TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN...

63
2011 iNEMI TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, iNEMI CARTS International March 26, 2012 Bally’s Resort Las Vegas, Nevada

Transcript of TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN...

Page 1: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

2011 iNEMI TECHNOLOGY

ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN

FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION

Chuck Richardson, iNEMI

CARTS International

March 26, 2012

Bally’s Resort

Las Vegas, Nevada

Page 2: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Agenda

iNEMI Overview

Roadmap Methodology & Scope

Medical Product Highlights

Passive Component Highlights

Roadmap Summary

Summary Overall

Q & A

1

Page 3: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

About iNEMI

2

International Electronics Manufacturing Initiative (iNEMI) is an

industry-led consortium of 99 global manufacturers, suppliers,

industry associations, government agencies and universities. Working

on advancing manufacturing technology since 1994. Visit us at www.inemi.org.

5 Key Deliverables:

• Technology Roadmaps

• Collaborative Deployment

Projects

• Research Priorities Documents

• Proactive Forums

• Position Papers

4 Major Focus Areas:

• Miniaturization

• Environment

• Energy

• Medical Electronics

Mission: Forecast and Accelerate improvements in the Electronics

Manufacturing Industry for a Sustainable Future.

Page 4: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Global Operations

• iNEMI is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia, USA.

• Opened an office in Shanghai and added a team member in Europe in 2007.

• Dr. Haley Fu is leading operations in Asia, based in Shanghai, China.

• Grace O’Malley is representing iNEMI in Europe from her base in Ireland.

Page 5: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Unique Attributes of the iNEMI Consortium

• Strong Global Membership accompanied by a mission that focuses on identifying global manufacturing challenges

• Delivery of a total industry set of priorities every two years:

– A Technical Plan that defines key collaborative opportunities and gaps in the 1-5 year horizon

– A set of Research priorities for the 5-10 year horizon

• A proven methodology for effective pre competitive collaboration.

• Ability to execute an integrated supply chain approach on solving complex manufacturing and systems integration issues.

• A growing reputation as a proactive, leading organization in the environment and sustainability arena.

4

Page 6: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

5

Product

Needs

Technology

Evolution

GAP Analysis

Technology Plan

Research

Priorities

Research

Projects

Methodology

Competitive

Solutions

Roadmap

Industry Solution

Needed

Academia

Government

iNEMI

Members

Collaborate

No Work

Required

Available

to Market

Place

Global

Industry

Participation Disruptive

Technology

Page 7: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

International Members

Across The Total Supply Chain (Q311)

6

Key Observations:

• New members joining to participate in Environmental and Packaging Projects and

in collaborative R&D opportunities

• 170% Growth in Europe Since 1/1/2010; 60% Industry Growth Overall

• 160% Growth in University/Research Institutes Since 1/1/2010

Total Global Supply Chain Integration

The International Membership Incorporated Location; Number of Members

INEMI Member Business Type North America

Asia Region

Europe Totals

OEM 14 2 2 18

ODM/EMS (inc. pkg. & test services) 4 7 11

Material Suppliers 8 14 11 33

Equipment Suppliers 8 1 2 11

Universities & Research Institutes 8 2 3 13

Organizations/consulting 10 1 2 13

Totals 52 27 20 99

Page 8: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Why Organizations Participate in iNEMI

7

• Opportunity to broaden your organization’s engagement in the

industry

• Better anticipate technology trends & inflexion points

• Collaborate with key players, industry experts, customers and

suppliers, globally – in all major markets

• Get access to learning and knowledge experts within iNEMI

members

• Help influence and create industry-standard solutions that lead to

competitive and best in class products and product attributes

• Help guide and benefit from industry innovation and funded

research

Page 9: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

8

• Cost Reduction by leveraging resources – Typically in the 8X to

20x range on key projects and thrusts:

– Reduce resource demands and $ investments for each

company.

– Ensure technology readiness when required.

– Projects can result in cost reduction (ex. Copper wire bonding).

• Reduce risk of technology introduction

– Reliability – Hard to measure the negative impact of poor

reliability, but can be disastrous.

– Source of supply – Also hard to apply general cost impact

numbers to being late to market – Can also be huge.

Motivation to Participate in Collaborative Projects

Page 10: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Membership

3/2/12

Page 11: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

OEM/ODM/EMS Members

10

Page 12: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Supplier Members

11

Page 13: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Supplier Members – PWB Supply Chain

12

Page 14: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Association/Consortium, Government, Consultant

& University Members

13

pinfa

Page 15: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

iNEMI Areas of “Critical Mass” • Leading OEMs &

Semiconductors

– IBM

– HP

– Dell

– Lenovo

– Intel

– Microsoft

– Delphi

– RIM

– Cisco

– Huawei

– Alcatel Lucent

– Juniper Networks

– Many Medical OEM’s

• Packaging Firms

– STATS ChipPAC

– Amkor

– ASE Group

14

• Laminate/substrate suppliers

– Ibiden

– Samsung Electro Mechanics Co

– NGK/NTK

– Rogers

– Doosan

– Multek

– ITEQ

– Nanya

– Shengyi Sci. Tech.

– Endicott Interconnect Tech.

– Elec & Eltek

– Dyconex

– AT&S

• ODM/EMS firms

– Celestica

– Quanta

– Sanmina SCI

– Plexus

– Flextronics

– Foxconn

• Test Firms

– Agilent

– Asset

– Corelis

– TRI

– Teradyne

• Chemical/Adhesives/Metals

- Dow -- Nippon

- Inventec -- Heraeus

- Henkel

- Indium

Page 16: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Board of Directors

Directors

Dr. Nasser Grayeli, Exec VP of TMG; Director of Corp Q & R, Intel– Chairman

Dr. Marc Benowitz, Director, Reliability & Eco-Env Eng, Alcatel-Lucent

Dr. B.J. Han, Exceutive VP & CTO, STATS ChipPAC

Kevin Keller Chief Engineer, Mfg. Eng & Customer Sat., Delphi

Kim Hyland, Sr. Director of Mfg. Operations Eng., Cisco Systems

Dr. Sundar Kamath, Senior VP – Customer Eng & Technology, Sanmina-SCI

Dr. Jean-Luc Pelissier, CEO, CBA Group LLC

Rob Shaddock, CTO, Senior VP, Tyco Electronics

Michael Toben, Director, Pkg. & Finishing Technology, Dow Electronic Mtls

Barbara Reed, VP, Worldwide ISC Engineering, IBM Integrated Supply Chain

Ex-officio Members

Bill Bader, CEO, iNEMI

Dr. James Olthoff, Deputy Director, EEE Laboratory, NIST

15

Page 17: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Direct Roadmap Development

Opportunities to participate in iNEMI

Research Committee Stimulate research to

address gaps identified by iNEMI roadmaps

Technical Committee

Develop & integrate

technology strategies & plans

Drive/coordinate all technical

activities

Board of Directors Set strategic objectives &

priorities

Ensure financial ethics &

responsibility

Product Needs

6 Product Emulator Groups

Technology Needs

21 Technology Working Groups

Focus Area Steering Committees

Drive progress on key

priorities

Ensure membership support

Direct Collaborative R&D

Regional Steering Committees

Help ensure that iNEMI

addresses member needs in

Europe & Asia

The Technical Plan & Gaps are Defined By:

8 Technology Integration Groups

Gap Analysis

Workshop Identified Gaps

Member Identified Needs

Page 18: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Roadmap Process &

Scope

Page 19: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

18

Industry Led Teams

• Technical Working Group Teams

– Develops the roadmap technology chapters

– Presently 21 Teams and Chapters

• Product Emulator Group Teams

– “Virtual Product”: future product attributes plus key cost and

density drivers – Presently 6 Teams and Chapters

• Portable / Consumer

• Office Systems

• High-End Systems

• Medical Products

• Automotive

• Aerospace/Defense

Page 20: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

19

Product

Needs

Technology

Evolution

GAP

Analysis Research

Projects

Methodology

Competitive

Solutions

Roadmap

Industry Solution

Needed

Academia

Government

iNEMI

Members

Collaborate

No Work

Required

Available

to Market

Place

Global

Industry

Participation Disruptive

Technology

Page 21: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

20 20

2011 Technology Working Groups (TWGs)

Organic PCB Board

Assembly Customer

RF Components &

Subsystems

Optoelectronics Large Area, Flexible Electronics

Energy Storage &

Conversion Systems

Modeling, Simulation,

and Design

Packaging

&

Component

Substrates

Semiconductor

Technology

Final

Assembly

Mass Storage (Magnetic & Optical)

Passive Components

Information

Management

Systems

Test, Inspection &

Measurement

Environmentally

Conscious

Electronics

Ceramic

Substrates

Thermal

Management

Connectors

MEMS/

Sensors

Red=Business Green=Engineering Purple=Manufacturing Blue=Component &

Subsystem

Solid State Illumination

Photovoltaics

Page 22: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

21

Roadmap Development

Product Emulator Groups TWGs

Semiconductor Technology

Design Technologies

Manufacturing Technologies

Comp./Subsyst. Technologies

Modeling, Thermal, etc.

Board Assy, Test, etc.

Packaging, Substrates, Displays, etc.

2013 Product Sector Needs Vs. Technology Evolution

Business Processes

Prod Lifecycle Information Mgmt.

Page 23: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Optoelectronics and

Optical Storage

Organic Printed

Circuit Boards

Magnetic and

Optical Storage

Supply Chain

Management

Semiconductors

iNEMI

Information

Management

TWG

iNEMI

Mass Data

Storage TWG

iNEMI / IPC / EIPC

/ TPCA

Organic PWB

TWG

iNEMI / ITRS /

MIG/PSMA

Packaging

TWG

iNEMI

Board

Assembly

TWG

Interconnect

Substrates—Ceramic

iNEMI Roadmap

iNEMI

Optoelectronics

TWG

Fourteen Contributing Organizations

22

iNEMI / MIG

/ ITRS

MEMS

TWG

iNEMI

Passives

TWG

Page 24: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Statistics for the 2011 iNEMI Roadmap

• > 575 participants

• > 310 companies/organizations

• 18 countries from 4 continents

• Greater than 7 man years of resources in the development

• 21 Technology Working Groups (TWGs)

• 6 Product Emulator Groups (PEGs)

• > 1800 pages of information

• Roadmaps the needs for 2011-2021

• New roadmaps on:

– MEMS/Sensors

– Energy Storage & Conversion

– Aerospace & Defense

• Over 55 long term research priorities identified

• And 160 short to medium term key technical gaps

23

Page 25: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Gap Analysis Leads to

Technical Plan (iNEMI

Projects) and Research

Priorities Documents

Page 26: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

iNEMI Projects/Research

25

22 Projects and 25 Initiatives - Projects

in Definition

Typical Projects have 10-15 members

working pre competitive collaboration

The Project List can be viewed at:

http://www.inemi.org/inemi-projects The Research Priorities Document can

be downloaded at:

http://www.inemi.org/news/2011-inemi-

research-priorities

2011

Research

Priorities

Page 27: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Sample Market

Highlights of Product

Emulator Groups

Page 28: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

310.INemi BES

Prismark LLC

ELECTRONICS PRODUCTION

2009 - 2021

Note: Total includes product categories not included in iNemi segmentation

$Bn 2009 2011 2013 2015 2021 CAAGR

‘09-‘15

CAAGR

‘15-‘21

Computers and Office $396 $433 $474 $500 $617 4.0% 3.6%

Communications Infrastructure Equipment $157 $174 $192 $213 $281 5.2% 4.7%

Consumer and Portable Electronics $298 $319 $341 $400 $479 5.0% 3.1%

Automotive Electronics $105 $129 $158 $161 $237 7.4% 6.6%

Medical Electronics $77 $85 $93 $103 $134 5.0% 4.5%

Military and Aerospace Electronics $118 $129 $140 $151 $189 4.2% 3.8%

Total Electronics Production $1,242 $1,382 $1,541 $1,679 $2,171 5.2% 4.4%

Page 29: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Medical Product

Sector Highlights

Chairs: Fred Sporon-Fiedler, Tony Primavera, Micro Systems Eng.

Page 30: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Medical Market Background

• Global

– 65+ year old population will triple by 2050 .. from

516M (2009) to 1.53B (2050)

– 80+ year old population will increase from 40M

(2009) to 219M (2050)

• Currently, the U.S. (for example) spends 1.75 Trillion

dollars … 15% of 2009 GDP … 25% of GDP 2015

• It is estimated that current annual spending on

medical devices / electronics is 70 to 100 Billion

dollars

• The market opportunities are large and are growing

29

Page 31: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

2013 Key Attribute Spreadsheet Template

30

Page 32: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

31

Medical Products Were Grouped Into Three Major Market Segments

1) Implanted products (devices implanted in a human body)

– Strict regulatory procedures

– Driven by battery life (low power loss) – this limits the use of certain

components such as DRAM due to high energy consumption

– Validation and traceability required

– Long term reliability paramount

– Long development cycles, primary assembly and design by OEMs

2) Portable products (devices that are easily transported)

– Cost parity with consumer / portables

– Dynamic market, needs fast response, 9 to 24 month product cycle time

– Mixed regulatory environment

– Mostly outsourced assembly and design

– Higher Volume; Lower Cost – example – diagnostic ultrasound in PDA size ..

and smaller .. form factors

3) Diagnostic imaging devices and large scale equipment, e.g., MRI, CT

– Larger scale (often similar to servers or telecom equipment)

– Challenging thermal management and heat sinking

– Utilizes commercial off-the-shelf components, when available

– Development cycle is shorter than implantable

– Application and design well suited to EMS environment

Page 33: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

32

Market Drivers in Implantable Medical • Implantable therapy device modalities increasing

– New therapies in Cardiac Devices (4 chamber pacing/shocks)

– Implantable monitoring

– Neurostimulation therapies

– Opthalmic devices, deep brain stimulation etc…

• The average YoY growth rate for implantable products has been between 15-18% for the last 10 years , but slowing in U.S. due to regulatory shifts.

• Remote monitoring is becoming defacto standard. Increased demand for “external wireless telemetry”

Example: >250,000 patients are currently enrolled in

home / remote monitoring system.

These systems are communication devices that interact

with the implanted device and a host network system.

Source: S. Kelly, MIT

Page 34: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Leverage off Other Market Segments

• Implantable market reliability methods can learn from…

– Auto & Military – Learning on harsh environment reliability

in shock, impact and long term low level fatigue

• Portables – wireless medical device systems now becoming

standard

– Personal data device transmits to medical monitoring

facility and physician – communication must be flawless

– SIP and POP in consumer products- Some learning but

additional work needed to better correlate with medical

product needs

• Imaging Systems rely heavily on high end telecom system

components

– Displays, mass storage, wireless and hard-wire data transfer

systems

33

Page 35: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Critical Gaps and Challenges

• Connector technologies that are highly reliable

– Ultra small for implantable products with automated wire attach.

Also require ultra high fidelity signal properties

– Large geometry connectors for imaging systems with superior

contact quality – zero electron loss

• Safety and efficacy in RF traffic wireless telemetry.

– Different frequencies, pulse widths, etc. in medical device

settings are not thoroughly addressed in international standards

• High reliability (10 year life minimum) PCB technologies to

support high density high performance silicon in implantable –

major research need

• High performance energy storage methodologies

– Includes researching and refining energy harvesting the bodies

thermal and motion attributes

• Addressing critical business issues for the medical market:

– Conversion to lead free solder attach technologies

– Simplifying regulatory and time to market challenges

34

Page 36: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Medical MEMS Applications Spread Rapidly

MEMS enable dramatic new possibilities for detecting, analyzing, and

manipulating biomaterials, from proteins to bacteria to blood:

– Disposable blood pressure and home use blood pressure monitors

– Implantable pressure sensors for all types of monitoring (blood, respiration,

intestinal, bowel, etc)

– Flow Sensors for respiratory equipment, dose monitoring.

– Sleep apnea monitoring

– Silicon microphones

– Optical MEMS and Image sensors

– Micro dispensers for targeted and intelligent drug delivery

– Infrared temperature sensors

– Strain sensors, Energy Harvesting

– Accelerometers for hospital beds, pacemakers, defibrillators

– ……and many more!!

35

Page 37: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Passive Component

Background / Highlights

Chair: Ed Mikoski, ECIA

Co-chair: Open

Page 38: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Connectivity is the Key to Consumer Growth

37

Source: 2009 Estimates Morgan Stanley

Page 39: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Ease of Use Improvements Drive Growth

User Interface + Smaller Form Factor + Lower Prices + New Services

38

Page 40: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

The Consumer dominates the Market and

The Market makes the decisions

What does the Consumer want?

– Lower cost

– Higher performance

– Longer battery life

– Innovative features

– Connectivity (wireless)

– Smaller size

– Lighter weight

– Less heat generation

– Rapid availability

39

Page 41: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

3D Integration Roadmap

3D

Packaging

(No TSV)

3D IC Integration C2C/C2W/W2W; microbump bonding; 5 ≤ TSV ≤ 30μm;

20 ≤ memory stack ≤ 50μm; 100 ≤ interposers ≤ 200μm

3D Si Integration W2W pad-pad bonding

(TSV ≤ 1.5μm)

3D Stacking

(wirebonds)

PoP

CMOS image

sensor with TSV

Memory (50μm) with

TSV and microbump

Passive TSV interposer

to support high-

performance chips

CMOS image

sensor with

DSP and TSV

32 memory (20μm)

stacked

Active TSV Interposer

(e.g., Memory on Logic

with TSVs)

Mass

Production

Low Volume

Production 2008 2010 2012 Don’t care

to guess! Mass

Production 2011-13 2013-15 2015-17 Low volume production = only a handful of companies are SHIPPING it; Mass production = many companies are SHIPPING it.

Cu-Cu bonding

SiO2-SiO2 bonding

3D MEMS; 3D LED

Lau, 3D IC Integration PDC

Bumpless

Bumpless

Page 42: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

2011 Roadmap - Passive Component

Chapter Table of Contents

41

COMPONENT/SUBSYSTEM TECHNOLOGIES

Contents

Passive Components ................................................................................................................... 1

1 Executive Summary .................................................................................................... 1

2 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 3

2.1 Definition of Passive Configurations ........................................................................ 3

2.2 Types of Passive Components .................................................................................. 4

3 Situation Analysis ....................................................................................................... 8

3.1 World Market Sizes For Passive Components.......................................................... 8

3.2 Business Issues.......................................................................................................... 9

4 Roadmap of Quantified Key Attribute Needs ........................................................... 10

4.1 Cross-Cutting Issues ............................................................................................... 10

4.2 Requirements for Portable Products ....................................................................... 18

4.3 Requirements for Office / Large Business Systems ............................................... 19

4.4 Requirements for Netcom Products ........................................................................ 25

4.5 Requirements for Automotive Products.................................................................. 26

4.6 Requirements for Medical Products........................................................................ 29

4.7 Requirements for System In Package (SiP) ............................................................ 31

4.8 Assembly of Small Footprint Components ............................................................. 31

4.9 Design, Procurement, and Manufacturing Channels .............................................. 32

5 Technology Trends and Needs.................................................................................. 33

5.1 Capacitors ............................................................................................................... 33

5.2 Resistors .................................................................................................................. 62

5.3 Magnetics ................................................................................................................ 65

5.4 Circuit Protection Components ............................................................................... 66

5.5 Integrated Passives .................................................................................................. 67

6 Gaps and Showstoppers ............................................................................................ 67

7 Recommendations on Potential Alternative Technologies ....................................... 71

7.1 Embedded Passives ................................................................................................. 71

7.2 Embedded Capacitors ............................................................................................. 72

7.3 Embedded Resistors ................................................................................................ 78

7.4 Embedded Magnetics .............................................................................................. 78

8 Contributors .............................................................................................................. 80

9 Glossary .................................................................................................................... 80

10 Terminology .............................................................................................................. 84

11 Bibliography ............................................................................................................. 85

Page 43: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Passives Chapter Situation Analysis

• Passive components, resistors–capacitors, inductors, and circuit

protection–are the highest volume components in electronic devices.

• These components support power management, signal conditioning,

and protection of active devices.

• Sales of these devices are greater than $30 billion per year. The

development and use of passive components are driven by cost,

regulatory, and technical requirements in customer segments.

• Shifts in business patterns have also altered the way passive

components are developed and used.

• Business patterns have continued to shift since the last roadmap driven

by:

– Movement of manufacturing from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)

to electronics manufacturing services (EMS),

– Movement of end device design from OEMs to original design manufacturers

(ODMs)

– Movement of component manufacturing and end device manufacturing from

North America, Europe, and Japan to Asia

42

Page 44: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Medical Product Sector Needs

43

Passive Components Typical Product Family

Passive Devices: State of the Art (production volume) Type/Size 0201 case 0201 case M0402 M0402 1005 case

Embedded PassivesPassives fabricated into the substrate # per sq. cm

0 0 4 8 16

Max. Ohms State of the Art (production volume) ohms / sq. 400 600 700 1M 1.2M

Max. Capacitance State of the Art (production volume) μF / sq. 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5

Min. % tolerance State of the Art (production volume) % 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%

RF Components Typical Product Family

Quality Factor State of the Art (production volume) Q

1000 2000 3000 5000 10000

Capacitance density State of the Art (production volume) nF/sq. cm0.3 1 10 100 500

Inductance req. State of the Art (production volume) nH15 30 300 1000 1000

Insertion loss maximum State of the Art (production volume) db/cm/GHz

0.05 0.008 0.0025 0.001 0.0002

Parameter Descriptions Metric 2009 2011 2013 2015 2021

Page 45: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Ultra thin capacitors (Murata)

• Available in 2 sizes: ‘0402’ and ‘0201’

• Enables placement below ICs

– Typical applications: Modules (SiP), mobile phones

– Very thin ultra low placement force

• Market introduction: April 2010

44

Dimensions 0.6×0.3mm 1.0×0.5mm

Thickness 0.05mm 0.05mm

Capacitance

(@1kHz) 0.01μF 0.1μF

Insulation

resistance

(@4V)

≧10MΩ ≧1MΩ

Nominal

voltage 4V 4V

Temperature

characteristics X5R X5R

Page 46: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

45

TWG Status Issues

• 2011 Issues

– New issues not in previous roadmap that may impact other

TWGs:

– Stacked Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitors for Power Supplies

– Ultra-Thin Discrete Capacitors for Emerging Embedded Technology

– Large Size Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitors

– High Voltage, High Energy, High Current Film Capacitors

– SMD Tantalum Caps at 200°C Continuous Operation

– Heavy Duty Capacitors for High Humidity Conditions

– Aluminum Electrolytic Capacitors for Inverter Reliability

– Additional detail on UltraCapacitors (Super Capacitors)

Page 47: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Passive TWG Major Issue

• Fraudulent and counterfeit parts are increasing

– Confounds product reliability and warrantee issues

– Even sub-penny parts are not immune

– Fear of the phenomena has altered the supply chain

46

Page 48: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Passive Component Issues • Component size reduction – to facilitate placing closer to

semiconductor die

• Ability of components to meet mounting profiles for lead-

free solders

• Ability of components to meet increased temperature,

voltage, and power levels required during use

• The ability for current technologies to continue to drive

capacitance per volume increases in discrete devices

– continuing ability of ceramic capacitor manufacturers to

reduce dielectric thickness

– tantalum capacitor manufacturers to increase charge per

gram without fundamental paradigm shifts in technology.

• The ability to decrease parasitics (ESR and ESL for

capacitors) at the system level

– reductions of parasitics at the component level

– how these components are interconnected with the circuit

47

Page 49: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Passive Component Issues (Continued)

• Counterfeit Components Proliferation / Mediation

• Increasing Regulatory Environment (REACH, etc)

• Demands For “Fail Safe” Failure Modes

• Continued Demand For “Cost Effective” Embedded

Components

• Reporting Requirements for Conflict Materials Tracking

• Rare Earth Material Shortages

• Increased Reliability in Electrolytic Capacitors for inverters

48

Page 50: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Pushing the Envelope

• All of these new technologies are moving very

quickly.

• In today's world the effectiveness of an integrated

supply chain approach is key

• Multiple nodes on the supply chain covering all

aspects of design, materials, assembly, test, etc, etc

• Cooperative roadmap efforts of groups (such as,

ECIA, MIG, iNEMI, IPC, TPCA and ITRS) are key to

clarify timing and needs

• There are many/many opportunities for collaborative

R&D

– An iNEMI Strength and Core Capability

49

Page 51: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Summary

Page 52: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Situation Analysis

• Convergence of markets is gaining speed

– Medical-Consumer

– Automotive-Entertainment

– Communication-Entertainment

• Growth of MEMs applications will escalate – consumer, automotive, medical

• Rapid evolution of 3D packaging led by consumer markets

• Proactive Rare Earth Metals and Conflict Materials management are required

• Trends on environmental regulation growth globally

• Energy Storage criticality increasing:

– Miniaturization & battery life in consumer & medical

– Improvements in Automotive affects the total supply chain

– Growing opportunity for smart grid, solar, wind system storage

51

Page 53: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

The iNEMI Deliverables Are Key

• Technology continues to move at a faster rate of

change

• Driven in many cases by short life cycle, low cost, high

volume product

• Many of these “cool new things” don’t port well or

quickly to high reliability markets such as automotive,

medical, or high end networking

• We have numerous collaborative R&D projects working

challenging supply chain wide issues

• Key deliverables from iNEMI were the 2011 Technical

Plan (available only to members) and the 2011 Research

Priorities

52

Page 54: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

14 Existing Projects at End of 2011

Project name Status

Copper Wire Bonding Reliability - Phase 2 TV build, start test in April

Advanced Si-node Pb-free Underfill Reliability White paper & test plan developing

Eco-Impact Evaluator for ICT Equipment - Phase 2 Ongoing

Pb-Free Early Failure - Phase 2 Closing

Creep Corrosion - Phase 3 2nd experiment done, doing FA

HFR-Free PCB Materials - Phase 2 Closing, discussing future opportunity

Connector Particle Thickness Ongoing

Rare Earth Metals Assessment and Supply Chain Actions Ongoing

Boundary Scan - Structural Test of External Memory Starting a new phase

Wiring Density for Organic Packaging Substrates Summarizing survey outputs

Pb-Free Rework Optimization, Phase 3 (Reliability Evaluation) On going

Characterization of Pb-Free Alloy Alternatives Test ongoing

Halogen-Free (BFR) High-Reliability PCB Closing

Pb-Free Component & Board Finish Reliability Closing

Page 55: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

6 New Projects – Launched in 2012

• Board Assembly TIG – Counterfeit Components Assessment

• Medical TIG – Reliability Requirements for Implantable Medical Devices

– Qualification Methods for Portable Medical Products

– Component Specifications for Medical Products

• Test TIG – Structural Test of External Memory Devices – Addendum

• Manufacturing Strain Guidance for PCBAs

• Improving UL Certification of Laminates and PCBs

• Warpage Characteristics of Organic Packages

Page 56: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

5 Active Initiatives – Under Formation

• Packaging Equipment Working Group

• SOW in final development

• MEMS Initiatives

• MEMS Reliability Methodologies

• MEMS Test Methods and Capabilities

• Medical Initiatives

• Supply Chain Support for Medical Devices

• MRI/X-Ray Compatibility with Implantable Devices

Page 57: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

At least 8 Other Proposed Initiatives

• Material Evaluation for Low-Loss, High Reliability

Applications

• Rework of ultra small components, PoP

• Surface finish evaluations by market segment

• Molding Compounds for packages

• Underfill Materials

• Side to side registration of PCBs

• Delamination and Pad Cratering of PWBs

• Medical Flex

Page 58: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Summary

• We have 20 active projects with typically 10-15 companies

participating.

• We have:

– 5 initiatives in formation

– 8 initiatives proposed as potential new projects

– 6 research proposals

• To participate in initiatives you do not need to be an iNEMI

member.

• To participate in projects you must be an iNEMI member

57

Page 59: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Example of a Roadmap Driven Solution

• The 2009 iNEMI Environmentally Conscious

Electronics Roadmap Chapter identified a need to be

proactive in identifying opportunities for the

electronics industry.

• This resulted in a project proposal to remove

potentially harmful halide additives from PCBs – prior

to having to react to legislation mandating action.

• This issue was clarified in the 2009 Technical Plan. A

project proposal came forward from the iNEMI

membership.

• The project is called the “HFR-Free Technology

Leadership Program” and was divided into two

subprojects:

– “HFR- Free Materials”

– “HFR-Free Signal Integrity”.

Page 60: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Example of a Roadmap Driven Solution-Continued • The Signal Integrity and phase 1 of the Materials projects ran for

approximately 18 months.

• Results were shared with the supply chain via papers and webinars.

• The results verified that substitute materials for halogen fire

retardants are available.

• Offer a “drop in” replacement for many high frequency applications at

a competitive cost.

• This team also provided a specific test specification for HFR-free

laminate materials

• Worked to ensure that sufficient volume capability was being brought

on line by the supply chain to effect a smooth transition

• There are many more examples of iNEMI projects that have been

completed for the purpose of facilitating the unimpeded growth of the

electronics supply chain.

• iNEMI typically has 20 active collaborative R&D projects at all times

– Each with 10-15 companies working together focused on targeted

results.

Page 61: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

The iNEMI Roadmap Availability And Development • 2011 iNEMI Roadmap Availability

– The 2011 iNEMI Roadmap CD is available for order at

www.inemi.org

– Individual roadmap chapters are also available as a PDF

document at www.inemi.org

• 2013 iNEMI Roadmap Development Cycle

– Formal start was October 21st, 2011 at SMTAI

– Please contact Chuck Richardson @ [email protected] for

opportunities to participate

We encourage you to contribute!

It is a global, full supply chain, industry wide look at future

technology metrics & gaps

– Not a requirement to be an iNEMI member

60

Page 62: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

Be Involved!!

Q&A

Thank You!

Page 63: TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP AND ITS PLACE IN …thor.inemi.org/webdownload/Pres/CARTS_2012/CARTS_032612.pdfPLACE IN FULFILLING THE iNEMI MISSION Chuck Richardson, ... – Juniper Networks ...

62

www.inemi.org Email contacts:

Grace O’Malley (Europe)

[email protected]

Haley Fu (Asia)

[email protected]

Chuck Richardson (Roadmap)

[email protected]

Bob Pfahl (V.P. Operations)

[email protected]

Bill Bader (CEO)

[email protected]