United States Agriculture Grain€¦ · U.S. Russia Ukraine, Kazakhstan, EU, Canada, Australia,...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Exporter Wheat Ending Stocks Tighten

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 09-12 September 2012

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90 U.S. Russia Ukraine, Kazakhstan, EU, Canada, Australia, Argentina

Global wheat trade is down 11 percent as a result of tightening supplies and higher prices. However, U.S. exports are up. Supplies in most major exporting countries are tightening, with stocks expected to be down 15 million tons from last year. U.S. supplies are up from last year and ending stocks, although down slightly, and are expected to represent a larger share of exporter stocks. Black Sea countries’ exportable supplies have tightened dramatically as a result of production related shortfalls and export constraints in Ukraine. Consequently, Black Sea exports are expected to be half of last year’s total with market share dropping from 25 percent to only 14 percent. Russia and Ukraine play a significant role in supplying North Africa and the Middle East with competitively priced milling wheat. Reduced exports from Ukraine will also lower EU imports of feed-quality wheat. As Black Sea supplies dwindle, importers are already turning to higher-priced suppliers. In an unusual development, India is providing needed supplies to global markets. India can now effectively compete as a result of tight global supplies and rising prices. India is expected to export 5 million tons this year, the most in 9 years. This could be the tip of the iceberg as the country is currently saddled with a huge surplus and inadequate storage facilities.

MMT

Grain: World Markets and Trade, September 2012

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice .............................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 36 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 55 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

September 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/11

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.1 54.4 61.7 7.6 5.9 6.3 316.2 313.9 272.5

Other 591.8 640.6 597.0 441.9 459.4 457.9 514.6 562.8 568.6

World Total 651.9 695.0 658.7 449.5 465.3 464.2 830.8 876.7 841.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 623.0 654.8 647.4 439.5 453.1 460.9 565.1 585.2 600.3

World Total 653.7 687.0 681.2 443.8 456.6 464.9 850.1 859.3 854.3

Ending Stocks


Other 174.5 178.4 157.7 97.2 104.4 101.3 98.9 109.6 105.3

World Total 197.9 198.6 176.7 98.7 105.7 102.2 127.6 139.6 124.0

TY Imports


Other 128.0 146.6 130.2 33.0 32.6 32.6 90.2 97.3 86.7

World Total 130.6 149.6 133.7 33.6 33.3 33.3 90.9 98.0 88.6

TY Exports


Other 97.7 124.3 104.1 32.9 32.4 32.5 46.6 61.8 57.4

World Total 133.7 152.4 136.6 36.2 35.9 35.9 91.9 100.3 90.9

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

September 2012


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WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production for 2012/13 is lowered as cuts in Russia, Kazakhstan, and the EU are slightly offset by an increase in Ukraine. Ukraine’s exports are cut 2 million tons as a result of an agreement between the government and exporters to limit shipments. Global trade is nearly unchanged. U.S. exports are unchanged as supplies remain uncompetitive at current prices. The season-average U.S. farm price is projected slightly lower as heavy early-season marketings outweigh future strong prices. FEATURE

Gulf Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat and corn prices (as a proxy for global prices) have reverted back to the normal milling value relationship, after being inverted for nearly a year. Last year, Australia had a record crop with an unusually large proportion of feed-quality wheat available for export that helped mitigate tight supplies of corn in Asian markets. In the absence of large Australian supplies of feed-quality wheat and tightening supplies in Black Sea countries, world wheat trade is expected to be driven increasingly by food demand for wheat.

Global Wheat Trade Price Relationship Changes

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140

150

160

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200

240

280

320

360

400

Corn SRW

MMT

Wheat Prices Again Reflect Milling Value, Global Wheat Trade Drops with Less Wheat Feeding

September 2012


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PRICES:

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250

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T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW HRS SWW

Domestic: Prices of all wheat classes rose in August with Soft White Winter (SWW) posting the largest gain, up $19 to $355 per ton. SWW briefly dipped below corn spurring a surge in exports. Strong corn prices combined with tightening Black Sea supplies are supporting wheat prices. Hard Red Winter (HRW) nudged up $5 to $371 per ton. Soft Red Winter (SRW) advanced $9 to $349 per ton. Hard Red Spring (HRS) rose $6 to $390 per ton.

September 2012


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TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters • Argentina is up 300,000 tons to 6.8 million on stronger-than-expected shipments in July

and August.

• Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 1.5 million as higher world prices will pull domestic wheat into export channels.

• EU is up 500,000 tons to 17.5 million as tightening supplies in the Black Sea make exports

more competitive.

• Turkey is raised 300,000 tons to 3.5 million due to increased exportable supplies allowing shipments of flour and products to resume at normal levels.

• Ukraine is slashed 2.0 million tons to 4.0 million due to an agreement between government

and exporters which limits trade.

• United Arab Emirates is doubled to 600,000 tons owing to Iran’s higher import demand.

Selected Importers • China is lowered 500,000 tons to 1.5 million as higher wheat prices reduce the incentive to

import.

• Egypt is cut 500,000 tons to 9.0 million because the high volume of imports at the close of 2011/12 boosted available supplies in the new year.

• EU is reduced 500,000 tons to 5.5 million as a result of the reduced availability of feed-

quality wheat supplies in Ukraine.

• Iran is doubled to 2.0 million tons because of higher-than-expected purchases to date.

• Russia is up 300,000 tons to 500,000 on expected imports from Kazakhstan.

• Turkey is boosted 500,000 tons to 4.0 million as a result of the government’s temporary elimination of the import duty on 1.0 million tons through 2014.

September 2012

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

6,8006,50011,9497,7425,2558,651 Argentina

21,00021,00023,04818,47713,76413,450 Australia

1,5001,0001,8602,5391,195369 Brazil

19,50019,50017,60416,76818,99218,674 Canada

17,50017,00016,40022,90622,11525,351 EU-27

5,0005,0001,250746221 India

7,0007,00010,6195,5197,8715,701 Kazakhstan

8,0008,00021,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,5003,2003,6802,9454,3632,342 Turkey

4,0006,0005,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

10,2759,95010,80912,4219,88110,457 Others

104,075104,150124,28297,676111,391116,446 Subtotal

32,50032,50028,07135,97724,17227,101 United States

136,575136,650152,353133,653135,563143,547 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,0002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

5,0005,0006,3506,4365,1676,356 Algeria

3,0003,0001,9003,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,0007,0007,0526,7466,6946,767 Brazil

1,5002,0002,9339271,394481 China

9,0009,50011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

5,5006,0007,2004,7275,5197,737 EU-27

6,6006,6006,4006,6075,3645,419 Indonesia

2,0001,0002,7002003,6509,500 Iran

3,7003,7003,7853,6323,8993,879 Iraq

1,6001,8002,0261,3921,8622,063 Israel

5,9005,9006,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

4,6004,6005,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

4,2004,2005,0193,4623,1963,342 Mexico

4,5004,5003,6253,9032,3043,759 Morocco

3,7003,9003,9004,0514,0203,550 Nigeria

1,6001,7001,5851,7571,7031,385 Peru

3,2003,2004,0253,2713,1883,201 Philippines

2,3002,3002,8501,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,8002,2001,6041,9011,712 Sudan

2,0002,0002,6001,9191,6001,128 Thailand

4,0003,5004,4133,5173,2183,578 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6861,4691,5971,501 Venezuela

2,5002,5002,7502,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

2,7002,7002,7002,8452,6022,796 Yemen

38,55538,34543,66938,17940,45641,708 Others

130,155130,445146,560128,027129,495137,262 Subtotal

2,9202,7052,7933,0552,8822,886 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,0002,5713,1863,399 United States

136,575136,650152,353133,653135,563143,547 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

September 2012

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

11,50011,50015,00016,70012,00011,000 Argentina

26,00026,00029,50027,89121,83421,420 Australia

5,0005,0005,8005,9005,0265,880 Brazil

27,00027,00025,26123,16726,84828,611 Canada

118,000118,000117,920115,180115,120112,464 China

8,5008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

132,370132,897137,395135,858138,816151,122 EU-27

93,90093,90086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,00014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

10,50011,00022,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

23,00023,00024,20023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

39,00043,00056,23141,50861,77063,765 Russia

15,75015,75018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

15,50015,00022,12416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

50,27749,84750,59648,72055,15443,790 Others

596,997601,094640,629591,836625,823614,738 Subtotal

61,73261,73254,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

658,729662,826695,042651,898686,189682,754 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0509,0508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

11,00011,00011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

7,8507,8509,5537,6896,9277,977 Canada

122,000122,000120,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,70018,90018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

124,500124,500126,500122,000125,000127,000 EU-27

86,90086,90081,45581,76078,15070,924 India

15,20015,00015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

7,0007,5008,0006,2007,6007,500 Kazakhstan

8,4008,4008,9508,2508,1007,450 Morocco

23,20023,20023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

35,50037,20038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,50017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

12,30012,30014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

7,7007,7008,0007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

140,594140,894143,479134,906132,310126,299 Others

646,835649,420662,192623,793622,467608,817 Subtotal

33,82933,82932,15330,71030,97834,293 United States

680,664683,249694,345654,503653,445643,110 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,1046,1047,7198,8245,5923,389 Australia

5,9295,0615,8797,1767,8296,547 Canada

54,96655,46658,46659,09154,42545,803 China

5,3085,2586,7085,5085,6054,857 Egypt

9,40110,92813,53111,83616,15718,937 EU-27

22,45022,45019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

6,4408,46710,44013,73614,72210,944 Russia

47,11644,43955,73852,95053,55046,034 Others

157,714158,173178,431174,481174,000149,941 Subtotal

18,99518,99520,21323,46626,55217,867 United States

176,709177,168198,644197,947200,552167,808 World Total

September 2012

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,785 6,462 8,514 8,100 8,100

1,474 Central America 1,445 1,687 1,661 1,545 1,545

13,097 South America 13,173 13,004 13,726 13,540 13,440

7,737 European Union 5,519 4,727 7,200 6,000 5,500

1,712 Other Europe 1,696 1,654 1,956 1,760 1,760

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,415 5,658 7,585 5,835 6,085

28,218 Middle East 22,557 17,286 23,229 19,080 20,380

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,180 24,648 21,900 21,400

14,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,388 15,259 17,988 15,845 15,595

11,322 East Asia 13,744 13,904 16,865 14,725 14,225

10,771 South Asia 7,608 7,619 5,241 6,410 6,420

12,324 Southeast Asia 13,902 16,334 17,873 16,260 16,260

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,074 2,945 2,945

140,661 Total 132,681 130,598 149,560 133,945 133,655

Production none

100,627 North America 91,362 86,905 83,302 92,032 92,032

20,516 South America 22,039 27,296 25,335 21,484 21,484

151,122 European Union 138,816 135,858 137,395 132,897 132,370

4,710 Other Europe 4,646 3,865 4,359 4,249 4,249


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,241 40,274 37,040 37,040

14,352 North Africa 20,261 15,933 18,425 16,975 16,975


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,355 119,344 119,415 119,415

103,898 South Asia 111,200 110,792 116,140 123,320 123,670

21,697 Oceania 22,111 28,168 29,777 26,277 26,277

171 Others 176 181 186 186 186

682,754 Total 686,189 651,898 695,042 662,826 658,729

Domestic Consumption none

48,270 North America 44,205 44,849 49,506 48,479 48,479

24,549 South America 25,723 25,548 26,011 26,075 26,000

127,000 European Union 125,000 122,000 126,500 124,500 124,500

5,585 Other Europe 5,494 5,356 5,591 5,490 5,490


52,587 Middle East 54,441 54,964 56,660 54,505 54,205

37,375 North Africa 39,750 39,225 41,075 40,850 40,750


117,218 East Asia 120,187 124,082 135,283 136,200 136,200

105,229 South Asia 113,811 116,851 115,441 122,380 122,740

12,104 Southeast Asia 13,188 15,078 17,062 16,760 16,760

8,115 Oceania 5,840 7,065 7,868 7,775 7,775

3,363 Others 3,295 3,361 3,321 3,250 3,255

636,543 Total 650,015 653,665 686,990 683,723 681,223

Ending Stocks none

24,729 North America 34,901 31,029 26,536 24,721 25,468

4,902 South America 6,442 7,502 4,297 4,476 3,706

18,937 European Union 16,157 11,836 13,531 10,928 9,401

2,107 Other Europe 2,120 1,453 1,532 1,432 1,481


11,635 Middle East 14,010 12,720 12,113 11,308 12,313

9,216 North Africa 10,949 11,473 12,993 10,246 10,293


48,636 East Asia 57,260 61,999 61,434 57,870 57,369

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,238 24,878 26,578 26,578

2,813 Southeast Asia 3,115 3,902 4,233 3,202 3,238

3,596 Oceania 5,773 9,056 7,988 6,375 6,375

314 Others 406 372 397 339 353

167,808 Total 200,552 197,947 198,644 177,168 176,709

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

September 2012


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RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global consumption in 2012/13 is forecast to outpace production, but stocks will remain the second highest in a decade, and trade is virtually the same as the previous year. U.S. production is projected to rebound, and, although exports are down year-to-year, they are up from the previous month. FEATURE

Much has been made about Thailand’s intervention program and India’s re-entry into the rice market. Yet these are not the only factors causing Thailand to slump to the third-largest exporter, after 3 decades at the top. Changes in import demand in Thailand’s top five markets are causing the country’s exports to tumble. Larger production in Bangladesh and Indonesia reduced import demand this year, accounting for over a third of the Thai drop. Iran’s imports from Thailand in 2011 were an anomaly, and the country has returned to purchasing most of its rice from India and Pakistan. Overall shipments to Iraq are down, but it is not yet clear where the country will source its remaining import needs. Surprisingly, exports to Nigeria are up, largely driven by traders importing before the imposition of a higher duty in July, and this pace is unlikely to continue.

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200

300

400

500

600

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1,000

Nigeria Bangladesh Indonesia Iraq Iran

1000

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Thai Rice Exports Plummet in First Half of 2012

Jan-June 2011 Jan-June 2012

September 2012


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TRADE CHANGES

Selected Exporters

• Brazil is up 100,000 tons to 1.1 million in 2012 on the pace of shipments and up 200,000 tons to 800,000 in 2013 as traders try to maintain markets despite tight supplies.

• Burma is cut 150,000 tons to 600,000 in 2013 on a smaller crop.

• United States is boosted 250,000 tons to 3.4 million in 2013 on larger supplies.

Selected Importers

• Indonesia is bumped up 250,000 tons to 1.5 million in 2012 on reports of BULOG purchases.

• EU is down 100,000 tons to 1.3 million in 2012 and down 150,000 tons to 1.4 million in 2013 as purchases are likely to remain slower than originally expected.

• China is reduced 200,000 tons to 1.3 million in 2013 as excellent conditions push the crop to a new record.

September 2012

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

560560650732468594 Argentina

5005004503115417 Australia

8006001,1001,296430591 Brazil

6007506007784451,052 Burma

950950800860750820 Cambodia

600600500487619783 China

600600600320570575 Egypt

235235245241282150 EU-27

250250230250275244 Guyana

6,5006,5008,0004,6372,2282,149 India

200200200200200200 Japan

4,0004,0003,7503,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

8,0008,0006,50010,6479,0478,570 Thailand

850850850841808926 Uruguay

7,0007,0007,0007,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

860800899918768576 Others

32,50532,39532,37432,93227,67826,384 Subtotal

3,3503,1003,5003,2473,8683,017 United States

35,85535,49535,87436,17931,54629,401 World Total

none

TY Imports

6006004001,483660146 Bangladesh

750700660591778650 Brazil

350350330310300300 Cameroon

1,3001,5001,500575366337 China

950950950935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525525558498457 Cuba

750750800761520 Egypt

1,4001,5501,3001,4751,2161,383 EU-27

400400400545320410 Ghana

425425415381390397 Hong Kong

1,4501,4501,5003,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,9501,9501,9001,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,2001,2001,2001,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700700697649750 Japan

400400600532320241 Korea, South

1,0501,0501,0851,0769071,086 Malaysia

750750730705575610 Mexico

375375375360325385 Mozambique

2,2502,2502,4502,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,1751,1751,1501,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

820820820805685715 Senegal

1,0001,000900885733745 South Africa

440440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

400400400500400500 Vietnam

9,6509,5359,5369,2599,0728,159 Others

32,56032,74532,55632,98128,77626,352 Subtotal

2,5952,0002,6182,5772,2082,367 Unaccounted

700750700621562682 United States

35,85535,49535,87436,17931,54629,401 World Total


Note about dates: 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, and so on.

September 2012

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Milled Production

34,10034,10034,00031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

7,8207,8207,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

10,75011,00010,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,5004,5004,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

143,000142,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,5004,5004,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

98,00098,000104,32095,98089,09099,180 India

36,90036,90036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,3587,3587,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,3004,3004,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

6,7006,8006,5005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

11,00010,80010,70010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

3,0003,2003,3112,4902,6502,227 Sri Lanka

21,05021,05020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

26,87526,87526,73526,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

38,08737,95937,10537,88435,94033,706 Others

457,940457,162459,423441,902434,263442,158 Subtotal

6,2566,0535,8747,5937,1336,546 United States

464,196463,215465,297449,495441,396448,704 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,00035,00034,50032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

8,0507,9008,0508,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,53010,63010,14010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,5903,5903,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

143,000142,500139,500135,000134,320133,000 China

4,3004,3004,0703,3003,9404,270 Egypt

95,00095,00093,82090,20685,50891,090 India

40,00040,00039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,4003,2503,1503,100 Iran

7,9707,9708,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,8004,8004,9775,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

5,1505,1505,2005,0304,5804,220 Nigeria

12,95012,85012,85012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,60010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,10020,10019,75019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

56,31056,12555,43853,68252,57050,326 Others

463,677462,455454,808441,642434,603433,068 Subtotal

4,0093,9453,4754,3174,0164,082 United States

467,686466,400458,283445,959438,619437,150 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,47445,17444,77442,57440,53438,546 China

22,00022,00026,00023,50020,50019,000 India

2,9752,7254,6256,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,6732,6732,7852,6892,6932,715 Japan

1,3591,2481,8092,4593,5204,673 Philippines

12,12512,1259,3755,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,5012,5012,3261,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

12,14312,46712,72612,24312,59612,681 Others

101,250100,913104,42097,19693,99091,420 Subtotal

9849061,3041,5141,184977 United States

102,234101,819105,72498,71095,17492,397 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

September 2012

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,770 1,840 1,790

906 Caribbean 989 1,099 1,010 1,015 1,010

1,116 South America 1,354 1,260 1,460 1,500 1,560

126 Other Europe 126 139 143 137 137

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 368 393 403

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,974 6,130 6,190 6,190

155 North Africa 345 364 1,140 1,100 1,100


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,399 3,460 3,255 3,055

524 South Asia 1,016 1,861 880 980 1,080

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,110 5,130 5,130

2,217 Others 2,099 2,293 2,090 2,345 2,195

27,034 Total 29,338 33,602 33,256 33,495 33,260

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,999 6,206 6,409

833 Caribbean 954 938 992 992 992

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,092 15,396 15,396

1,773 European Union 2,176 2,172 2,076 1,886 2,044

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,143 1,321 1,280 1,284 1,254

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,182 2,182

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,529 4,529


150,087 East Asia 152,218 151,801 155,345 156,319 157,319

142,623 South Asia 132,765 138,336 151,369 145,350 145,050

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,466 112,612 114,356 114,306

662 Others 795 1,237 1,413 1,432 1,432

448,704 Total 441,396 449,495 465,297 463,215 464,196


5,177 North America 5,160 5,417 4,713 5,205 5,269

1,094 Central America 1,110 1,099 1,161 1,136 1,136

1,784 Caribbean 1,892 2,035 2,021 2,006 2,051

14,782 South America 14,915 14,512 14,174 14,070 14,205

3,075 European Union 3,150 3,250 3,300 3,300 3,350


7,627 Middle East 7,756 8,109 8,260 8,455 8,455

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,449 4,679 4,679


149,585 East Asia 150,739 151,733 155,922 158,601 159,101

131,561 South Asia 126,162 130,810 137,258 139,010 139,160

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,701 102,535 102,535

566 Others 619 645 684 737 737

435,523 Total 435,697 443,830 456,620 463,960 464,859

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,489 1,082 1,160

205 Central America 240 254 241 262 262

114 Caribbean 126 131 193 143 144

2,230 South America 1,859 2,060 1,453 1,500 1,526

1,023 European Union 1,122 1,176 1,032 914 891

1,997 Middle East 1,659 1,807 1,781 1,598 1,598

564 North Africa 498 122 502 852 852


42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,667 48,842 49,010 49,310

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,542 29,018 25,308 24,978

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,653 19,772 19,762 20,123

26 Oceania 46 29 92 72 72

128 Others 156 198 165 190 170

92,397 Total 95,174 98,710 105,724 101,819 102,234



September 2012


15

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua U.S. Gulf Black Sea

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn trade for 2012/13 is unchanged, despite tighter exportable supplies in the EU and Serbia. U.S. corn exports are unchanged while production is slightly lower. The season-average farm price is projected lower from last month, though at a record. Although U.S. exports are lowered for 2011/12, global trade is boosted nearly 2 million tons on strong shipments from South America. PRICES U.S. corn export quotes initially declined following the release of USDA’s August report, but rallied late in the month on disappointing yield reports. However, quotes subsequently dropped over $14 from their peak to $329 per ton on weak export sales and shipments. Interestingly, prices have shed $25 per ton since peaks around July 20, likely due to a combination of slack demand, less uncertainty as the season progresses, and confirmation of strong old-crop South American shipments. South American quotes have moved in tandem with U.S. corn but remain at a large discount.

September 2012


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• Brazilian corn is raised 1.5 million tons to a new record 14.5 million based on indications that record shipments in August portend huge shipments into the new Oct/Sep trade year.

• EU corn is halved to 500,000 tons on tight feed grain supplies as production is cut again, this month by 4.4 million tons.

• Serbian corn is slashed by 900,000 tons to 400,000 because of continued dryness; since July, exports have been cut more than 75 percent. (Exports for 2011/12 are raised 300,000 tons to a record 2.1 million based on trade data.)

• Canadian barley is boosted 500,000 tons to 1.7 million based on a larger-than-expected crop and strong global demand.

• Russian barley is cut 500,000 tons to 1.5 million because of a smaller crop and tight domestic grain supplies. Ukrainian is boosted 500,000 tons to 2.5 million.

Selected Importers

• Egyptian corn is raised 300,000 tons to 5.5 million based on continued strong demand. (Imports for 2011/12 are boosted sharply by 1.0 million tons to 6.5 million).

• Chinese barley is raised 300,000 tons to a record 2.5 million on robust demand for malting barley. (Imports for 2011/12 are up 200,000 tons to 2.4 million.)

TRADE CHANGES IN 2011/12 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut 500,000 tons to 38.5 million as sales and shipments continue at historic lows.

• South American corn is up a combined 1.9 million tons (Argentina 500,000 tons, Brazil 1.0 million, Paraguay 400,000) as exports from the region accelerate with high prices and abundant old-crop supplies.

• Argentine and Australian barley are raised 200,000 tons each based on trade data.

• EU barley exports are boosted sharply by 1.0 million tons to 3.4 million based on the pace of new-crop (July onwards) licenses.

TMT TMT TMT TMT

September 2012


17

• Russian barley is raised 200,000 tons to 3.4 million; Ukrainian is cut 300,000 tons to 2.0 million. Both changes are based on recent trade data.

• U.S. sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 1.6 million because of late-season shipments to Mexico as new-crop supplies have become available.

Selected Importers

• Chinese corn is raised 300,000 tons to 5.3 million based on trade data.

• Saudi barley is raised 500,000 tons to 8.0 million with reports of strong shipments from the EU and Russia.

• Colombian sorghum is boosted 250,000 tons to a record 550,000 because of a surge in shipments from Argentina.

September 2012

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

23,90523,90522,00518,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,3255,3256,5854,8994,4144,873 Australia

14,50513,00512,00511,5928,6277,187 Brazil

4,5504,0503,6254,4273,0683,852 Canada

3,1803,5806,8305,8604,2674,338 EU-27

2,5502,5503,8503,4372,0722,642 India

1,4051,5052,1051,2031,3921,864 Paraguay

3,0553,5555,8651,0282,5284,945 Russia

2,3202,3201,7202,8591,6342,159 South Africa

15,01014,51016,5107,45610,93611,380 Ukraine

4,5055,4456,6075,5167,1135,639 Others

80,31079,75087,70766,90565,08159,128 Subtotal

36,24536,24540,29349,29253,98951,558 United States

116,555115,995128,000116,197119,070110,686 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,9002,9003,5002,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,1051,1551,4056331,0491,497 Brazil

1,2001,3001,3501,2711,2751,317 Chile

4,5604,2607,7602,6973,7771,651 China

4,1554,0554,5054,1484,1023,483 Colombia

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5755,2756,5855,8395,8975,093 Egypt

3,5553,5556,9308,6093,0122,988 EU-27

1,5001,5001,5003,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,0003,8004,7004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,4351,4351,3851,4461,5921,295 Israel

17,91017,91017,83518,59019,19819,611 Japan

9009001,100923713785 Jordan

7,5607,5607,5608,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

10,72510,72512,55010,76210,91310,465 Mexico

2,8252,8252,5052,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,0252,0252,1002,0791,8861,520 Peru

9,1059,10510,0058,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,6001,6001,9592,2742,834 Syria

4,4504,4504,3504,2784,6634,658 Taiwan

1,0501,0501,1009581,202875 Tunisia

1,0551,055720500683687 Turkey

1,7001,7001,7001,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,0001,0001,2001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

13,17513,20013,41713,56714,86414,932 Others

109,165108,540121,512112,671113,852105,352 Subtotal

3,2403,3053,6851,0762,9432,527 Unaccounted

4,1504,1502,8032,4502,2752,807 United States

116,555115,995128,000116,197119,070110,686 World Total


September 2012

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

39,05239,05229,70533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

12,57712,57713,22711,76210,92012,282 Australia

73,49373,43375,61460,38058,41253,486 Brazil

24,68524,73421,83122,26322,47727,184 Canada

207,010207,010199,660183,398169,775172,391 China

10,93010,93011,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

141,852145,205146,706140,245155,038162,102 EU-27

37,61038,01042,06043,37033,89039,550 India

8,5008,5008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

28,97828,97825,02829,33527,25432,252 Mexico

24,01024,01023,80023,25023,25026,670 Nigeria

27,85029,65032,79616,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,95113,95111,98211,32113,88113,084 South Africa

10,17510,17511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

29,08029,10033,33621,44224,14326,275 Ukraine

138,861140,051137,838143,816136,613132,955 Others

828,614835,366825,193767,710763,849786,888 Subtotal

284,707286,049323,697330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,113,3211,121,4151,148,8901,097,9461,112,6041,112,755 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

13,30213,30211,52011,38310,0548,768 Argentina

59,68859,68857,24852,73349,71448,191 Brazil

21,24521,42419,35020,90822,21622,892 Canada

210,405210,055197,005188,175173,151161,062 China

13,15012,35012,65013,59513,07212,162 Egypt

10,88210,88211,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

145,985148,985149,810152,000150,080151,855 EU-27

36,18036,58038,35038,85032,00036,500 India

18,11518,11518,06618,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,34039,34038,64039,53540,86542,060 Mexico

24,00024,00023,75023,20023,05026,550 Nigeria

25,50026,60027,47818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,59811,59811,20811,21310,83310,468 South Africa

11,37511,37511,72511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

14,63015,25016,05013,74212,96413,696 Ukraine

208,372208,807205,796208,168200,257196,798 Others

867,143873,863856,602832,002815,120806,075 Subtotal

265,854263,949284,946297,949295,337275,978 United States

1,132,9971,137,8121,141,5481,129,9511,110,4571,082,053 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,9843,0342,3295,3343,1241,698 Argentina

15,50617,06515,60110,63510,28712,450 Brazil

2,8452,6293,3853,5495,6506,326 Canada

61,26461,03960,38450,13452,40252,206 China

10,09710,00013,85516,40925,85420,844 EU-27

2,7502,5502,8001,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

2,8932,8932,9553,5915,3674,327 South Africa

33,28133,68038,50941,68944,01347,678 Others

131,620132,890139,818132,991149,151148,077 Subtotal

21,32519,23732,80332,28848,13347,060 United States

152,945152,127172,621165,279197,284195,137 World Total

September 2012

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

15,172 North America 15,199 14,267 16,218 15,445 15,445

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,925 3,050 3,050

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,280 2,325 2,325

9,745 South America 11,108 10,479 11,750 11,080 11,030

2,988 European Union 3,012 8,609 6,930 3,555 3,555

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,184 980 895 895

21,247 Middle East 21,318 18,734 21,185 19,695 19,795

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,344 14,390 12,800 13,100


33,349 East Asia 36,276 33,879 37,685 34,310 34,610

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,558 6,510 6,115 6,115

750 Others 922 944 822 935 910

108,159 Total 116,127 115,121 124,315 112,690 113,315

Production none

385,303 North America 398,486 381,834 370,556 339,761 338,370

84,977 South America 100,605 105,355 117,097 125,360 125,420

162,102 European Union 155,038 140,245 146,706 145,205 141,852

12,273 Other Europe 11,787 12,139 11,463 10,152 8,952


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,746 19,036 18,071 18,071

10,218 North Africa 14,890 12,358 11,221 10,781 10,781


174,467 East Asia 171,531 185,291 201,621 208,919 208,919

45,688 South Asia 40,281 49,729 48,343 44,368 44,068

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,934 29,552 30,240 30,240

12,929 Oceania 11,567 12,409 13,874 13,224 13,224

4,291 Others 4,152 4,302 4,302 4,302 4,302

1,112,755 Total 1,112,604 1,097,946 1,148,890 1,121,415 1,113,321


340,930 North America 358,418 358,392 342,936 324,713 326,439

75,990 South America 79,414 84,715 89,338 94,065 93,965

151,855 European Union 150,080 152,000 149,810 148,985 145,985

10,845 Other Europe 10,752 10,798 10,612 9,974 9,474


38,003 Middle East 38,699 38,285 39,334 38,679 38,779

21,187 North Africa 24,679 25,607 25,140 23,960 24,760


195,705 East Asia 207,653 221,486 229,087 242,026 242,376

42,673 South Asia 38,549 45,329 44,768 42,973 42,648

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,692 34,245 35,550 35,550

7,897 Oceania 7,702 7,649 7,577 8,002 8,002

8,953 Others 8,888 9,273 9,508 9,723 9,723

1,079,689 Total 1,103,086 1,129,457 1,134,852 1,132,300 1,129,621

Ending Stocks none

58,626 North America 55,725 38,228 37,442 23,553 25,762

16,796 South America 16,702 18,451 19,944 22,095 20,409

20,844 European Union 25,854 16,409 13,855 10,000 10,097

1,538 Other Europe 1,669 1,658 888 821 721


8,540 Middle East 9,325 7,586 8,453 7,110 7,350

2,741 North Africa 5,387 4,908 5,154 4,200 4,250


55,936 East Asia 55,885 53,404 63,483 64,075 64,351

2,086 South Asia 1,670 2,592 2,247 1,122 1,122

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,516 3,848 3,577 3,518

3,352 Oceania 2,785 1,787 1,709 1,506 1,506

833 Others 775 815 764 687 688

195,137 Total 197,284 165,279 172,621 152,127 152,945



September 2012

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

17,50017,50016,50015,19816,9738,466 Argentina

14,50013,00012,00011,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,0001,0005001,657184366 Canada

5001,0003,2001,0781,5191,743 EU-27

2,5002,5003,8003,3761,9172,551 India

1,4001,5002,1001,2031,3881,862 Paraguay

1,5001,5002,200374271,331 Russia

2,3002,3001,7002,8391,5862,111 South Africa

12,50012,50014,5005,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

5005005003001000 Zambia

3,1604,0604,8004,3655,4795,111 Others

57,36057,36061,80046,64443,26836,216 Subtotal

33,50033,50038,50045,24449,72147,758 United States

90,86090,860100,30091,88892,98983,974 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,8002,8002,9002,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008001,1002876991,092 Brazil

2,0002,0005,3009791,29647 China

3,5003,5003,7003,5043,6513,068 Colombia

750750700663626586 Costa Rica

850850850838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5005,2006,5005,8035,8325,031 Egypt

3,0003,0006,3007,3592,9312,754 EU-27

1,5001,5001,5003,0411,321317 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,6003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,2001,2001,0001,0291,053846 Israel

15,00015,00015,00015,64815,97916,533 Japan

7,5007,5007,5008,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

8,5008,50011,2008,2528,2987,764 Mexico

1,9001,9001,8001,7381,8021,566 Morocco

1,9001,9002,0001,9391,7821,429 Peru

2,1002,1002,0001,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

1,4001,5001,3001,6592,0241,784 Syria

4,3004,3004,2004,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

900900800677866646 Tunisia

1,0001,000650456527516 Turkey

1,7001,7001,7001,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,0001,0001,2001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

9,91010,01010,3779,93411,45912,456 Others

86,71086,61097,32790,22490,58181,854 Subtotal

2,2502,3502,3239802,1711,783 Unaccounted

1,9001,900650684237337 United States

90,86090,860100,30091,88892,98983,974 World Total


September 2012

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

28,00028,00021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

70,00070,00072,73157,40056,10051,000 Brazil

11,70012,75010,68911,7149,56110,592 Canada

200,000200,000192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,8005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

57,14261,54265,40355,93456,94762,321 EU-27

20,00020,00021,57021,73016,72019,730 India

8,5008,5008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

21,50021,50018,10021,05820,37424,226 Mexico

9,4109,4109,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,2007,2007,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

7,0007,0006,6803,0753,9636,682 Russia

13,50013,50011,50010,92413,42012,567 South Africa

21,00021,00022,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

5,3005,3004,9504,6484,6304,432 Vietnam

82,51583,71583,73984,38478,97979,439 Others

568,567575,217562,760514,602488,515494,018 Subtotal

272,488273,789313,918316,165332,549307,142 United States

841,055849,006876,678830,767821,064801,160 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,8008,8007,7007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

56,00056,00054,00049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

11,50012,50011,10011,43411,60611,687 Canada

201,000201,000188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

12,00011,20011,50012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

61,50065,50067,30062,50059,30061,600 EU-27

18,00018,00017,60018,10015,10017,000 India

10,00010,00010,0009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,00015,00015,00015,70016,30016,700 Japan

7,6007,6007,7008,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

29,70029,70029,70029,20030,20032,400 Mexico

9,4509,4509,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,4007,2006,5007,300 Philippines

11,10011,10010,70010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

8,5008,5008,3006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

132,740133,515129,939127,699123,360120,387 Others

602,686609,532590,580563,953541,923525,365 Subtotal

254,012252,106274,079285,014281,590259,272 United States

856,698861,638864,659848,967823,513784,637 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,1502,1501,4404,1302,573970 Argentina

15,10716,67615,30710,2769,98912,084 Brazil

60,19559,89559,39549,41551,30251,183 China

4,2684,1686,1264,9235,2086,149 EU-27

1,4411,4411,4631,5891,6221,466 Korea, South

2,6682,6682,7433,4185,1694,113 South Africa

1,2591,2591,2091,121672937 Ukraine

18,23518,57521,91324,06125,86228,820 Others

105,323106,832109,59698,933102,397105,722 Subtotal

18,63016,50230,00028,64443,38042,504 United States

123,953123,334139,596127,577145,777148,226 World Total

September 2012

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,650 10,900 10,900

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,925 3,050 3,050

8,238 South America 9,469 8,336 9,715 9,265 9,165

2,754 European Union 2,931 7,359 6,300 3,000 3,000


9,462 Middle East 11,215 9,945 10,075 10,950 10,850

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 12,500 11,350 11,650


28,481 East Asia 30,386 29,014 32,180 28,930 28,930

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,541 6,500 6,100 6,100

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,280 2,325 2,325

536 Others 576 583 547 650 650

82,191 Total 90,818 90,908 97,977 88,510 88,610

Production none

341,960 North America 362,484 348,937 342,707 308,039 305,688

76,109 South America 91,067 92,423 103,524 108,605 108,605

62,321 European Union 56,947 55,934 65,403 61,542 57,142

9,951 Other Europe 9,674 10,094 9,494 8,194 6,994


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,393 6,393

6,846 North Africa 6,481 6,701 5,701 6,001 6,001


167,580 East Asia 165,379 178,872 194,418 201,576 201,576

24,780 South Asia 21,790 26,801 26,640 25,070 25,070

3,222 Central America 3,041 3,188 3,188 3,188 3,188

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,692 29,312 30,000 30,000

1,191 Others 1,157 1,180 1,199 1,199 1,199

801,160 Total 821,064 830,767 876,678 849,006 841,055


303,359 North America 323,396 325,648 314,879 294,306 295,212

67,529 South America 70,189 73,898 78,695 82,345 82,145

61,600 European Union 59,300 62,500 67,300 65,500 61,500

8,376 Other Europe 8,354 8,454 8,380 7,785 7,285


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,785 17,835 17,735

16,125 North Africa 17,650 18,525 17,875 17,525 18,325


184,015 East Asia 195,811 209,805 216,655 229,505 229,505

22,050 South Asia 20,270 23,271 22,770 23,070 23,070

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 33,443 34,000 35,300 35,300

5,800 Central America 5,700 5,925 6,125 6,250 6,250

3,235 Others 3,225 3,385 3,420 3,540 3,540

782,790 Total 816,838 850,111 859,268 857,371 854,302

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,527 31,344 32,239 18,912 20,844

15,426 South America 15,613 16,583 18,477 20,453 18,807

6,149 European Union 5,208 4,923 6,126 4,168 4,268

1,198 Other Europe 1,372 1,359 630 564 464


4,073 Middle East 4,439 3,551 2,764 2,192 2,232

2,200 North Africa 2,391 2,156 2,472 1,788 1,788


54,297 East Asia 54,100 52,065 61,933 62,383 62,734

1,498 South Asia 992 1,078 1,043 538 538

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,512 3,844 3,573 3,514

613 Central America 498 580 528 496 496

259 Others 312 246 270 218 219

148,226 Total 145,777 127,577 139,596 123,334 123,953



September 2012

World Barley Trade (Working Statistics)


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

4,2004,2003,6001,531549871 Argentina

4,1004,1005,2004,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,7001,2001,4001,0521,2031,618 Canada

10101591317 China

555474 Croatia

1010105147 Egypt

2,5002,4003,4004,5942,3892,374 EU-27

252525303137 India

200200700224354314 Kazakhstan

555521 Kenya

10502574331 Moldova

1,5002,0003,4009692,0863,598 Russia

1010592211 Serbia

150150150508013 Turkey

2,5002,0002,0002,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

00032410 Others

16,92516,36519,94015,02617,13618,045 Subtotal

200200150181152158 United States

17,12516,56520,09015,20717,28818,203 World Total

none

TY Imports

300350300345346403 Brazil

2,5002,2002,4001,6562,3411,551 China

250250250251237211 Colombia

20020040028666156 EU-27

5003001,1005008001,400 Iran

200200350287491367 Israel

1,3001,3001,3001,3591,4111,346 Japan

500500700550432514 Jordan

250250250317283252 Kuwait

200200200179582296 Libya

150150752642123 Mexico

800800700222248263 Morocco

4004005004111339 Russia

7,0007,0008,0006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

200200200330299131 United Arab Emirates

1,4501,4752,2902,1081,6792,557 Others

16,20015,77519,01515,02716,47017,309 Subtotal

42529067532516322 Unaccounted

500500400148302572 United States

17,12516,56520,09015,20717,28818,203 World Total


September 2012

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

1,8001,8001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

5,8005,8004,3002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

8,0008,0008,5008,1457,8657,997 Australia

2,0002,0001,8001,9662,1232,212 Belarus

9,5008,5007,7567,6059,51711,781 Canada

2,6002,6002,5001,9722,3182,823 China

1,5801,5801,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

53,90352,85351,46253,51462,14965,509 EU-27

1,6101,6101,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,4003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

1,5001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

14,00014,50016,9358,35017,88123,148 Russia

5,5005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

6,7006,6009,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,7178,6478,7588,6498,8407,803 Others

127,710125,990130,544119,003145,806149,817 Subtotal

4,8124,8123,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

132,522130,802133,936122,928150,755155,047 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8001,8001,7001,5001,3501,100 Algeria

1,5501,5501,0601,135990895 Argentina

4,0004,0003,8004,3004,5004,000 Australia

2,0002,0002,0002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

8,1007,2006,7257,5848,5049,065 Canada

4,8004,5004,7004,1504,4004,200 China

53,20052,20051,70056,40056,50057,000 EU-27

1,6801,6801,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,0003,8003,9003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,5001,5001,5251,5501,5501,550 Japan

2,1002,1003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,90012,90014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

7,0257,0256,8256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

5,8005,8006,6506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

4,8005,3006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

14,62014,58015,79015,40616,13115,929 Others

129,974128,199132,116131,540140,054138,945 Subtotal

5,1165,1164,1914,5374,6045,127 United States

135,090133,315136,307136,077144,658144,072 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,7361,6861,6361,3361,247184 Algeria

9729011,2221,4412,5832,843 Canada

3,5673,5675,1647,95215,53210,916 EU-27

1,2781,2781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

9389519381,3862,3953,813 Russia

2,4032,2032,4281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

8908521,1607941,0671,055 Ukraine

6,2676,3326,7157,0358,7847,804 Others

18,05117,77020,64122,37534,95429,440 Subtotal

1,3301,3301,3081,9452,5151,932 United States

19,38119,10021,94924,32037,46931,372 World Total

September 2012

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 525 700 700

810 South America 772 905 800 835 785

156 European Union 66 286 400 200 200

82 Other Europe 158 242 135 155 155


11,681 Middle East 10,046 8,645 11,060 8,700 8,900

973 North Africa 1,215 959 1,850 1,300 1,300

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 76 65 70 70

3,000 East Asia 3,861 3,108 3,825 3,625 3,925

48 South Asia 10 8 30 30 5

0 Oceania 17 15 5 5 5

17,881 Total 16,772 15,175 19,415 16,275 16,700

Production none

17,822 North America 14,966 12,311 11,711 13,875 14,875

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,335 7,030 7,090

65,509 European Union 62,149 53,514 51,462 52,853 53,903

1,543 Other Europe 1,406 1,309 1,330 1,319 1,319


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,096 11,665 10,275 10,275

2,347 North Africa 7,324 4,572 4,435 3,695 3,695


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,800 2,910 2,910

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,217 2,317

8,397 Oceania 8,265 8,545 8,900 8,400 8,400

155,047 Total 150,755 122,928 133,936 130,802 132,522


15,042 North America 13,858 12,871 11,641 13,066 13,966

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 2,870 3,545 3,545

57,000 European Union 56,500 56,400 51,700 52,200 53,200

1,630 Other Europe 1,552 1,537 1,492 1,450 1,450


20,556 Middle East 20,403 19,673 21,101 19,396 19,596

3,987 North Africa 5,847 5,845 6,125 5,175 5,175


6,006 East Asia 6,195 5,900 6,475 6,250 6,550

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,112 2,317 2,392

4,400 Oceania 4,900 4,725 4,200 4,400 4,400

143,441 Total 144,404 134,487 135,816 133,051 134,991

Ending Stocks none

5,112 North America 5,231 3,581 2,638 2,302 2,373

766 South America 601 851 716 891 846

10,916 European Union 15,532 7,952 5,164 3,567 3,567

281 Other Europe 249 235 195 204 204


4,389 Middle East 4,837 3,958 5,607 4,836 5,036

511 North Africa 2,952 2,694 2,644 2,404 2,454


940 East Asia 1,239 681 816 1,091 1,091

87 South Asia 224 197 282 187 187

2,461 Oceania 1,915 1,089 794 699 699

31,372 Total 37,469 24,320 21,949 19,100 19,381



September 2012

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

2,2002,2001,9001,8931,507907 Argentina

1,0001,0001,2005753501,360 Australia

757550684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

2525253112454 India

707060605050 Nigeria

202020184848 South Africa

6060757711847 Others

3,5253,5253,4052,7972,2382,498 Subtotal

2,5002,5001,6003,8274,0743,598 United States

6,0256,0255,0056,6246,3126,096 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600600729568404 Chile

400300550391212202 Colombia

50503035125140 Ethiopia

300300125922766 EU-27

1,4501,4501,4001,4181,6491,629 Japan

2,0002,0001,2002,3812,5272,496 Mexico

1251255991444 Morocco

505050506050 Niger

400400200200400300 Sudan

757575977172 Taiwan

295295385386579399 Others

5,7455,6454,6206,7086,3425,762 Subtotal

280380382-86-30331 Unaccounted

003203 United States

6,0256,0255,0056,6246,3126,096 World Total


September 2012

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

4,8004,8004,0004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

2,5002,5002,6502,0681,5082,692 Australia

2,8002,8002,2052,3141,8542,004 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,9501,5221,875 Burkina

6506501,200820600590 Chad

2,6502,6502,6002,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,5503,5503,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

6,0006,4006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

850850850925980930 Mali

6,8006,8006,2507,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0007001,3007391,214 Niger

6,9006,9006,8506,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,0894,6062,6304,192 Sudan

740740788800710551 Tanzania

6,7436,7436,6266,5076,1546,320 Others

52,48352,88349,11953,64644,53752,701 Subtotal

6,2496,2905,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

58,73259,17354,56662,42554,26564,699 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,5002,5002,3502,2501,9001,100 Argentina

1,5051,5051,4051,4051,2051,805 Australia

2,7002,7002,2752,2751,8751,875 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,8001,6951,700 Burkina

2,8002,7502,5002,2001,9002,000 China

950950950900900950 Egypt

3,6003,6003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

8858857601,550630905 EU-27

6,0006,4006,2006,8006,6007,200 India

1,4501,4501,4001,4601,6501,600 Japan

850850850925980930 Mali

8,7008,7008,0009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0508501,2509001,200 Niger

6,8506,8506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,6504,5003,4004,500 Sudan

9,0308,9309,5009,0978,1038,124 Others

55,39055,74052,20955,72850,69155,943 Subtotal

3,8103,8113,8105,2795,8598,319 United States

59,20059,55156,01961,00756,55064,262 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

350350450600152194 Argentina

434434539494681678 Australia

251246146211171188 Brazil

312387527467275456 China

23323330827247238 Ethiopia

3293292297794131,336 Mexico

324339229610309684 Sudan

9659651,1371,5741,1901,407 Others

3,1983,2833,5655,0073,2385,181 Subtotal

5856256866971,0481,390 United States

3,7833,9084,2515,7044,2866,571 World Total

September 2012

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

2,499 North America 2,527 2,383 1,203 2,000 2,000

665 South America 848 1,214 1,210 960 1,060

66 European Union 7 922 125 300 300

0 Other Europe 17 0 5 5 5

81 Middle East 48 120 30 30 30

45 North Africa 166 120 40 150 150


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,490 1,540 1,540

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 10 15 15

4 Others 35 21 5 5 5

5,765 Total 6,342 6,710 4,623 5,645 5,745

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,697 13,090 13,049

298 Central America 326 329 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 6,153 7,351 6,897 8,282 8,282

517 European Union 621 626 670 592 592

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,620 2,670 2,670

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 6,545 6,145


2,692 Oceania 1,508 2,068 2,650 2,500 2,500

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

64,699 Total 54,265 62,425 54,566 59,173 58,732


16,919 North America 15,559 14,679 11,810 12,511 12,510

315 Central America 325 325 325 320 320

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,350 6,274 6,522 6,817 6,917

905 European Union 630 1,550 760 885 885

749 Middle East 669 914 675 675 675

965 North Africa 1,012 1,066 970 1,090 1,090


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 4,005 4,295 4,345

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,350 6,550 6,150


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,405 1,505 1,505

0 Others 17 0 5 5 5

64,458 Total 56,247 60,991 55,600 58,831 58,580

Ending Stocks none

2,726 North America 1,461 1,476 915 954 914

27 Central America 28 34 33 37 37

491 South America 393 867 637 642 647

34 European Union 24 17 22 24 24

62 Middle East 22 35 30 25 25

29 North Africa 43 57 37 7 7


578 East Asia 397 549 604 469 394

181 South Asia 154 327 132 107 107

678 Oceania 681 494 539 434 434

5 Others 3 4 4 4 4

6,571 Total 4,286 5,704 4,251 3,908 3,783



September 2012

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

555615 Argentina

200200150211211161 Australia

555949 Brazil

1,7001,7001,6001,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001001293731 Chile

100100150113216103 EU-27

5515142 Russia

5574206 Others

2,1202,1202,0321,9702,0322,109 Subtotal


2,1602,1602,0722,0072,0702,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000500 Albania

000010 Algeria

555532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202015182114 Canada

505050585739 China

555222 Colombia

101010111114 Ecuador

555624 EU-27

606060645646 Japan

7575751034682 Mexico

15152510348 Norway

252525252133 South Africa

505050494952 Switzerland

555506 Turkey

55511411 Uruguay

005835 Others

330330340380310318 Subtotal

23023013215915342 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,6001,4681,6071,787 United States

2,1602,1602,0722,0072,0702,147 World Total


September 2012

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

14014014014014080 Algeria

400400345660182291 Argentina

1,6501,6501,6501,1411,1621,160 Australia

600600800442552605 Belarus

370370370379253239 Brazil

3,0002,9502,9972,4802,9064,273 Canada

560560505564381344 Chile

580580600525580530 China

7,9197,9217,8727,4468,5798,935 EU-27

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

220220220299277328 Norway

4,0005,0005,3343,2185,4015,835 Russia

120120120120120120 Serbia

210210210204218196 Turkey

550550550458731944 Ukraine

471471470466485485 Others

20,99021,94222,44118,67622,17124,503 Subtotal

9669667791,1781,3511,294 United States

21,95622,90823,22019,85423,52225,797 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014014014114080 Algeria

400400350650200300 Argentina

1,4501,4501,3509009751,035 Australia

575575775475575600 Belarus

375375360370250225 Brazil

1,3501,3501,2651,5291,7531,766 Canada

450450400450350325 Chile

625625625625625575 China

7,8007,8007,6007,7508,1008,500 EU-27

225225225130210135 Kazakhstan

190190215185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

4,3005,1005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

550550550475725925 Ukraine

639639639646622608 Others

19,72120,52120,17118,27820,83921,438 Subtotal

2,5952,5952,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

22,31623,11622,72021,06723,85024,406 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

646469747089 Argentina

309309309159126147 Australia

686843185174 Belarus

7865548167691,1701,527 Canada

11411410984126114 China

9649669408131,224972 EU-27

181381486167397499 Russia

197197235239188203 Others

2,6832,6533,0072,3233,3523,625 Subtotal

7627627989821,1661,221 United States

3,4453,4153,8053,3054,5184,846 World Total

September 2012

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,690 1,695 1,695

32 South America 19 24 25 20 20


62 Other Europe 87 71 80 70 70


6 Middle East 0 5 5 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 0 0 0


85 East Asia 113 122 110 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,917 1,848 1,940 1,930 1,930

Production none

5,715 North America 4,387 3,769 3,891 4,031 4,081

897 South America 857 1,644 1,261 1,371 1,371

8,935 European Union 8,579 7,446 7,872 7,921 7,919

605 Other Europe 554 576 497 497 497


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 170 170 170 170


532 East Asia 582 527 602 582 582

1,235 Oceania 1,237 1,216 1,725 1,725 1,725

25,797 Total 23,522 19,854 23,220 22,908 21,956


4,944 North America 4,979 4,503 4,029 4,135 4,135

896 South America 857 1,538 1,171 1,286 1,286

8,500 European Union 8,100 7,750 7,600 7,800 7,800

647 Other Europe 655 633 577 577 577


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 171 170 170 170


625 East Asia 680 685 691 690 690

1,110 Oceania 1,050 975 1,425 1,525 1,525

24,382 Total 23,781 21,070 22,498 22,919 22,119

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,343 1,756 1,619 1,321 1,553

113 South America 95 150 114 109 109

972 European Union 1,224 813 940 966 964

58 Other Europe 47 63 63 53 53


2 Middle East 10 9 14 19 19

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


116 East Asia 131 95 116 118 118

147 Oceania 126 159 309 309 309

4,846 Total 4,518 3,305 3,805 3,415 3,445



September 2012

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

TY Exports

100100751502550 Belarus

15015012522114276 Canada

75757571136114 EU-27

5050250211114 Russia

5552936 Ukraine

000300 Others

380380530468407260 Subtotal


385385533471411266 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania

50501003668 EU-27

10101019911 Israel

1001007510110357 Japan

5551177 Korea, South

101010121411 Norway

555264 Switzerland

005151411 Others

180180210332149109 Subtotal

5555173-913349 Unaccounted

150150150148129108 United States

385385533471411266 World Total


September 2012

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Aug

2012/13

Sep

none

Production

1,5001,5001,5007351,2271,492 Belarus

315240210232280316 Canada

7,5837,5866,9397,5929,9529,262 EU-27

505028427540 Kazakhstan

2,5002,7002,9691,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6506505504649541,051 Ukraine

155155160173182205 Others

13,10313,23112,70611,24617,34617,118 Subtotal

192192161189178203 United States

13,29513,42312,86711,43517,52417,321 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,3001,3001,3006501,3001,400 Belarus

1258081129140152 Canada

7,7007,7007,5508,2009,5508,750 EU-27

100100751059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

262626454059 Norway

2,4502,6502,8001,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

600600600650800800 Ukraine

119119120129124127 Others

12,92413,07913,15012,22316,90916,181 Subtotal

321321317330273292 United States

13,24513,40013,46712,55317,18216,473 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

30430420479144242 Belarus

60462051139123 Canada

3293324711,0321,7271,424 EU-27

14141414185 Japan

179179179250308312 Russia

383838331714 Turkey

179179134189411313 Ukraine

666977 Others

1,1091,0981,0661,6572,7712,440 Subtotal


1,1271,1161,0771,6772,7952,453 World Total

September 2012

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Aug

2012/13

Sep

2012/13

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 150 150 150

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


18 Other Europe 22 15 15 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 15 10 10


64 East Asia 110 112 80 105 105

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

217 Total 278 480 360 330 330

Production none

519 North America 458 421 371 432 507

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

9,262 European Union 9,952 7,592 6,939 7,586 7,583

119 Other Europe 98 105 87 87 87


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,321 Total 17,524 11,435 12,867 13,423 13,295


444 North America 413 459 398 401 446

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

8,750 European Union 9,550 8,200 7,550 7,700 7,700

137 Other Europe 119 119 103 102 102


286 Middle East 349 369 360 360 360


72 East Asia 97 116 80 105 105

20 Oceania 20 17 20 20 20

16,415 Total 17,112 12,518 13,294 13,336 13,181

Ending Stocks none

136 North America 163 71 31 64 78

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,424 European Union 1,727 1,032 471 332 329

1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 38 38 38


5 East Asia 18 14 14 14 14

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,453 Total 2,795 1,677 1,077 1,116 1,127



September 2012

Grain: World Markets and Trade, June 2012

36

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 37 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 38 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 39 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 40 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 44 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 46 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 48 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 49

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..50 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 51 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 52 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 53 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 54

DG F/SA &F

September 2012

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

135.9 122.052.522.94.75.325.8 2010/11 11.8

137.4 126.557.016.47.25.425.7 2011/12 13.5

132.4 124.555.017.55.55.325.1 2012/13 9.4

Coarse Grains

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

140.2 152.0114.36.28.54.730.0 2010/11 16.4

146.7 149.8111.66.47.04.929.9 2011/12 13.9

141.9 146.0107.83.23.64.730.5 2012/13 10.1

Wheat and Coarse Grains

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

276.1 274.0166.829.113.24.955.8 2010/11 28.2

284.1 276.3168.622.814.25.155.6 2011/12 27.4

274.2 270.5162.820.79.14.955.6 2012/13 19.5

September 2012

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.9 120.522.01.02.94.924.2 2011/12 58.5

118.0 122.022.01.01.54.924.3 2012/13 55.0

Coarse Grains

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 158.0106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.70.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.2118.70.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 188.2128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.7 197.0131.90.27.85.635.6 2011/12 60.4

207.0 210.4139.90.34.65.736.5 2012/13 61.3


216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 264.0114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.70.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.2128.71.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.8

298.6 298.7141.81.13.65.158.8 2010/11 109.2

317.6 317.5153.91.110.75.359.8 2011/12 118.9

325.0 332.4161.91.36.15.360.8 2012/13 116.2

September 2012

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.7 5.30.60.11.53.01.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 5.80.90.31.54.01.3 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.70.80.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.90.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.1

4.6 5.50.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.1

3.9 5.40.80.81.73.71.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.60.90.62.04.01.1 2011/12 1.5

4.2 5.50.90.61.83.81.1 2012/13 1.5

Coarse Grains

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.0 10.69.40.10.83.42.7 2003/04 1.0

12.7 12.010.60.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.6 12.010.61.40.74.82.6 2005/06 1.5

11.5 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.3 10.39.00.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.4

12.3 10.89.51.90.64.62.6 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.84.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.1 10.89.32.20.84.82.5 2010/11 1.7

11.5 10.69.12.30.74.52.5 2011/12 0.9

9.0 9.58.10.40.83.52.6 2012/13 0.7


15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

12.7 16.09.90.22.33.33.9 2003/04 2.3

18.1 17.911.50.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.8 17.711.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.8 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.7 15.89.90.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.0 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.6

16.4 16.210.22.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.13.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.1

15.8 16.210.03.02.64.43.6 2011/12 2.4

13.2 15.09.01.02.63.63.7 2012/13 2.2

September 2012

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.945.2 2006/07 13.0

92.4 75.323.922.06.02.046.5 2007/08 14.1

115.5 76.124.538.26.62.351.1 2008/09 21.8

114.0 78.226.037.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.8

81.1 75.023.713.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.6

114.4 80.227.938.97.62.349.9 2011/12 26.6

79.0 74.022.819.66.11.746.3 2012/13 18.0

Coarse Grains

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.029.1 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.3 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.3 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.71.22.122.2 2010/11 5.5

79.0 55.439.424.10.92.927.3 2011/12 5.9

68.4 51.435.918.50.92.527.9 2012/13 5.4

September 2012

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

17.1 7.62.78.30.01.214.8 2009/10 4.3

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.714.3 2010/11 2.9

22.7 8.03.011.00.01.613.8 2011/12 6.6

10.5 7.02.27.00.00.813.5 2012/13 3.1

Russia

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.326.7 2009/10 14.7

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.12.324.9 2011/12 10.4

39.0 35.513.58.00.51.722.5 2012/13 6.4

Ukraine

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.1 15.06.15.40.13.36.7 2011/12 5.2

15.5 12.33.84.00.12.75.7 2012/13 4.5

Uzbekistan

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 7.71.50.51.54.81.4 2012/13 1.1

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.2 11.21.80.73.52.43.4 2009/10 3.5

6.6 10.91.50.23.92.13.2 2010/11 2.8

7.0 11.31.60.14.72.33.1 2011/12 3.2

7.3 11.51.80.14.02.33.2 2012/13 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

114.0 78.226.037.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.8

81.1 75.023.713.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.6

114.4 80.227.938.97.62.349.9 2011/12 26.6

79.0 74.022.819.66.11.746.3 2012/13 18.0

September 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.51.20.20.10.81.6 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.6 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

Russia

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.37.7 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.52.27.7 2011/12 0.9

14.0 12.98.51.50.41.87.7 2012/13 0.9

Ukraine

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.7 4.83.22.20.02.03.3 2012/13 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.2 3.42.60.00.22.51.3 2011/12 0.4

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.51.3 2012/13 0.5


36.0 28.120.79.30.22.316.0 2009/10 4.4

21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.3 2010/11 2.9

32.1 26.118.86.70.72.214.3 2011/12 2.8

25.7 22.815.73.90.71.814.0 2012/13 2.4

September 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.10.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.90.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

Russia

4.0 3.73.20.40.03.51.1 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

6.7 4.53.82.20.14.31.6 2011/12 0.1

7.0 5.54.71.50.13.71.9 2012/13 0.2

Ukraine

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 8.37.014.50.16.43.5 2011/12 1.2

21.0 8.57.012.50.14.74.5 2012/13 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0


2.6 2.92.60.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.7

2.9 2.92.70.20.23.70.8 2010/11 0.6

3.5 3.33.00.30.24.20.8 2011/12 0.7

3.4 3.33.00.40.13.70.9 2012/13 0.5


17.7 12.911.35.60.34.34.1 2009/10 1.5

18.5 13.311.45.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

33.7 16.814.317.00.35.56.1 2011/12 2.1

32.1 18.015.214.40.24.37.5 2012/13 2.0

September 2012

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

16.7 6.00.19.50.03.54.8 2010/11 3.6

15.0 6.00.112.10.03.05.0 2011/12 0.6

11.5 6.00.15.50.03.03.8 2012/13 0.6

Australia

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.9

21.4 7.34.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.4

21.8 4.91.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.6

27.9 6.13.018.70.12.013.6 2010/11 8.8

29.5 6.73.524.00.12.114.1 2011/12 7.7

26.0 6.73.521.00.11.913.5 2012/13 6.1

Canada

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.2 7.72.816.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.64.717.50.53.08.5 2011/12 5.9

27.0 7.92.719.50.42.99.4 2012/13 5.9

Total Wheat Competitors

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.6

September 2012


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


61.0 20.67.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.2

60.7 17.74.139.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.8

67.8 19.85.944.70.62.526.7 2010/11 19.6

69.8 22.28.353.60.62.527.6 2011/12 14.2

64.5 20.66.346.00.52.426.7 2012/13 12.6

India

72.2 72.82.42.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.40.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.53.10.90.03.029.4 2011/12 20.0

93.9 86.93.84.50.03.229.7 2012/13 22.5

Turkey

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.8 17.50.73.54.32.07.8 2012/13 2.1

September 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 7.75.616.00.05.83.6 2011/12 1.4

28.0 8.86.018.50.07.43.8 2012/13 2.2

Brazil

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

72.7 54.046.014.50.84.815.2 2011/12 15.3

70.0 56.047.515.00.84.416.0 2012/13 15.1

China

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.35.833.4 2011/12 59.4

200.0 201.0139.00.22.05.834.3 2012/13 60.2

South Africa

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

September 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

11.5 10.75.01.50.03.63.2 2011/12 2.7

13.5 11.15.12.50.04.13.3 2012/13 2.7

Total Corn Competitors

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

298.0 260.4187.632.16.15.455.4 2011/12 78.9

311.5 276.9197.636.22.85.457.4 2012/13 80.1

September 2012


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Australia

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.1 4.33.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.1

8.5 3.82.55.00.02.14.0 2011/12 0.8

8.0 4.02.74.10.02.13.8 2012/13 0.7

Canada

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.66.41.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.4

7.8 6.75.51.30.13.32.4 2011/12 1.2

9.5 8.17.11.70.13.52.7 2012/13 1.0

EU-27

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.5 56.441.24.90.24.312.5 2010/11 8.0

51.5 51.736.53.00.54.311.9 2011/12 5.2

53.9 53.238.02.50.24.312.5 2012/13 3.6

September 2012


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 2.32.11.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.6

4.0 2.42.21.80.04.01.0 2011/12 0.5

4.8 2.52.32.40.04.61.1 2012/13 0.4

Australia

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

2.1 1.41.40.90.03.10.7 2010/11 0.5

2.7 1.41.41.20.04.10.6 2011/12 0.5

2.5 1.51.51.10.03.90.6 2012/13 0.4

September 2012

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

20,21332,1534,44328,07128,5633,0003,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

18,99533,8295,98732,50032,6593,5003,53861,732nr319,759 2012/13

Corn

28,644285,014121,74645,24446,590684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

30,000274,079111,76538,50039,118650635313,918nr933,986 2011/12

18,630254,012105,41533,50031,7511,9001,905272,488nr835,354 2012/13

Sorghum

6975,2793,1193,8273,853228,779nr51,948 2010/11

6863,8101,6511,6001,651335,447nr31,590 2011/12

5853,8101,7782,5002,540006,249nr32,063 2012/13

Barley

1,9454,5371,0851811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

1,3084,1918161501924003543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,3305,1161,7422002185005444,812nr41,323 2012/13

Oats

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

7982,5491,44540351,6001,621779nr2380 2011/12

7622,5951,49240441,6001,637966nr2442 2012/13

Rye

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

113178034150151161nr298 2011/12

183218455150141192nr2111 2012/13

Rice, Milled

1,5144,317nr3,2473,5286215827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,3043,475nr3,5003,2247006155,8748,39181,059 2011/12

9844,009nr3,3503,1867006196,2568,90581,083 2012/13

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

September 2012

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,162.5 278.51,216.1589.7193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.2655.6188.22.5536.6 1993/94

1,392.5 362.61,396.0668.7200.12.6534.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.11,381.9639.9187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.5 366.71,442.9672.6198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 413.61,444.7683.1190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.9 447.51,448.1682.5198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,464.9 443.81,468.0688.0214.32.9507.0 1999/00

1,446.7 419.11,471.5697.4205.12.8510.4 2000/01

1,480.2 403.71,495.5711.0208.52.9513.8 2001/02

1,443.2 341.31,505.7708.8209.62.9503.6 2002/03

1,471.2 278.81,533.7714.4206.22.9511.9 2003/04

1,642.2 336.01,585.1754.3214.73.2515.7 2004/05

1,599.2 319.71,615.4754.5222.83.1518.9 2005/06

1,584.8 275.31,629.3745.1230.43.1516.3 2006/07

1,692.6 292.61,675.3759.0245.73.2533.2 2007/08

1,795.5 362.91,725.2770.0254.23.3536.9 2008/09

1,798.8 397.81,763.9776.3254.63.4532.0 2009/10

1,749.8 363.21,784.5771.6249.93.4521.3 2010/11

1,843.9 371.31,835.9800.3280.43.5532.8 2011/12

1,772.1 329.71,813.7789.2253.13.3534.4 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2012

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

588.8 171.6554.3131.5101.32.5231.0 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.5 163.8573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.2576.7103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.4578.3106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.7585.5102.7111.92.8212.8 1999/00

583.1 207.1586.7108.8102.42.7215.7 2000/01

583.6 204.2586.5109.4108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.2604.5113.7106.82.7213.8 2002/03

555.3 135.6588.999.1103.62.7207.8 2003/04

626.7 156.0606.3108.7113.42.9216.1 2004/05

618.8 153.5621.2114.8114.12.8218.7 2005/06

596.1 133.9615.7110.1115.62.8212.2 2006/07

611.9 128.2617.6102.1116.82.8217.1 2007/08

682.8 167.8643.1121.2143.53.0224.6 2008/09

686.2 200.6653.4119.8135.63.0225.8 2009/10

651.9 197.9654.5116.5133.73.0218.2 2010/11

695.0 198.6694.3144.8152.43.1221.7 2011/12

658.7 176.7680.7132.1136.63.0218.3 2012/13

Coarse Grains

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6315.3 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7321.3 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.6311.0 1995/96

909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8309.4 1997/98

891.5 238.1869.7575.796.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.6585.2102.43.0294.2 1999/00

863.7 212.0884.7588.7102.72.9294.7 2000/01

896.6 199.6909.0601.6100.53.0299.3 2001/02

873.6 172.1901.2595.1102.83.0289.8 2002/03

916.0 143.3944.8615.3102.63.0304.1 2003/04

1,015.6 180.1978.8645.6101.33.4299.6 2004/05

980.4 166.2994.2639.7108.63.3300.2 2005/06

988.7 141.31,013.6635.0114.73.3304.1 2006/07

1,080.8 164.41,057.7656.8128.93.4316.1 2007/08

1,112.8 195.11,082.1648.8110.73.6312.3 2008/09

1,112.6 197.31,110.5656.5119.13.6306.1 2009/10

1,097.9 165.31,130.0655.2116.23.6303.1 2010/11

1,148.9 172.61,141.5655.5128.03.7311.0 2011/12

1,113.3 152.91,133.0657.1116.63.5316.0 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2012

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.1 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.2 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4138.9 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.1427.175.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.0 151.4624.8436.472.84.4137.5 2001/02

603.2 127.0627.5433.277.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.4 105.3649.2445.879.14.4142.0 2003/04

715.8 131.7689.4476.076.04.9145.4 2004/05

699.7 124.7706.7478.582.74.8145.7 2005/06

714.0 110.3728.5478.791.54.8149.5 2006/07

794.3 131.7772.9498.398.35.0160.5 2007/08

801.2 148.2784.6481.784.05.1158.5 2008/09

821.1 145.8823.5490.093.05.2157.6 2009/10

830.8 127.6849.0501.291.95.1162.9 2010/11

876.7 139.6864.7504.5100.35.2168.5 2011/12

841.1 124.0856.7505.890.94.8174.7 2012/13

Barley

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.4 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.2 2000/01

143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.655.9 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.195.016.32.455.0 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.714.82.458.5 2003/04

152.2 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.7 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.555.6 2005/06

137.0 21.4143.798.414.62.456.6 2006/07

133.1 20.4134.191.318.62.456.1 2007/08

155.0 31.4144.1100.118.22.855.5 2008/09

150.8 37.5144.7100.717.32.854.4 2009/10

122.9 24.3136.191.515.22.647.6 2010/11

133.9 21.9136.391.820.12.749.9 2011/12

132.5 19.4135.190.917.12.650.9 2012/13

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

September 2012

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.4 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.4421.331.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.529.6432.94.1155.1 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.229.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

657.4 95.2438.631.5441.44.2156.1 2009/10

670.7 98.7446.036.2449.54.3157.7 2010/11

693.7 105.7458.335.9465.34.4158.9 2011/12

692.0 102.2467.735.9464.24.4158.8 2012/13

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

September 2012


55

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

September 2012


56

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

September 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


57

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 08-12 August 2012. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 09-12 September 2012. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

September 2012

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