United States Department of Agriculture National ...11-10-15 November 2015 Crop Production % Change...
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12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
November Crop Production Executive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
November 10, 2015
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops
Corn Citrus Sugarbeets
Soybeans Sugarcane
Cotton Dry Edible Peas
Rice Lentils
Peanuts Austrian Winter Peas
Sorghum Fall Potatoes
Cottonseed
Contents
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Objective Surveys
(Size and Drop)
Fruit Maturity
Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests
Crops Included All Oranges, Grapefruit
Sample Size 1,825 groves 425 samples
Collection Period Oct 12 – 23 Oct 28 – 30
Survey Overview Florida Citrus
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Production
Oranges Mil Tons 5.50 -4.7 -13.7
Grapefruit Thou Tons 819 -0.5 -5.9
Tangelos Thou Tons 18.0 -10.0 -41.9
Tangerines &
MandarinsThou Tons 843 NC NC
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11.4
12.7
13.7
9.82
13.0
12.2 12.4
11.5
12.9
9.259.02
7.63
10.1
9.13
8.24
8.91 8.98
8.27
6.776.38
5.50
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million Tons
Orange ProductionUnited States
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans
Sample Size 9,203 4,972
Collection Period Oct 28 – Nov 5 Oct 24 – Nov 1
Survey Overview
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Corn
Harvested Mil Ac 80.7 NC -3.0
Yield Bu/Ac 169.3 +0.8 -1.0
Production Bil Bu 13.7 +0.7 -4.0
Crop Unit
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7.40
9.23 9.21
9.769.43
9.92 9.50
8.97
10.1
11.8
11.1
10.5
13.0
12.0
13.1
12.4 12.3
10.8
13.814.2
13.7
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Billion BushelsCorn for Grain Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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2004
20052006 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014Aug-15
Sep-15Oct-15
Nov-15
0.260
0.270
0.280
0.290
0.300
0.310
0.320
0.330
0.340
0.350
0.360
25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500
Lbs/Ear
Ears Per Acre
Corn Objective Yield RegionEars Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight
Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Year Dent Stage Mature
Percent
2011 < 0.5 94
2012 < 0.5 95
2013 < 0.5 86
2014 < 0.5 96
2015 < 0.5 96
Corn Objective Yield - November Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Soybeans
Harvested Mil Ac 82.4 NC -0.2
Yield Bu/Ac 48.3 +2.3 +1.7
Production Bil Bu 3.98 +2.4 +1.4
Crop Unit
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2.17
2.38
2.69 2.742.65
2.76
2.89
2.76
2.45
3.123.07
3.20
2.68
2.97
3.363.33
3.103.04
3.36
3.93 3.98
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Billion BushelsSoybean Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
20102011
2012
2013 2014
Sep-15
Oct-15 Nov-15
0.260
0.265
0.270
0.275
0.280
0.285
0.290
0.295
0.300
0.305
0.310
0.315
0.320
0.325
1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900
Grams/Pod
Pods Per 18 Square Feet
Soybean Objective Yield RegionPods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight
Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Year Mature
Percent
2011 95
2012 94
2013 73
2014 92
2015 95
Soybean Objective Yield - November Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
All Cotton
Harvested Mil Ac 8.15 -0.2 -12.8
Yield Lb/Ac 782 -0.3 -6.7
Production Mil Bls 13.3 -0.4 -18.6
Crop Unit
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17.9
18.9 18.8
13.9
17.0 17.2
20.3
17.2
18.3
23.323.9
21.6
19.2
12.812.2
18.1
15.6
17.3
12.9
16.3
13.3
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Million BalesAll Cotton Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Rice
Harvested Mil Ac 2.57 NC -12.0
Yield Lbs/Ac 7,423 +1.6 -2.0
Production Mil Cwt 191 +1.6 -13.7
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Peanuts
Harvested Mil Ac 1.57 -0.5 +19.0
Yield Lbs/Ac 3,922 -1.9 -<0.1
Production Bil Lbs 6.17 -2.4 +19.0
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Sorghum
Harvested Mil Ac 7.65 NC +19.4
Yield Bu/Ac 77.7 +3.6 +14.9
Production Mil Bu 594 +3.5 +37.3
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Production
Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.7 +1.3 +4.3
Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.2 +1.3 +12.3
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Year
Production
Cottonseed Mil Tons 4.26 -0.4 -16.9
Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 409 NA +1.2
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
November 2015 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
November Previous Previous
2015 Forecast Season
Production
A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 274 NA +21.8
Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 19.6 NA +14.0
Lentils Mil Cwt 5.32 NA +58.1
Crop Unit
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USDA-NASS
11-10-15
Release Date Report Title
November 19 Farm Labor
November 20 Cattle on Feed
November 30 Agricultural Prices
December 1
CAIR: Cotton
CAIR: Oilseed Crushing
CAIR: Fats & Oils
December 10 Crop Production
Upcoming Reports
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United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available At www.nass.usda.gov
For Questions 202-720-2127
800-727-9540