TN CD3 Topline Report 7-18-2012

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 Survey of Likely Voters in TN CD3 Topline Report 7-18-2012 2. Generally speaking, would you say things in our area here are headed in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?  Q2-RIGHT-WRONG TRACK  Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Right direction 209 26.1 26.1 26.1 Wrong track 480 60.0 60.0 86.1  Not sure 111 13.9 13.9 100.0 Total 800 100.0 100.0 3. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Bi ll Haslam? Q3-HASLAM FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Very favorable 301 37.6 37.6 37.6 Somewhat favorable 299 37.4 37.4 75.0 Somewhat unfavorable 55 6.9 6.9 81.9 Very unfavorable 18 2.3 2.3 84.1 Don't know-no opinion 127 15.9 15.9 100.0 Total 800 100.0 100.0 4. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Ron Bhalla?  Q4-BHALLA FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent Very favorable 9 1.1 1.1 1.1 Somewhat favorable 106 13.3 13.3 14.4 Somewhat unfavorable 106 13.3 13.3 27.6 Very unfavorable 34 4.3 4.3 31.9 Don't know-no opinion 545 68.1 68.1 100.0 Total 800 100.0 100.0 Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely voters in Tennessee Congressional District 3. The poll was conducte d  July 16-17, 2012, and included 800 respondents. The survey carries a margin of error of +/- 3.44 percentage points.

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5. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Chuck Fleischmann? 

Q5-FLEISCHMANN FAVS 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Very favorable 304 38.0 38.0 38.0

Somewhat favorable 252 31.5 31.5 69.5

Somewhat unfavorable 92 11.5 11.5 81.0

Very unfavorable 71 8.9 8.9 89.9

Don't know-no opinion 81 10.1 10.1 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

6. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Scottie Mayfield?

Q6-MAYFIELD FAVS 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Very favorable 239 29.9 29.9 29.9

Somewhat favorable 267 33.4 33.4 63.2

Somewhat unfavorable 123 15.4 15.4 78.6

Very unfavorable 75 9.4 9.4 88.0

Don't know-no opinion 96 12.0 12.0 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

7. Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Weston Wamp?

Q7-WAMP FAVS 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Very favorable 192 24.0 24.0 24.0

Somewhat favorable 272 34.0 34.0 58.0

Somewhat unfavorable 140 17.5 17.5 75.5

Very unfavorable 64 8.0 8.0 83.5

Dont know-no opinion 132 16.5 16.5 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

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8. Now, if the election for Congress representing our area was today and the candidates wereRon Bhalla, Chuck Fleischmann, Scottie Mayfield, and Weston Wamp, for whom would you

vote?

Q8-BALLOT TEST 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Bhalla 18 2.3 2.3 2.3

Fleischmann 316 39.5 39.5 41.8

Mayfield 225 28.1 28.1 69.9

Wamp 151 18.9 18.9 88.8

 Not sure 90 11.3 11.3 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

9. Thinking of the choice you just made for Congress, how firm would you say you are in your selection?

Q9-FIRM IN CHOICE? 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Very firm 462 57.8 57.8 57.8

Somewhat firm 230 28.7 28.7 86.5

 Not at all firm 108 13.5 13.5 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

PHILOSOPHY 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Moderate 91 11.4 11.4 11.4

Conservative 276 34.5 34.5 45.9

TEA Party conservative 433 54.1 54.1 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

GENDER  

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

Men 400 50.0 50.0 50.0

Women 400 50.0 50.0 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

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REGION 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

 North-Oak Ridge 178 22.3 22.3 22.3

South-Chattanooga 622 77.8 77.8 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

AGE 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

20s or younger 72 9.0 9.0 9.0

30s 89 11.1 11.1 20.1

40s 100 12.5 12.5 32.6

50s 138 17.3 17.3 49.9

60s 209 26.1 26.1 76.0

70s or older 192 24.0 24.0 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0

INCOME 

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent

$50K or less 271 33.9 33.9 33.9

$50K to $75K 170 21.3 21.3 55.1

$75K to $125K 159 19.9 19.9 75.0

$125K or more 66 8.3 8.3 83.3

Refused 134 16.8 16.8 100.0

Total 800 100.0 100.0