Understanding change to support adaptationquot;Fisheries, food... · Fisheries and Aquaculture...
Transcript of Understanding change to support adaptationquot;Fisheries, food... · Fisheries and Aquaculture...
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Understanding change to support adaptation
Fisheries and Aquaculture DepartmentFAO
Fisheries, food security and climate servicesFifteenth meeting of the United Nations Open-ended Informal Consultative Process on Oceans and the Law of the Sea
29 May 2014New York, USA
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Biophysical changes from GHG accumulations
Ocean currents
ENSO
Sea level rise
Rainfall
River flows
Lake levels
Thermal structure
Storm Severity
Storm frequency
Acidification
Effects on:
Production Ecology
Fishing &Aquaculture operations
CommunitiesLivelihoods
Wider society & Economy
Impacts on:
Species composition Production & yieldDistributionDiseasesCoral bleachingCalcification
Safety & efficiency Infrastructure
Loss/damage to assetsRisk to health & lifeDisplacement & conflict
Adaptation & mitigation costsMarket impactsWater allocation
CC impacts on fisheries and aquaculture
Badjeck et al, 2010
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6/5/20144
Climatic information is key forthe planning of aquaculture
From the decision where to locatefarms to optimize fish growth to understanding and minimizing the risks associated to major
weather events
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Predicted effects on fisheries ’ catch potential
Cheung et al. 2009
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Economic costs to fisheries
The costs of inactionSEI 2012
Australia - net economic effect on fisheries due to
climate change for the year2030
Norman-Lopez et al 2011
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Climate change impacts on fisheries in West Africa: implications for
economic, food and nutritional security
2050 versus 2000Lam et al 2012
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Participatory environmental monitoring systemsas relevant climate variability
and climate change adaptation tools
�FAO is promoting at pilot level the development and implementation of environmental monitoring and early warning systems to improvefishers and fish farmers preparedness and resilience to climaticvariability and climate change
�Properly designed and operational monitoring actively involves fishers and fish farmers and include variables such as �water conditions/quality, �catch composition, � the condition of farmed species (e.g. signs of stress, diseases), �weather patterns (and other proxies) �Locally observed variables, e.g. fish mortalities, changes in water color and transparency etc.
�Monitoring information is linked to available meteorological information services to provide feed back and early warning advice to local users
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�A pilot development and implementation is taking place in Nicaragua, Estero Real, a shrimp fisheries and shrimp farming mangrove area with two major outputs
�A monitoring manual based on a participatory approach has been developed leaded by Nicaragua fisheries and environmental authorities with support from local communities and relevant stakeholders and is being tested
�An information platform and feedback mechanism that links meteorological, oceanographic, aquaculture and fisheries information, and community level observations/perceptions (including vulnerability perception) is being developed. This includes the development of areal risk maps and early warning mechanisms.
9Sampling points
Simulation of flooding areasafter storm
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A similar initiative is being planned for the Lower Mekong Delta in Asia
�Assisting the compilation of various monitoring systems available and that may be relevant to fisheries and aquaculture and
�A regional workshop to discuss the gaps and needs and planning the development of an integrated monitoring systems that can connect metrological variables and local observations including fish/shrimp diseases ti increase resilience and preparedness of the fisheries and aquaculture sector
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FAO’s next steps
�Helping those who gather and analyze climate information understand the needs specific to fisheries and aquaculture and dependent communities
�Facilitating and enhancing accessing and use of information for decision making at all scales (e.g. policy development to local adaptation)
�Facilitating frameworks for integrating multiple sources of information – from local, indigenous knowledge to IPCC models
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Climate Change Priorities – FI&AQ 2011 -2016 Strategy�Climate change partnerships to support cooperation and
to develop policy and management initiatives�Knowledge base for policy development and to raise
awareness of the importance of the sector, CC implications and vulnerabilities, science policy bridge
�Mitigation actions for sector at the global, regional and national levels; GHG emissions and mitigation potentials.
�Climate change adaptation strategies within sector development frameworks at the global, regional and national levels
�Lesson-learning and capacity-building processes with partners through specific tools, such as strategies and best practices.
�Communication strategy for a range of audiences and develop a coordinated approach to global planning and feedback.
�Resources to support prioritized actions
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Thank You!