Transition North East Perspective to Rrr [Compatibility m

8/8/2019 Transition North East Perspective to Rrr [Compatibility m

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NORTH EAST PERSPECTIVE


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Transition

Is not revival of rural economic activities. Is not satisfying humanitarian needs.

s no recons ruc on o n ras ruc ure. Is not reinstalling systems & structures.

Difficulties in generic prescriptions.


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Context:

War started in a virtually closed economy in20th Century and ended in open market in21st Century.

North East is a conflict emerging society.

Extensive damages and destruction.

Extensive displacement, disabilities &social consequences.

Social & economic cost is extensive.

Transition needs stable environment.

NEP is in pre-transition stage.


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Double-gap situation:

During the war time NEP suffered a

negative GDP.

Living standards to be brought to the

present National levels (First gap).

By that time national levels would havegone up further.

Accelerating strategies will be needed toreach the new national goals (Second gap)

probably by 2015.


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Policy frames:

National sectoral policies are inadequate

to handle the needs of conflict emerging

societies.

- Regaining Sri Lanka &

- Poverty Reduction Strategy

do not have any strategy for North East.

RRR framework depends on

complementary measures under national

policies.


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Model for Rural Development:

North East is essentially rural at the

moment.

Suddenly opened to market forces.

Presence of powerful corporate sector.

There will not be a rural economy even

though the rural development takes place.

Leading to unknown destiny.


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Regional Development withoutDevolution:

Regional development needs greater

devolution.

Partial devolution withoutcomplementary authorities/ not

adequate.

Devolution hostile bureaucracy.


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Frame conditions:

Possibilities of stalemate situation

- returning to war.

- decline in socio-economic condition Humanitarian based rehabilitation &

reconstruction will be the key process during.

Sustaining the benefits and rural assets createdquestionable.

Private sector dormancy.

Frame conditions for sustainable investments yetto evolve.

Inadequate legal and Institutional framework.


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Selected Development Issues in NEP

Poverty and Malnutrition

Unemployment - Low Growth rate

Vulnerability Children, Widows, Women,

Elders and Disabled

Housing Finance Individual / Institutional inability

Marketing

Production Infrastructure

Technology


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Capacity constraints at all level -

Individual, Family , Institutions and

Selected Development Issues in NEPConti.

Lack of accessibility and Linkages


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Delay in procurement. (technicalevaluations and tender decisions)

Capacity of the Executing andImplementing agencies.

Land and re-settlement related issues

Selected Implementation Issues

Inadequate MIS incomplete and delayedreporting.

Inadequate communication and

coordination among executing agencies,implementing agencies, donors and otherstakeholders.


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Lack of qualified technical personnel

Social reluctance & Conflict Environment

Material Supply- Sand, Rubble, Metal, Iron,

Timber

Selected Implementation Issues

Conti.

na equate apa e ontractors Financially, Technically, Professionally

Cost of Material

Capacity of higher level manpower in

departments

Security Procedures


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RR & D initiatives:

Initiatives started during the height of

the war.

MoU raised aspirations.

Multilaterals are the leading donors.


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RRR Funding Needs (Us$ Million)

Sector Immediate MediumBeyond

Medium

Grand

TotalA. Protection and

Resettlement105.9 89.6 6.1 201.6

B. Health 70.9 132.4 125.3 328.6

C. Education 54.4 83.4 44.4 183.1

D. Housing 132.4 173.2 304.4 610.0

E. Infrastructure 233.3 608.7 646.4 1488.5

F. Agriculture 67.5 63.1 11.1 141.7

G. Livelihoods, Employment /

skills and Micro finance 30.3 53.5 12.9 96.7

H. Capacity development and

Institution Strengthening14.4 18.0 3.2 35.6

Total Needs- All Sectors 709.2 1222.9 1153.8 3085.8

Source:- Assessment of Needs in the conflict affected areas - 2003


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RRR need & Rate of resource

MobilizationTotal need US $ - 3086mn(100%)National roads + railway + power - 733mn(Excluding Harbours)

General RRR need - 2353mn

Mobilized up to now

On going projects - US $ 267mn (4.9%).(1999-2004) NEIAP, NECORD & NEERP.

In pipe line - 377mn (12.1%)(2004-2010) CAARP, NEHP, NEIAP-II,

PEACE-II NECCDEP.


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To fill the First Gap Projection(Exclusively for General RR&R)

Current rate of Mobilization - US $ 104mn per year.

Required number of years to mobilize total needs at

For implementation 27 years required at current

rate. First gap will end in 2031.(Of course 1(Of course 1(Of course 1(Of course 1stststst & 2& 2& 2& 2ndndndnd Gaps can be arrestedGaps can be arrestedGaps can be arrestedGaps can be arrested

simultaneously)simultaneously)simultaneously)simultaneously)

???? A worrying Factor.


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Impediments to Transition Impediments are mostly institutionalizedones.

In the present programmes, there are designed

and procedural impediments.

Little linkages polarizations & fragmentationprocess.

When concepts are thrusted from top,sometimes they are lost in the process.


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Impediments to Transition

Cont..

Sometimes the concepts are suggestive ofreinforcement of centralization process.

aspirations.

Very much comfortable with Colombo

centric strategies.

Ambiguities in the roles of the key actors.


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Transition Strategy

Preparation of Transition Strategy should not end in an

extended version of need analysis.

In the end individual families, communities & institutions

s ou ave capac t es to capture eve opment

opportunities, enjoy the proclaimed rights & to takeover

new responsibilities of development & governance.

Donor driven transition or people desired transition.


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Transition North East Perspective to Rrr [Compatibility m

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