US CMS DOE/NSF Review: May 8-10, 20011 US CMS Cost & Schedule Mark Reichanadter US CMS Project...

US CMS DOE/NSF Review: May 8-10, 2001 1

US CMS Cost & ScheduleUS CMS Cost & ScheduleUS CMS Cost & ScheduleUS CMS Cost & Schedule

Mark Reichanadter

US CMS Project Engineer

DOE/NSF Review

8 May 2001


OutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

• Overview• Status and Performance

• US CMS Cost Performance Report• Work Scheduled, Work Performed, Obligations, Actuals• Cost and Schedule Variances and Indices

• Cost Experience• L2 CPR’s, M&S and Labor Performance

• Schedule Performance• L2 Schedule Variances• L1, L2, L3 Milestone Performance• Schedules and Critical Paths (CMS, EMU, HCAL, ECAL)

• Contingency Assessment• Base vs Scope

• Issues & Summary


US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)

• The US CMS Project is organized into 9 separate L2 subsystem files (MS Project) where cost and schedule estimates and progress are maintained and reported against.

• The L2 MS Project files are used as the sole source of cost and schedule information, and changes are approved through change control.

• In an effort to actively manage each L2 subsystem and maintain the most accurate planning model, changing the project file to better reflect current knowledge is encouraged.

• Provides the earliest possible warning of weak spots • A stale plan is a less useful management tool• “Plan the Work - Work the Plan”

• Each month, 9 updated L2 files are submitted to the PO, with % complete progress and possible ~45-50 changes to the US CMS ‘approved’ plan.


US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)US CMS C&S (Philosophy)

• US CMS believes that revising the plan when the previous model is no longer relevant is essential to US CMS communication and coordination, and also promotes active management.

• Tracking and reporting are more challenging.• Assessing performance is more difficult since traditional

reference points are often reset.• US CMS has a fixed TPC = $167.25M, a defined set of

deliverables, and is matched to the global CMS schedule.

• Because US CMS is now in the later phases of the project (54% complete), more emphasis is placed on performance and less on cost estimates.

• US CMS uses an ‘Earned Value’ system to report and assess our cost and schedule performance.

• BCWS (Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled-What did you plan to do?)

• BCWP (Budgeted Cost of Work Performed-What did you do?)• ACWP (Actual Cost of Work Performed.-What did it cost?)


US CMS PerformanceUS CMS Performance Mar01 (AY$)Mar01 (AY$)

US CMS PerformanceUS CMS Performance Mar01 (AY$)Mar01 (AY$)

WBS BCWS BCWP % ACWP Obligations SV CV OV BAC=EAC

1 - EMU $20,128,422 $18,277,915 91% $15,486,246 $20,132,355 ($1,850,507) $2,791,669 (1,854,440) $35,995,321

2 - HCAL $25,942,978 $22,296,801 86% $20,373,143 $24,702,473 ($3,646,177) $1,923,658 (2,405,672) $38,335,689

3 - TRIDAS $4,660,043 $4,113,450 88% $3,461,455 $4,778,756 ($546,593) $651,995 (665,306) $13,719,336

4 - ECAL $6,137,424 $5,262,226 86% $4,095,216 $5,672,519 ($875,198) $1,167,010 (410,293) $9,563,572

5 - FPIX $1,432,536 $1,219,070 85% $1,067,272 $1,249,360 ($213,466) $151,798 (30,290) $6,756,425

6 - Common $22,044,475 $19,345,983 88% $16,847,042 $20,668,794 ($2,698,492) $2,498,941 (1,322,811) $23,000,000

7 - Proj Off $3,395,061 $3,299,488 97% $3,110,443 $3,168,062 ($95,573) $189,045 131,426 $7,530,286

8 - SiTrk $213,810 $213,164 0% $113,169 $129,876 ($646) $99,995 83,288 $3,324,641

0 - US CMS $83,954,749 $74,028,097 88% $64,553,986 $80,502,195 ($9,926,652) $9,474,111 (6,474,098) $138,225,270

Total US CMS Project

$29,024,730

$167,250,000

Contingency

Cost Performance Report for US CMS (AY$) - Cumulative (Mar01)

88%115%

54%Program Completed (% )Cost Performance Index (CPI=WP/AC)Schedule Performance Index (SPI=WP/WS)

$64,197,17345%

Remaining Work (ETC) = BAC - BCWPContingency % (Cont/ETC)

•Ignoring CP & PO, BCWP/BCWS still about 88%.


BCWS, BCWP, BCWS, BCWP, Obl. & ActualsObl. & Actuals

BCWS, BCWP, BCWS, BCWP, Obl. & ActualsObl. & Actuals

Monthly Tracking (Budget Authority = $101.43M)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

AY

M$

BA (AYM$)

Cum BCWS

Cum BCWP

Cum ACWP

Cum Obl

•Work scheduled attempts to saturate BA.

•Some early problems with accounting of Est. Actuals.

•34 months of reporting. Trends are fairly linear.

•US CMS is technically limited.


Cost and Schedule VarianceCost and Schedule VarianceCost and Schedule VarianceCost and Schedule Variance

•Cost Variance (P-A) Can be misleading when rolled up to a high level. A cost overrun (-) can be cancelled out by invoice lag (+).

•Schedule Variance (P-S) Fairly constant in recent months.

-20.00

-15.00

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

Jun-98

Sep-98

Dec-98

Mar-99

Jun-99

Sep-99

Dec-99

Mar-00

Jun-00

Sep-00

Dec-00

Mar-01

AY

M$

BCWP-ACWP BCWP-BCWS


Cost and Schedule Cost and Schedule Performance IndicatorsPerformance Indicators

Cost and Schedule Cost and Schedule Performance IndicatorsPerformance Indicators

•SPI (BCWP/BCWS) fairly consistent at ~85-88%.

•Ignoring CP & PO, BCWP/BCWS ~88%.

•Trends indicate slightly behind on planned work, and under-running cost (invoice lags and large multi-year contracts).

1.0 = On Cost/Schedule

0

0.25

0.5

0.75

1

1.25

1.5

1.75

2

2.25

2.5

BCWP/BCWS BCWP/ACWP BCWP/BAC


US CMS L2 US CMS L2 Cost Performance ReportsCost Performance Reports

US CMS L2 US CMS L2 Cost Performance ReportsCost Performance Reports

Tracks actual costs vs budgets (in AY$) at lowest WBS for each L2 system. New cost tool for US CMS.


Cost Experience - M&SCost Experience - M&SCost Experience - M&SCost Experience - M&S

•Current cum BCWP is ~74 AYM$.

•22 M&S contracts account for ~36 AYM$ or 49% of our BCWP.

Subsystem Component VendorTotal

ObligationActual Cost

(to date)%

Complete Date Location

EMUEndcap Muon Chamber Cathode Sheets GE Electromaterials $665,138 $671,858 100% May-98 Coshocton, OH

EMU Endcap Muon Chamber Panels Plascore, Inc. $1,037,205 $1,092,376 100% Jul-99 New Holland, MI

EMUEndcap Muon Panel Cleaning Machine Total Systems Concept, Inc. $108,850 $108,850 100% Aug-99 St. Louis, MO

EMU Endcap Muon ASIC's Ohio State $876,858 $805,577 85% Sep-00

HCAL Test Beam Motion Table Industrial Maintenance $298,000 $315,778 100% Feb-98 Chicago, IL

HCAL Barrel HCAL Absorber and Tooling Felguera Construction $9,227,053 $8,179,627 90% Mar-98 Spain

HCAL HE Brass CERN/JINR $991,800 $991,800 100% Mar-00

HCALHadron Calorimeter Scintillator and Fiber Kuraray America $953,676 $846,647 95% Nov-98 New York, NY

ECALFrontend/preamplifier ASIC Engineering Harris $130,500 Apr-99 Melbourne, FL

ECAL APD Process Engineering Services Hamamatsu $108,000 $124,839 100% May-99 Japan

ECAL Crystal Response Monitor Lasers Quantronix $195,500 $172,269 100% May-99 East Setauket, NY

ECAL Bit Serializer ASIC Engineering Honeywell $124,425 $153,714 100% Jun-99 Plymouth, MN

ECAL – NSF Avalanche Photodiodes (APD) PSI-Villigen(Hamamatsu, Japan) $1,188,000 $1,183,000 100% Sep-99 Switzerland

CP Barrel Yoke and Vacuum Tank ETH Zurich (DWG, Germany) $5,729,832 $5,860,418 100% Nov-98 Switzerland

CP – NSF Barrel Yoke and Vacuum Tank ETH Zurich (DWG, Germany) $2,194,000 $2,230,076 100% Nov-98 Switzerland

CP – NSF Software Licenses CERN $750,000 $764,734 100% Nov-98 Switzerland

CP Endcap Yoke Kawasaki Heavy Industries $6,361,000 $3,675,865 99% Dec-98 Japan

CP Superconductor Strand Outokumpu $2,211,581 $2,276,367 100% Jul-99 Finland

CP Superconductor Strand Intermagnetics General Corp. $273,518 $273,518 100% Jul-99 Latham, NY

CP Machined Aluminum Billets Sumitomo Chemical Company $972,875 $980,482 100% Aug-99 Japan

CP Endcap Disk Superbolts Superbolt $670,240 $0 Sep-99 Carnegie, PA

CP Aluminum Alloy Alusuisse $739,177 $505,683 100% Mar-00

U.S. CMS Total from 22 Contracts $35,807,228 $31,213,478


Cost Experience – LaborCost Experience – Labor HCAL Optics HCAL Optics Production-(FNAL L5, L8)Production-(FNAL L5, L8)

Cost Experience – LaborCost Experience – Labor HCAL Optics HCAL Optics Production-(FNAL L5, L8)Production-(FNAL L5, L8)

CMS HCAL Production

01836547290

108126144162180198216234252270288306324342360378396414432450468486504522540558576594612630

week of

Me

ga

tile

s

Scintillator "Goal"

Final Assy. "Goal"

Covers "Goal"

Scintillator Machined

Covers Machined

Completed Megatiles

18 megatiles per layer

17 layers per wedge

18 wedges per HB

2 HB's

50% 306 tiles

60% 367 tiles

70% 428 tiles

80% 490 tiles

90% 551 tiles

100% 612 tiles

P r epar ed by: T odd Nebel week ending 4/28/01

( HB+ / HB-)Scint=507 82% (100% / 64%)Cover=540 87% (100% / 75%)Tile=478 77% (100% / 54%)

Total labor for this task

~ 1.8 M$


Cost Experience – LaborCost Experience – Labor EMU CSC EMU CSC Production-(FNAL L8, MP9)Production-(FNAL L8, MP9)

Cost Experience – LaborCost Experience – Labor EMU CSC EMU CSC Production-(FNAL L8, MP9)Production-(FNAL L8, MP9)

CSC Production at MP9(ME234/2)

-40

0

40

80

120

Month in production

Nu

mb

er

of

Ch

am

be

rs

Shortage

DONE

Goal = 148 Chambers

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03

Muon CMS Production Status at FNAL

Panels Production at Axxiom.

-100

400

900

1400

1900

2400

2900

13579111315171921232527293133353739414345474951535557596163656769717375777981838587899193959799101103105107109111113115117119121123125127129131133135137139141143145147149151153155157159161163165167169171173175177179181183185187Week in production

Nu

mb

er

of

Pa

ne

ls

Shortage/surplus

DONE=1594

FY99 FY00 FY02FY01 FY03

Goal=2940 panels(420 chambers @ 7 panels/ch.)

Over 50% of Production Completed

Muon CMS Production Status at FNAL

Panels Production at GERBER

-100

400

900

1400

1900

2400

2900

1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177Week in production

Nu

mb

er

of

Pa

ne

ls

Shortage/surplus

DONE=1355

FY99 FY00 FY02FY01

Goal=2520 panels(420 chambers @ 6 panels/ch.)

Over 50% of Production Completed

Total labor for this task

~ 3.5 M$


Major Schedule VariancesMajor Schedule VariancesMajor Schedule VariancesMajor Schedule Variances

~$k

$1,072

EMU - Electronics $391HCAL - HPD's $1,567

HCAL - Front-End Electronics $174

HCAL - Trigger/DAQ $258

HCAL - PMT's $788

CP - Endcap Yoke $2,535$6,785

HF Photomultiplier Tubes.

HCAL HPD's. Critical Path.Mostly due to Optical Transmitter, CCA, & overall integration. Near HCAL critical path.

Cooling Modules, CSC Assembly, FAST Sites, integration and HV system design

AFEB, ALCT, CLTC, and FAST Site electronics

Schedule VariancesSubsystem

EMU - CSC's

Sub-Total ~70% of total schedule variance

Delays in overall design & procurement of HTR and HRC procurement.

Progress payment for FY01. None so far.

We actively monitor and discuss US CMS subsystem

schedule variances during L1/L2 monthly meetings.


CMS ScheduleCMS Schedule CMS ScheduleCMS Schedule

• CMS is currently following the V31 planning schedule

• Includes a ‘working detector’ w/colliding beam “pilot run” in April 2006.

• Shutdown from May 2006 to July 2006 (pixels, EE-, IT)• Ready for full year of LHC operation in July 2006.

• US CMS has adopted the V31 model and has aligned its I&C effort (FY04-FY05) to be in phase with CMS.

• Draft L1, L2, and L3 milestones consistent with V31 are in development and will be processed through change control when approved by the LHCC and CMS (estimate rebaseline in July 2001). Mostly affects FY04-FY05.

• LHCC, CMS, and US CMS presently report on milestone progress wrt Aug 99 LHCC baseline (v27).


US CMS ScheduleUS CMS Schedule US CMS ScheduleUS CMS Schedule

• Currently, the majority of the US CMS effort is in the production of deliverables here in the US.

• US CMS has assumed responsibilities for major deliverables and its subparts (vertical integration) allowing some autonomy in managing the factories in the US.

• US CMS takes the approach to go as fast as possible when technically ready. This allows an increase in overall schedule slack and reduced risk wrt V31.


CMS SX5 V31 ScheduleCMS SX5 V31 Schedule CMS SX5 V31 ScheduleCMS SX5 V31 Schedule


CMS UX5 V31 ScheduleCMS UX5 V31 Schedule CMS UX5 V31 ScheduleCMS UX5 V31 Schedule


US CMS L1 & L2US CMS L1 & L2Milestone Performance (V27)Milestone Performance (V27)


Define at EDR

Fall 01?




•No approved Silicon Tracker milestones

Redesign Mechanics

+ crystal boule

Near CP


EMU Critical Path (v6)EMU Critical Path (v6)EMU Critical Path (v6)EMU Critical Path (v6)


HCAL Critical Path-r11HCAL Critical Path-r11HCAL Critical Path-r11HCAL Critical Path-r11ID ML? Task Name Start Duration Finish Slack

1 HCAL System (WBS 1.2) Jan 04 '99 1465 days Aug 16 '04 NA2 ML3 HB: Start Absorber and Optics Production Jan 04 '99 0 days Jan 04 '99 NA

3 HB-1 Absorber Production Jan 04 '99 400 days Jul 14 '00 536 days

4 HB+1 Absorber Production Sep 01 '00 260 days Aug 30 '01 536 days

5 HB-1 Optical Production Jan 04 '99 360 days May 19 '00 446 days

6 HB+1 Optical Production May 22 '00 385 days Nov 09 '01 446 days

7 Install Optics into HB-1 May 15 '01 115 days Oct 22 '01 549 days

8 Install Optics into HB+1 Jan 04 '02 50 days Mar 14 '02 446 days

9 HB-1, HB+1: RM Installation on Absorber May 26 '03 30 days Jul 04 '03 135 days

10 HB-1, HB+1: System Integration Jul 07 '03 20 days Aug 01 '03 135 days

11 Trial Insertion of HB-1/HB+1 in Vacuum Tank Feb 09 '04 10 days Feb 20 '04 NA

12 Assemble HE-1 & Install HE-1 Optics Apr 15 '02 62 days Jul 09 '02 293 days

13 HE-1: RM Installation on Absorber Jun 23 '03 30 days Aug 01 '03 115 days

14 HE-1: System Integration Aug 04 '03 20 days Aug 29 '03 115 days

15 Assemble HE+1 & Install HE+1 Optics Sep 09 '02 100 days Jan 24 '03 250 days

16 HE+1: RM Installation on Absorber Apr 22 '03 30 days Jun 02 '03 159 days

17 HE+1: System Integration Jun 03 '03 20 days Jun 30 '03 159 days

18 ML2 HO Optics Installation on YB Completed Dec 15 '03 30 days Jan 23 '04 37 days

19 ML1 Close Yoke and Start Magnet Test in SX5 Mar 17 '04 0 days Mar 17 '04 NA

20 ML3 HCAL Readout Box Production Start Apr 16 '01 0 days Apr 16 '01 NA

21 HB Readout Box Production (+ integration tests) Apr 16 '01 550 days May 23 '03 135 days

22 HE Readout Box Production (+ integration tests) Sep 17 '01 460 days Jun 20 '03 115 days

23 HO Readout Box Production (+ integration tests) Apr 05 '02 441 days Dec 12 '03 37 days

24 ML3 HCAL HPD Procurement & Testing Start Jan 07 '02 0 days Jan 07 '02 NA

25 HCAL HPD Deliver & Test @ UMinn, Ship to FNAL Jan 07 '02 460 days Oct 10 '03 82 days

26 Front-End Electronics Production Jan 04 '99 926 days Jul 22 '02 139 days

27 Front-end Electronics (Explicit Slack) Jul 23 '02 70 days Oct 28 '02 139 days

28 ML2 Complete Front-end Electronics Production Oct 31 '02 0 days Oct 31 '02 NA

29 ASIC Packaging and Testing Oct 29 '02 60 days Jan 20 '03 139 days

30 Mount ASIC's on Boards, Checkout and Burn-In Dec 03 '02 60 days Feb 24 '03 139 days

31 Assemble and Test RM's, Ship to CERN Dec 31 '02 80 days Apr 21 '03 139 days

32 ML3 Start HE Absorber and Optical Production Jan 31 '00 0 days Jan 31 '00 NA

33 HE Absorber and Optical Production Dubna/Protvino Jan 31 '00 530 days Feb 08 '02 338 days

34 ML2 Start HO Optics Production Oct 01 '99 0 days Oct 01 '99 NA

35 HO Optical Production TATA-(India) Oct 04 '99 500 days Aug 31 '01 632 days

36 ML3 HF Absorber Production Start May 31 '01 0 days May 31 '01 NA

37 HF Absorber Production (ITEP-Russia) May 31 '01 437 days Jan 31 '03 164 days

38 HF Optical Fiber Stuffing (KFKI-Hungary) Nov 30 '01 500 days Oct 30 '03 202 days

39 HF Readout Box Production Nov 30 '01 500 days Oct 30 '03 202 days

40 HF PMT Procurement and Testing Oct 31 '01 500 days Sep 30 '03 164 days

41 Assemble HF Sectors into HF- and HF+ Oct 01 '03 60 days Dec 23 '03 164 days

42 Lower HF-1 IN UX5 Aug 10 '04 0 days Aug 10 '04 NA

43 Lower HF+1 IN UX5 Aug 16 '04 0 days Aug 16 '04 NA

Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct99 00 01 02 03 04 05


ECAL Critical Path (v6)ECAL Critical Path (v6)ECAL Critical Path (v6)ECAL Critical Path (v6)ID Level? Task Name Start Duration Finish

1 CRYSTALS Jan 01 '99 1518 days Jan 31 '05

2 L? Start Crystal Production (Russia-China) Jan 01 '99 0 days Jan 01 '99

3 EB Crystal Production Jan 06 '99 1344 days May 17 '04

4 L4 5,000 EB crystals delivered & tested Apr 06 '00 0 days Apr 06 '00

5 L3 15,000 EB crystals delivered & tested Jan 31 '01 0 days Jan 31 '01

6 L3 30,000 EB crystals delivered & tested Jan 31 '02 0 days Jan 31 '02

7 60,000 EB crystals delivered & tested Apr 19 '04 0 days Apr 19 '04

8 EE Crystal Production Feb 17 '03 488 days Jan 31 '05

9 L3 8,000 EE crystals delivered & tested Mar 22 '04 0 days Mar 22 '04

10 L3 15,000 EE crystals delivered & tested Jan 31 '05 0 days Jan 31 '05

11 APD'S Sep 15 '99 1193 days Jun 25 '04

12 Procure 36,000 APD's Sep 15 '99 250 days Sep 13 '00

13 APD Delivery Apr 02 '01 811 days Jun 25 '04

14 L4 2,000 APD's Delivered May 01 '01 0 days May 01 '01

15 L3 60,000 APDs Delivered Oct 15 '02 0 days Oct 15 '02

16 L3 All APDs (130,000) Delivered Jun 25 '04 0 days Jun 25 '04

17 ELECTRONICS Nov 30 '00 868 days May 31 '04

18 L3 ECAL Front-End Electronics Production Launch Nov 30 '00 0 days Nov 30 '00

19 FPPA PP Chip (Fab+Pack+Test) Mar 09 '01 45 days May 10 '01

20 FPPA Production Chip (Fab+Pack+Test) Jul 03 '01 495 days Jun 25 '03

21 L4 5,000 FPPA's Complete Apr 16 '02 0 days Apr 16 '02

22 L4 30,000 FPPA's Complete Sep 03 '02 0 days Sep 03 '02

23 L4 60,000 FPPA's Complete Mar 05 '03 0 days Mar 05 '03

24 Serializer PP Chip (Fab+Pack+Test) Feb 01 '01 100 days Jun 20 '01

25 Serializer Production Chip (Fab+Pack+Test) Oct 08 '01 500 days Oct 07 '03

26 L4 20,000 Serializer's Complete Jul 08 '02 0 days Jul 08 '02

27 L4 60,000 Serializer's Complete Mar 18 '03 0 days Mar 18 '03

28 Control PP Chip (Fab + Pack+Test) Jan 16 '01 91 days May 22 '01

29 Control Production Chip (Fab + Pack+Test) Jan 28 '02 406 days Sep 02 '03

30 VFE Card Assembly Nov 28 '01 500 days Nov 27 '03

31 VFE Card Test, Package, and Ship Nov 28 '01 600 days May 03 '04

32 L4 2,000 VFE's Ready Dec 12 '01 0 days Dec 12 '01

33 L4 20,000 VFE's Ready Aug 06 '02 0 days Aug 06 '02

34 L4 60,000 VFE's Ready Oct 07 '03 0 days Oct 07 '03

35 L3 ECAL Front-End Electronics Production Complete May 31 '04 0 days May 31 '04

36 CALIBRATION, TESTING, & INSTALLATION Aug 07 '01 884 days Feb 28 '05

37 Supermodule 1 Assembly Aug 13 '01 107 days Jan 23 '02

38 Supermodule 1 Calibration (H2 Test Beam) Mar 07 '02 15 days Mar 27 '02

39 L2 Supermodule 1 Calbration & Testing Complete Mar 31 '02 0 days Mar 31 '02

40 Supermodule 2 Assembly Aug 07 '01 127 days Feb 14 '02

41 Supermodule 2 Calibration (H2 Test Beam) Mar 21 '02 15 days Apr 10 '02

42 Supermodule 3 Assembly Aug 07 '01 210 days Jun 11 '02

43 Supermodule 3 Calibration (H2 Test Beam) Jul 11 '02 15 days Jul 31 '02

44 4-18 Supermodules Assembled & Calibrated Aug 01 '02 200 days May 22 '03

45 19-36 Supermodules Assembled & Calibrated May 23 '03 280 days Jul 05 '04

46 Install, Connect & Test EB +1 in SX5 Jul 20 '04 25 days Aug 23 '04

47 Ready to assemble EB- in UX5 Feb 02 '05 0 days Feb 02 '05

48 Install, Connect & Test EB -1 in UX5 Oct 12 '04 25 days Nov 15 '04

49 L1 End Installation, Testing, and Debugging of EB in UX5 Feb 28 '05 0 days Feb 28 '05

Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005


US CMS ProjectUS CMS ProjectContingency Allocation (AY$)Contingency Allocation (AY$)

US CMS ProjectUS CMS ProjectContingency Allocation (AY$)Contingency Allocation (AY$)

WBS No. Sub-SystemUS CMS Base Cost

(May-98)US CMS Base Cost

(Mar01)

Base Scope% Total Change

1.1 EMU $28,826,225 $5,869,096 $1,300,000 24.87% $35,995,3211.2 HCAL $32,623,805 $3,602,885 $2,109,000 17.51% $38,335,6901.3 Trigger/DAQ $13,300,350 $418,985 $0 3.15% $13,719,3351.4 ECAL $8,538,090 $1,025,483 $0 12.01% $9,563,5731.5 Forward Pixels $5,689,885 $1,066,541 $0 18.74% $6,756,4261.6 Common Projects $24,528,000 -$1,528,000 $0 -6.23% $23,000,0001.7 Project Office $6,072,945 $1,457,341 $0 24.00% $7,530,2861.8 Silicon Tracker* $0 $333,308 $2,991,333 11.14% $3,324,641

US CMS EAC $119,579,300 $12,245,639 $6,400,333 15.59% $138,225,272 US CMS ETC $112,611,000 $65,498,991 Contingency $47,670,700 $29,024,728 % Cont/EAC 39.87% 21.00%% Cont/ETC 42.33% 44.31%Total US CMS $167,250,000 $167,250,000

**Base change = Change in the original baseline due to inaccurate estimate, redesign, missing component/effort, etc.

**Scope change = Additional deliverable and/or effort above the original US commitment to CMS

US CMS ProjectBaseline Changes (AY$)

Changes (FY96-FY05)


US CMS Contingency AllocationUS CMS Contingency AllocationUS CMS Contingency AllocationUS CMS Contingency Allocation

•Scope increases are modest.

•Most contingency applied to base to maintain schedule

SiTrkr

ME 1/1 FEE

HE Brass-HF Eng

Base Increase

US CMS BAC (May-98)


• Lehman Review – Oct00 • On schedule and on budget• Areas in need of improvement

• Milestone coordination (CMS, US CMS, Agencies, L2 Groups, L3 groups, non-US groups, etc.)

• Mostly done, continue to work with CMS.

• Continue effort WBS Tracking System in PO to accurately measure budget/actuals at lower levels.

• L2 CPR’s, continue to refine/improve

• EMU (continue to work on coordination)• I&C plan is improved

• HCAL (need a few wins, RBX, HPD, HF) • Some solutions are near.

• ECAL (continue to refine schedule) • US has a CP analysis. ECAL is on CMS CP.

• Installation and commissioning • I&C and M&O plans are converging.

Cost and Schedule IssuesCost and Schedule IssuesLast ReviewLast Review

Cost and Schedule IssuesCost and Schedule IssuesLast ReviewLast Review


Cost Performance Cost Performance Summary – May01Summary – May01Cost Performance Cost Performance Summary – May01Summary – May01

• How much have you spent?• Are you under, over, or on-budget?• Total US CMS Cost = $64,554K (Mar01).• We are On Cost

• Historically large M&S purchases and labor experience at two major factories indicate US CMS ~on cost.

• At a low WBS level, L2 CPR’s shows no significant cost overruns.

• Actuals lag behind BCWP by ~13%.• Lag adds uncertainty but tracks ~linearly with

BCWP.


Schedule Performance Schedule Performance Summary – May01Summary – May01

Schedule Performance Schedule Performance Summary – May01Summary – May01

• Are you on schedule?• If not, where are you slipping?

• What are the implications?

• What are you doing about it?

• We are On Schedule (matched to V31).• US CMS Schedule tools are consistent

• BCWP/BCWS analysis from % complete.

• Milestone tracking, Schedule Variance.

• Critical Path analysis for US CMS tasks, and SX-5/UX5 I&C.

• L1/L2 monthly meetings (work-arounds).


Cost & Schedule Issues Cost & Schedule Issues May01May01

Cost & Schedule Issues Cost & Schedule Issues May01May01

• Areas to work on in next 6 months;• Rebaseline milestones consistent with V31

• Change control improvements within CMS being developed

• Continue to improve L2 CPR’s. • Cost performance is key in later stages of project.

• Implement ‘rolling close out’ of completed WBS#’s.

• EMU • Overall Performance, parts flow, handoff to CERN, I&C

• HCAL • RBX production, HPD production, HF (fiber, PMT’s)

• SiTrkr• Parts flow, coordinate production start.

• Continue to improve I&C and M&O planning

US CMS DOE/NSF Review: May 8-10, 20011 US CMS Cost & Schedule Mark Reichanadter US CMS Project...

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