StrategicCapacityMgmt
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Transcript of StrategicCapacityMgmt
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STRATEGIC CAPACITY MANAGEMENT
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ObjectivesObjectives
To understand the strategic capacity planning
To learn some methods that help strategic capacity
planning To understand capacity expansion strategies
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Strategic Capacity PlanningStrategic Capacity Planning
CapacityCapacity is the ability to hold, receive, store, oraccommodate raw materials, finished products,customers, etc.
Strategic capacity planningStrategic capacity planning is an approach fordetermining the overall capacity level of capital intensive
resources, including facilities, equipment, and overalllabour force size.
Capacity usedCapacity used is the rate of output actually achieved.
The best operating levelbest operating level is nominally the capacity for
which the process was designed.Capacity Used
Capacity Utilization RateBest Operating Level
!
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Best Operating LevelBest Operating Level
Example:Example:
Engineers design engines and assembly lines to operate at anideal or best operating level to maximize output and minimizewear.
Under-utilization
Best Operating Level
Averageunit costof output
Volume
Over-utilization
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Capacity UtilizationCapacity Utilization
Example:Example:
During one week of production, a plant produced 83 units of aproduct. Its historic best utilization was 120 units per week. Whatis this plants capacity utilization rate?
Capacity UsedCapacity Utilization RateBest Operating Level
!
83 /
0.69 69%120 /
units week
units week! ! !
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Economies ofScaleEconomies ofScale
100-unit
plant200-unit
plant 300-unitplant
400-unitplant
Volume
Averageunit costof output
Economies of scale and operating level curves
Diseconomies of scale start to take effect
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Experience (Learning) CurvesExperience (Learning) Curves
As plants produce more products, they gain experience inthe best production methods and reduce their costs per unit.
Total accumulated production of units
Cost/priceper unit
Yesterday
Today
Tomorrow
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Other Capacity Planning ConceptsOther Capacity Planning Concepts
The concept of the focused factoryfocused factory (also called capacitycapacityfocusfocus) holds that production facilities work best whenthey focus on a fairly limited set of production objectives.
The plants within plantsplants within plants (PWP) concept extendscapacity focus ideas to an operational level.
Capacity flexibilityCapacity flexibility allows rapid increase or decrease ofproduction levels, and can be achieved in three ways:
Flexible plants
Flexible processes
Flexible workers
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Capacity PlanningCapacity Planning
Three important considerations in capacity planning: Maintaining system balance
In the ideal case, the output of one stage is the exact inputrequirements for the next stage.
Frequency of capacity additions
There are costs in adding capacity too frequently as well as tooinfrequently.
External sources of capacity
It might be cheaper to outsource some production.
Determining capacity requirements Forecast sales (within each individual product line)
Calculate equipment and labour requirements to meet forecasts
Project equipment and labour availability
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Capacity Requirements ExampleCapacity Requirements Example
A manufacturer produces mustard in small and family-sized plastic bottles, with the following demand forecasts.
Three 100,000 units-per-year machines are available for smallbottle production. 2 operators are required per machine.
Two 120,000 units-per-year machines are available for family-
sized bottle production. 3 operators are required per machine.
How much capacity is used and what are the machineand labour requirements?
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Small (000's) 150 170 200 240Family (000's)
115 140 170 200
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Capacity Requirements Example (2)Capacity Requirements Example (2)
Machine capacity: 300 000 small, 240 000 family size
Labour availability: 6 for small, 6 for family size
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Small (000's) 150 170 200 240
Family (000's) 115 140 170 200
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Small (000's) 150 170 200 240
Family (000's) 115 140 170 200Small
% capacity used 50.00%machines req'd 1.50
labour req'd 3.00
Family Size
% capacity used
machines req'd
labour req'd
150 0000.50
300 000
! !
150 0001.5
100 000 per machine! !
21.5 3.0
operatorsmachines
machine! v !
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Small (000's) 150 170 200 240
Family (000's) 115 140 170 200Small
% capacity used 50.00%machines req'd 1.50
labour req'd 3.00
Family Size
% capacity used 47.92%machines req'd 0.96
labour req'd 2.88
115 0000.4792
240 000! !
115 0000.96
120 000 per machine! !
30.96 2.88operatorsmachinesmachine
! v !
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Small (000's) 150 170 200 240
Family (000's) 115 140 170 200Small
% capacity used 50.00% 56.67% 66.67% 80.00%machines req'd 1.50 1.70 2.00 2.40
labour req'd 3.00 3.40 4.00 4.80
Family Size
% capacity used 47.92% 58.33% 70.83% 83.33%machines req'd 0.96 1.17 1.42 4.25
labour req'd 2.88 3.50 4.25 5.00
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Decision TreesDecision Trees
A decision treedecision tree is a schematic model of the steps in thecapacity planning problem.
Steps:1. Draw the various decisions
2. Add the possible states of nature, probabilities, and payoffs
3. Determine the expected value of each decision
4. Make decision (the one with maximum expected value)
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Decision Trees ExampleDecision Trees Example
A glass factory specializing in crystal experiences substantial
backlog, and management is considering three courses of action:A. Arrange for subcontracting
B. Construct new facilities
C. Do nothing (no change)
The correct choice depends largely upon demand, which may be low,
medium, or high. By consensus, management estimates therespective demand probabilities as 0.1, 0.5, and 0.4.
The management also estimates the profits when choosing from thethree alternatives under the differing probable levels of demand.These profits, are as follows:
Low (p=0.1) Medium (p-0.5) High (p=0.4)
A 10 000 50 000 90 000
B -120 000 25 000 200 000
C 20 000 40 000 60 000
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Decision Trees Example (2)Decision Trees Example (2)
Medium demand (0.5) $50k
Medium demand (0.5) $25k
Medium demand (0.5) $40k
AA
BB
CC
Decisions:Decisions: States, probabilities, and payoffs:States, probabilities, and payoffs:
High demand (0.4) $90k
Low demand (0.1) $10k
High demand (0.4) $200k
Low demand (0.1) -$120k
High demand (0.4) $60k
Low demand (0.1) $20k
StartStart
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Decision Trees Example (3)Decision Trees Example (3)
Medium demand (0.5) $50k
Medium demand (0.5) $25k
Medium demand (0.5) $40k
AA
BB
CC
Expected values ofeach decision:Expected values ofeach decision:
High demand (0.4) $90k
Low demand (0.1) $10k
High demand (0.4) $200k
Low demand (0.1) -$120k
High demand (0.4) $60k
Low demand (0.1) $20k
! !0.4 90 0.5 50 0.1 10 $62kA
EV
, ,A A i A ii
EV P V
!
! !0.4 200 0.5 25 0.1 120 $80.5kBEV
! !0.4 60 0.5 40 0.1 20 $46kC
EV
Choose decision B
(highest expected value)
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Service Capacity vs. Manufacturing CapacityService Capacity vs. Manufacturing Capacity
Capacity planning in services is different than inmanufacturing in three key ways:
Time
Goods can not be stored for later use
Capacity must be available to provide a service when it is needed
Location
Service goods must be at the customer demand point
Capacity must be located near the customer
Volatility of demand
Much greater in services than in manufacturing
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Service Growth MatrixService Growth Matrix
Chain restaurants
Hotels
Car and truck rentalsAirlines
Specialty stores
Department storesBanks
Dry cleanersRestaurants
Mom and pop stores
HospitalsResorts
Universities
Multisite
Single-site
Single-service Multi-service
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CapacityExpansion Strategies:CapacityExpansion Strategies:
EntrepreneurialStageEntrepreneurialStage
Shift resources to different tasks as needed
Customer co production
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CapacityExpansion Strategies:CapacityExpansion Strategies:
Multisite Rationalization StageMultisite Rationalization Stage
Add services to existing site
Duplicate existing services at additional sites
Do both
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CapacityExpansion Strategies:CapacityExpansion Strategies:
Growth StageGrowth Stage
Bermuda Triangle of operational complexity Management difficulty exceeds management ability
New capacity management challenges Need for fresh ideas
Need to upgrade older facilities
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CapacityExpansion Strategies:CapacityExpansion Strategies:
MaturityStageMaturityStage
Focus on operational efficiencies
Remodeling and replacement
Service modification
Duplication across entire service system
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SummarySummary
Capacity decisions should be made carefully, as they
can commit significant resources to assets that
cannot be changed easily or economically.
Capacity is affected by management decisions
regarding the number ofhours worked, product mix,
staffing levels, machine capabilities, level ofquality,and product yield.
Watch out for the Bermuda Triangle ofoperational
complexity, where management difficulty exceeds
management ability (management bottleneck!).