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Analyst Meeting
Third Quarter 2015
17 November 2015
Sahaviriya Steel Industries PLC
1
The information contained in this presentation is intended solely for your personal reference only. If you
are not an intended recipient, you must not read, disclose, copy, circulate, retain, distribute or take any
action in reliance upon this material.
This presentation is not intended to substitute your own analysis and investigation, and should not be
considered a recommendation to any recipient of this presentation. Some statements contained herein
are forward-looking statements identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”,
“expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words, which are subject to
various risks and uncertainties. These statements include statements with respect to Sahaviriya Steel
Industries Public Company Limited (the “Company” or “SSI”)’s, Sahaviriya Steel Industries UK Limited
(“SSI UK”)’s and their subsidiaries (collectively referred to as “SSI Group”) corporate plans, strategies and
beliefs and other statements that are not historical facts.
This presentation is prepared based on the assumptions and beliefs of SSI Group’s management in light
of the information currently available to the Company involving risks and uncertainties which may cause
the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Nothing in this
presentation is, or shall be relied on as promise or representation of the Company as to the future.
Disclaimer
2
1) dwt = Deadweight ton 2) mtpa = million tons per annum 3) Exchange rate used for translation = 32.46 THB/USD
ASEAN’s Largest Flat Steel Producer
Cold-rolled steel
1.2 mtpa 2)
43%
Thai Cold Rolled
Steel Sheet Plc.
35.19%
Electro-galvanised
0.24 mtpa 2)
45%
Thai Coated Steel Sheet
Co., Ltd.
3.7%
Support:
Port
100,000 dwt 1),
14 mmt throughput
N/A
Prachuap Port Co., Ltd.
51.0%
Hot-rolled coils
(pickled and oiled)
HotCoil
4 mtpa 2)
55%
Sahaviriya Steel Industries
Plc.
CleanStrip®
1 mtpa 2)
Parent Company
63%
Finished products
out-bound
Raw materials
in-bound
Coated
Steel Sheet
Cold Rolled
Coil
Hot Rolled
Coil Port
51% 3.7% 35.19%
99.99%
Engineering
Capacity
Domestic Capacity Share
Product Range
Legal Entity
SSI Ownership
Total Sales in 2014 3) 9 MUSD 379 MUSD 85 MUSD
Innovate Premium Value Products
Long-term
Strategies
998 MUSD
2.6 1.0
3.6 MT
0.8 0.7
1.6 MT
2.3 2.4
4.7 MT
5.7 4.1
9.8 MT
3
Thailand Flat Steel Demand: the biggest and most sophisticated in ASEAN
Application Midstream & Downstream Upstream (Iron & Steel Making)
Checkered
HRC P/O
Hot Rolling
4.7 MT
Cold Rolling
CRC
1.5 MT
Coating
Coated
Local (MT)
Import (MT)
9.8 MT
Total Flat
Products
(excl.plate)
Slab
ASEAN’s industrialisation and urbanisation has driven and will drive consistent high growth.
LONG: CAGR 98-14
7.4%
FLAT: CAGR 98-14
8.7%
Apparent Steel Consumption High-grade Flat Steel Products Consumption
ASEAN steel consumption decelerated its growth rate to 3.5% in 2014.
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P 2013 2014
47% 51%
53% 49%
1998 2014
Long
Flat
3.6 MT
43.5 46.2 42.0 48.6 52.4
58.8 63.5 65.7
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Million Tons
Source : WSA, ISIT, SEASI, Federation of Thai Industry Source : SEAISI
Thailand Flat Steel Consumption: largest and most sophisticated in ASEAN, approximately net 5.7 mtpa or 58% served by import.
2014 Domestic
Flat Steel Demand
ASEAN’s steel consumption continued to grow at 3.5% in 2014, but mainly served by imports especially from China. Vietnam registered highest growth rate, followed by Philippines and Malaysia.
ASEAN’s steel consumption is projected to maintain a steady growth of around 4%-5% and surpass 80 million tons in 2018.
1.46 1.89
2.64 2.83
4.09 4.72
Q2/15 Q3/15
Flat
Long
0.2
1.1
0.3
1.0
0.1
1.3
0.3
1.0
HR Plate
HR Sheet
CR Sheet
Coated
Inner Chart = Q2/15
Outer Chart= Q3/15 Source : ISIT
Unit: Million MT
Flat Product Finished Steel Consumption
4
Q3/2015 Highlights
Total steel consumption grew 15.2% QoQ supported
by an increase in long steel consumption of 29.7%
QoQ and flat steel consumption of 7.2% QoQ.
Car production rose 21% QoQ as a result of an
increase in export. Conversely, fridge production and
A/C production fell 6% and 20% QoQ respectively
after the end of summer season.
Thai Steel Market
Source : ISIT
Unit: Million MT
Total Apparent Finished Steel Consumption
Car and HA/EA Production
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Cars Fridge A/C
Cars and HA/EA Production
(Thousand Units)
Source: ISIT and The Federation of Thai Industries
Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
5
Thailand urban population increased from 26.4%
in 1980 to 44.1% in 2010, and 46.7% in 2014E;
whist number of stores’ regional branches
increasingly expanded during 2008-2014.
Potential in capturing growth in automobiles,
electrical appliances, and food packaging
as a center of ASEAN production
Opportunities in Thailand Urbanization
AEC-Opportunities towards ASEAN Construction and Infrastructure
Rising GDP Driven by Middle-Income
Production Growth in ASEAN’s Selective Sectors
'02 '14
Car
'02 '14
White Goods
'02 '14
Canned Fruit & Canned Seafood
Source : Thailand Automotive Institute , FTI, and ISIT
CAGR 08-14 = +13.6% +28.8% +11.8% +9.8%
HomePro Siam Global Robinson Makro
House
Thailand Steel Consumption (k tons)
Growing ASEAN Steel Consumption
Expansion of Stores’ Regional Branches (2008-2014)
ASEAN Steel Market & Key Growth Drivers
1 2
3
4
33
7
20
44
71
32 39
77
Packaging 5%
Auto 19%
Construction
53%
M/C & Ind.
13%
Appliance
11%
Source: ISIT
43.2%
20.4%
32.7%
27.1%
30.2%
22.0%
29.8%
Source: Fiscal Policy Office
Unit: % of GDP
2014 Domestic Steel Demand Breakdown
GDI/GDP Ratio
’08 ’14 ’08 ’14 ’08 ’14 ’08 ‘14
Growth in ASEAN’s GDP driven by middle-class income,
whose consumption is likely to fuel sales of HA/EA and
automobiles.
Source: IMF, SEAISI, and Worldmeters Remark: ASEAN data includes Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore
Stages of Steel Use Per Capita
1. Very low level before economic take-off
2. Rapid rise
3. Leveling off
4. Decline
5. Stabilization
Above figures were calculated by SSI from (1) World Bank’s
forecasted population (2) 8.23% CAGR of ASEAN GDP’s
growth (forecasted by Economy Watch) and (3) WSA’s
relationship between GDP per Capita and ASU per Capita.
ASEAN Steel Consumption (k tons)
2.8% 8.8% 6.6% 8.9% 8.7%
Growth in GDP per Capita from 2014-2020
7.2%
Source : IMF Estimate
12.6% 10.2% 4.0% 5.1% 9.0%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
6
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
7
Group CEO’s Message
“Global steel over-capacity and demand imbalance since late 2014 and the
continuous decline in steel price resulted in a huge operating loss for the Group
this year, particularly in the Upstream Business. However, in Q3/2015 such
situation remained unchanged and, on the other hand, further deteriorated and
resulted in bigger losses at the Upstream Business. Consequently, SSI UK was
required to temporarily suspend its steelmaking operation on 18 September 2015
and subsequently applied to the court for liquidation on 2 October 2015. At
present, the Company on a conservative basis expects zero recovery after the
completion of SSI UK liquidation. As SSI UK’s main asset is a large iron and steel
making plant, controlled under the Control of Major Accident Hazards regulation,
there are uncertain external factors which are beyond the Company’s control, for
instance the validity of the environmental permit, access and ability to safeguard
the assets, etc. The legal and liquidation proceeding in this case is unprecedented
and unclear to the Company at this stage. In the meantime, the Company is in
discussion with legal advisors and the Major Creditors to determine further steps.”
“Nevertheless, the Company had been discussing with the Major Creditors the
solution for the HRC Business to carry on operations as normal, including to
maintain business value of the Company. The Company decided to submit an
application for Business Rehabilitation to the court on 1 October 2015. The court
has accepted the application, and the preliminary hearing of such application is
scheduled on 21 December 2015.“
innovate strength
8
Chronology of Group Restructuring
On 18 September 2015, SSI UK notified the temporary suspension of slab production.
On 21 September 2015, the Major Creditors demanded SSI UK to pay its obligations under the loan conditions
amounting to USD 790 million or approximately Baht 28 million, and also requested the Company to be jointly
responsible as a guarantor of SSI UK for the obligation
On 1 October 2015, the Major Creditors demanded the Company to pay its obligation under the loan conditions
amounting to Baht 23.9 billion.
On 1 October 2015, the Central Bankruptcy Court accepted an application for Business Rehabilitation of the
Company, and the preliminary hearing was scheduled on 21 December 2015.
On 2 October 2015, the court accepted an application for SSI UK’s liquidation.
9
Impact from Liquidation of SSI UK
Impacted Item SSI UK The Company Consolidated
Statement of Financial
Position Q3/2015
Assets = 0
Liabilities = 0
Equity = 0
Assets:
• Investment in subsidiaries decreased 27,482
MB
• Other accounts receivable decreased 6,313
MB
Liabilities:
• Provision made for loss on guarantee given
by the Company and others 30,267 MB
consisting of:
• Loans from SSI UK 29,708 MB
• Provision for loss on pledged
TCRSS ordinary shares of the
Company to a trade payable of SSI
UK 503 MB
• Bank guarantee 56 MB
Equity:
• Cumulative loss increased from provision of
interests in SSI UK 64,062 MB
Assets:
• Subsidiary’s assets increased 42,925
MB
Liabilities:
• Subsidiary’s liabilities increased 44,315
MB
• Provision made for loss on guarantee
given by the Company and others 30,267
MB consisting of:
• Loans from SSI UK 29,708 MB
• Provision for loss on pledged
TCRSS ordinary shares of the
Company to a trade payable of
SSI UK 503 MB
• Bank guarantee 56 MB
Equity:
• Cumulative loss increased from provision
of interests in SSI UK 28,877 MB
Statement of Income Q3/2015
Expected loss on liquidation
29,579 MB
Loss from expected loss on liquidation of
subsidiary 64,062 MB resulted from:
• Impairment on investment in subsidiary
27,482 MB.
• Allowance for doubtful receivable from SSI
UK 5,958 MB.
• Provision made for loss on guarantee and
others from SSI UK 30,267 MB
• Provision made for goods-in-transit from SSI
UK 355 MB
Loss from expected loss on liquidation of
subsidiary 28,877 MB resulted from:
• Provision made for loss on guarantee
and others from SSI UK 30,267 MB
• Other reversal 1,390 MB
Estimated recoverable
amount after the
completion of liquidation
of SSI UK
-None- -None- -None-
1. When the court has appointed the Planner, the power to manage the business, assets and the shareholder’s rights of the debtor falls within the duty of the Planner, with restrictions on the right to receive the dividends.
2. From the day on which the debtor acknowledges the order for Business Rehabilitation, the director of the debtor company must entrust all assets, the company seal, accounts books and other important documents of the
debtor to the Planner as soon as possible. Moreover, within the period of 7 days from acknowledging the order appointing the Planner, the debtor must submit a report detailing the matters relating to the business and
assets of the debtor. The Planner may extend the time period in which the debtor must submit such report provided that the period of extension does not exceed 30 days.
3. The Official Receiver shall advertise the order for Business Rehabilitation and the appointment of the Planner in the Royal Gazette (the dates of advertising such orders shall be determined by the Official Receiver) . The
Official Receiver shall also notify the Shareholding Company’s registrar of such orders so that such orders can be entered into the Company’s records.
4. The creditor must file a request of debt repayment within 1 month from the date on which the appointment of the Planner has been advertised in the Royal Gazette.
5. The creditor, the debtor and the Planner are entitled to examine and oppose the request for debt repayment within 14 days from the date on which the period given to file such request has expired.
6. In the event where the request for debt repayment is opposed, the Official Receiver may proceed to investigate such request and the opposing statement and may give an order relating to the number of votes the creditor
is entitled to cast in the Creditors’ Meeting and give an order relating to the rights of repayment. In the event that there is no opposition to the request for debt repayment, the creditor who files such request is entitled to
cast his/her vote according to the debt he/she is owed.
7. The Planner shall submit the Business Rehabilitation Plan, and copies thereof, to the Official Receiver within 3 months. The court may extend the time period not more than twice, and for not exceeding 1 month each
time.
8. Upon receiving a copy of the Business Rehabilitation Plan, the Official Planner must set the date convening the meeting for the creditors who are entitled to cast their votes, as soon as possible, to consider the Plan. The
copies of the Plan, notice of the meeting and the agenda of the meeting must be sent to the creditors with the right to vote, the debtor and the Planner. The announcement for the Creditors’ Meeting must be made in local
newspaper not less than 10 days prior to the day of the meeting.
9. The creditor, the debtor and the Planner may file a request for the Plan to be revised to the Official Receiver not less than 3 days prior to the day of the meeting.
10. The Creditors’ Meeting will consider the Business Rehabilitation Plan; and (a) the meeting will give an approval for such Plan by a special resolution of the Creditors’ Meeting, and the Creditors’ Meeting may resolve to
appoint a committee comprising not less than 3 persons and not exceeding 7 persons to supervise the actions of the Plan Administrator; or (b) the Creditors’ Meeting may resolve to dismiss the Plan and may resolve to
change the Planner to create a new Plan, as the case may be. However, in the event that the Plan is dismissed, the court may give an order for cancelling the order for Business Rehabilitation, or the court may give an
order to proceed with the pending Bankruptcy Case.
11. The Official Receiver shall notify the creditors, the debtors and the Planner of the court appointment to consider the Plan not less than 3 days in advance.
12. The court shall consider and give an approval to the Plan and shall notify the Plan Administrator and the Planner of such order. The rights, power and duty of the Planner shall be transferred to the Plan Administrator from
the day on which the Plan Administrator acknowledges such order. In the event where the court dismisses the Plan, if, prior to this, the debtor has been sued in the Bankruptcy case, the court may give an order to
proceed with the Bankruptcy case.
13. The Planner must entrust all assets, the company seal, accounts books and important documents concerning the assets, liabilities and business of the debtor to the Plan Administrator without delay. The Plan
Administrator reserves the right to deny access to the assets of the debtor or the rights arising out of the contract which lay more burden than benefits which may emerge within 2 months from the date on which the order
giving an approval of the Plan has been acknowledged.
14. Proceed with the Plan. 10
Duration and Process of the Business Rehabilitation The Court
orders Business Rehabilitation and appoint the Planner
7 Days 1 Months 14 Days 2 Months
3
7
5 4
6
9
8
11 13
14
12
Advertise the appeal in the Royal Gazette
3 Months
The Official Receiver make appointment for the Creditor's
Meeting
3 Days
Creditor’s Meeting
Approx. 30- 45 Days
3 Days
The Court considers and grant an approval
of the Plan Proceed with the Plan
Prior to the appointment of the Creditor's Meeting to consider the Plan
File an appeal
to the Court for
Business
Rehabilitation
1 Oct 15
Advertise the
appeal in
daily newspaper 2
10 1
The Planner submits the Business Rehabilitation Plan
Total Duration – Approx. 8-9 months, without opposition
– Approx. 16-20 months, with oppositions
Up
str
ea
m
Q3/2015 Highlights: Business Results
11
1) HRC Rolling Margin = HRC Spread / HRC Average Selling Price; Slab Margin = Slab Spread / Slab Average Selling Price. 2) HRC EBITDA includes net stock loss provision and other provisions (reversal) USD 32.3/ton in Q3/2015, USD (51.3)/ton in Q2/2015, USD 0.2/ton in
Q3/2014, 1.7/ton in 9M/2015, and USD (0.7)/ton in 9M/2014, but excludes the expected loss on liquidation of subsidiary USD 5,956.2/ton in Q3/2015 and
1,997.2 USD/ton in 9M/2015.
* Group EBITDA and Group Net Profit included loss from expected loss on liquidation of subsidiary
Q3/15 Q2/15 %QoQ Q3/14 %YoY 9M/15 9M/14 %YoY
Group LTIFR 2.02 1.61 +26% 0.91 +124% 1.92 1.94 -1%
Group Revenues (MB) 10,543 11,867 -11% 14,014 -25% 51,076 33,432 -35%
Group Sales Volume
(k tons)
785 871 -10% 711 +10% 2,373 2,561 -7%
Group EBITDA (MB) (31,644) (1,777) N.A. 866 N.A. (35,075) 942 N.A.
Group Net Profit
( Loss) (MB)
(33,122) (3,236) N.A.
(547) N.A.
(39,384)
(3,351) N.A.
HRC Production Volume
(k tons)
254 320 -21% 388 -34% 795 1,167 -32%
HRC Sales Volume
(k tons)
295 307 -4% 355 -17% 880 1,201 -27%
HRC Selling Price
(USD/ton) 496 532 -7% 701 -29% 544 681 -20%
HRC Spread (USD/ton) 89 34 +158% 133 -33% 62 125 -50%
HRC Rolling Margin 1) 17.9% 6.5% 18.9% 11.4% 18.4%
HRC EBITDA 2) (USD/ton) 2.3 32.3 -93% 51.0 -95% 1.7 54.6 -97%
Slab Production Volume
(k tons) 533 696 -23% 705 -24% 1,950 2,071 -6%
Slab Sales Volume
(k tons) 580 679 -15% 688 -16% 1,975 2,051 -4%
Slab Sales Volume to 3rd
parties (k tons)
(% of Slab Sales Volume)
490
(84%)
564
(83%)
-13% 356
(52%)
+38% 1,494
(76%)
1,359
(66%)
+10%
Slab Selling Price
(USD/ton)
308 337 -8% 507 -39% 340 517 -34%
Slab Spread (USD/ton) 89 103 -14% 193 -54% 104 175 -40%
Slab Margin 1) 28.7% 30.6% 38.1% 30.6% 33.8%
Group Sales Volume and Revenues
GR
OU
P
HR
C
Highlights in Q3/2015
On 1 October 2015, the Central Bankruptcy Court
accepted an application for Business Rehabilitation of
the Company, and the preliminary hearing was
scheduled on 21 December 2015.
On 2 October 2015, the court accepted an application
for SSI UK’s liquidation. Accordingly, SSI UK has
been in liquidation proceeding; the Board of Directors
of SSI UK ceased to have any control of SSI UK’s
affairs.
The Group recorded consolidated losses of 33,122
MB included expected loss on liquidation of
subsidiary of 28,877MB.
The financial statements of SSI UK for the period of
three-month and nine-month ended 31 September
2015 have been prepared on a break-up basis. Due
to the scope limitation of preparing the financial
information, management of the Company has put
best efforts to prepare the financial information of SSI
UK based on management accounts and related
reports made up to 31 August 2015 and estimate for
the month of September 2015. Management has also
made estimates and adjustments resulted from SSI
UK’s liquidation, using all relevant information
available to the Group to date.
425 462 384 355 267 278 307 295
371 486 517
356 490 440 564 490
796 948 902
711 757 718 871
785
16,100
19,011 18,051
14,014 14,200
11,023 11,867 10,543
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
HRC Sales Volume (k tons) Slab Sales Volume to 3rd Pty (k tons) Group Sales Volume Group Revenues (million Baht)
Q2/2015 – Q3/2015 EBITDA Bridge
12
Unit: MB
-1,777 +385 +269 -1,032
-37 -425
-224
-31,644 -28,877
+74
Q2/15 EBITDA Sales Volume Metal Spread Conversion Cost
SG&A Stock Loss Provision
Expected Loss on Liquidation of Subsidiary
Net Foreign Exchange
Gain (Loss)
Others Q3/15 EBITDA
Q3/2015 Highlights: Safety and Awards
Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) worsened from
1.61 in Q2/15 to 2.02 in Q3/15.
Lost Time Injury
Frequency Rate
(LTIFR)*
2015 2014 2015 2014
Q3 Q2 Q3 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
SSI 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.97
TCRSS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.00
WCE 2.04 2.27 2.27 2.81 3.03
PPC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.91
SSI UK 2.73 2.57 1.26 2.36 2.54
SSI Group 2.02 1.61 0.91 1.92 1.94
* LTIFR = Number of lost time injuries per 1,000,000 man hours worked (Number of LTI’s x 1,000,000/Man hours worked)
13
3.35
3.96
0.94 0.91
2.16 2.15
1.61
2.02 1.94 1.92
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
SSI Group’s LTIFR
14
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
15
SSI UK
SSI UK
SSI UK
Innovate Premium Value Products – Grow and Accelerate PVP
SSI-UK Slab to High-Grade Market Accreditation
Automobile
HRC for Re-rolled
Thin Gauge
IVPs
Focus on 4 key growth products
10.7% 20%
5.6% 20%
160kt 360kt
1,100kt 1,350kt
1,550kt 1,750kt
2014 2016
At least 5 car
models expected to be launched
Hi-end applications
expected to be launched
Expand to
AEC and export market
Increase IVP to all segments
SSI
SSI
220kt
520kt
Checker
PVPs
PVPs
38%
62%
2014
Commercial
Grade
PVPs 48%
2016
Commercial
Grade
52%
PVPs
34%
38%
42%
34%
39% 37%
31%
39%
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
Unique High-Grade
Innovated Value Product Innovated Value Product (High-Grade)
Subtotal: Premium Value
2013
(Actual)
2014
(Actual)
2015
(Actual as Sep)
2015
(Target)
Total Hi-Grade 0.36 MMT 0.30 MMT 0.20 MMT 0.55 MMT
SSI-UK 0.17 MMT 0.18 MMT 0.14 MMT 0.44 MMT
46% 61% 70% 80%
Important development in Q3/15
Auto application:
7 OEM started process of approved material
(JFE Slab, High strength steel grade).
Structural application:
Launched product SS400X (Extra Strength Steel)
and started mass trial with scaffolding, rack and
storage market
Note: %PVPs of Q1/15 and Q2/15 revised from 41% and 44% respectively.
Premium Value Products Pipeline
16
2014 2015 2016
Auto -
Xtra Forming Steel
Auto – Hi-Ten Steel
Auto – Auto HR for CR Steel
CRC for Coated –
Xtra Surface Coated Steel
HA/EA – EA Forming Steel
Structural – Xtra Strength Steel
Steel for Machinery
& Agricultural
Purpose – Wear Resistant Hi-C Steel
Structural Steel
Parts – Advanced
Forming Hi-Ten Steel
6 Groups of PVPs are being developed throughout Y2015-2016 for 5 segments
Auto
Auto
Machinery
Auto
HA/EA
Structural
Structural
Re-rolled
Structural
Automotive
HA/EA
Re rolling
Machinery
PVPs 48%
2016
Commercial
Grade
52%
PVPs 38%
2014
Commercial
Grade
62%
17
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
HRC Sales Volume increased 4% QoQ to 295k tons due to a continuing sharp drop in steel prices and the unrest situation in Bangkok.
HRC Production Volume decreased 21% QoQ to 254k tons following lower HRC Sales Volume.
HRC Average Selling Prices decreased 7% QoQ to USD 496/ton, contributing to HRC Rolling Margin of 17.9%.
Thailand’s HRC sales volume increased 14% QoQ to 1,641k tons from 1,443k tons in Q2/15 due to flooding of cheap imports, especially from countries
outside the trade remedy measures i.e. Iran, Brazil, Turkey, Australia. As a result, SSI’s HRC market share decreased QoQ to 17%.
18
HRC Business Performance
HSM
Yield
Loss
1.60% 1.67% 1.58% 1.79% 1.59% 1.69% 1.82% 1.86%
Import
Slab
Cost
515-525 530-540 545-555 535-545 520-530 515-525 455-465 360-370
25% 30% 27%
21%
33%
17% 17%
16%
17%
17%
16%
20% 18%
16%
18%
20% 18% 22%
27%
16% 22%
16% 18% 19% 17%
58%
66% 60%
54%
67%
Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
Domestic HRC Market Shares
SSI
Other Local Supplies
Import - Other (Alloy steel)
Import - Carbon steels P&O
Import - Carbon steels
425 462
384 355 267 278 307 295
408 397 382 388
257 221
320 254
41% 40% 38% 39% 26% 22% 32% 25%
-100.00
100.00
300.00
500.00
700.00
900.00
1,100.00
1,300.00
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
Tho
usa
nd
s
Sales Volume (k tons) Production (k tons) Utilisation Rate (%)
660 667 682 701 668 607
532 496
18.4% 19.0% 17.1% 18.9% 18.3% 10.8% 6.5% 17.9%
-3
-3
-2
-2
-1
-1
-
1
0 20 40 60 80
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600 620 640 660 680 700 720 740 760 780 800 820 840 860 880 900 920 940 960 980
1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160 1180 1200 1220 1240 1260 1280 1300 1320 1340 1360 1380 1400
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
HRC Avg. Selling Price (USD/ton) HRC Rolling Margin (%)
363 389
369 391
285
188
283
237
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
Imported Slabs (k tons)
19
Steel Pipe Import
13,502 9,952 8,633 9,081 16,300
37,742 37,919
24,940 31,749
42,724 19,770
7,694 15,175
39,742 27,831
21,275
7,355
4,957
7,445
15,693
4,933
2,272
6,751
3,223 5,046
5,711
5,274
1,859
2,945
3,502
4,720
5,633
2,821
2,655 2,737
2,732
2,843
3,108
2,790
2,497
1,616
1,906
885
1,766 2,934
5,982
5,408
7,178
8,864
8,711
44,541
27,456
34,265
56,468 54,849
73,441
58,799
42,043
53,794
73,127
54,619
59,130
53,105
43,950 44,637
39,371 39,653
43,322
36,482
32,982
Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
Vietnam
Taiwan
South Korea
Japan
China
Total Volume
Average Price (Baht/ton)
Import Volume (Tons)
Above steel pipe import includes: Carbon Steel Pipe, Alloy Steel Pipe, Square or Rectangular Pipe, and Other
Welded Pipes.
Steel pipe import volume has been increasing drastically since 2014, especially from China.
High level of steel pipe import volume has affected domestic pipe manufacturers and SSI.
Metal Tube Cold-forming Steel Association has filed a petition for Anti-dumping measure since Q3/15.
The investigation is expected to initiate in December 2015.
Slab Sales Volume decreased 15% QoQ to 580k tons, with 84% sold to 3rd parties.
Slab Production decreased 23% QoQ to 533k tons due to production suspension since 18 Sep 15.
Slab Average Selling Price dropped 8% QoQ to USD 308/ton, and Slab Margin decreased to 28.7% as steel prices in the
world market continued to decline resulting in lower Slab Spread.
Upstream Business
20
497 522 520 507 496
370 337 308
517
340
21.3%
27.5%
36.4% 38.1% 41.8%
32.0% 30.6% 28.7%
33.8% 30.6%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Avg. Selling Price (USD/ton) Slab Margin (%)
371 486 517 356 490 440 564 490
1,359 1,494 738 696 670 705 689 721 696 533
2,071 1,950 713 717 646 688 709 715 679
580
2,051 1,975
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Slab Sales Volume to 3rd Parties (k tons)
Slab Total Sales Volume (k tons)
Slab Production (k tons)
21
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
-64,099
-32,363
-126 +7
+64,937
-31,644
EBITDA Q3/2015
-64,609
-33,286
-151 +1
+64,999
-75
-33,122
Net Profit Q3/2015
HRC 47%
Upstream 52%
Port 0.4%
Engineering 1.0%
Consolidated Performance
22
RE
VE
NU
E
EB
ITD
A
NE
T P
RO
FIT
% by Business Unit in Q3/2015
HRC
Upstream
Port Engineering
EBITDA
Q3/15
Related
transaction
Unit: MB
Note: EBITDA = Net Profit + Tax Expense + Depreciation & Amortisation + Interest Expenses
Port
Related
transaction
HRC
Upstream
Engineering
Net
Profit
Q3/15
Non-controlling
interest
16,100 19,011 18,051 14,014 14,200 11,023 11,867 10,543
51,076
33,432
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
HRC Upstream Port Engineering
(1,464)
75 0.3 866
(133) (1,654) (1,777)
(31,644)
942
(35,075)
(2,907) (1,397) (1,406) (547) (1,552) (3,026) (3,236)
(33,122)
(3,351)
(39,384)
-2,823
-31,644 +31,525
-670 -788 +56
-28,877
Core EBITDA Stock Loss Provision Expected Loss on Liquidation of
Subsidiary
EBITDA Change in Working Capital
Net Cash Provided by (used in) Investing
Activities
Free Cash Flow
Q3/2015 Core EBITDA to Free Cash Flow
-2,823
-31,644
-649
-32,293
+8 -829 +109 -192
-33,198
+76
-33,122
+56
-28,877
Core EBITDA Stock Loss Provision
Expected Loss on Liquidation of Subsidiary
EBITDA D&A Operating Income
Income from Equity
Net Interest Expense
Forex and Other Finance Costs
Others Pre-tax Income Taxes and Non-controlling
Interest
Net Income
Q3/2015 Core EBITDA to Net Profit
Q3/2015 EBITDA to Net Profit and EBITDA to Free Cash Flow
23
Unit: MB
Unit: MB
24
Revenues and EBITDA Margin by Business Unit
HRC Business
Port Business Engineering Business
Upstream Business
HRC Business recorded slightly negative EBITDA margin, mainly due to a decrease in HRC Sales Volume and HRC Spread. If including expected losses on liquidation of SSI
UK of 64,062 MB, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -1307% and -411% respectively.
Upstream Business recorded bigger negative EBITDA margin. If including expected loss on liquidation 29,579 MB, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -492%%
and -154% respectively.
Port Business recorded lower EBITDA margin due to a decrease in revenues. If including losses from provision for loan granted to SSI UK of 164 MB and the reversal of accrued
interest receivable on loan granted to SSI UK of 7 MB, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -194% and -17% respectively
Engineering Business contributed higher EBITDA margin YoY in 9M/2015 as a result of an increase in revenue of profit-making business.
230 223 229 199 152 160 167 166
651
493 10%
5%
-11%
-42%
-11%
-2% 4% 4%
-15%
2%
-100%
-95%
-90%
-85%
-80%
-75%
-70%
-65%
-60%
-55%
-50%
-45%
-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-550
-450
-350
-250
-150
-50
50
150
250
350
450
550
650
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Revenues (MB) EBITDA Margin (%)
11,443 12,513 11,309 11,343 11,644 8,816 7,780 6,582
35,165
23,177
-16% -7% -5% 3% 0.2% -14% -28% -42%
-3% -27% -40%
60%
160%
260%
360%
460%
560%
660%
-10,000
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Revenues (MB) EBITDA Margin (%)
8,995 10,170 8,602 7,845 5,765 5,446 5,252 4,904
26,616
15,601
8% 9% 7% 7%
-4% -6%
6%
-1%
8%
-0.3%
-20% -
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Revenues (MB) EBITDA Margin (%)
Including expected losses on liquidation of SSI UK, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -1307% and -411% respectively.
Including expected loss on liquidation, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -492% and -154% respectively.
Including losses from provision for loan granted to SSI UK, EBITDA Margin in Q3/2015 and 9M/2015 would be -194% and -17% respectively.
81 67 59 78 79 61 67 65
204 192
77%
66% 61%
71% 72% 72% 75%
59% 66% 69%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 9M/14 9M/15
Revenues (MB) EBITDA Margin (%)
4.89 5.73 6.80 7.40
9.62
21.60
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
25
Consolidated Financial Position
Current Ratio was down from 0.27x in Q2/15 to 0.17x in Q3/15 due to a decrease in inventories and trade accounts receivable.
In Q3/15, Interest-Bearing Debt/Equity was not available as a result of negative equity.
Consolidated Working Capital (MB) Total Assets and Liabilities (MB)
Interest-Bearing Debt/Equity (x) Current Ratio (x)
N.A. N.A.
0.64 0.59
0.53
0.41
0.33 0.32 0.27
0.17
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
56,572
10,610
55,662
9,062
55,396
7,611
54,263
7,005
54,284
5,460
53,363
2,407
53,948
-990
20,033
-34,674
28,154
74,116
24,891
71,491
21,237
71,392
24,134
71,392
23,009
71,833
22,641
73,598
19,374
74,312
11,032
65,738
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
Non Current Assets Current Assets Equities Total Liabilities
21,889 22,062 21,564 22,148 22,638 22,269 22,506
23,666
17,388
14,517
11,947
13,456 13,629 12,788
10,093
5,498
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
S/T Loans Inventories
26
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
27
Market Summary: HRC, Slab and Raw Materials
0
200
400
600
800
Jun-1
1
Jul-11
Aug-1
1
Sep-1
1
Oct-
11
Nov-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jan-1
2
Feb-1
2
Mar-
12
Apr-
12
May-
12
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-
12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-
13
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar-
14
Apr-
14
May-
14
Jun-1
4
Jul-14
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan-1
5
Feb-1
5
Mar-
15
Apr-
15
May-
15
Jun-1
5
Jul-15
Aug-1
5
Sep-1
5
US
D/t
on
HRC
HRC (FOB China)
0
200
400
600
800
Jun-1
1
Jul-11
Aug-1
1
Sep-1
1
Oct-
11
Nov-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jan-1
2
Feb-1
2
Mar-
12
Apr-
12
May-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-
12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar-
14
Apr-
14
May-1
4
Jun-1
4
Jul-14
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan-1
5
Feb-1
5
Mar-
15
Apr-
15
May-1
5
Jun-1
5
Jul-15
Aug-1
5
Sep-1
5
US
D/t
on
Slab & Scrap
Slab (CFR East Asia import) Scrap (FOB Netherland)
0
40
80
120
160
200
Jun-1
1
Jul-11
Aug-1
1
Sep-1
1
Oct-
11
Nov-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jan-1
2
Feb-1
2
Mar-
12
Apr-
12
May-
12
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-
12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-
13
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar-
14
Apr-
14
May-
14
Jun-1
4
Jul-14
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan-1
5
Feb-1
5
Mar-
15
Apr-
15
May-
15
Jun-1
5
Jul-15
Aug-1
5
Sep-1
5
US
D/t
on
Iron Ore
Iron Ore (CFR China)
89
0
100
200
300
400
Jul-11
Aug-1
1
Sep-1
1
Oct-
11
Nov-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jan-1
2
Feb-1
2
Mar-
12
Apr-
12
May-
12
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-
12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-
13
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar-
14
Apr-
14
May-
14
Jun-1
4
Jul-14
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan-1
5
Feb-1
5
Mar-
15
Apr-
15
May-
15
Jun-1
5
Jul-15
Aug-1
5
Sep-1
5
US
D/t
on
Coking Coal
Hard Coking Coal (FOB Australia)
Crude Steel Production by Geography
28
Crude steel production in Q3/15 dropped 3% QoQ, as a result of the overall decrease of most regions, led
by China, Europe, South America, and Others whose production decreased 4.3%, 10.9%, 1.3%, and 4.4%
QoQ respectively. However, crude steel production in North America and Asia (Others) improved 3.2% and
1.6% QoQ respectively.
42 44 44 40 42 43 44 39
30 29 30 31 30 28 28 29
11 11 11 12 11 11 11 11
188 201 209 205 199 200 208 199
71 71
72 71 72 71 72 73
48 47
49 47 47 45 47
45
391 403
415 405 401 399 410
396
-
100
200
300
400
Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15
(Millio
n T
on
s)
Others
Asia (Others)
China
South America
North America
Europe
Total
Source: Monthly Estimate from WSA website
2,913 2,552 2,573 2,578
2,276 2,193
4,113 4,438
3,896 3,738
31 24 28 25 10
5,075
6,642 6,984
6,449
6,003
6,558
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F
Domestic Production Import Export
HRC ASS Original Forecast
HRC Apparent Steel Supply (in ’000 tons)
Thailand HRC Outlook
29
Source: Iron and Steel Institution of Thailand for 2011-2014.
2015F is forecasted upon actual data and SSI’s estimate.
HRC Apparent Steel Supply is expected to drop 13% QoQ to 1,427k tons in Q4/15.
HRC Apparent Steel Supply in 2015 is re-forecasted to decrease 7% YoY to approx. 6,003k tons from 6,449k tons in
2014 due to a slower than expected recovery of domestic economy in 2015.
2014 2015F %YoY
2,578 2,276 -12%
3,896 3,738 -4%
25 10 -59%
6,449 6,003 -7%
Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15F
Domestic Production 545 644 557 530
Import 950 802 1,086 900
Export 3 2 1 3
Total Supply 1,492 1,443 1,641 1,427
586 545 644
557 530
1,093 950
802
1,086
900
2 3 2 1 3
1,676 1,492 1,443
1,641
1,427
-500
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15F
Outlook and Guidance for Q4/2015
30
Up
str
eam
Guidance for Q3/15 Actual Q3/15 Guidance for Q4/15
HRC Sales Volume Increase 30-40% QoQ 295k tons;
Decrease 4% QoQ
Decrease 25-30% QoQ
HRC Average Selling Price Decrease 6-8% USD496 per ton;
Decrease 7% QoQ
Decrease 13-15%
Slab Cost Decrease 20-22% USD363 per ton;
Decrease 21% QoQ
Decrease 6-8%
HRC Rolling Margin 24-26% 17.9% 16-18%
Guidance for Q3/15 Actual Q3/15 Guidance for Q4/15
Slab Production Volume
Increase 6-8% QoQ 533k tons;
Decrease 23% QoQ
-
Slab Sales Volume Increase 12-14% QoQ 580k tons;
Decrease 15% QoQ
-
3rd Parties Sales Volume 65-70% 84% -
Slab Average Selling Price Decrease 10-12% QoQ USD308 per ton;
Decrease 8% QoQ
-
Raw Material Costs Decrease 5-7% QoQ US220 per ton;
Decrease 6% QoQ
-
Slab Margin 25-27% 28.7% -
HR
C
31
Highlights
Agenda
Recent Update and Ongoing Projects
Q3/2015 Performance Results
Q3/2015 Financial Results
Outlook and Guidance
Q & A
Supplementary Appendix
Hot-Rolled Coils Business
Cold-Rolled Coils Business
Coated Steel Sheet Business
Engineering Business
Port Business
32
SSI at a Glance
Basic Information Group Business
Company: SAHAVIRIYA STEEL
INDUSTRIES PLC.
Stock Symbol SSI
Foundation: 13 March 1990
First Day Trading: 8 September 1994
Website: www.ssi-steel.com
Group Employees: 4,430 (at the end of 2014)
Group CEO: Mr. Win Viriyaprapaikit
Shareholding Structure (As of 30 March 2015)
Share Information
Stock Code: SSI
No. of Listed Shares: 32,166,258,124 Shares
Registered Capital: THB 50,263,663,124
Paid-up Capital: THB 32,166,258,124
Par Value: THB 1.00
Foreign Limit: 49%
Foreign available: 19%
Dividend Policy: No less than 25% of the
Company's net profit each year
on a non-consolidated basis
Market Capitalization: 1,287 MB or 36 MUSD*
Free Float: 50.38%
SV Group includes Sahaviriya Group,
Sahaviriya Inter Steel Holdings, and
Viriyaprapaikit Family
* Share and FX information as of 11 November 2015
SV Group 29.7%
Vanomet Holding
AG 19.7% MISI
3.5%
JFE 3.5%
Others 43.6%
33
Commercial grade
General steel pipes
General steel structure
General steel cut-to-sheet
Unique grade
Steel pipes
Steel cut-to-sheet
Floor plate steel
High grade
Re-rolling (Cold-rolled Steel)
Gas cylinder & pressure vessels
Automotive OEM & auto parts
HA/EA parts
Shipbuilding & high strength
structure
Atmospheric resistant steel &
line pipe
Machinery &industrial tools
Sectors Products
HRC-P/O
HRC
Applications
SS
I T
H
Slab
Products
SS
I U
K
Pla
te M
ills
Billet*
Mills
*Currently not in operation by SSI UK.
Tube Round
Bars & Rods
Steel Plates Shipbuilding
Crude oil storage tanks
Bridge construction
Off-shore structures
Threaded bars for construction
Wire rods
Springs
Off-shore line pipes
Oil & gas casing & tubing line
pipes
SSI Group’s Steel Products and Applications
34
High-grade
Unique
IVPs
Premium Value Products (PVPs) are steel products with premium value added resulted from our
initiatives to innovate and develop higher-quality products and services to better serve customers’ need.
Our PVPs consist of High-grade Products, Unique Products and Innovated Value Products (IVPs).
Definitions Hot-rolled steel products with high quality
through various quality control processes
for specific qualifications i.e. chemical,
mechanical, surface, etc. Hot-rolled steels for re-rolling.
Hot-rolled steel products with specific
qualities uniquely designed by SSI.
For example, HRC Thin Gauge, specially
thin flat steels with thickness less than
1.2 mm used for small diameter pipes, and Checkered Plate.
Innovated steel products and services
specially designed to offer higher-quality
products and services beyond customers’
expectation and to provide value added
to customers in other aspects in the same time.
Gas cylinder
Chassis & Components
Applications
Compressor
Small Diameter pipe
Water Tube pipe
Checkered Plate
Roof Structure
SSI’s Premium Value Products (PVPs)
Products Country of Origin Measures Duty Rate Status1)
Effective Period
HRC China, Malaysia Anti-dumping 30.91% - 42.51% Final 12 Aug 11 – 11 Aug 16
HRC
(with Boron
added)
China Anti-dumping 14.28% - 19.47% Final 26 Dec 12 – 25 Dec 17
HRC Japan, South Africa,
Russia, Kazakhstan,
India, South Korea,
Taiwan, Venezuela,
Argentina, Ukraine,
Algeria, Indonesia,
Slovakia, Romania
Anti-dumping 0% - 128.11% Final 23 May 15 – 22 May 20
HRC (with other
elements added)
All
(UN developing countries
excluded, except Turkey)
Safeguard
44.20%
43.57%
42.95%
Final
15 Sep 13 – 26 Feb 14
27 Feb 14 – 26 Feb 15
27 Feb 15 – 26 Feb 16 (Submission for Extension
on 9 Jun 15)
HRC (without
other elements
added; thickness
0.9-50 mm and
width 600-3,048
mm)
All
(UN developing
countries excluded,
except Brazil)
Safeguard
21.92%
21.52%
21.13%
Final
24 Dec 14 – 6 Jun 15
7 Jun 15 – 6 Jun 16
7 Jun 16 – 6 Jun 17
CRC China, Vietnam, Taiwan Anti-dumping 4.22% - 20.11% Final 6 Feb 14 – 5 Feb 19
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Current Status of Anti-dumping & Safeguard Measures
1) According to Thai regulations, the two stages of AD and Safeguard measure are Provisional and Final Measure. Provisional Measure may be
imposed if there is clear evidence and a preliminary determination that increased imports have caused or are threatening to cause serious injury.
After making the Final Determination that dumped imports are causing injury for AD or imports are causing serious injury for SG, the Final measures
will be applied.
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Unit: USD/Ton 2015 2015 %QoQ 2014 %YoY 2015 2014 %YoY
Q3 Q2 Q3 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
HRC Average Selling Price 496 532 -7% 701 -29% 544 681 -20%
HRC Spread 1) 89 34 +158% 133 -33% 62 125 -50%
HRC Rolling Margin (%) 2) 17.9% 6.5% 18.9% 11.4% 18.4%
HRC EBITDA 3) 2.3 32.3 -93% 51.0 -95% 1.7 54.6 -97%
HRC Sales Volume (k tons) 295 307 -4% 355 -17% 880 1,201 -27%
HRC Production Volume (k tons) 254 320 -21% 388 -34% 795 1,167 -32%
HRC Utilisation Rate (%) 25% 32% 39% 26% 39%
Slab Average Selling Price 308 337 -8% 507 -39% 340 517 -34%
Slab Spread 1) 89 103 -14% 193 -54% 104 175 -40%
Slab Margin (%) 2) 28.7% 30.6% 38.1% 30.6% 33.8%
Slab Sales Volume (k tons) 580 679 -15% 688 -16% 1,975 2,051 -4%
Portion Sold to 3rd Parties (%) 84% 83% 52% 76% 66%
Slab Production Volume (k tons) 533 696 -23% 705 -24% 1,950 2,071 -6%
Slab Utilisation Rate (%) 67% 77% 78% 75% 77%
1) HRC Spread & Slab Spread excludes the provision for loss on decline in value of inventories, or the reversal thereof. 2) HRC Rolling Margin = HRC Spread/Average Selling Price; Slab Margin = Slab Spread/Average Selling Price 3) HRC EBITDA includes net stock loss provision and other provisions (reversal) USD 20.9/ton in Q3/2015, USD (51.3)/ton in Q2/2015, USD 0.2/ton
in Q3/2014, (5.9)/ton in 9M/2015, and USD (0.7)/ton in 9M/2014, but excludes the expected loss on liquidation of subsidiary USD 5,956.2/ton in
Q3/2015 and 1,997.2 USD/ton in 9M/2015.
Key Operational Performances
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Unit: MB 2015 2015 %QoQ 2014 %YoY 2015 2014 %YoY
Q3 Q2 Q3 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
Sales and Service Revenue 10,543 11,867 -11% 14,014 -25% 33,432 51,076 -35%
COGS 13,681 13,770 -1% 13,800 -1% 40,355 51,694 -22%
Gross Profit (Loss) (3,138) (1,903) -65% 214 N.A. (6,945) (618) N.A.
SG&A 546 509 +7% 387 N.A. 1,439 1,113 +29%
Provision for Loss under
Onerous Contracts (Reversal) (13) 18 -174% (0.3) N.A. (62) (218) +72%%
Expected loss on liquidation of
subsidiary 28,877 - N.A. - N.A. 28,877 - N.A.
Gain on Sales of Investments - - - - - - - -
EBITDA 1) (31,644) (1,777) N.A. 866 N.A. (35,075) 942 N.A.
Interest Expenses 829 830 -0.04% 790 +5% 2,437 2,407 +1%
Depreciation and Amortisation 649 633 +3% 637 +2% 1,876 1,904 -1%
Income Tax Expense (Reversal) (0.2) (4) +96% (13) +99% (4) (18) +79%
Realised Gain (Loss) from FX 741 (159) +566% (182) +508% 478 (320) +249%
Unrealised Gain (Loss) from FX (622) 205 -403% 345 -280% (384) 380 -201%
Net Profit (Loss) (33,122) (3,236) -924% (547) N.A. (39,384) (3,351) N.A.
EPS (Baht per Share) (1.030) (0.101) -924% (0.017) N.A. (1.224) (0.104) N.A.
P&L Snapshot: Consolidated
1) EBITDA = Net Profit + Tax Expense + Depreciation & Amortisation + Interest Expenses
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Unit: MB 2015 2015 %QoQ 2014 %YoY 2015 2014 %YoY
Q3 Q2 Q1 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
Sales and Service Revenue 4,904 5,252 -7% 7,845 -37% 15,601 26,616 -41%
COGS 4,739 4,845 -0.5% 7,163 -33% 15,374 24,483 -37%
Gross Profit (Loss) 164 407 -60% 681 -76% 310 2,134 -85%
SG&A 413 382 +8% 226 +46% 1,057 683 +55%
Provision for Loss under
Onerous Contracts (Reversal) - - N.A. - N.A. (83) - N.A.
Expected loss on liquidation of
subsidiary 64,062 - N.A. - N.A. 64,062 - N.A.
Gain on Sales of Investments - - - - - - - -
EBITDA 1) (64,099) 334 N.A. 581 N.A. (64,116) 2,128 N.A.
Interest Expenses 404 430 -6% 397 +2% 1,248 1,279 -2%
Depreciation and Amortisation 108 127 -15% 147 -27% 332 439 -24%
Income Tax Expense (Reversal) (2) (1) -177% - N.A. 1 - N.A.
Realised Gain (Loss) from FX 288 (2) N.A. 1 N.A. 243 41 +486%
Unrealised Gain (Loss) from FX (214) 138 -255% (38) -460% (54) 60 -191%
Net Profit (Loss) (64,609) (222) N.A. 36 N.A. (65,697) 410 N.A.
EPS (Baht per Share) (2.009) (0.007) N.A. 0.001 N.A. (2.042) 0.013 N.A.
P&L Snapshot: SSI TH
1) EBITDA = Net Profit + Tax Expense + Depreciation & Amortisation + Interest Expenses
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Unit: MB 2015 2015 %QoQ 2014 %YoY 2015 2014 %YoY
Q3 Q2 Q3 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep
Sales Revenue 6,582 7,780 -15% 11,343 -42% 23,177 35,165 -34%
Cost of Good Sold 9,965 10,107 -1% 11,816 -17% 30,026 38,026 -20%
Gross Profit (Loss) (3,384) (2,327) -45% (473) -615% (7,403) (2,861) -159%
SG&A 106 101 +5% 103 +3% 307 311 -1%
Provision for Loss under Onerous
Contracts (Reversal) (0.4) (1) +63% (0.3) -39% 21 (218) N.A.
Expected loss on liquidation 29,579 - N.A. - N.A. 29,579 - N.A.
EBITDA 1) (32,363) (2,177) N.A. 339 N.A. (35,793) (1,075) N.A.
Interest Expenses 419 392 +7% 387 +8% 1,167 1,114 +5%
Depreciation and Amortisation 504 475 +6% 456 +10% 1,444 1,365 +6%
Income Tax Expense (Reversal) - - - - - - - -
Gain (Loss) on FX 151 (186) +181% 202 -25% (30) (83) +64%
Gain (Loss) on Investments 2 10 -80% 85 -98% 94 313 -70%
Net Profit (Loss) (33,286) (3,045) N.A. (505) N.A. (38,404) (3,553) -981%
P&L Snapshot: SSI UK
1) EBITDA = Net Profit + Tax Expense + Depreciation & Amortisation + Interest Expenses