Role of Information Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Torturing Data Until They Confess I only have one...
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Transcript of Role of Information Farrokh Alemi, Ph.D.. Torturing Data Until They Confess I only have one...
Torturing Data Until They Confess
I only have one question. What
is 1 plus 1?Mathematician:
“For sure 2”
Torturing Data Until They Confess
I only have one question. What
is 1 plus 1?
Statistician: “Over long samples the
average is 1.99”
Torturing Data Until They Confess
I only have one question. What
is 1 plus 1?
System Analyst: “What do you want it to be?”
What is Information?
• “..facts to be used as a basis of discussion or deciding something”
• Data alone represent observations
• Data is not always correct and it can be distorted
• Information occurs as a result of processing the data
Other Definitions
• What is known beyond random chance predictions
• When data helps reduce available alternatives
• When data is processed to become meaningful for the given situation
Other Definitions
• What is known beyond random chance predictions
• When data helps reduce available alternatives
• When data is processed to become meaningful for the given situation
Reduced
Alternatives
Travels of Data
1. Acquisition of data.2. Classification of data.3. Storage of data.4. Retrieval of data.5. Editing of data.6. Verification and quality
control of process that produced the data.
7. Aggregation of data.
8. Hypothesis generation 9. Description of data 10. Test of analysis
assumptions 11. Analysis 12. Extrapolation of
implications of findings 13. Presentation of data14. Distribution of reports 15. Evaluation of
effectiveness of reports
Travels of Data
1. Acquisition of data.2. Classification of data.3. Storage of data.4. Retrieval of data.5. Editing of data.6. Verification and quality
control of process that produced the data.
7. Aggregation of data.
8. Hypothesis generation 9. Description of data 10. Test of analysis
assumptions 11. Analysis 12. Extrapolation of
implications of findings 13. Presentation of data14. Distribution of reports 15. Evaluation of
effectiveness of reports
Information Systems
• Hardware, software, People
• Information processing is the essential element of management
Medical Informatics
• The study and use of computers and information in health care
• Association of American Medical Colleges “Medical informatics is a developing body of knowledge
and a set of techniques concerning the organizational management of information in support of medical research, education, and patient care…combines medical science with several technologies and disciplines in computer sciences and provides methodologies by which these can contribute to better medical care”
Investment in IT
• Since 1965, investment in IT has tripled in the US
• Use of IT has changed how we work and now information workers are more common
Investment in IT
• Some costs have gone down– Processing costs– Storage costs– Transmission costs– Cost of input/output devices– Marketing costs
How Costs Have Dropped?
1. 1950s processing costs drops
2. 1960s storage costs drops
3. 1970s transmission costs drops
4. 1980s input/output costs drops
5. 1990s marketing costs drops
6. 2000s broadband and wireless
Healthcare IT Investment
• Health care expenditures account for 1/7 of the US economy
• IT expenditures by industry– Transportation 14%– Banking 6%– Healthcare 2%
Information Seeking Behavior
• A critical behavior that occurs continuously• Information search is any purposeful
activity leading to collecting data and processing it to becomeinformation
• Organizations control information– Sharing info leads to improved coordination– Need to know
Exercise in Detection of Patterns
• Search for information starts with assumptions
• What is the next number if the first few are: 1, 5, 10, ?
Exercise in Detection of Patterns
• Search for information starts with assumptions
• What is the next number if the first few are: 1, 5, 10, 17, ?
Exercise in Detection of Patterns
• Search for information starts with assumptions
• What is the next number if the first two are: 1, 5, 10, ?f(x) = X2 + 1
Barriers to Information Seeking
• Time• Decision making
characteristics• Structural• Cultural• Organizational
policies and procedures
• Individual• Technical issues• Cost of search• “Not part of my job”• Fear of unknown
Distortion of Information
1. Plunging in before full examination2. Solving wrong problems3. Narrow view4. Overconfidence5. Shortsighted shortcuts6. Shooting from the hip, without aids7. Equating popularity with accuracy8. Fooling yourself9. Not keeping track
Decision Traps: Ten Barriers to Brilliant Decision-making and how to Overcome Them
by J. Edward Russo, Paul J. H. Schoemaker - 1989 - 280 pages
Why Is There So Much Ignorance in Organized Work?
• Managers control information release
• Ignorance is bliss
• Ignorance is productive– Need to know
• Organization structures are unproductive– Informal organization structures are key to
success
How Should Information Systems Help Clinicians?
• Frame the problem better
• Gather information more intelligently
• Be aware of the missing data
• Use systematic processes to come to conclusions
• Seek and learn from feedback by keeping track of success and failures