Upstate Community Growth PowerPoint Information: Dr. Barry Nocks Clemson University Center for...
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Transcript of Upstate Community Growth PowerPoint Information: Dr. Barry Nocks Clemson University Center for...
Upstate Community Growth
PowerPoint Information:Dr. Barry Nocks
Clemson UniversityCenter for Community Growth & Change
Oconee County Courthouse, Walhalla, SC
Ram Cat Alley, Seneca, SC
Mobile Home, Walhalla, SC
Development Entry, Clemson, SC
South Carolina will grow by more than 1 million by 2025; what about the Upstate?
Upstate Projections
Today: 1.22 Million People
62.2% Urban 527,274 Housing Units
67.3% Single Family
2025: 1.56 Million People*
340,000 more people, or 28% growth rate 54.8% of growth in Greenville and Spartanburg
Counties 659,412 Housing Units
*according to SC Budget & Control Board
Projections – Retail Space
Additional Needs for 2025: 6.75 million square
feet (or 155 acres) 67 (100,000 s.f.)
neighborhood strip centers, or
5.5 Haywood Malls
Source: Clemson University Center for Real Estate Development
Haywood Mall Vicinity - Haywood Mall Vicinity - GreenvilleGreenville
Projections – Office Space
Additional Needs for 2025 (continued) 6.1 million square feet (or 140 acres)
6 (40-story) office buildings at 1 million square feet each, or
2x the amount of office space currently in downtown Greenville
Downtown GreenvilleDowntown Greenville
Projections – Industrial Space
Additional Needs for 2025: 27.1 million square feet (or
622 acres) 11-12 new BMW
plants Equivalent in size to
135 Wal-Mart Supercenters (averaging 200,000 sf)
BMW Manufacturing Plant – BMW Manufacturing Plant – GreerGreer
Oconee County Commerce Oconee County Commerce CenterCenter
Projections – Hotel Rooms
Additional Needs for 2025: 7,111 Hotel Rooms = 71
new hotels (assuming average of 100 rooms per hotel)
Poinsett Hotel - GreenvillePoinsett Hotel - Greenville
Holiday Inn Express - AndersonHoliday Inn Express - Anderson
Upstate Growth is Necessary & Desirable
Economic diversification Jobs – growth in numbers and quality Tax base – support of quality services Cultural growth & diversity We seek to maintain our quality of life while
encouraging growth
How have we grown? Greenville-Spartanburg
is the 5th most sprawling area
(Considering factors such as: miles driven, traffic delays, air pollution, proximity of homes to jobs/ schools, population density)
Sprawl Rankings
1. Riverside-San Bernardino (LA), CA
2. Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC
3. Raleigh-Durham, NC
4. Atlanta, GA
5. Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Charlotte – Atlanta – Greenville
Growth by Decade
997,666
1,312,474
1,763,626
2,233,324
2,959,950
4,112,198
588,170702,383
840,347971,391
1,162,093
1,499,293
484,215 546,319 615,491743,284 830,563
962,441
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Decade
Po
pu
lati
on
Atlanta, GA MSA Charlotte--Gastonia--Rock Hill, NC--SC MSA Greenville--Spartanburg--Anderson, SC MSA
> 800
400 - 800
200 - 400
100 - 200
0 - 100
Virginia Study (D. Ware, et al., USDA Forest Service,1998)
*1999 population estimates by CACI International, Inc. based on 1990 US Census
Population Density Along the I-85 Corridor
# people per square mile
Selected Impacts of 340,000 more people
Development Impacts Land Use Transportation Infrastructure Parks and Open Space Education Public Safety Direct costs of serving new residents
Based on population projections from the SC Office of Research and Statistics
Transportation
Transportation - a key for growth
The Upstate is projected to grow by almost 30% by 2025 and by another 30% by 2050
This will have a significant impact on the transportation infrastructure in the Upstate, with unknown effect of gas supply and mass transit
Construction of new infrastructure as well as improving existing highways will be a challenge
Meeting EPA pollution standards will be a challenge with growth
SC DOT Cost Estimates
Total Statewide Transportation needs through 2022 is identified at $56.87 billion
Road related needs: $47.57 billion Upstate needs at 30% of total: $14.27 billion
Source: SCDOT Multimodal Transportation Plan, 2002
Parks & Recreation
Parks & Recreation – Quality of Life
Recreation Center- Anderson, SC
Parks provide refuge from the chaos of daily life Passive and active recreation Trails, athletic facilities, play
structures, pools, sport courts, and wildlife areas
Reduction of urban heat islands Public gathering space Leisure and community facilities
With the projected increase of 338,538 people by 2025, demand for parks and recreational space is sure to increase
*Only active parks included here
Parks & Recreation
Projected costs are rough estimates – Actual costs depend on topography, amenities, site
improvements, land acquisition, construction, and selected materials
Estimates are an average of construction costs for recently constructed comparable parks
Park Amenities Are Expensive!! Example: Play Structure = $35,000
Source: City of Greenville Park and Recreation Dept.
Parks & Recreation
Abbeville County- $1.8 Million (18 acres) 2 Mini Parks-$213,000 (2 acres) 2 Neighborhood Parks-$602,000 (8 acres) 0.4 Community Parks-$984,000 (8 acres)
Anderson County-$17.7 Million (166 acres) 18 Mini Parks-$2.1 Million (18 acres) 15 Neighborhood Parks-$5.9 Million (74 acres) 4 Community Parks-$9.7 Million (74 acres)
Greenville County-$57.4 Million (536 acres) 60 Mini Parks-$6.8 Million (60 acres) 48 Neighborhood Parks- $19.2 Million (238 acres) 12 Community Parks-$31.4 Million (238 acres)
Pickens County- $20.9 Million (195 acres) 22 Mini Parks-$2.5 Million (22 acres) 17 Neighborhood Parks-$6.9 Million (87 acres) 4 Community Parks-$11.5 Million (87 acres)
Walhalla Soccer Field
Impacts on Selected Counties
1Costs adjusted 3% annually for inflation
Education
Education
Current Facilities
Primary Elementary Middle School High SchoolCareer & Technical Private Total
Abbeville 0 5 5 3 1 1 15
Anderson 0 26 10 7 0 13 56
Cherokee 0 11 4 2 1 3 21
Greenville 2 50 18 14 4 43 131
Greenwood 0 12 5 4 0 4 25
Laurens 0 11 6 2 0 4 23
Oconee 0 11 5 4 1 4 25
Pickens 0 15 5 4 1 14 39
Spartanburg 1 40 16 10 0 13 80
Union 0 6 3 3 0 1 13
Total 3 187 77 53 8 100 428
Source: SC Department of Education
Education
Estimated Additional Needs Through 2025
Additional Students1
Additional Square Footage1
Additional Classrooms2
Additional Teachers3
K - 5 33,446 3,010,140 1,394 1,520
Middle School 13,859 1,663,080 577 693
High School 13,128 1,969,200 547 691
Total 60,433 6,642,420 2,518 2,904
1Assumes that the current distribution of population across age groups will remain consistent to 2025.290 ft2/K-5 Student, 120 ft2/Middle Student, 150 ft2/High (Source: Edwards, Mary. 2003. “Community Guide to Development Impact Analysis.” University of Wisconsin) 324 students/K-5 Classroom, 25/Middle, 26/High (Source: Burchell and Listokin. 1994. “Development Impact Assessment Handbook.”)41 teacher/22 K-5 students, 1/20 Middle, 1/19 High (Source: Burchell and Listokin. 1994. “Development Impact Assessment Handbook.”)
Education Comparisons
Additional Elementary School requirements equivalent to the construction of: 30 additional Clemson Elementary Schools (46 classrooms), or 68 additional Walhalla Elementary Schools (approx. 500 students)
Clemson Elementary
Education
Comparisons Additional Middle School requirements equivalent to the construction of:
15 Additional Greer Middle Schools (921 students), or 22 Additional Brewer Middle Schools (618 students)
Brewer Middle School, Greenwood
Education
Comparisons Additional High School requirements equivalent to the construction of:
8 Additional Easley High Schools (68 classrooms); or 12 Additional Greenville High Schools (46 classrooms)
Easley High School
Education
Additional Teachers Future growth in the
Upstate by 2025 is estimated to generate a need for nearly 3,000 additional teachers at estimated additional annual salary costs of nearly $199 million1
1Costs adjusted to 2025 dollars
Education Construction Costs
Future growth in the Upstate is estimated to generate a need for $735– $919 Million1 in new or expanded facilities construction by 2025, not including replacements to existing facilities
Walhalla High School and Football Field1Costs adjusted 3% annually for inflation
Another region’s approach
We can learn from other experiences, particularly from areas that are similar in scale and political outlook
We do have choices—not to act is an invitation to continued movement to Charlotte and Atlanta
Individual Problems = Societal Ills
Discrimination and Diversity Discrimination towards others Lack of understanding of other cultures
Limited Funding of Education
Unemployment Rate continues to Climb
Perspectives
Issues with acceptance of different people Especially with the changing economy and job
loss Those with disabilities Immigrants
Naïve Population People tend to ignore the issues and feel as
though the underrepresented should handle their own problems.
Knowledge
Professional Counselor is able to facilitate the needs of individuals Counselor is able to act as an advocate for certain
clients and find way to help their issue
Ethical Understanding the importance of ethical behavior Having the knowledge of ethics Role-modeling appropriate ethical decision making
Actions & Consequences
Counseling Perspective Concentrate on helping clients to find solutions
through various resources Help the client to stay motivated and helpful Increase awareness among the community
about different situations