................................. 40Figure 39: Fishing Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................................. 40Figure 40: Mud Logging Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................... 42Figure 41: Mud Logging Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................................... 42Figure 42: MWD & LWD Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................... 44Figure 43: MWD & LWD Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................... 44Figure 44: Perforation Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 46Figure 45: Perforation Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 46Figure 46: Production Testing Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................... 48Figure 47: Production Testing Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................... 48Figure 48: Rig & Crew Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ...................................................................... 50Figure 49: Rig & Crew Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ...................................................................... 50Figure 50: Slickline Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ........................................................... 52Figure 51: Slickline Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ........................................................... 52Figure 52: Solids Control Equipment Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................... 54Figure 53: Solids Control Equipment Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................... 54Figure 54: Stimulation Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 56Figure 55: Stimulation Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................................................... 56Figure 56: Surface Well Testing Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020.................................................... 58Figure 57: Surface Well Testing Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020.................................................... 58Figure 58: Waste Management Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................................... 60Figure 59: Waste Management Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................................... 60Figure 60: Wireline Logging Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020........................................................... 62Figure 61: Wireline Logging Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020........................................................... 62Figure 62: Wireline Services Onshore Expenditure 2011-2020.......................................................... 64Figure 63: Wireline Services Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020.......................................................... 64
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D&P
Contents
Tables
Table 1: Global Oilfield Services Expenditure by Region & Onshore/Offshore 2011-2020 . 13Table 2: Global Expenditure 2011-2020 .......................................................................................................... 14Table 3: Global Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ...................................................................... 15Table 4: Africa Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ........................................................................ 17Table 5: Asia Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ........................................................................... 18Table 6: Australasia Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................. 19Table 7: Eastern Europe & FSU Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................... 20Table 8: Latin America Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020....................................................... 21Table 9: Middle East Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................................ 22Table 10: North America Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................. 23Table 11: Western Europe Oilfield Services Expenditure 2011-2020 .............................................. 24Table 12: Casing & Tubing Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................. 26Table 13: Casing & Tubing Services – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................... 27Table 14: Cementing Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................................ 28Table 15: Cementing – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................................................. 29Table 16: Coiled Tubing Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................... 30Table 17: Coiled Tubing Services – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ......................................................... 31Table 18: Completion Equipment Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ..................... 32Table 19: Completion Equipment – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ....................................................... 33Table 20: Directional Drilling Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............ 34Table 21: Directional Drilling Services – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ............................................... 35Table 22: Drill Bits Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ..................................................... 36Table 23: Drill Bits – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ....................................................................................... 37Table 24: Drilling Fluids Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020........................................... 38Table 25: Drilling Fluids – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ............................................................................. 39Table 26: Fishing Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ......................................................... 40Table 27: Fishing – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ........................................................................................... 41Table 28: Mud Logging Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................ 42Table 29: Mud Logging – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .............................................................................. 43Table 30: MWD & LWD Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ....................................... 44Table 31: MWD & LWD – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .......................................................................... 45Table 32: Perforation Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................... 46Table 33: Perforation – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................................................. 47Table 34: Production Testing Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................... 48Table 35: Production Testing – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................................. 49
Table 36: Rig & Crew Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .............................................. 50Table 37: Rig & Crew – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ................................................................................. 51Table 38: Slickline Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................... 52Table 39: Slickline Services – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ...................................................................... 53Table 40: Solids Control Equipment Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................ 54Table 41: Solids Control Equipment – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................. 55Table 42: Stimulation Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................................... 56Table 43: Stimulation – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................................................. 57Table 44: Surface Well Testing Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................ 58Table 45: Surface Well Testing – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .............................................................. 59Table 46: Waste Management Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ............................ 60Table 47: Waste Management – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ............................................................... 61Table 48: Wireline Logging Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 ................................... 62Table 49: Wireline Logging – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 ..................................................................... 63Table 50: Wireline Services Onshore & Offshore Expenditure 2011-2020 .................................. 64Table 51: Wireline Services – Top 30 Markets 2011-2020 .................................................................... 65
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Date of publication: 31st March 2016
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Douglas-Westwood has over 20 energy
sector market forecast titles in print.
“An excellent report in all areas”
Houston client