Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

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Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng

Transcript of Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Page 1: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change

Ensheng Weng

Page 2: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Geographic features of China

Page 3: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Summer circulation

Tibetan Plateau plays a critical role

South-west monsoon

South-east monsoon

Westerly jet

Page 4: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Winter circulation

Tibetan Plateau plays a critical role

Westerly jet

Tibetan cold high

Siberia-Mongoliancold high

Page 5: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Climate of China

Page 6: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Climate of China

T (Jan.) T (Jul.)

Page 7: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Climate-Vegetation Relationships

• Climate determines vegetation distribution

• Precipitation and temperature are two key factors

from Whittaker, 1975

Page 8: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation of China

Wu, CY, 1980. Vegetation of China

Page 9: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation of China

Wu, CY, 1980. Vegetation of China

Tropical forest

Sub-Tropical forest

Temperate forest

Mixed forest

Taiga -

+

Page 10: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation of China

Wu, CY, 1980. Vegetation of China

Forest

Meadow

ste

ppe

Typ

ical

steppe

Desert

steppe

Desert

+-

Page 11: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation of China

Wu, CY, 1980. Vegetation of China

Conifer forests

Alpine meadows

Alpine steppes

Alpine deserts

Page 12: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Vegetation of China

Wu, CY, 1980. Vegetation of China

Conifer forests

Alpine meadows

Alpine steppes

Alpine deserts

Forest

Meadow

ste

ppe

Typ

ical

steppe

Desert

steppe

Desert

+-

Tropical forest

Sub-Tropical forest

Temperate forest

Mixed forest

Taiga -

+

Page 13: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

How it response to climate change

Changes of Temperature in past 50 years

Northern area Central China

Changes of Precipitation in past 50 years

Page 14: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Scenarios at the end of 21st century

CO2 SRES-A2

CO2 SRES-B2

Page 15: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

BIOME model

• Defined 14 plant functional types (PFTs);

• Assigned a climatic envelope for every PFT;

• porsposed a rule to regulate the co-exist of PFTs;

• Biomes (vegetation types) are the combinations of PFTs.

Page 16: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

BIOME model

Page 17: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

BIOME model

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Calibration

Simulated map from original parameters

• the boundary between forests and steppes

• forests shift southwards

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Calibration

Priestley-Taylor coefficient

Page 20: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Calibration

Temperature of January

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Calibration

The same PFTs occur in the colder and dryer areas

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The results from new parameters

Kappa=0.67

Page 23: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Response of vegetation distribution to climate change

CO2 SRES-A2 CO2 SRES-B2

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Vulnerable areas

• Northern China• Southwestern China• Tibetan Plateau

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Effects on Human beingDesertification Deforestation

Page 26: Vegetation distribution of China and its responses to climate change Ensheng Weng.

Thank you!