United Nations Economic Commission for Europe Statistical Division 2008 SNA - Implementation plans...

United Nations Economic Commission for EuropeStatistical DivisionUnited Nations Economic Commission for EuropeStatistical Division

2008 SNA - Implementation plans in SPECA countries

Presentation by UNECE

Gabriel Gamez

28-29 August 2012

Session 3

UNECE Statistical Division Slide 2October 2012

Overview

1. Background

2. Completed regional activities on the 2008 SNA implementation

3. Draft implementation plan tables

4. Draft implementation plan tables for SPECA

5. Conclusions reached at the May 2012 meeting in Geneva

6. Planned regional activities on the 2008 SNA implementation

7. Points to consider


Background

• Recommendations of the UNSC

• UN Statistics Division in New York coordinates global implementation

• UN regional commissions → regional implementation plans

• UNECE to support implementation in South and East Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

• UNECE Survey on SNA implementation in the region in 2010

• 19 replies from the countries of South and East Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia as well as Mongolia

• Implementation plans in progress


Completed regional activities on the 2008 SNA implementation (1)

Time Activity

February 2010 UNECE conducted a survey on the challenges in implementation of 2008 SNA in East Europe and Central Asian countries

April 2010 Special session at the meeting of the Expert Group on National Accounts to present the survey results and to discuss the need for an implementation strategy for the 2008 SNA. Geneva, 26 April

May 2011 Joint IMF/EFTA/UNECE Workshop on Links between Government Finance and National Accounts Statistics for East Europe and Central Asian countries. Vienna, 2-6 May

July 2011 Production of country profiles, based on the 2010 survey and bilateral contacts with countries, which identify main outstanding problems and the need for technical assistance country by country


Completed regional activities on the 2008 SNA implementation (2)

Time Activity

November 2011 Joint UNECE/UNSD/EFTA Workshop on the implementation of the 2008 SNA in Central Asia and Eastern European countries. Kiev, 29 November – 2 December

February 2012 UNECE received draft implementation plans (all 6 SPECA countries replied)

April 2012 Launch of website for material on 2008 SNA implementation, including country profiles, draft implementation plans and training materials or links to training materials

May 2012 Special session at the meeting of the Expert Group on National Accounts, where the draft national plans were presented (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan) and discussed, and a draft regional implementation plan was developed


Draft implementation plan tables

• In 2011 UNECE developed a table to help countries to formulate structured national implementation plans

• The table follows the three stages and milestones for the change over to the 2008 SNA as suggested by the ISWGNA

• Each stage has been divided into more detailed actions points based on discussions with the countries in the region

• The table helps to identify problems and priorities reflecting both users' needs and resources constraints

• It enables timely support for the implementation process of the 2008 SNA in the countries

• The structure of tables was discussed and refined at the Workshop in Kiev


Draft implementation plan tables: Content

Stage 1: Review of national or regional statistical strategic papers for inclusion of the 2008 SNA implementation plana)Identification of outstanding issues with 1993 SNAb)The main changes from 1993 SNA to 2008 SNA and their impactsc)Institutional agreementsd)Prioritization based on user needs and available resourcese)Inclusion of the implementation of 2008 SNA in the overall strategic plan of the statistical officef)Adoption of detailed implementation action plans

Stage 2: Review of work needed to support implementation of 2008 SNA

a)Adoption of classifications and other improvements in business statistics and business registersb)Changes in business surveys to collect data for 2008 SNAc)Adaptation of administrative data sources to the new requirementsd)IT and other changes

Stage 3: Development of National Accounts and changeover to 2008 SNA Milestone 1. Basic indicators of GDP Milestone 2. GNI and other primary indicators Milestone 3. Institutional sector accounts: first step Milestone 4. Institutional sector accounts: intermediate step 1 Milestone 5. Institutional sector accounts: intermediate step 2 Milestone 6. Institutional sector accounts: final step


Draft implementation plan tables for SPECA

STAGE 1 - Review of strategic papers Status Activities and problems Need for TA Timing

a Identification of main outstanding issues with SNA 1993

Completed: 6

Clear understanding of main outstanding issues with SNA 1993

b Understanding the main changes in 2008 SNA and their importance

Completed: 2On-going: 2Planned: 2

Main actions: Main focus on changes affecting GDP, drafting guidelines and instructions of new methods

Seminars, workshops, guidelines in Russian, experience of others

2012: 12015: 1 2016: 2

c Identification of the main institutions involved, establishment of agreements for 2008 SNA implementation

On-going: 4Planned: 1 Not started: 1

Main actions: Development and signing of agreements or MOU with other institutions, discussions on 2008 SNA changes

Coordination of cooperation between the institutions, and seminars for their staff, experience of others

2012: 22013: 12015: 12016: 1

d Prioritization for 2008 SNA, based on user needs and resources

Completed: 1 On-going: 2Planned: 1 Not started: 2

Main actions: Workshops for the users, discussions with users and other institutionsMain problems: Lack of resources to communicate with users

Training for the users on 2008 SNA issues

2012: 22015: 1 2016: 1

e Inclusion of 2008 SNA implementation in the overall strategic plan

Completed: 4On-going: 2

Main actions: Development and inclusion of plans in overall statistical plansMain problems: Issues related to coordination with overall plans for statistics

2013: 12015: 1

f Adoption of a detailed implementation plan for 2008 SNA

Completed: 2 On-going: 3Not started: 1

Main actions: Development of a detailed plan, the plan to be coordinated or included into the medium-term plans for statistics Main problems: Issues related to coordination with overall plans for statistics

Exchange of country views 2012: 22013: 1


Draft implementation plan tables for SPECA STAGE 2 - Review of work needed to support implementation

Status Activities and problems Need for TA Timing

a Adoption of new classifications in business registers and business statistics

Completed: 2On-going: 2Planned: 1 Not planned yet: 1

Main actions: Development, adoption and implementation of national classifications according NACE rev.2 (ISIC 4), development of other classifications and tables for transition. Main problems: Need for improvements in business registers, backcasting issues.

Workshops on backcasting, classifications, business registers and business statistics

2012:12014: 1 2017: 1

b Changes in business statistics surveys and questionnaires

On-going: 4Planned: 2

Main actions: Reviewing data sources, changes in statistical surveys and questionnairesMain problems: Lack of resources and knowledge, sampling issues, difficulties with data collection

Workshops, experience of other countries

Continuously: 3 2014: 22016: 1

c Adaptation of administrative data sources

On-going: 4Planned: 1 Not planned yet: 1

Main actions: Reviewing data sources, cooperation with CB and MoF on implementation of BPM 6 and GFS, cooperation with administrative registersMain problems: Difficulties with data sources and data collection

Workshops, consultations

Continuously: 2 2014: 2 2016: 1

d IT and other changes On-going: 4Planned: Not planned yet: 2

Main actions: Improvement of IT and data warehouses in national accounts and basic statisticsMain problems: Lack of resources, need for software and training of staff

IT training for staff Continuously: 22014: 1 2017: 1


Draft implementation plan tables for SPECA STAGE 3 - Development of National Accounts and changeover

Milestone 1. Basic indicators of GDP: Outstanding issues from SNA 1993

• GDP production and expenditure side• Main actions: Data sources, coverage, deflators, quarterly GDP

• GDP exhaustiveness• Main actions: NOE, estimates for illegal activities

• GDP at constant prices• Main actions: Deflators, double deflation, GDP by expenditure

• Main problems: Need for detailed price indices

• Owner-occupied dwellings services• Main actions: Identification of data sources, studies of methodology

• Main problems: Lack of information by categories of dwellings

• Accrual basis for GFS data recording• Main actions: Discussions with Ministry of Finance and other partners

• Supply-Use tables• Main actions: Experimental calculations

• Main problems: Lack of human and financial resources to collect and process information

• Regional GDP• Main actions: NUTS levels, data sources by regions, cooperation with other institutions


Draft implementation plan tables for SPECA STAGE 3 - Development of National Accounts and changeover

Milestone 1. Basic indicators of GDP: New issues from 2008 SNA

• Output of the Central bank• Main actions: Studies of methodology, discussions with CB, preparation of methods

• Main problems: Lack of resources, availability of appropriate data

• Calculation of FISIM and allocation to users• Main actions: Studies of methodology, discussions with CB, preparation of methods

• Expenditure on R&D • Main actions: Studies of methodology, discussions in NSO and with other institutions, methods

• Main problems: Statistical questionnaires, changes in GFS needed, new survey, resources

• Military expenditure• Main actions: Studies of methodology, discussions with MF and others, experimental calculations

• Main problems: Lack of resources, changes in GFS needed, military expenditure is confidential

• Consumption of fixed capital & Other changes for fixed assets• Main actions: Perpetual inventory method study, improvement of estimates in government sector, changes in questionnaires, experimental calculations

• Main problems: No long time series by types of fixed assets, lack of resources

• Goods for processing (sent to and received from abroad)• Main actions: Identification of issues, discussions with other institutions



STAGE 3 - Development of National Accounts and changeoverMilestone 2. GNI and other primary indicators

For rest of the world – external accounts of primary income and current transfers, capital and financial accounts (BPM 6)



STAGE 3 - Development of National Accounts and changeoverMilestone 3-6. Institutional sector accounts:

All accounts: Including Financial accounts, Balance sheets


Conclusions reached at the May 2012 meeting in Geneva

Countries welcomed the support to the 2008 SNA implementation

General agreement to follow the stages and the milestones for the implementation of the 2008 SNA, as suggested by the ISWGNA• Particular circumstances in countries should be taken into account to

ensure the development of realistic implementation plans

Dissemination and communication of the updated national accounts indicators to be addressed in further detail in: • Report of activities to support the implementation of the 2008 SNA in

Eastern European and Central Asian countries

UNECE to establish a website for 2008 SNA implementation• Relevant materials and useful links, draft national implementation plan

tables

• http://www1.unece.org/stat/platform/display/SNA2008Imp/Home



Technical assistance and practical guidance needed in a number of areas, such as:• Improvement of primary statistics; use of administrative sources and

statistical business registers; classifications; prices and volume measures; exhaustiveness of the national accounts; measurement of the non-observed economy; integrated accounts and tables; financial statistics; institutional sector accounts; software; backcasting, time series analysis and seasonal adjustment practices

UNECE to provide assistance in the form of methodological guidance, training workshops and materials, in English and Russian• Subject to the availability of funding

Internal coordination within NSOs to be improved to involve primary statistics in the implementation of the 2008 SNA



Cooperation with Ministries of Finance and Central Banks is crucial• The 2008 SNA and the BPM6 implementation should be coordinated

Cooperation of regional and international organizations to ensure• Efficient and consistent support to countries

• Coordinated implementation of the BPM6 and the 2008 SNA

Special sessions to follow-up on the 2008 SNA implementation • To be organized in conjunction with the Meeting of Group of Experts on

National Accounts in 2014 and 2016


Planned regional activities on the 2008 SNA implementation

Time Activity

November 2012 Joint UNSD/UNECE Workshop on economic classifications and their implementation for primary economic statistics and national accounts in statistical offices in East Europe and Central Asia

Early 2013 Joint IMF/EFTA/UNECE seminar on the links between Government Finance Statistics and the National Accounts

Mid-2014 Special session at the meeting of the Expert Group on National Accounts, to take stock and plan for the following two-year period

2013 - 2014 Capacity building missions and specialized workshops (depending on funding)

Mid-2016 Special session at the meeting of the Expert Group on National Accounts, to take stock and look forward for follow-up activities


Points to consider

The 2008 SNA to be implemented while still developing the full system of accounts – a challenge or an advantage?

The draft implementation plan tables should be revised by countries during 2012-2013

Technical Assistance and Cooperation: The 2008 SNA implementation depends on the availability of appropriate resources. • Allocation of sufficient resources within the national statistical offices to

ensure that the plans can actually be implemented • Provision of technical assistance by international and regional

organisations during the implementation process• Funding of the different activities, both from national and international

sources, should be considered as part of the implementation plans

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