V2 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 Analysis
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Stryktipset, Europatipset och Oddset på Tips13 DBASESOFT - Matchfakta och analyser inför veckans omgång varje helg på Stryktips / Europatipset. Spelförslag, tipset, fakta och analys för matcherna på veckans kupong. Tipsrelaterade nyheter, analyser, matchsnack , stryktipset på http://dbasesoft.blogspot.com/
Transcript of V2 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 Analysis
It's all about numbers
1x2 Tips13 system using Experts input and Enhanced Knowledge (ES)
based system with algorithm and data analaysis to improve soccer variation analysis.
Using this approach Tips13 serves as a preprocessor for the final 1x2 system used.
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Newcastle United A Manchester City 4,8 3,0 1,6 45,0 25,0 30,0 1,7 1,5 35,0 12,5 52,5 1,3 2,1
F= 1,159
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Newcastle United vs Manchester City 18% 29% 53% -7% 42% 64%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
60 30,5 72,2
Attack strength Attack strength
1,06 League Ave is 1 2,08 1 x 2
Defence Defence 45% 23% 32%
0,91 0,84
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Newcastle United 1,12 32,72 36,55 20,42 7,603 2,123 0,474 0,088
Manchester City 1,95 14,24 27,75 27,05 17,58 8,566 3,34 1,085
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 9,2 14,4 13,6 8,8 4,3
3 10,9 17,7 17,3 12,6 8,1
2 17,3 24,1 23,7 19,0 14,5
1 25,4 32,2 31,8 27,1 22,6
0 23,5 30,2 29,9 25,1 20,6
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
37% 19% 44%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,0022
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,5072
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,928
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Newcastle United
Manchester City
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Newcastle United
Manchester City
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Stoke City A Liverpool 5,2 3,8 1,6 40,0 40,0 20,0 1,4 1,3 25,0 25,0 50,0 1,1 1,9
F= 1,08
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Stoke City vs Liverpool 18% 24% 58% -16% 51% 64%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
39,8 45,9 56
Attack strength Attack strength
0,69 League Ave is 1 1,68 1 x 2
Defence Defence 45% 23% 32%
1,10 0,84
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Stoke City 0,83 43,67 36,18 14,99 4,14 0,857 0,142 0,02
Liverpool 1,69 18,4 31,15 26,36 14,88 6,297 2,132 0,602
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 10,1 15,7 13,2 7,4 3,1
3 11,3 17,6 15,3 9,5 5,2
2 16,7 23,1 20,7 14,9 10,6
1 27,3 33,7 31,3 25,5 21,2
0 31,0 37,4 35,0 29,3 25,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
28% 32% 40%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,0003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,2679
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,5371
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Stoke City
Liverpool
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Stoke City
Liverpool
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Espanyol A Real Madrid 8,0 5,7 1,3 27,8 22,2 50,0 1,4 1,9 22,2 16,7 61,1 1,2 2,1
F= 1,07
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Espanyol vs Real Madrid 12% 16% 72% -44% 67% 77%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
33 32,3 111
Attack strength Attack strength
0,80 League Ave is 1 1,90 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 19% 34%
0,88 0,77
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Espanyol 0,93 39,4 36,7 17,09 5,307 1,236 0,23 0,036
Real Madrid 1,89 15,12 28,56 26,98 16,99 8,025 3,032 0,955
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 8,8 14,5 13,5 8,5 4,0
3 10,2 16,9 16,1 11,1 6,7
2 16,1 22,8 22,0 17,0 12,6
1 25,9 32,6 31,8 26,8 22,4
0 27,3 34,0 33,2 28,2 23,7
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
19% 18% 63%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,4415
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,58
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,9705
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Espanyol
Real Madrid
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Espanyol
Real Madrid
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Levante A Malaga 2,5 3,2 2,7 29,4 47,1 23,5 1,1 0,9 36,1 27,8 36,1 1,1 1,3
F= 1,083
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Levante vs Malaga 37% 29% 34% 32% 42% 26%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
36,5 41,6 33,1
Attack strength Attack strength
0,62 League Ave is 1 0,69 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 19% 34%
0,99 0,84
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Levante 0,80 44,83 35,97 14,43 3,859 0,774 0,124 0,017
Malaga 0,91 40,15 36,64 16,72 5,084 1,16 0,212 0,032
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 20,9 18,4 8,4 2,5 0,6
3 22,0 20,2 10,3 4,5 2,5
2 27,3 25,5 15,6 9,8 7,8
1 38,1 36,3 26,3 20,5 18,6
0 42,5 40,7 30,8 25,0 23,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
33% 37% 30%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,2032
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,3199
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,3543
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
Goals Home vs Away
Levante
Malaga
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Levante
Malaga
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Real Betis A Osasuna 1,7 3,7 4,5 44,4 22,2 33,3 1,4 1,0 33,3 22,2 44,4 1,2 1,4
F= 1,074
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Real Betis vs Osasuna 54% 26% 21% 59% 49% -8%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
51,3 28,1 47
Attack strength Attack strength
0,55 League Ave is 1 0,55 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 19% 34%
1,32 1,02
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Real Betis 0,80 44,85 35,96 14,42 3,854 0,773 0,124 0,017
Osasuna 0,90 40,68 36,59 16,45 4,932 1,109 0,199 0,03
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 21,1 18,4 8,2 2,5 0,6
3 22,3 20,2 10,2 4,4 2,5
2 27,6 25,5 15,4 9,7 7,8
1 38,3 36,3 26,2 20,4 18,5
0 42,8 40,7 30,7 24,9 23,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
41% 22% 37%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,9535
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,8085
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
Goals Home vs Away
Real Betis
Osasuna
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Real Betis
Osasuna
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Atalanta A Catania 1,9 3,3 4,2 76,5 11,8 11,8 2,1 0,9 44,4 19,4 36,1 1,4 1,1
F= 1,073
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Atalanta vs Catania 50% 28% 22% 56% 44% 1%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
106 21,5 23,9
Attack strength Attack strength
0,66 League Ave is 1 0,44 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 27% 24%
1,02 1,17
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Atalanta 0,94 38,96 36,73 17,31 5,44 1,282 0,242 0,038
Catania 0,71 49,18 34,9 12,39 2,93 0,52 0,074 0,009
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 25,9 17,7 6,2 1,5 0,3
3 27,3 20,2 8,9 4,2 3,0
2 33,2 26,1 14,8 10,1 8,9
1 43,0 35,8 24,6 19,8 18,6
0 44,1 36,9 25,7 20,9 19,7
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
70% 14% 16%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,2754
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0001
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,2923
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Atalanta
Catania
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Atalanta
Catania
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Hellas Verona A Napoli 3,7 3,6 1,9 58,8 5,9 35,3 1,8 1,4 36,1 13,9 50,0 1,5 1,8
F= 1,073
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Hellas Verona vs Napoli 26% 26% 49% 3% 48% 49%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
78,9 16,0 67,4
Attack strength Attack strength
1,24 League Ave is 1 1,39 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 27% 24%
0,99 0,73
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Hellas Verona 1,29 27,59 35,53 22,88 9,819 3,161 0,814 0,175
Napoli 1,50 22,4 33,52 25,07 12,5 4,675 1,399 0,349
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 14,4 17,6 12,7 6,2 2,3
3 16,1 21,7 17,4 11,2 7,2
2 22,6 28,2 24,0 17,7 13,8
1 29,0 34,5 30,3 24,0 20,1
0 25,0 30,6 26,3 20,0 16,1
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
49% 10% 42%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,4155
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,2781
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,2988
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Hellas Verona
Napoli
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Hellas Verona
Napoli
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Sassuolo A AC Milan 4,8 3,6 1,7 35,3 29,4 35,3 1,5 1,9 25,0 33,3 41,7 1,2 1,8
F= 1,077
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Sassuolo vs AC Milan 20% 26% 55% -9% 48% 61%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
40,2 50,5 72,6
Attack strength Attack strength
0,62 League Ave is 1 1,02 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 27% 24%
1,39 0,95
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Sassuolo 0,84 43,22 36,26 15,21 4,252 0,892 0,15 0,021
AC Milan 1,32 26,64 35,24 23,31 10,28 3,399 0,899 0,198
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 14,2 17,8 11,7 5,1 1,7
3 15,4 19,7 13,8 7,3 3,8
2 20,9 25,2 19,3 12,7 9,3
1 31,4 35,7 29,8 23,3 19,8
0 34,9 39,2 33,3 26,7 23,3
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
25% 31% 44%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,1851
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,2817
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,1301
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Sassuolo
AC Milan
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sassuolo
AC Milan
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Cagliari A Juventus 7,6 4,3 1,4 27,8 27,8 44,4 1,2 1,6 13,9 27,8 58,3 0,8 1,8
F= 1,078
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Cagliari vs Juventus 12% 22% 66% -32% 57% 76%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
20,5 37,6 88,5
Attack strength Attack strength
0,66 League Ave is 1 1,54 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 27% 24%
0,88 0,40
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Cagliari 0,69 50,32 34,56 11,87 2,717 0,466 0,064 0,007
Juventus 1,58 20,55 32,52 25,72 13,57 5,366 1,698 0,448
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 10,7 16,3 12,9 6,8 2,7
3 11,6 17,6 14,2 8,1 4,0
2 16,2 22,2 18,8 12,7 8,6
1 27,6 33,5 30,1 24,1 20,0
0 35,4 41,4 38,0 31,9 27,8
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
14% 26% 60%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,0046
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0769
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Cagliari
Juventus
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cagliari
Juventus
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH AS Roma A Genoa 1,4 4,5 8,5 66,7 22,2 11,1 1,7 0,6 52,8 27,8 19,4 1,5 0,8
F= 1,081
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
AS Roma vs Genoa 69% 21% 11% 78% 59% -37%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
95,4 28,5 10,4
Attack strength Attack strength
1,28 League Ave is 1 0,69 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 27% 24%
0,37 0,73
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com AS Roma 1,32 26,75 35,27 23,25 10,22 3,369 0,888 0,195
Genoa 0,71 49,4 34,84 12,29 2,888 0,509 0,072 0,008
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 28,1 18,3 6,3 1,4 0,3
3 29,8 22,5 11,3 6,6 5,4
2 36,3 29,0 17,8 13,1 11,9
1 42,3 35,1 23,8 19,1 17,9
0 38,1 30,8 19,5 14,8 13,6
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
71% 21% 8%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,9109
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,244
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,1205
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
Goals Home vs Away
AS Roma
Genoa
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
AS Roma
Genoa
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Evian Thonon Gaillard A Marseille 3,5 3,1 2,1 25,0 40,0 35,0 1,1 1,4 28,9 26,3 44,7 1,0 1,6
F= 1,096
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Marseille 26% 29% 45% 11% 41% 48%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
28 41,7 58,9
Attack strength Attack strength
0,69 League Ave is 1 0,99 1 x 2
Defence Defence 46% 29% 26%
1,17 0,73
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Evian Thonon Gaillard 0,81 44,55 36,02 14,56 3,926 0,794 0,128 0,017
Marseille 1,19 30,34 36,19 21,58 8,58 2,559 0,61 0,121
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 16,0 18,2 10,8 4,3 1,3
3 17,1 20,1 12,8 6,3 3,2
2 22,5 25,4 18,1 11,6 8,6
1 33,2 36,1 28,8 22,3 19,3
0 37,4 40,4 33,1 26,6 23,6
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
22% 32% 46%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,1656
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,9325
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,506
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
Goals Home vs Away
Evian Thonon Gaillard
Marseille
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Evian Thonon Gaillard
Marseille
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Lille A Stade de Reims 1,4 3,9 7,9 52,6 26,3 21,1 1,3 0,6 42,1 31,6 26,3 1,1 0,8
F= 1,097
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Lille vs Stade de Reims 65% 23% 12% 77% 53% -30%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
56,7 27,8 17,1
Attack strength Attack strength
0,80 League Ave is 1 0,84 1 x 2
Defence Defence 46% 29% 26%
0,29 0,77
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Lille 0,91 40,25 36,63 16,67 5,056 1,15 0,209 0,032
Stade de Reims 0,78 45,78 35,77 13,97 3,639 0,711 0,111 0,014
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 24,0 18,1 7,0 1,8 0,4
3 25,4 20,4 9,5 4,3 2,9
2 31,2 26,2 15,3 10,2 8,7
1 41,2 36,2 25,3 20,1 18,7
0 43,0 38,0 27,1 21,9 20,5
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
56% 27% 17%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,9205
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,9764
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,1301
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
Goals Home vs Away
Lille
Stade de Reims
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Lille
Stade de Reims
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Benfica A FC Porto 2,3 3,1 3,0 38,5 30,8 30,8 1,4 1,4 39,3 21,4 39,3 1,3 1,5
F= 1,1
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Benfica vs FC Porto 40% 29% 30% 39% 41% 19%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
51,9 36,0 49,9
Attack strength Attack strength
0,98 League Ave is 1 1,06 1 x 2
Defence Defence 44% 31% 25%
0,44 0,33
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Benfica 1,08 33,96 36,68 19,81 7,13 1,925 0,416 0,075
FC Porto 1,19 30,47 36,21 21,52 8,523 2,532 0,602 0,119
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 17,2 18,5 10,8 4,3 1,3
3 18,8 21,7 14,3 7,8 4,8
2 25,1 28,0 20,7 14,2 11,2
1 33,6 36,4 29,1 22,6 19,6
0 32,2 35,1 27,7 21,2 18,2
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
38% 26% 36%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,9716
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,9158
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,9677
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
Goals Home vs Away
Benfica
FC Porto
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Benfica
FC Porto
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
