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Transcript of The Impact of New Technology on the Public Switched Telephone Network Bob Calaff Director,...
The Impact of New Technology on the Public Switched Telephone Network
Bob Calaff
Director, Technology Policy
T-Mobile USA
2
T-Mobile Overview
Financials (1Q08) 30.8 Million customers $4.6 Billion in service revenues $690 Million in capex 41,000 cell sites (13,000 UMTS capable)
Key Initiatives MyFaves - 5.5 Million subscribers as of 1Q08 FlexPay - Payment option offering postpaid benefits to credit
challenged consumers without need for a deposit ‘3G’ Service - launched in NYC in May; in 20-25 core markets
by EOY HotSpot @Home - converged Cellular/Wi-Fi service
3
Impacts of New Technology
An inexorable march of a number of interrelated factors Wireless displacement Broadband, including 3G Packet (esp. IP-based) Networks Fixed-Mobile Convergence Miniaturization & Personalization
4
Wireless Services Key components
– Radiofrequency spectrum– Cell sites– Interconnection, backhaul, transport & termination– Numbering resources– Handsets
Takeaway: Wireless service only ‘wireless’ from handset to cell site
Cell
Site
Cell
Site
DS1s
Tandem
DS1s (and sometimes
DS3s)
DS3
MSC
CO
5
Wireless Displacement
Source: Goldman Sachs (May 2008)
One perspective: According to Goldman Sachs, 1Q08 RBOC performance “highlights the decreasing relevance of wireline voice for consumers.”
6
Wireless Broadband
• 3G uptake in the US is accelerating, reflecting global trends
• Data revenues are an increasing part of the revenue mix for US wireless operators
Source: Lehman Brothers, May 2008
7
Wireless Broadband (‘3G’)
HD video streaming Multi-view real time
video streaming Interactive 3D graphics
High-resolution video streaming
Mobile Web 2.0
Virtual reality Context &
Preference-Aware Advanced video
display
SMS, Internet Browsing
GPRS/EDGE
UMTS/ TD-SCDMA
HSPA
LTE/Wi-MAX
IMT-Advanced
~ 200kbps
~ 300kbps to 14 Mbps
~ 10 to 100 Mbps
~ 100 Mbps to 1Gbps
Show Time7:30pm
Song 1
Song 2
Purchase
• Why? Increased data rates mean richer services for consumers
Source: Texas Instruments, 4G Mobile Forum (Oct 07)
8
HotSpot @Home
Home PhoneBroadband phone service for life at home
• Convergence brings GSM service richness and coverage benefits inside the home
9
HotSpot @Home
Mobile solution launched last June
Currently trialing home phone solution in Dallas & Seattle
10
What Can State Regulators Do?
You are doing much already. Intermodal Porting Special Access
Calls to intervene re new technology – considered judgment needed
Why intervene?– Market failure– ‘Essential’ service– Market working, but policymakers disapprove of some
aspect How intervene?
– Refrain, as market forces bringing value to consumers– Industry self regulation– Stakeholder agreement– Ex ante regulation