Snapshot of juxt india mobile 2010 study press

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India Mobile 2010 Mobile Phone Users in India and their Mobile Usage Behavior and Preferences

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Transcript of Snapshot of juxt india mobile 2010 study press

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India Mobile 2010

Mobile Phone Users in India and their Mobile Usage Behavior and Preferences

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Study Overview

Most recent survey-based estimates of ‘active’ mobile phone

subscribers and subscriptions across telecom circles in India

Estimates based on a very large land survey of over 259,341 individuals spread across all the mainland

states & union territories (covering all the 23 telecom circles) of the country. Survey conducted in Apr–May

2010 among 37,024 households in 100 cities and 20,396 households in 1,040 villages. Estimates cover both

‘multiple SIM’ mobile users as well as those accessing ‘internet’ on their mobile phones

Most ‘comprehensive’ profiling of both urban and rural Indian

mobile users – in their demographics, psychographics and key

mobile usage dynamics*

A deeper profiling of the Indian mobile users, their consumption lifestyle and their mobile usage - including

details about their location, socio-economic status, household and financial assets ownerships,

psychographic profile, day-to-day lifestyle habits & preferences, leisure, holiday and entertainment

preferences, personal consumption and brand preferences, media usage and their mobile handset and

service usage patterns and preferences* Demographic profiling and individual level SIM and handset ownership findings are based on ‘all mobile using individuals’ living in the surveyed

households (259,341). Mobile usage details, psychographics and consumption lifestyle profiling is based on only the ‘mobile using respondent member’

of these households (57,420).

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Methodology Overview

* For a detailed understanding of the methodology of the study, please refer to the ‘Methodology’ section of the dataset

A large-scale land survey was conducted to profile and estimate the Indian mobile

users. The survey covered ‘towns’ and ‘villages’ of all population strata in all the

mainland states and union territories in India (covering all the key, and 69 of the total

77 regions in India as classified by NSSO) – all 23 telecom circles were covered

extensively

Though the selection of towns and villages was ‘purposive’, the sampling within the

towns was done on ‘2-stage random’ basis (firstly a random selection of polling booths, and then a

random selection of households from the electoral list within each of these randomly selected polling booths);

within villages sampling was done on ‘systematic random’ basis (selection of every nth

house in the village)

To estimate the mobile user-ship correctly and to make the findings representative of

all mobile users in India (and not just of those surveyed), telecom circle-wise, urban

district/village class and SEC combination level ‘representation weights’ as derived

from authentic ‘Govt. of India’ base-level population statistics (NSSO/Census) were

applied to the survey data

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Comparability with TRAI Data

* For a detailed understanding of the methodology of the study, please refer to the ‘Methodology’ section of the dataset

There is limited comparability between Juxt India Mobile Study data and

Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) data, and for the following

reasons:

Juxt data is based on ‘primary’ consumer survey while TRAI data is ‘secondary’ in source

While Juxt survey measures and reports both the mobile users (subscribers) and mobile connections

(subscriptions), TRAI data reports only the mobile connections (which it mistakenly calls ‘subscribers’).

In Juxt data there is a direct linkage between ‘number of active subscribers’, ‘number of active

subscriptions’ and ‘number of active SIMs per subscriber’. Unless the same linkages are available as

clearly and as comprehensively in TRAI data, a direct comparison is neither advisable nor appropriate

Juxt measures only those mobile connections (SIMs) which are ‘actively’ in use at the time of the

survey, not counting the ‘passive’ SIMs that may still be lying with subscribers ‘un-surrendered’ but not

being used actively. TRAI reports all ‘un-surrendered’ mobile connections (SIMs) in circulation as

reported by the mobile operators, which may be ‘actively’ in use or lying ‘passive’ (in use sporadically,

rarely or not in use at all)

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Comparability with TRAI Data

* For a detailed understanding of the methodology of the study, please refer to the ‘Methodology’ section of the dataset

In Juxt data the urban-rural split of subscribers and subscriptions is reported form a ‘physical’

location of households at the ‘town’ and ‘village’ level, and the list of towns and villages are taken from

‘Census’ listing. There is little clarity on how the urban-rural split is recorded and reported by operators

(and TRAI) and whether all SIMs in use in rural areas are recorded as ‘rural’ (as many such connections

may actually be getting ‘bought’ in the urban areas). Further, according to new reports most operators

are yet to ‘authenticate’ the true identity and location of a good chunk of their subscriber base

A more pragmatic way of looking at the two data would be to use them in

conjunction but separately

Take TRAI numbers as representing the ‘overall universe’ of all mobile connections floating currently in

India and take Juxt numbers as representing only those connections within that universe that are

‘actively’ in use

The advantage of taking such an approach would be to take the more ‘authentic’ secondary data on

overall connections and their actual usage details as reported in TRAI data and then layer it with the

more ‘comprehensive’ active-subscription linked ‘subscriber’ level data from Juxt to profile these users

in their demographics, psychographics, consumption lifestyle and their mobile usage behavior and

preferences

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The Big Picture

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If the story of internet usage in India revolves around ‘lack’ of growth and spread, the story of mobile

usage in India on the contrary revolves around ‘surfeit’ of growth and spread. If all mobile subscription

numbers have crossed 600 million mark as per TRAI’s latest figures, then it has shown a growth of

almost 50% in last one year (from around 400 million mark in May 2009 as per TRAI figures)

However, as this study suggests, if there are only around 355 million mobile connections being

‘actively’ used in the country, then there are a good 40% of all mobile connections which are not

getting captured as ‘actively’ in use. Even if one were to give and take a few million connections from

the two figures, the question of at least ‘1 in 3’ mobile connection not in active use stares us point

blank

Is it a case of ‘over buying’ on part of the consumers? Or of ‘over selling’ on part of the mobile

industry? Or a combination of both leading to an artificial ‘spiraling and churn’ of new connections

between various service providers - a case of ‘too many connections from too many operators

chasing too few customers in too short a time period’ in a very high stake game?

These are critical questions which need to be asked and answered by all who are seriously involved in

the mobile business, including the regulators. Though this study does not throw light on answers to

these questions, nor was it meant to do so, we are confident that it does throw up light, and bring

more clarity on the profile, lifestyle and mobile usage behavior of ‘active’ mobile users from various

parts of the country

The Big Picture

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While the ‘household level’ penetration of mobile phones and connections has reached a vey high (in Indian

consumption context) 61% overall, and 88% among the urban households, the fact that only 26% of all Indians

are active users of mobile phones still leaves a lot of scope for ‘sensible’ growth and spread of mobile phone

usage in India

The huge gap between ‘penetration levels’ of mobile phones at household and individual levels is a result of

the fact that almost 2/3rd of mobile using households are still ‘single mobile user’ households. There is still a

large ‘play area’ available to increase the user base and ‘penetration’ of mobile phones than to play mainly the

game of ‘multiple connections’ and increasing mainly the ‘tele-density’. For this to happen, the spotlight must

shift and focus on the ‘user’, and not on the ‘connection’

Another big issue the study throws light on is the ‘split’ of mobile phone usage between urban and rural India.

While the TRAI data indicates a 75:25 split at the overall mobile connections level, the split at both the

subscriber level and the ‘active’ connection level as found in this study comes closer to a 50:50. Anyway, given

that Indian population split itself is 70% rural and 30% urban, any split of marketing a ‘mass’ product like

mobile phone (which it is with the pivot of its usage centered among the ‘middle’ and ‘lower middle’ class),

that is heavily loaded in favor of urban India is bound to drift towards the hinterlands eventually

The Big Picture

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And the Indian hinterland has already lapped up the mobile phone to a decent extent. Seen from

an all India perspective, SEC ‘R2’ forms the biggest chunk of active mobile users in the country.

Further, ‘B’ circles which accounts for a good proportion of rural population, already contributes

the ‘biggest chunk’ of mobile subscribers as well as subscriptions among the various circle types

What is even more interesting, and contrary to the poplar perception, more than half of all

‘multiple active connections mobile users’ (MCMU) come from the rural areas. That is, ‘active’

usage of ‘multiple SIMs’ is already as prevalent in the rural areas as in the urban areas. And it

appears that the urban and rural mobile users show very similar ‘propensity’ of using multiple

mobile connections ‘actively’, the urban areas show only a higher propensity to have more

‘mobile users’ in the household

However, what is also important to understand about ‘rural’ usage of mobile phones in India is

that the majority of the rural mobile users and connections originate in the ‘larger’ population size

villages (>2,000 population ones), which also show a high propensity to have ‘multiple SIMs’.

Further, 3/4th of all existing rural mobile subscribers stay ‘within 10 kms ‘distance from the

nearest town – indicating a fairly concentrated penetration of mobile users in the rural areas

The Big Picture

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Broadly, the ‘more populous’ states seem to account for more mobile subscribers, clearly establishing

the ‘mass’ nature of mobile as a product. The fact that after SEC ‘R2’, it is SEC ‘C’ and ‘B’ that contribute

the next biggest chunk of mobile users makes mobiles a truly ‘middle’ class product in the Indian context

Reflecting this ‘mass acceptance’ of mobile phones is also the fact that almost half of all active mobile

handsets in use are claimed to have been bought in the price range of `1,500 – 3,000. Further, ‘unskilled

and skilled workers’ form the largest ‘occupational’ chunk of mobile users in both urban and rural India

Even in the urban areas, ‘housewives’ and ‘students’ form the ‘second’ and ‘third’ biggest chunk of

mobile users (both segments counting for more mobile users than all the corporate employees, self-employed professionals and

business owners put together). With over half of all mobile users coming from `6,250-40,000 MHI groups, the

‘critical mass’ of Indian mobile usage revolves around the ‘middle’ and ‘lower middle’ income groups

The ‘typical’ caricature of the Indian mobile users (if there is one at all) is largely of someone who has

had education only up to school and has been educated either completely or for a large part in

‘vernacular’ languages (as only 1 in 25 urban and 1 in 100 rural mobile users have had their complete education in ‘English’)

The Big Picture

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In their consumption lifestyle orientation, the Indian mobile users are largely ‘budget’ buyers and

‘need driven’ up-graders at their core. Only about 1 in 5 of them are ‘lifestyle up-graders’ by

inclination. Most of them give highest priority to ‘price’ while making buying choices, but followed

thereafter by ‘brand image’ (probably indicating a buying logic that if the desired brand comes in the desired price they’ll

take it, if not then they may sacrifice the desired brand but not the desired price). Functionality attributes (quality, usage,

looks, features, etc) appear as their ‘next’ set of priorities

They perceive, and use their mobile handset as much as an ‘entertainment device’ as a

‘communication device’. Accordingly, ‘games’, ‘music’ and ‘camera’ are the most present features

on their ‘most used’ handsets. Most interestingly, their mobile handsets have also become their

main device for listening to ‘music on the go’ for most of them

However, their mobile phone has not become a device for ‘going online’ for most of them. Though a

good 16% of them user internet per se, only 4% access internet on their mobile phones directly.

Even within this 4%, most of them are ‘dual device’ internet users (accessing internet on both mobile and PC),

clearly indicating that mobiles are only ‘complementing’ PC based internet access as of now and not

really being seen as a ‘alternative’ mode of accessing internet. The limited presence of ‘bluetooth’,

‘extended memory’, ‘GPRS’ and ‘internet related applications’ on their mobile handsets also

reinforces this hypothesis to some extent

The Big Picture

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Topline Findings

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There are 304 million mobile subscribers in India, using 355 million connections

‘actively’

Avg mobile users per household is 2.05 and avg ‘active’ mobile connections per user is

1.17

Household level penetration of mobile phones is 61% , individual level penetration is

26%. Tele-density at all India level stands at 31%, with urban tele-density way ahead at 54%

Rural India accounts for almost as many ‘active’ mobile subscribers and subscriptions

as urban India – rural users show the same propensity to take up ‘multiple SIMs’ as urban users, but lower

propensity to have ‘multiple mobile users’ in the household

2 out of 3 mobile using households are still ‘single mobile user households’

4 out of 5 mobile users are ‘single active mobile connection users’. The user base of

active ‘multiple mobile connection users’ is around 59 million

Active Subscribers and Subscriptions*

* As of June 2010

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The Geographics

‘Mumbai’ circle tops among urban areas with 10.4% urban mobile subscribers,

Bihar tops among the rural areas with 11.8% rural mobile subscribers

‘B’ circles account for the largest chunk of mobile subscribers as well as

subscriptions, more so in the rural areas

Active use of ‘multiple SIMs’ is most prominent in ‘A’ circles (and has a ‘mass’ base rather

than an ‘elite’ one)

Gujarat users, apart from MP, Maharashtra and Karnataka ones, show higher

propensity to ‘use’ active multiple SIMs

3/4th of all rural mobile subscribers stay ‘within 10 kms ‘distance from the nearest

town – indicating a fairly concentrated penetration of mobile users in the rural

areas

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Mobile Service Usage On an average Indian mobile users claim to talk 23 minutes daily. Rural users are

only marginally ‘lighter’ talkers

They claim to spend on an ‘average’ `240 monthly on their most used connection.

Rural users claim to spend about 20% less than the urban users

‘Outgoing STD’, ‘call waiting’ and ‘domestic roaming’ are the most subscribed

services by both urban and rural users

2/3rd mobile users claim they ‘will not switch’ operators even if the number becomes

‘portable’

Only 1 in 25 mobile users (11.6 million) surf internet on their mobile phones currently. 9

out of 10 of them are ‘dual device users’ (accessing internet on both mobile and PC)

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Mobile Service Brands

Airtel is the biggest operator overall with 27.7% share of all ‘active’ subscribers base, and

28.0% share of all ‘active’ subscriptions. Vodafone follows next, with Reliance being a close

3rd

Airtel also has the highest ‘subscription-subscriber ratio’ and shows the highest

‘propensity’ to be a user’s next ‘active’ multiple mobile connection. BSNL follows thereafter

Among only GSM players Airtel stays at the top with 34.4% and 34.8% share respectively

Among only CDMA players Reliance Comm tops with 55.9% and 56.0% share respectively.

It is followed by Tata Teleservices and Tata DoCoMo

On ‘most used’ connection basis, Airtel tops. Reliance comes up as the joint 2nd with

Vodafone. Operators who’s share fall somewhat at ‘most used’ connection level are Idea,

Uninor and Spice

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Overall (%)

Mobile Service Providers

Active Mobile

Subscribers (%)

Active Mobile

Subscriptions(%)

Airtel 27.7% 28.0%

Vodafone 15.6% 15.3%

Reliance 15.1% 15.0%

IDEA 13.1% 13.0%

BSNL 10.6% 10.7%

Tata Teleservices 7.7% 7.5%

Aircel 6.9% 6.8%

Loop Mobile 0.6% 0.6%

Mobile Service Providers

Active Mobile

Subscribers (%)

Active Mobile

Subscriptions(%)

Sistema Shyam 0.4% 0.4%

Uninor 0.4% 0.4%

MTNL 0.4% 0.4%

Spice 0.2% 0.2%

HFCL 0.1% 0.1%

Others 0.3% 0.3%

Non-operating brands claimed 0.9% 1.3%

Total 100% 100%

Service Provider– ‘Active’ Multiple Connections

1.06

1.05

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Mobile Handset Usage

There are 0.48 million more mobile handsets than the 355 million ‘active’ mobile

connections

‘Single’ active mobile handset users predominate in both urban and rural areas at 85%

Half of all mobile handsets ‘in use’ are claimed to have been bought in `1,500 – 3,000 price

range

Compared to rural users, urban users show a lower relative incidence of buying a handset

below `1,500 and a higher relative incidence of buying one costing over `3,000

Mobile handsets are as much ‘entertainment device’ as ‘communication device’ for most

mobile users. Mobile handsets have also become the main device for listening to ‘music on the go’ for most of

them, but a device for ‘going online’ for only a very few of them as yet

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Almost 2/3rd of all ‘active’ handsets are Nokia (on both ‘multiple usage’ basis as well as ‘most

used’ basis). LG follows as a distant second at 10%

Samsung, Sony Ericsson and Micromax make up the rest of the top 5 list

Nokia appears to be used more in ‘urban’ areas than in rural areas, while Samsung,

Micromax and Spice appear to be used relatively more in the rural areas than in the

urban areas

Maxx Mobile shows the highest ‘propensity’ to be a mobile user’s next ‘multiple

handset’. Among bigger players, Samsung shows the highest propensity, followed by

LG and then Nokia

Mobile Handset Brands

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Handset Brands – Multiple Handsets

Mobile Handset Brands

% of Total ‘Active’ Mobile Handsets

All India Urban Rural

Nokia 62.2% 65.2% 59.1%

LG 10.2% 10.3% 10.0%

Samsung 9.2% 7.7% 10.7%

Sony Ericsson 3.6% 3.2% 4.0%

Micromax 1.6% 1.0% 2.3%

Motorola 1.6% 1.8% 1.3%

Spice 1.5% 1.2% 1.8%

Haier 0.9% 1.1% 0.6%

Maxx Mobile 0.7% 0.5% 0.8%

Other Brands 1.7% 1.9% 1.9%

Local/Chinese 4.0% 3.3% 4.6%

Don't Know/Unspecified 4.8% 5.1% 4.5%

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Demographic Profile The ‘25-35 years’ forms the ‘single’ largest age group among mobile users, though

usage of mobile phone per se cuts across all age groups in both urban and rural areas

‘Housewives’ form the second biggest occupational group of mobile users in the urban

areas (more than all the corporate/self employees/business owners put together). Interestingly, usage among

‘children’ in urban areas is almost as high as among ‘teenagers’

2/3rd of all mobile users are educated only up to school. And 2/3rd are educated

completely in ‘vernacular’ languages (only 4% urban and 1% rural mobile users have had their

complete education in ‘English’)

For all India, SEC ‘R2’ forms the biggest chunk of active mobile users, followed by SEC

‘C’ and ‘B’ (makes mobile phones a truly ‘middle’ class product in India)

The ‘critical mass’ of Indian mobile usage revolves around the ‘middle’ and ‘lower

middle’ income groups (58% of all mobile users come from the `6,250-40,000 MHI groups)

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‘Money’ is the biggest motivation driving lives of 3 out of 4 mobile users, whether urban or

rural

Yet only a few of them see ‘money’ as a status symbol (probably money is more of a ‘necessity’ for

living a good modern day lifestyle for most of them rather than a ‘social status enhancer’)

‘Cinema’ and ‘listening to music’ are their biggest hobbies

Interestingly, 5 out of the top 10 ‘most identified celebrities’ among mobile users are

politicians

‘Watching TV’ is their biggest indoor entertainment, followed by watching ‘movie CDs’.

‘Chatting on phone’ is only a marginal indoor activity

Among popular outdoor activities, ‘watching movies in cinema hall’ is relatively more

popular in urban areas, and ‘visiting neighbors’ in the rural areas

Psychographic Profile

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Consumption & Media Orientation

Most of them are ‘need driven’ up-graders at their core (only 1 in 5 are ‘lifestyle up-graders’ by inclination)

4 out of 5 mobile users are essentially ‘budget’ buyers. However, while 2 out of 3 give high

importance to ‘price’, almost a similar number also gives high importance to ‘brand image’

Over half of them have ‘never responded’ to any ‘response triggering’ marketing stimulus (seems they do not make a very good ‘direct marketing audience’ per se)

Only a minuscule 5% ‘urban’ mobile users drive a car, only a little over 1% have a credit card

individually, and only 1 in 12 takes holidays/vacations (essentially domestic holidays/vacations)

Mobile users watch ‘TV’ the most among all media, though half of them also read ‘newspapers’.

However, the mobile users who use ‘internet’ use it the most ‘heavily’ of all mediums

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Thank You!