Wheat Market Overview

Shawn CampbellDeputy DirectorUSW-Portland

Columbia River Grain Exports (June-May)

0

5000

10000

15000

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30000

35000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

TMT

Other

Soybeans

Corn

Wheat

Pacific Wheat Export Sales 10/5/17

Export SalesHRW: 1.8 MMT (+2%)HRS: 2.9 MMT (+3%)SW: 2.9 MMT (+39%)Total: 7.7 MMT (+14%)

Pacific Wheat Export Sales 10/5/17North Asia

HRW: 0.9 MMT (+2%)HRS: 1.6 MMT (+16%)SW: 1.2 MMT (+60%)Total: 3.7 MMT (+23%)

Latin AmericaHRW: 0.3 MMT (-44%)HRS: 0.1 MMT (-8%)SW: 0.2 MMT (+81%)Total: 0.6 MMT (-21%)

South AsiaHRW: 0.6 MMT (+61%)HRS: 1.2 MMT (-10%)SW: 1.4 MMT (+20%)Total: 3.2 MMT (+11%)

Middle EastSW: 0.2 MMT (+43%)Total: 0.2 MMT (+43%)

Pacific Wheat Export Sales 10/5/17

Pacific Wheat Exports Over Time

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Thou

sand

Met

ric T

onne

s

10 Year Trend+102.9 TMT per year

U.S. Wheat Exports Over Time

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15000

20000

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35000

40000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Thou

sand

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10 Year Trend-630.6 TMT per year

U.S. Wheat Production and Area

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35000

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70000

75000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production (TMT)

Area (1000 Acres)

Linear (Production (TMT))

Linear (Area (1000 Acres))

10 Year Trend-726.8 TMT per year

-1133.4 thousand acres per year

Pacific 5 State Production and Area

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production (TMT)

Area (1000 Acres)

Linear (Production (TMT))

Linear (Area (1000 Acres))

10 Year Trend-22.0 TMT per year

-233.5 thousand acres per year

10 Year Growth Trend Top 7 Exporters

Argentina+0.1 MMT

USA-0.6 MMT

Canada+0.5 MMT

Australia+0.8 MMT

EU+1.5 MMT

Ukraine+1.2 MMT

Russia+1.7 MMT

Why Pacific Exports Are Holding Up

Why Pacific Exports Are Holding Up

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Why Pacific Exports Are Holding Up

75% of U.S. Pacific wheat exports are on the outer edges

of the spectrum.

Why Pacific Exports Are Holding UpRaising wheat with

high quality and marketable value.

Market transparency and

education.

Technical training, troubleshooting,

and support.

Why Pacific Exports Are Holding UpDiscerning

customers with the income to get what

they want.

Cleaning wheat to a 0.3 percent

dockage level.

Chemical residue testing and strict

sanitary and phytosanitary restrictions.

Questions?