Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited 71 Great Peter Street London SW1P 2BN SOCIETY OF...

Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited71 Great Peter Street London SW1P 2BN

SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED

The UK Automotive SceneDavid Croxson – SMMT Head of International

SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED PAGE 2

An introduction to SMMT

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)is the principal UK motor industry trade association

• Since 1902 - representing the UK industry - vehicle manufacturers, OEM component and independent aftermarket manufacturers, suppliers and distributors www.smmt.co.uk .

• Liaising with UK government – Automotive Council.

• Contact with EU Commission and trade bodies to influence national and international standards and legislation – and help members access UK and European government funding.

• Promoting industry - inward / outward trade delegations / exhibitor groups overseas, organising UK Commercial Vehicle Show and Meet the Buyer B2B events.

• Support on technical and vehicle legislation, e-business, quality, environment, education and training.

• Providing data services - acknowledged as reliable, accurate and comprehensive.

http://www.smmt.co.uk/


Introduction to the UK automotive sector

• Rising to the economic challenge – production and registration

• A place in the global market – foreign investment and exports

• Climate change and emissions

• Government and industry working together – a low-carbon future

• Research & Development in the UK

• UK Supply Chain

• Electric, Ultra-Low Carbon and Alternatively Fuelled Vehicles

• A European perspective


UK Automotive rising to the challenge

• April year to date manufacturing volumes for cars and engines strong, CVs weaker.

• Major strides in reducing environmental impact in products and manufacturing processes.

• New car sales totalled 1.94mn. units in 2011, down 4.4% on 2010, but ahead of the 1.92mn. forecast.

• In 2011 better than expected trend in commercial vehicle registration: truck registrations up 42,944 units (24.6%), vans to 3.5t registrations up 16.7% to 260,153. Bus & Coach down 12.8%.

• 2011 UK production remained encouraging – strong export growth

• Significant increase in UK investment by VMs in R&D and local sourcing of components.

• Car production up 5.8%, engine production up 4.9% on 2010 but commercial vehicle production down 2.3%.


A place in the global market

• Large majority of UK vehicle assembly capacity owned by non-British companies.

• Focus on quality, flexibility and emerging technologies and markets.

• New growth technologies – electric vehicles, low-carbon energy efficient engines, new powertrains, instrumentation and controls.

• Significant focus on increasing purchasing sourced from UK.

• Unique global talent and resource in, automotive academia, independent design engineering, motorsport and formula motor racing - closely linked to mainsteam automotive manufacturing.

• UK remains 4th largest vehicle manufacturer in Europe.

• High proportion of automotive production continues to be exported.

• Vehicle and engine production increasing in both 2010 and 2011

• Exports continue to increase – 83.7% car, 57.7% commercial vehicle and 70.2% engine production exported.


Climate Change and Emissions

• Post Durban 2011 – increased European focus on climate change and air quality inevitable.

• Strong UK government focus on e-mobility but government is technology neutral.

• Transition to ultra low carbon vehicles is high priority.

• SMMT’s publication of CO2 Report tracks further reductions in CO2 and emission – with further improvements anticipated.

• Several UK cities installing charging points and SMMT EV Group supporting emerging technical and standards agenda in Europe.

• Introduction of Euro 6 emission standard for heavy commercial vehicles significant challenge for industry.

• Emissions in 2011 fell by 4.2% to 138.1g/km average – down 23% since 2000.

• Diesel and AFVs take 50.6% and 1.3% of market respectively in 2011. EV registrations 1,098 units.


Government and Industry Working Together

• Automotive Council set up in December 2009.

• Effective collaboration to identify challenges and stimulate growth.

• Sub groups for Supply Chain and Technology focus

• Publication of: Commodities Roadmap and Technology Roadmap

• Meet the Buyer events develop local UK sourcing opportunities.

• Technology Strategy Board (TSB) and Office for Low Emission Vehicles (OLEV) coordinating R&D funding spend to best advantage.

• Low Carbon Vehicle Innovation and Public procurement Programmes launched

• Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) coordinating academic research and linkage with industry.

• SEMTA and Skills Academy - responding to increased demand for engineering skills through apprenticeships, graduate programmes and staff training courses.


Research & Development in the UK

• UK government introducing beneficial tax changes and incentives to support manufacturing R&D.

• Development of wide range of low carbon vehicle, associated technologies and infrastructure.

• R&D in UK automotive is over £1.5bn per annum increasing 9% year on year.

• World class universities linked to industry creating inward investment opportunities.

• Low CO2 engine technology has led to significant new VM investment.

• UK is aiming to be global centre of excellence for low carbon and high value technologies.

• EV investment, research, development and production in UK at an increasing level


UK supply chain

• Around 2,350 UK companies regard themselves as ‘automotive’ suppliers, employing around 82,000 people – SMMT Automotive Industry Finder database

• About 80% of all component types required for vehicle assembly operations can be procured from UK suppliers but two thirds in value of OEM requirement is imported.

• The UK automotive supply chain estimated to be £7.4bn per annum, typically generates further £4.5 - £5bn of added value annually.

• Automotive Council Supply Chain Group survey and report published – sourcing roadmap.


Electric, Ultra Low Carbon and Alternatively Fuelled Vehicles

• UK Government policy suite to encourage early market adoption.

• £300 million Plug In Car and Plug In Van grants.

• Recent move towards hydrogen with UKH2Mobility initiative.

• Third round of Green Bus Fund announced – 526 hybrid-electric and 16 all electric buses purchased under scheme.

• £8 million Green Truck Fund for low emission HGVs.

• Government initiative to encourage 8000 charging points by 2013 – 2500 installed as at October 2011


A European perspective

• Close involvement with ACEA, CLEPA and FIGIEFA to influence European Commission agenda.

• Development and harmonisation of technical standards and regulations continues apace with e-mobility, safety and security.

• Close liaison with UK Department of Transport to influence UNECE WP29.

• Whole Vehicle Type Approval, Harmonised Light Vehicle Testing, EU Noise Limits are challenging for industry.

• Europe still has significant economic growth, sovereign debt and overcapacity issues to resolve.


Why Inward Investors Choose the UK

• Proven industry capability.

• In EU / outside Euro / Internationally aware / globally connected / politically stable

• English speaking, flexible and skilled labour force.

• Extensive, sophisticated & established vehicle and components manufacturing cluster.

• World-leading hub of innovation and R&D.

• Strength and direction of the Automotive Council and Government support for automotive R&D and manufacturing.

• World leader in the development, demonstration, manufacture and use of ultra-low carbon automotive technology.

BMW Mini

Jaguar C-X75 Prototype now to go into production

The UK is leading the change for new transport low carbon technologies and reducing production and usage emissions.



Supplementary information on UK Auto Sector


Key elements of the sector

• Strong independent design engineering and testing base.• Significant foreign manufacturing investment and R&D investment /

spend.• Efficient manufacture and high export ratios of both volume and

premium / niche vehicles.• Strong powertrain sector with technological innovation and scale.• Low carbon technology and electric vehicle development and

manufacture, with strong government support.• Comprehensive OEM aftermarket component manufacture,

distribution, service and repair capacity.• In depth HE academic study & research and FE sector training.• Highly sophisticated retail and distribution logistics import / export

services.


Key issues for the UK automotive industry

• Economic crisis in Europe, alongside market decline / overcapacity in some markets.

• Sustainable Government support? Problems with suppliers’ access to finance.

• Low cost economy countries / High growth markets – both opportunity and competitive threats.

• Local supply chain fragmented - erosion “hollowing out”/ overseas head office decision making.

• Some SMEs lack global trade awareness / global competitiveness / skills and training.

• Maintaining manufacturing efficiency, investment in UK based design engineering, research and development.

• Environmental / Low carbon legislation, Alternative fuels, ICE hybrids, Electric vehicles.


Key UK technology opportunities

• Build and retain capacity in “sticky” technologies , ie:– Energy storage and management– Electric motors and power electronics– Lightweight technologies

– CO2 and emissions reduction technology

• Other key technologies in which UK has potential:– In-vehicle communications and management systems,

driver communications; congestion warning systems; navigation; telematics.

– Materials; composites and alternative materials / jointing technology

– Environmental protection / emissions– Rapid prototyping and manufacturing process improvement.


UK Market Overview - 1

• 31 key vehicle manufacturing sites: seven volume passenger car, 11 commercial vehicle, bus, coach and taxi manufacturers.

• Global base for engine manufacture - over 2.5m. in 2011.

• 19 of the world’s top 20 industry suppliers and 7 global volume vehicle manufacturers located in UK.

• Motor sport cluster for development and manufacture: eight F1 teams supported by >300 specialist motorsport companies.

• Many foreign vehicle manufacturers now have UK-based R&D centres: Nissan at Cranfield; Ford at Dunton; SAIC at Longbridge; Changan at Nottingham; TATA at Warwick. – and Jaguar-Land Rover

• Creation of UK Automotive Council – framework for collaboration with Government to improve the UK investment offer and positioning of UK as centre for ultra low carbon development.



• Majority of UK automotive manufacturing foreign-owned.

• Mature market, 4th largest car producer in EU*.

• Exports average >£25 billion annually, over 10% of UK exports.

• 2011 car production 1.34mn, up from 1.27m in 2010, a 5.5% increase; exports increased from 75% in 2010 to 83.7% in 2011.

• Commercial vehicle production consistently > 200,000 between 2004-8, but reduced to 90,000 in 2009 (not supported by scrappage scheme). 2010 production back to c123,000, with exports c70% but 2011 saw further 2.3% reduction to 120,000 units with exports reducing to 69,000 units being 57.7% of production.

• UK had fourth highest R&D spend in Europe at over £1.5 billion p.a.

* Source OICA



SMMT 12th Annual Sustainability Report published 2011, with 18 signatory companies - across the broader industry, showed year on year:

• Manufacturing turnover up 20% to £49bn.• Output up 27.8%, returning to pre-recession volumes.• Number of vehicles exported up 31%, totalling £29bn in value.• Energy use per vehicle produced down 8%.

• Manufacturing CO2 emissions down 10.5% per vehicle produced.

• Manufacturing waste to landfill produced per vehicle down 8%.• New automotive apprenticeships up 9% adding to the 737,000 jobs

dependent on the sector.


Automotive Council – www.automotivecouncil.co.uk

A very powerful industry and government partnership

Has helped to transform automotive business environment to provide a more compelling investment proposition for related industries:

• Expanding technology roadmaps for low carbon vehicles and fuels, to help promote the UK as a strong candidate to develop these and other technologies;

• Developing commodities roadmap helping to develop a stronger and more competitive automotive supply chain;

• Providing a very strong public voice for the industry to support the value of the industry to the UK and to global partners;

• Ensuring high level, strategic, continuous conversation between government and the automotive industry in the UK.


UK Production

Restructuring, Rebirth, Recession, Recovery

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '160.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8SMMT Production Outlook 20112- 16

Veh

icle

Pro

duc

tion

in M

illio

ns

Years


Long-term commitment to UK – major announcements in 2010-11

• BMW: £500m investment across all 3 UK facilities for the 3rd generation MINI; expansion of

range to include Coupe and Roadster Minis

• Ford: 5 year £1.5bn investment in engineering and manufacturing facilities.

• GM: next generation Vivaro confirmed for Vauxhall’s Luton plant from 2013/4.

• Honda: commitment to new Civic and CRV, following total £1.4bn investment at Swindon.

• Nissan: £420m investment to make LEAF and batteries; £192m investment for new Qashqai

• Tata JLR: retaining three vehicle assembly sites, build new engine factory, widen product

range, creating >2,000 new jobs; >£2bn of supply contracts for the Range Rover Evoque;

£490mn investment for C-X75 hybrid supercar

• Tata: establishment and expansion of European Technical Centre.

• Aston Martin: Cygnet production to create 150 new jobs; Rapide production moving to Gaydon

from Austria.

• McLaren: MP4-12C to be produced in Woking.

• SAIC MG: MG6 GT to be designed engineered and assembled in Longbridge.

• Optare: new 1,200 capacity bus manufacturing facility in Yorkshire..


Changing Dynamics of UK Car SectorDemise of the old UK ‘Big 3’ - Growth of Japanese & BMW

1972 1982 1999 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

500

1000

1500

2000

2500 Others

BMW

Honda

Toyota

Nissan

Land Rover

Jaguar

Vauxhall

Peugeot

Ford

Rover

UK

Veh

icle

Pro

du

ctio

n in

Th

ou

san

ds


UK vehicle manufacturers’ product ranges

VOLUME CARS• BMW - Mini range, incl. Clubman, Coupe and Roadster• Honda - Civic, CR-V & Jazz• Jaguar – XJ, XK XF• Land Rover - Defender, Discovery, Freelander, Range Rover,

Range Rover Sport & Evoque • Nissan – Note, Qashqai & Juke (and Leaf electric from 2013)• Toyota - Auris, Auris Hybrid & Avensis• Vauxhall – Astra

COMMERCIAL• Alexander Dennis - buses & coaches• Dennis Eagle - refuse trucks• Ford - Transit van, Transit Minibus• Vauxhall – Vivaro van and minibus, plus Renault Trafic

versions• Leyland Trucks - trucks• London Taxis Int - TX4 taxi and hydrogen fuel cell

demonstrator• Optare - single & double deck buses• Wrightbus - buses

PRESTIGE / NICHE LOW VOLUME CARS• Aston Martin - DB9, Vantage, Virage, Cygnet • Bentley – Continental, Mulsanne • Caterham - Classic, Super 7• Ginetta - F400, G50EV & G50R road cars & G20, G40, G40

Junior, G50 & Zytek race cars• Lotus - Elise, Evora, Exige ; new Elan, Elise & Esprit • McLaren Automotive MP4-12C sports car (from 2011)• Morgan – Supersports, 4/4 Sport, 4 seater, Plus4,

Roadster & Roadster Sport sports cars• Rolls Royce - Phantom & Ghost• SAIC - MG6 saloon

FORMULA 1• McLaren racing• Mercedes F1 - formerly Brawn• Red Bull • Williams F1• Renault F1• Force India• Lotus F1• Virgin Racing


Engine manufacture

2.5mn. engines manufactured in 2011 (up 4.9% from 2010). Key manufacturing plants include:

• Ford, Dagenham & Bridgend (P&D) 1,701,787

• BMW, Hams Hall (P) 433,689

• Honda, Swindon (P&D) 97,368

• Toyota, Deeside (P) 127,724

• Nissan, Sunderland (P) 135,958

• VW, (Bentley) Crewe(P) 7,528


UK Design and Engineering Skills

• Product planning and development.

• Vehicle conceptualisation and styling.

• Rapid prototyping services.

• Manufacturing engineering/feasibility.

• Structural analysis & vehicle simulation.

• Vehicle body, chassis, powertrain & trim.

• Vehicle component development.

• Electrical and electronics, chip designing.

• Engine engineering.

• Testing and validation, homologation.

• Special training packages (for CAE, CAM).


UK Car Production

• Car output in 2011 increased 5.8% to 1,343,810 (2010 - 1,270,444)

• Nissan highest production at 480.485 – increase of 13.5% on 2010

• Export market at record high - 83.7% of production

'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '110

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

1800000

2000000

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%


UK Commercial Vehicle Production

• 2011 production reduced by 2.3% at 120,189 vehicles (2010 - 123,019)

• Vauxhall, IBC and Ford = 82.6% of all CV production

• Export market percentage reduces to 57.7% of production (2010 - 69.5%)

'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '110

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%


Vehicle production – rolling year totals at April 2012

Car production rolling year total CV production rolling year total

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800Total Export

'000

s

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201250

100

150

200

250

Total Export

'000

s


Production Exports / Registration Imports

The UK increasingly manufactures cars to export and imports cars to drive

83.7% production exported - 87.2% registrations imported

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

100.00

ExportsImports

% o

f ve

hic

le p

rodu

ctio

n an

d re

gist

ratio

ns


UK New Car Registrations

• New car demand totalled 1,94mn. units in 2011, down 4.4% on 2010, but ahead of the 1.92mn. forecast.

• The Ford Fiesta was the best selling new car in 2011, VW Golf the best selling diesel model. The Supermini segment remains the largest in the UK, with a market share almost unchanged on 2010 at 36.3%. The Executive, Luxury Saloon and Dual Purpose segments all recorded growth in registrations in 2011.

• Diesel and alternatively fuelled cars both took record market shares over the year.

• Average new car CO2 emissions fell to a new low of 138.1g/km in 2011, down 4.2% on the 2010 level.

• The market is forecast to be broadly stable in 2012, with firmer recovery expected in 2013.

• Diesel and alternatively-fuelled cars took record shares in 2011 with diesel volumes surpassing petrol volumes for the first time.


New Car Registrations

J F M A M J J A S O N D0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

SIS 2010 2011

Monthly new car registrations, 2010 and 2011

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 131,900,000

2,000,000

2,100,000

2,200,000

2,300,000

2,400,000

2,500,000

2,600,000

Actual Forecast @Sept '11

Annual new car registrations, 2004 to 2013


Distribution of new car market by mpg 2004 and 2011

2004

> 70 mpg (0%)

55 to 70 mpg (7%)

50 to 55 mpg (10%)

45 to 50 mpg (23%)

35 to 45 mpg (41%)

< 35 mpg (19%)

2011

> 70 mpg (3%)

55 to 70 mpg (35%)

50 to 55 mpg (20%)

45 to 50 mpg (17%)

35 to 45 mpg (21%)

< 35 mpg (4%)


Average new car miles per gallon (mpg) and CO2 g/km, 2004 to 2011

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 1140

42

44

46

48

50

52

54

56

135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

175

MPG (left axis) CO2 (right axis)

MP

G

CO

2 g

/km


Diesel share of the UK new car market, 2004 to 2013

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

Actual Forecast at Sept '11


April 2012: AFV and EV registrations data

Market Sector Market Sector Line

Month End Year To Date Month End Last Year

Year To Date Last Year

CAR GRANT SCHEME 128 488 174 438

CARS DIESEL/ELECTRIC HYBRIDS

103 299 0 0

OTHERS 189 700 113 335

PETROL/ELECTRIC HYBRIDS

1,519 8,843 1,693 8,945

PLUG-IN HYBRID 0 0 0 3

PURE EV 92 430 179 450

RANGE EXTENDER

39 64 0 0

CARS 1,942 10,336 1,985 9,733


April 2012: AFV and EV registrations data

Vehicle Category

April Year-to-date2012 2011 % Change 2012 2011 % Change

Total pure electric

92 179 -48.6 430 450 -4.4

Plug-In Car Grant eligible

128 174 -26.4 488 438 11.4

Total petrol/electric hybrid

1,519 1,693 -10.3 8,843 8,945 -1.1

Alternatively fuelled vehicles

189 113 67.3 700 335 109.0


2011 - Buoyant year for van and truck market

• Truck registrations up 42,944 units (24.6%) for the full year.• Vans to 3.5t registrations up 16.7% to 260,153 in 2011. • For trucks >6t, registrations for 2011 were 37,410.• The very recent trend for growth in two-axle rigids above 6t

strengthened markedly. Growth rates ranged from 30 to 90% across the various weight segments for these trucks.

• Until very recently these sectors had lagged behind what was an artic and multi-axle rigid led recovery.

• Better than expected trend in registration volumes faces significant challenges just to hold steady over 2012. It may be that market specific factors could be more supportive than the meagre rate of economic growth envisaged for this year.


Van and truck registrations - rolling year trends Dec 2007 to date

LCV TO 3.5 (LH Axis) ARTIC (RH Axis)

RIGID (RH Axis)ro

lling

yea

r re

gist

ratio

n to

tals


Bus and coach market 2011

• 2011 was a challenging year for the bus and coach sector - down 12.8% for the year.

• Registrations of purpose-built buses and coaches has shown most resilience to challenging market and grew 5.1% in 2011 but: • Bus registrations finished the year 13.6% down.• Coach volumes dropped 7.1% over the 12-month period.

• The lighter and converted end of the market struggled to maintain momentum.

• 2012 is set to be a testing year, but government incentives and operator desires to capitalise on fuel efficient technologies should provide much-needed stimulus to the market.”


Big buses and coaches –

rolling year registrations December 2006 to December 2011

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-112000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

3200

3400

3600

3800

4000

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

Big buses 8.5t gvw and over and coaches 16t gvw and over

All buses over 8.5t gvw - left hand scale

Coaches over 16t gvw - right hand scalero

llin

g y

ear

reg

istr

atio

n t

ota

ls


History and levels of Euro standards for carsEuro Standards

Entry into force (new type approvals)

Emission limits

New car types All new cars Petrol NOx Diesel NOx Diesel PM

Euro 0 1 Oct '91 1 Oct '93 1000 mg/km 1600 mg/km (no limit)

Euro 1 1 Jul '92 31 Dec '92 490 mg/km 780 mg/km 140 mg/km

Euro 2 1 Jan '96 1 Jan '97 250 mg/km 730 mg/km 100 mg/km



Euro 5 1 Sep '09 1 Jan '11 60 mg/km 180 mg/km 5 mg/km

Euro 6 1 Sep '14 1 Sep '15 60 mg/km 80 mg/km 5 mg/km


Making significant progress, but challenges ahead

Average new car CO2 – 1997-2011 (SMMT)

97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

18

9.8

18

8.4

18

5.0

18

1.0

17

7.6

17

4.2

17

2.1

17

1.4

16

9.4

16

7.2

16

4.9

15

8.0

14

9.5

14

4.2

13

8.1

Year

CO

2 g/

km

• UK average new car CO2 – 138.1g/km in 2011.

• Continuous improvement, pace picked up in last 4 years.


Influences on CO2 emissions

Technological measures to deliver lower CO2–emitting vehicles • Improvements in internal combustion engine (ICE).• Development of alternatively fuelled vehicles (AFV).• Other influences – aerodynamics, light weighting, efficient tyres etc.• Non-test cycle measures, eg gear shift indicators and satellite navigation devices.


2011: A break-through year – breaking 140g/km

Diesel share by segment (SMMT) Registrations of AFVs (SMMT)

• Diesel cars outsell petrol (diesels 15-20% lower CO2 emitting).

• Alternatively fuelled cars break 25,000 registrations.• ‘Mainstream’ electric vehicles on sale.

• All segments post reductions in average CO2 emissions.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%2000 2010 2011

Segment

Die

sel

shar

e

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Electric Petrol/alcohol Diesel/electric

Petrol/electric Petrol/gas

Year

New

car

reg

istr

atio

ns


Distribution of the new car market by CO2

New car market by CO2 bands (SMMT)

• Shift into lower CO2 emitting vehicles.

• 46.8% of the market below 130g/km and 3.4% below 100g/km, compared with 0.9% and 0% in 2000.

sub

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

270

280

290

300

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

2000 2010

g/km

Mar

ket

shar

e


Distribution of the new car market by VED bands

New car market by VED bands (SMMT)

• ‘E’ band most populated in 2011, was ‘G’ band in 2000.• 3.4% of the market in ‘A’ band in 2011, was 0.0% in 2000.• Just 0.6% of market in top band in 2011, was 4.8% in 2000.

2000

2007

2010

2011

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

A (Upto 100)

B (101-110)

C (111-120)

D (121-130)

E (131-140)

F (141-150)

G (151-165)

H (166-175)

I (176-185)

J (186-200)

K (201-225)

L (226-255)

M (Over 255)

Market share

Note all data split by current 13 band VED system


Light commercial vehicle (LCV) performance

Average UK new car and LCV market distribution by CO2 – 2011 (SMMT)

• SMMT developing LCV CO2 database.

• UK average new LCV CO2 – estimated to be 199.2g/km in 2011.

• LCV face EU CO2 targets – 175g/km in 2014-17, 147g/km by 2020.su

b 10

0

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

270

280

290

300

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%LCVs Cars

g/km

Mar

ket

shar

e


Making real world improvements

CO2 emissions from all cars in use (DECC)

• Total CO2 from all cars in use down.

– 2010 down 10.2% on 2000 and 3.3% on 2009.

• Faster fleet replacement aids CO2 reductions from all cars in use.

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 1085

90

95

100

105

110

115

CO2 Parc Distance travelled

Year

Ind

ex,

2000

= 1

00


Challenges ahead

Average UK new car and car in use CO2 , and pan EU targets to 2020 (SMMT/EU)

• EU new car CO2 targets – 130g/km in 2012-15, 95g/km by 2020.

• Market acceptance of ultra-low carbon vehicles, especially AFVs.• Integrated approach needed to support shift to lower carbon fleet.

Average car in use 2010

1997 UK new car 2000 UK new car 2011 UK new car 2012-15 EU new car target

2020 EU new car target

75

100

125

150

175

200

169.3

189.8

181.0

138.1130.0

95.0

CO

2g/k

m


High Level Technology Roadmap - CARS

OEMs share a common view(Individual manufacturers will prioritise certain technologies to fit with brand values)


Low carbon Commercial Vehicle & Off-highway roadmap has parallel technology streams depending on duty cycle

2020 20502030 20402010

UK CO2Target CO2 and GHG reduction

Air Quality Improvements

LD Van CO2 Regulation

Possible HD/MDCO2 Regulation

Dri

vers CO2 reductions limited by

air quality regulations

Fuel cell vehicles

Fuel Cell APUs

H2 infrastructure

Demos Plug in hybrid

Micro/Mild hybrid

Full hybrid

Me

diu

m D

uty

Cy

cle

s

Niche EVs Commercial/Off-Highway EV’s

Lig

ht

Du

ty C

yc

les

Powertrain efficiency improvements/ancillary electrification

Advanced highway vehicle aerodynamics/selective lightweighting

Sustainable liquid/gaseous fuels

Waste heat recovery Advanced thermodynamic cycles

Biofuels

Intelligent vehicles logistics – operational efficiency (On & Off-highway)

He

av

y D

uty

Cy

cle

s

IC Engine efficiency improvements

“Zero” Air Quality Impact

Technology Roadmap

Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited 71 Great Peter Street London SW1P 2BN SOCIETY OF...

Documents

Transcript of Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders Limited 71 Great Peter Street London SW1P 2BN SOCIETY OF...