results Q1 2020 · 2) 2020 Q1 (vs 2019 Q1): equity participations -32m (10m), CVA/DVA/FVA -88m...
Transcript of results Q1 2020 · 2) 2020 Q1 (vs 2019 Q1): equity participations -32m (10m), CVA/DVA/FVA -88m...
Investor RelationsInvestor Relations
results Q1 2020
13 May 2020
roadshow booklet
2
Highlights Q1, resilient going into Covid-19
Financials
▪ Significant impact of Covid-19, focus on wellbeing and safety of our clients and staff
▪ Q1 loss of 395m reflecting 1.1bn of impairments, alongside strong operational performance
▪ NII and fees held up, despite volatile markets
▪ Costs well controlled with continued delivery on cost-saving programmes
▪ Impairments reflect exceptional files and significant upfront provisioning for sub sectors immediately impacted by Covid-19 and oil price
▪ Resilient going into Covid-19
− Well diversified credit portfolio and targeted support measures from the government for clients
− Strong CET1 ratio at 17.3% 1,2) (c.14% Basel IV) and sound liquidity position
▪ Final dividend 2019 of 0.68 per share postponed (in line with ECB’s recommendation) and remains reserved
Outlook
▪ NII guidance of 1.5-1.6bn per quarter remains unchanged, NII expected to trend towards lower end of the range
▪ On track for c. 5.1bn of costs in 2020; cumulative savings achieved of c.950m towards target of c.1.1bn by 2020 3)
▪ Cost of risk of c.90bps or c.2.5bn of impairments expected for FY2020
▪ Update on strategic priorities, financial targets and capital after summer
1) CET1 ratio excludes reserve for final dividend of 2019 of 639m (57bps)
2) Resilient to stress as confirmed by 2018 EU-wide stress test
3) Targeted cumulative cost savings vs. FY2015 cost base
3
Firm commitment to deliver results
▪ Clear purpose and strategy around 3 strategic pillars
▪ Leading bank in the Netherlands with strong market positions
▪ Focused Private Bank with scalable franchise NW Europe
▪ Continuous IT rejuvenation and accelerated digital agenda
▪ Demonstrated cost discipline and focus on profitability
▪ Strong capital position, early anticipation of Basel IV
▪ Lead the bank through Covid-19
▪ AML investigation ongoing; continued focus to deliver on AML
remediation programmes
▪ Committed to de-risking and improving profitability CIB;
outcome ongoing review in August
▪ Update on strategy and strategic pillars after the summer;
reflected in update operational efficiency, capital and targets
▪ Further accelerate digital
▪ Continued focus on mitigating impact negative rates
Strong fundamentals CEO priorities
4
Banking for better, a compass during Covid-19
Sustainability Customer experience
Support our clients’ transition to
sustainability as a business case
▪ Automatic payment holidays for
targeted client groups with opt-out
▪ Client support to prevent payment
arrears e.g. Financial Grip coaches
▪ Actively support seniors in digital shift
imposed by lockdown
▪ Sharing computational power for
Covid-19 related research
▪ Laptops for home schooling of
underprivileged children
Future-proof bank
Effortless and proactive customer
experience through client and data focus
▪ Strong increase in video banking, with
high NPS appreciation
▪ Fast response to clients due to smart
integration communication channels
▪ Credit facility small SMEs to be
processed straight-through by New10
▪ Accelerated digital delivery, e.g. digital
signatures in the Commercial Bank
▪ Extension of limits contactless payment
reducing the need to touch terminals
Structure, capabilities and culture for
competitiveness and compliance
▪ Priority wellbeing and safety of
employees
▪ Fast leverage of working from home
platform
▪ Virtual call centres enabling client
interaction without interruption
▪ Staff reallocation to better serve clients
▪ Virtual onboarding employees, allowing
continued progress AML remediation
▪ AML remediation progressing, over
2,800 FTEs fully committed
5
Strong digital response enabled by investments in IT and digital
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
CommercialBank
PrivateBank NL
Retail
February April
Digital banking well adopted Uplift video banking during lockdown
▪ Strong digital proposition and client adoption ensured seamless continuation of services; increasing use of mobile only
▪ Strategic investments in IT and digital offering enabled continued service to clients while working from home, including video banking
▪ Surge in clients’ need for information met through smart mix of communication channels, including chatbots and virtual call centres
▪ Swift execution of payment holidays, including opt-out, and government guarantee loans due to system and process flexibility
▪ Covid-19 accelerates the digital shift, creating further opportunities to improve customer experience and operational efficiency
Mobile client onboarding growing
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018 Q4 2019 Q4 2020 Q1
Mobile only Online
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2020 04
Online Mobile only Branch
% total client meetings through video banking% retail clients digitally active Retail client onboarding by channel
6
Support for the Dutch economy and our clients
Dutch economy to outperform Eurozone in 2020 reflecting
intelligent lockdown and government support up to 100bn 1)
Income and salary support measures
▪ Labour retention package
▪ Salary compensation for the self employed
▪ Compensation for loss of turnover caused by health
measures
Liquidity and tax support measures
▪ Government guaranteed loans (>11bn)
▪ Deferrals of tax payments on income tax, corporate income
tax, wage tax and VAT
▪ Cancellation of tax penalties
▪ Easing of Dutch tax loss carry forward framework
Early announced payment holidays
▪ Retail: c.13k individual clients 3) and c.33k professionals & self
employed clients serviced by Retail participated
▪ SMEs: c.63k clients participated (90% clients in scope)
representing 50% of CB loans
▪ Customized approach for larger corporates and private clients
Co-operation between banks and government to timely
implement government guaranteed loan schemes
▪ Most facilities live, first guaranteed loans granted
▪ Client support desks expanded to facilitate fast roll out
▪ Government framework for loans <50k announced, through
New10
Government aims to minimise impact on Dutch economy ABN AMRO’s comprehensive client support 2)
1) List not exhaustive, more details here and here. EUR 100bn of support represents c. 15% of Dutch GDP. Dutch government debt was 49% of GDP at YE2019
2) Payment holidays with deferral of interest and principal: available as default option to all SMEs with facilities up to 50m (with opt-out possibility) and on a case-by-case basis available for other
identified client groups. Client numbers as of beginning of May 2020
3) Half mortgage clients and half consumer loan clients
Dutch government launched targeted measures aimed to minimize
impact on Dutch economy
By providing additional support measures ABN AMRO wants to be
part of the solution to help clients through Covid-19
7
1) Gross carrying amounts of on balance sheet loans & receivables (Q1 2020)
2) Includes full sub sectors for CB, Oil & Gas and other individual files in CIB, selected professionals in Retail, leisure-related commercial real estate in Retail and Private.
More details on sub sectors on page 15
Diversified loan book and limited sector concentrations
Mortgages53%
Consumer loans4%
Corporates34%
Professional & other9%
EUR 278bn
Loans mostly Dutch and around half mortgages 1) Immediately impacted sub sectors Covid-19 and oil price 1,2)
▪ Majority of loans in strong Dutch economy, with clients having access to large scale support from government and ABN AMRO
▪ Mortgages are half the book and performed well through previous financial crisis, payment holiday requested by c.1% of clients
▪ Within CB c.20% immediately impacted sub sectors (mainly Transportation, Leisure and Non-Food Retail) and within CIB c.10%, largely
Oil & Gas reflecting lower prices
▪ All immediately impacted sub sectors provisioned (stage 2 & 3) at Q1. Additional impact on CIB mitigated by prior de-risking 2)
Retail/Private 2%
Corporates 6%
Rest of loan book92%
EUR 278bn
Immediately impacted 8%
o/w SMEs c.3%
o/w Oil & Gas (incl.
Offshore) c.2%
8
1) Low effective tax rate Q1 result of impairments in Asia with tax rate of around 13%
Disappointing net result alongside good operational delivery
EUR m 2020 Q1 2019 Q1 Delta
Net interest income 1,527 1,573 -3%
Net fee and commission income 438 414 6%
Other operating income -41 94
Operating income 1,924 2,081 -8%
Operating expenses 1,300 1,327 -2%
Operating result 624 754 -17%
Impairment charges 1,111 102
Income tax expenses 1) -92 174
Profit -395 478
▪ Q1 loss of 395m reflecting 1.1bn of impairments, alongside
strong operational performance
▪ NII impacted mainly by margin pressure on deposits due to low
interest environment
▪ Fees benefitted from increased trading flows, especially
Clearing
▪ Other income reflects mainly fair value adjustments
▪ Costs under control with continued delivery on cost-saving
programmes
▪ Impairments reflect two exceptional client files and significant
upfront provisioning for sectors most impacted Covid-19 and
oil price
▪ Able to apply tax loss carry back for loss in US Clearing
Key points
9
1) CAGR Q1 2019 – Q1 2020
2) FX impact 0.5bn Q-o-Q
Client lending stable
Mortgage client lending Corporate client lending
▪ Mortgage book stable while remaining price disciplined, market share of 15% in Q1 2020
▪ No immediate impact of Covid-19 expected on mortgage market; decline in transactions mitigated by high number of refinancings
▪ CIB loans up in Q1, mainly reflecting modest drawdowns on committed lines at quarter-end (largely placed on deposit) 2)
▪ Commercial Banking loan book flat, reflecting focus on margins in competitive environment
▪ Outlook: Corporate loan book expected to increase modestly mainly from further drawdowns on committed lines
Consumer loans client lending
EUR bn EUR bn EUR bnCAGR = -0.1% 1) CAGR = 0.8% CB, -1.2% CIB 1) CAGR = -2.2% 1)
147.9
148.2
147.6
125
135
145
155
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 202045.4
41.2
44.4
43.5
42.6
42.9
20
30
40
50
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
CIB Commercial Banking
12.4
12.3
11.9
0
6
12
18
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
10
1) Around 52bn of deposits between 100k and 2.5m not subject to negative pricing. No negative rates on deposits below 100k (safeguarding c. 95% of clients)
2) Treasury results include various smaller items in Group Functions e.g.Tiering, Liquidity Management Costs
Net Interest Income holding up despite low interest rates
Net Interest Income (NII) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) Transition NII
EUR m NIM bps EUR m
1,5
73
1,5
86
1,5
27
90
120
150
180
900
1,200
1,500
1,800
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
Net interest income Incidental effects
NIM 4Q rolling avg.
▪ Resilient NII despite margin pressure on deposits due to low interest environment
▪ Adjusted for seasonally high prepayment penalties at Q4 2019, NII slightly down due to margin pressure and lower Treasury results 2)
▪ Negative pricing of deposits above 2.5m started as of 1 April, impacting c. 26bn of deposits 1)
▪ NII guidance of 1.5-1.6bn per quarter remains unchanged, though trending towards lower end of the range
1,5
86
1,5
27
c.-10 -10 -25c.-15
20
19
Q4
Lo
we
r fo
rlo
nge
r
Asse
t m
arg
ins
Pre
pa
ym
ent
pe
na
ltie
s
Tre
asu
ryre
su
lts
20
20
Q1
11
1) AuM declined by 28bn mainly due to lower market performance
2) 2020 Q1 (vs 2019 Q1): equity participations -32m (10m), CVA/DVA/FVA -88m (-7m), hedge accounting/RFT costs 40m (63m). 2019 Q1 had 34m provision for SME derivative-related issues
Fees strong in Q1, Clearing benefits from market volatility
Net fee income Other operating income
▪ Fees up 11% with Clearing benefitting from increased trading flows. Private and Commercial Banking also up, while Retail was flat
▪ Guidance on Fees unchanged at c.400m per quarter as certain businesses benefit from impact of Covid-19 (Clearing) and others are
negatively impacted (mainly PB 1) and ICS)
▪ Other income down, reflecting fair value adjustments (XVA and equity participations) 2) and lower hedge accounting/RFT. Guidance
remains at 100m per quarter long term, likely below long term guidance in coming quarters reflecting impact Covid-19
EUR m EUR m
394
396
438
20
0
250
500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
Stater fee Net fee income (excl. Stater)
94 119
-41
-75
0
75
150
225
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
Other income Divestment effects
Guidance (100m)
XVA -88m
Equity Part. -32m
Hedge acc./RFT 40m
Other 39m
12
Costs well controlled, continued benefits from cost saving programmes
Operating expenses Transition operating expenses
EUR m EUR m
▪ Personnel expenses continue to trend down, reflecting divestments and decrease in pension costs
▪ Other expenses decreased driven by execution of cost savings programmes (digitalisation & process optimisation)
▪ AML costs in line with plan, execution progressing despite Covid-19
▪ On track for c.5.1bn of costs, cumulative savings achieved of c.950m towards target of c.1.1bn by 2020 1)
1) Targeted cumulative cost savings vs. FY2015 cost base. Covid-19 presents risks to timing of delivery of our structural cost savings programmes, but also opportunity for short term cost savings
567
550
531
589
636
570
0
500
1,000
1,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
Personnel Other expensesRegulatory levies Incidental effects
1,3
27
1,3
00
c.40
117-48
-20
-14
Q1 2
019
Cost savin
gpro
gra
mm
es
CLA
pensio
nre
late
d
Div
estm
ents
& A
cquis
itio
ns
AM
L c
ost
Investm
ents
Infla
tion
& le
vie
s
Q1 2
020
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1) CIB clients reviewed case by case, CB reviewed by sub sector and RB reviewed by profession of the client. Review focussed on significant increase in credit risk, not (yet) captured by deterioration
of underling risk data
2) Application of payment holiday is no automatic trigger for a stage transfer or additional impairments
Substantial impairments at Q1
High impairments mainly in CIB Impact on impairments from Covid-19 and oil price
▪ Impairments comprise two exceptional client files in CIB, significant upfront collective impairments for Covid-19 and oil price, and
modest regular impairments
▪ US Clearing client defaulted from market dislocation, TCF exposed to potential fraud from oil trader in Singapore
▪ Impact of Covid-19 and oil price drop not yet fully captured by underlying client risk data, hence management overlay of 511m
upfront collective provisioning for all sectors immediately impacted, o/w 205m in Oil & Gas
▪ All clients to be re-evaluated case by case on underlying client risk data, with possible adjustment of impairments over next months
Clearing235
TCF225
511
140
CIB804
CB, 225
RB, PB, GF82
13% 46% 41% 1,111
Regular Covid-19and oil price
Exceptional clientfiles
2020 Q1
EUR m, %
511
Review of credits in sub sectors immediately impacted by Covid-19
and oil price 1,2):
Macro economic assumptions revised down (107m)
Payment holidays (35m): loss of compounded interest on deferrals
Stage 2 impairment (157m): transfer of all immediately impacted sub
sectors (125m), coverage ratio increase for Oil & Gas (32m) 2)
Stage 3 impairment (212m): of which 173m Oil & Gas and Offshore
14
6245
19 24
2019 FY
1) Q1 Group CoR of 132bps excludes impairment charges on off-balance exposures of 215m (CIB). Including off-balance impairments and related exposures, Group CoR was 164bps for Q1
2) CIB CoR including off-balance impairments and related exposures was 311bps for exceptional files
3) Including off-balance impairments recorded in 2020 Q1
4) Source: ABN AMRO Group Economic, 16 April 2020. Eurozone GDP of -4.3% 2020 and +1.6% 2021
Cost of risk outlook for 2020
Q1 Cost of risk by business line 1) FY2020 Cost of risk of c.90bps, c.2.5bn
bps
412bps
80
31 14 21
153
171
37
73
179
39
202bps
51bps
132bps
CIB CB R&PB ABN AMRO
Regular Covid-19 Exceptional client files▪ Q1 Cost of risk (CoR) of 132bps reflects exceptional files,
upfront impairments for Covid-19 & oil price and stable
underlying impairments 1)
− CIB: 179bps for exceptional files 2), 153bps for Covid-19
and low oil price, underlying impairments in line with 2019
− CB: 171bps for Covid-19, 31bps for regular client files
− R&PB: 37bps for clients applying for payment holidays,
14bps for underlying impairments in line with 2019
▪ CoR expected for FY2020 of c.90bps or c.2.5bn of
impairments 3)
▪ CoR outlook depends on lockdown implementation, timing of
economic recovery and government response. Assumes NL
GDP of -3.8% 2020 and +2.2% 2021 4), reflecting intelligent
lockdown in NL and no strong recovery before Q2 2021
15
1) YE2019 data. EAD includes off-balance exposures after credit conversion. EAD split by Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB)
2) Data 2020 Q1: Loans & Receivables in gross carrying amount & excluding off-balance exposures. Industries listed in table (right) are subsectors of ICB sectors listed in chart (left): e.g.
Transportation & Logistics is a smaller subsector of Industrial Goods & Services, Oil & Gas in table is CIB segment Oil & Gas whereas Oil & Gas in chart also includes e.g. TCF Energy
Well diversified loan book, largely in Netherlands
16.6%
6.4%
4.8%
4.6%
4.5%
3.8%
3.5%
1.6%
1.3%
1.2%
1.1%
1.1%
0.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
Individuals
Public Admin,
Industrial G&S
Financials
Banks
Food & Beverage
Oil & Gas
Real Estate
Non-Food Retail
Unclassified
Basic Resources
Construction & Mat.
Health Care
Utilities
Travel & Leisure
Chemicals
Technology
Media
Insurance
Personal Goods
Automotive
Telecom
o/w 2.8bn
Transportation &
Logistics(Industrial Goods & Services)
▪ Stage 2 transfer: 2.5bn, o/w subsector transportation (road ~35%, land
~20%, sea ~20%, inland water ~15% and air ~5%)
▪ Well diversified exposures, max 65% LtV at origination, mostly senior
positions, largely collateralized
▪ Support measures available from Dutch government and ABN AMRO
o/w 4.8bn Oil & Gas
and 2.1bn Offshore
▪ Stage 2 transfer: 3.1bn from 4.8bn, reflecting US exposures, o/w 1.9bn
Upstream (1/3 in Oil, 2/3 in Gas and less sensitive to oil prices), 1.2bn
Midstream, 0.1bn LNG
▪ Reserve based lending price deck resets multiple time/year. Depletion
rate supports prices over time
▪ Offshore: previous de-risking resulted in no material transfers in Q1 for
Offshore (1.9bn) and Offshore vessels (0.2bn)
o/w 1.8bn Non-Food
Retail
▪ Stage 2 transfer: 1.4bn o/w largest subsectors automotive/motor
vehicles, car parts & accessories (~30%), household goods (~20%),
home decoration (~10%)
▪ Diversified portfolio, mostly clients with exposures <2.5m
▪ Support measures available from Dutch government and ABN AMRO
o/w 2.1bn Leisure(Travel & Leisure)
▪ Stage 2 transfer: 1.7bn, o/w largest subsectors include hotels & resorts
(~40%), restaurants & bars (~15%), recreational services (~15%)
▪ Portfolio largely collateralized. Hotels: mainly (int.) chains, premium
locations
▪ Support measures available from Dutch government and ABN AMRO
Loan book by sector 1) Largest corporate sub sectors immediately impacted by Covid-19 and oil price 2)
45.5%
EAD 389bn by sector (%)
CB CIB
16
1) 12 months rolling average
2) In the 2018 EBA Stress Test the CET1 ratio declined by 2.68% under the adverse scenario
3) RWA impact from TRIM and model review delayed to H2 2020, Definition of Default (impact c. 2bn) expected in Q2 2020, while DNB mortgage floor delayed until further notice
Resilient going into Covid-19: strong capital and sound liquidity position
Basel III CET1 ratio Risk weighted assets
▪ Strong CET1 ratio of 17.3% (c.14% BIV), large buffer to MDA trigger of 9.7%. Resilient to stress, confirmed by 2018 EBA stress test 2)
▪ Decision on final dividend for 2019 of 639m postponed and remains reserved and is excluded from CET1 ratio
▪ RWA increase reflects increase in credit & market risk. Further modest RWA increase expected reflecting underlying credit. Add-ons
delayed, Basel IV delayed to 2023 3)
▪ Capital targets maintained given current uncertainties (e.g. economic outlook and TRIM timing), will be reviewed later this year
▪ LCR strong, slight decline reflects temporary higher liquidity needs in Clearing, given strong increase in market volatility at the end
March
LCR is stable 1)
109.8
111.7
2.30.8
-1.2
20
19
Q4
Cre
dit
risk
Op
s.
risk
Mark
et
risk
20
20
Q1
4.6
%
18.1
%
17.3
%
-0.4%-0.3%
-0.1%
20
19
Q4
Ne
t re
su
lt
RW
A
OC
I &
Oth
er
20
20
Q1
CET1 ratio excludes
final dividend 2019
(57bps)
114% 113% 111% 114% 117%
134% 136% 135% 134% 133%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
LtD LCR
RWA bn
additional slides
profile
18
1) Including Private Banking in the Netherlands
Attractive combination of strong and complementary businesses
Retail Banking Commercial Banking Private Banking
▪ Top 3 player in NL
▪ Prime bank for c.20% of
Dutch population
▪ Nr. 2 in new mortgage
production
▪ Nr. 2 in Dutch savings 1)
▪ Leading digital offering,
24/7 Advice and Service
Centres and branches
▪ Leveraging scale across
Europe
▪ Market leader in the
Netherlands
▪ 3rd in Germany, 5th in
France
▪ Multi-channel client
servicing
▪ Focus on IT, digital
banking and operational
simplification
▪ Leading player in the
Netherlands
▪ Service clients with a
turnover up to 250m
▪ Sector-based offering
▪ Leading player in leasing
and factoring in
NW-Europe
±5m
Low capital
intensity
Funding
gap
retail
clients
±100k 4
Funding
surplusLow capital
intensity
clients Present in
countries
±365k 5
Higher capital
intensity
Funding
balanced
Clients Present in
countries
Corp. & Inst. Banking
▪ Leading player in the
Netherlands
▪ Sector-based offering to
large corporates including
Natural resources, TCF,
GTL, FIs and Clearing
▪ Bringing more focus to
the client base to improve
profitability
▪ International presence in
key financial and logistical
hubs
±3k 14
Higher capital
intensity
Funding
gap
clients Present in
countries
118Branches
19
Netherlands 82%
Rest of Europe
10%
Rest of World 8%
Majority client loans in Dutch residential mortgages
Split of operating income (2020 YTD)
NII largely Dutch based and Dutch state divestment process
Large share of Dutch recurring income
▪ Shares outstanding 940m
▪ Free float (13 May 2020) 44%
▪ Avg. daily traded shares 1) 5.2m (Q1 2020)
Dutch state divestment process
▪ IPO, 23% 17.75 p.s., Nov 2015
▪ 2nd placing, 7% 20.40 p.s., Nov 2016
▪ 3rd placing, 7% 22.75 p.s., Jun 2017
▪ 4th placing, 7% 23.50 p.s., Sep 2017
1) Euronext Amsterdam
NII 79%
Fees 23%
Other -2%
EUR 1.9bn
RB 54%CB
15%
PB 5%
CIB 24%
GF 2%
EUR 278bn
Mortgages 53%
Consumer loans 4%
Corporate loans 34%
Prof. loans & Other 9%
Split of client loans (2020 YTD)
20
Liabilities HFT 4%
Banks 72%
Other 24%
30.0bn
EUR
Customer loans69%
Fin. investment
s12%
Sec. Fin.6%
Derivatives2%
Other 11%
Customer deposits
59%
Wholesale funding
22%
Sec. Fin.4%
Derivatives3%
Other 7%
IFRS Equity 5%
Assets Liabilities & Equity
Clean and strong balance sheet reflecting moderate risk profile
Total assets of EUR 406bn at 31 March
2020
▪ Strong focus on collateralised
lending
▪ Loan portfolio matches deposits,
long-term debt and equity
▪ Limited reliance on
short-term debt
▪ Limited market risk and trading
portfolios
▪ Off-balance sheet commitments &
contingent liabilities EUR 65bn
Cash/Cent banks58%
Assets HFT 4%
Banks 14%
Other24%
45.9bnEUR
Mortgages 53%
Consumer loans 4%
Corporate loans 34%
Other 9%
278.4bnEUR
Issued debt88%
SubDebt12%
87.9bnEUR
Current accounts
41%
Demand deposits 48%
Time deposits and other 11%
238.2bnEUR
21
Economic metrics 2018 2019 2020e 2021e
Netherlands GDP (% yoy) 2.5% 1.8% -3.8% 2.2%
Inflation (indexed % yoy) 1.6% 2.7% 0.9% 1.4%
Unemployment rate (%) 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 5.0%
Government debt (% GDP) 52% 49% 54% 55%
Eurozone GDP (% yoy) 1.9% 1.2% -4.3% 1.6%
Inflation (indexed % yoy) 1.8% 1.2% 0.3% 1.1%
Unemployment rate (%) 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 10.0%
Government debt (% GDP) 86% 87% 104% 106%
Source: ABN AMRO Group Economics 16 April 2020
Dutch economic indicators strong in European context
▪ International orientation
▪ Highly competitive: global rank no. 4
by the World Economic Forum and
highest ranked European country
▪ Sound financials: gov. debt 49%,
budget balance 1.7%
▪ External surplus current account
+10%
▪ Pension fund assets ~213%
Numbers as % GDP (2019)
Strong fundamentals NL
Dutch consumer spending Dutch consumer confidence
% change vs. same month a year ago, CBS Seasonally adjusted confidence (end of period), CBS
-3%
0%
3%
6%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-30
-15
0
15
30
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
LT avg. of -2
Dutch bankruptcies
# per month businesses & institutions, CBS
175
350
525
700
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-2
April 2020
-22
22
Banking
for better,
for generations
to come
Purpose-led organisation to benefit all stakeholders
▪ Clients
▪ Investors
▪ Employees
▪ Society
Effortless and proactive customer
experience through client and data focus
▪ Continuously changing expectations
▪ Unbundling of value chains
▪ Megatrends
Societal and banking trends Stakeholder expectations
Support our clients’ transition to
sustainability as a business case
Structure, capabilities and culture for
competitiveness, efficiency & compliance
Three pillars to help us live our purpose throughout the bank
Future proof bankCustomer experienceSustainability
▪ Clear business opportunity
▪ Engage with clients to support the
transition to sustainable business
model
▪ Maintain strong DJSI score
▪ Lead by example
▪ Treasuring the customer relationship
▪ Customer-focused and data-driven
▪ Effortless and recognizable customer
experience
▪ Partner to deliver better services and
extend to adjacent industries
▪ Purpose-led and values-driven culture
▪ Product and process rationalisation
and optimisation
▪ Continued I&T improvements guided
by business needs
▪ Improving the employee journey
23
Sustainability as a business opportunity, responding to client needs
▪ Major shift towards sustainability
▪ Clear business opportunity
▪ Engage with clients to support the
transition to sustainable business model
▪ Risk profile of clients engaged in
sustainability is better
▪ Lead by example
1) GFK, 2 November 2018; Sustainability, a research on sustainable entrepreneurship
2) For 80% of clients sustainability is an agenda topic
Rationale Key levers Targets 2020
▪ Engagement strategy: pro-actively
approach clients to facilitate transition
▪ Knowledge & experience of sector,
products and technology
▪ Develop innovative financial products
& solutions, also with partners
▪ Stimulate knowledge sharing through
platforms and education
▪ Maintain strong DJSI score
▪ Renewable energy commitment 20%
of energy portfolio (15% at Q1 2020)
▪ EUR 3bn sustainability financing, incl.
circular (0.9bn at YE2019)
▪ AUM 22.5bn sustainable investments
(20.6bn at YE2019)
▪ Real estate portfolio to obtain an
average label A score by 2030
24
Reinventing customer journeys through client and data focus
Create new offerings and experiences
Sharpen value propositions for key client segments,
allowing us to reduce complexity
▪ Continue to extend self-service features
augmented by Chatbots
▪ Extending leading position in digital advisory &
sales
▪ Eliminating physical documents and wet
signatures in all key processes
▪ Real-time data-driven engagement, increasing
proactivity and client interactions through
marketing automation
▪ Continuous focus on cyber security and privacy
Extend strong digital position step-by-step
‘Zoom out’ to identify key customer experience
points and new business opportunities
▪ New Client Take On lead time in CB reduced
from 14 to 2 days
▪ Redesigning SME lending proposition from
scratch based on New10
▪ Next generation video banking developed, giving
access to expert advice anytime anywhere
▪ Innovative solutions: Tikkie & Grip to drive loyalty
and engagement with clients and prospects
▪ Leveraging on partners to deliver more revenues:
digital and automated accounting solution now
provided for SME clients
Reinvented
Customer Experience
Step-
by-StepReinvent
✓
✓
✓
25
Business models beyond traditional banking
▪ First bank in the Netherlands to
deliver open banking i.e. PSD2
API based financial services
▪ Digital and automated accounting
solution for SME clients co-
developed with Lyanthe
▪ Simplification and digitalisation of
rental agreements co-developed
with Stibbe
▪ Establish new partnerships and
ongoing fintech investments
through Digital Impact Fund
Leveraging on partners
26
Further digitalisation and automation of IT processes
Journey towards the sweet spot on track Unlocking potential for digitalisation
Right-sizing the IT spend by continuously managing the balance of efficient and
sufficient IT investments
IT C/I1)
Ratio (%)
Top
Quartile
(52.6%)
Northern and Central Europe European Union
Study Avg.
(13.2%)C/I Ratio1) (%)
30
90
60
50
Top Quartile
(10.9%)
Study Avg.
(61.1%)
205 10 15
2018
Type I
More technology &
automation?
Type II
How to leverage IT spending?
Type III
Do we overspend?
Type IV
Is this sustainable?
‘Sweet
spot’
2017
2019
Simplify product portfolio and consolidate
work to create synergies and scale
▪ Streamlining the product portfolio by
>50% through top-down and bottom-up
review
▪ Centralise, standardise and automate
mid-office and back-office processes
▪ Accelerate digitalisation and strengthen
central expertise to improve customer
experience
▪ Leverage data/AI capabilities to
automate decisions and address evolving
regulatory requirements
1) European IT Benchmarking in Banking 2017. C/I Ratio: operating expenses as a percentage of operating income. IT C/I Ratio: operating IT expenses as a percentage of operating income
27
Building a future proof bank through continuous IT transformation
Demand: Consolidate and focus
▪ Adopting shared platforms and solutions across business
lines, geographies and subsidiaries
▪ Continuous rejuvenation of the IT landscape; specific focus
on credit systems as well as financial & risk reporting
2,000
2018 2019
1,900
2022
2,200
Leading indicators
Reduction in number of applications since 2014 (accumulated)
70%97%
Public ¹)
100%
2017 2018
Private
3% 30%
2022
60125
550
2018 2019 2022
Number of teams with DevOps capabilities
Cloud delivery models split (%)
Key levers to increase focus and IT cost efficiency
Productivity: Automation and shift to cloud
▪ From Agile to DevOps: reducing time to market and improve
efficiency by further automating IT testing and deployment
▪ Increasing use of cloud-based services to allow for faster
adoption of new features and to pay based on usage
Supply: Standardise and right-source
▪ Standardising technology platforms and tools e.g. reducing
number of legacy platforms and tool-chains
▪ Optimising our off-shore delivery model
1) Including SaaS applications
additional slides
segment financials
29
Leading Retail Bank
Key features
▪ Leading Retail Bank in NL
▪ Focus on Dutch, mass affluent clients
▪ 5m clients, primary bank for 20% of Dutch population
▪ Strong digital focus: >1bn annual client contacts
▪ Revenue pressure due to continued low interest rates
▪ Efficiency drives stable and strong ROE
Financials and key indicators Financials and key indicators
EUR m Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Net interest income 678 752
Net fee and commission income 86 85
Other operating income 4 15
Operating income 768 852
Operating expenses 502 498
Operating result 265 355
Loan impairments 67 2
Income tax expenses 48 90
Profit for the period 150 263
Contribution bank operating income 39.9% 41.0%
Cost/income ratio 65.4% 58.4%
Cost of risk (in bps) 14 0
ROE 1) 15.0% 27.4%
EUR bn Mar 2020 YE2019
Client lending 151.8 152.8
Client deposits 89.6 90.4
Client assets 98.5 101.3
RWA 27.6 28.4
FTEs (#) 4,405 4,340
1) Based on 13.5% CET1
30
1) Loans & Receivables (mortgages, net of allowances), Q1 2020
Mortgages performed well through previous financial crisis
Partial interest only
30%
Full interest only
16%
Amortising34%
Savings9%
Life & other11%
17.1
%
24.8
%
11.0
%
12.9
%
32.5
%
1.8
%
23.0
%
35.4
%
10.2
%
6.3
%
1.0
%
0.5
%
<5
0%
50
-80%
80
-90%
90
-100
%
>1
00%
Un
-cla
ssifie
d
YE2012
Q1 2020
Business exposures 1) LtMVs reduced over time
▪ Mortgage book almost exclusively Dutch, a stronger presence in the Randstad area, almost a quarter of book is NHG mortgages
▪ Origination criteria include duty of care, affordability and loan to income set by regulator
▪ Products offered are primarily owner-occupied mortgages and fully amortising over a 30-year life
▪ Clients tend to fix interest rates for long period, with over 90% of mortgage book in fixed interest rates
▪ Full recourse to borrower. Mortgage book composition de-risking towards fully amortising loans, share of interest only continues to
decline. Strong historic performance of the mortgage book with low losses
Strong risk track record
Mortgages
EUR 148bn
CoR, bps
-15
0
15
30
'12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Avg. TTC CoR range
Cost of Risk
4Q Rolling CoR
Q1 2020 avg. indexed LtMV at 63% (61% excl. NHG)
31
1) Based on 13.5% CET1
Sector oriented Commercial Banking
Key features
▪ Leading market positions and strong brand name
▪ 365k small-mid sized Dutch clients
▪ Primary bank for 25% of Dutch enterprises
▪ Sector knowledge as a clear differentiator
▪ Strict credit risk management and monitoring
Financials and key indicators Financials and key indicators
EUR m Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Net interest income 373 389
Net fee and commission income 67 63
Other operating income 9 5
Operating income 449 457
Operating expenses 266 247
Operating result 183 210
Loan impairments 225 61
Income tax expenses -11 38
Profit for the period -31 110
Contribution bank operating income 23.3% 22.0%
Cost/income ratio 59.3% 54.1%
Cost of risk (in bps) 202 55
ROE 1) -3.0% 11.6%
EUR bn Mar 2020 YE2019
Client lending 42.9 42.6
Client deposits 46.8 46.3
RWA 30.0 29.2
FTEs (#) 2,136 2,470
32
SMEs – Commercial Banking book well diversified over industry sectors
Business exposure 1) Exposure over time 1)
▪ Leading bank in Dutch market based on in-depth client and sector knowledge, primary bank for ~25% Dutch clients
▪ Product offering: mainly loans (c. 60% of revenues), cash management (c. 25%) and transaction services (c.10%), within Asset
Based Financing (ABF) lease and factoring are offered, also outside the Netherlands
▪ In-house product development of digital offering, fintech products and services, such as New10 and Tikkie Zakelijk
▪ Renewing and diversifying offerings through partnerships focusing on non-banking products & services to generate additional (fee)
income
▪ Well diversified portfolio which is
reflection of Dutch SME landscape
▪ Automated risk monitoring following
payment behavior
▪ CRE (part of Real Estate) largely in
NL and mainly in large cities, includes
31% residential, 17% offices, 16%
retail and 11% industrial, with avg LtV
of 42% (YE2019)
Risk profile
39.642.9
YE2017 2020 Q1
L&R CustomersFood & Beverage19%
Real Estate19%
Financial Services 2%
Industrial Goods & Services 12%
Retail6%
Other7%
Health Care4%
Construction & Materials4%
ABF21%
Travel & Leisure 5%
Loans &Receivables
42.9bn
1) Loans & Receivables (net of allowances), Q1 2020
EUR bn
33
1) Based on 13.5% CET1
2) 31 March 2020 client assets by type: 38% cash and 62% securities (incl. custody 13%)
Focused Private Banking with scalable franchise in NW Europe
▪ Leveraging scale across core countries with focus on onshore
in NW Europe through strong local brands
▪ Focus on Private Wealth Management, Entrepreneurs &
Enterprise and LifeCycle segments
▪ Strong positions: #1 Netherlands, #3 Germany, #5 France
▪ Modern open architecture model
Financials and key indicators Key features
EUR m Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Net interest income 153 174
Net fee and commission income 129 125
Other operating income 6 7
Operating income 289 307
Operating expenses 233 244
Operating result 55 63
Loan impairments 14 2
Income tax expenses 14 20
Profit for the period 28 40
Contribution bank operating income 15.0% 14.7%
Cost/income ratio 80.8% 79.6%
Cost of risk (in bps) 37 7
ROE 1) 7.1% 10.9%
EUR bn Mar 2020 YE2019
Client lending 14.2 14.2
Client deposits 62.8 69.2
Client assets 167.3 195.2
RWA 10.2 10.1
FTEs (#) 2,872 2,751
Client assets NL and rest of Europe 2)
EUR bn
▪ Client assets down to 167bn
▪ Decrease reflecting poor
market performance and
controlled cash outflow due
to announcement of charging
negative rates
182 195167
2018 2019 2020 Q1
NL r.o. Europe
34
Corporate & Institutional Banking with selective international presence
Key features
▪ 3,000 large corporate and financials clients in NW Europe and
specific global sectors
▪ Leading domestic franchise, established positions in selected
global sectors
▪ Sector knowledge leveraged to neighbouring countries
▪ Continue de-risking cyclical sectors and conduct further review
of CIB’s activities
Financials and key indicators Financials and key indicators
EUR m Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Net interest income 302 304
Net fee and commission income 166 129
Other operating income 1) -102 -3
Operating income 366 430
Operating expenses 1) 298 289
Operating result 68 141
Loan impairments 804 38
Income tax expenses -161 27
Profit for the period -575 76
Contribution bank operating income 19.0% 20.7%
Cost/income ratio 81.5% 67.3%
Cost of risk (in bps) 412 27
ROE 2) -42.1% 6.2%
EUR bn Mar 2020 YE2019
Client lending 44.4 41.2
Client deposits 18.6 16.5
Professional lending 22.4 14.8
Professional deposits 14.3 10.0
RWA 3) 39.5 37.9
FTEs (#) 2,457 2,517
1) Q1 2019 includes several incidentals: SME derivatives provisions (-34m in other operating income), SME derivatives project costs (10m)
2) Based on 13.5% CET1
3) Includes anticipating TRIM and model review add-ons
35
1) Based on 13.5% CET1
Clearing – Solid business with ROE above 10%
Impairments
▪ Clearing offers an integrated approach to global transaction processing, financial logistics and risk management for clients active on
international capital markets with direct market access
▪ Clients are principal trading groups, corporate hedgers and prime brokerage clients
▪ Products offered include: trading with direct market access, clearing, settlement, financing and securities borrowing & lending
▪ Footprint in 11 countries in Europe, the America’s and Asia/Pacific
Risk profile
-5 -1 -2 -4 -0
1
15
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020Q
1
Impairments, EUR m ▪ Clearing guarantees obligations
towards clearing houses and other
third parties from client trading
▪ Runs indirect market risk through
clearing & financing activities
▪ Collateral mitigates risks from client
trading. Margin and collateral calls
increase when volatility rises
▪ Good track record in managing risk
throughout volatility, generally with
minor impairments: Q1 first material
loss due to unprecedented market
volatility
Strong ROE 1)
8.2%
5.5%
10.9%
16.8%18.8%
11.4%
22.5%
13.7%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
234
36
1) Loans & Receivables (net of allowances), Q1 2020. c.25-30% of Energy & Metals (E&M) is in Metals (metal concentrates, steel and base metals)
TCF incl. D&JC – Focus on further de-risking
Business exposures 1) Exposure over time 1)
▪ TCF offers a range of debt facilities including structured credit facilities, often complemented with trade instruments/services
▪ In addition cross sell income is generated on Clearing, Structured Finance, Global Markets and M&A advisory. Clients are serviced
with cash management, syndications and other CIB products (incl. capital and advisory services and products)
▪ TCF has dedicated sector teams in Amsterdam, New York, Dallas, Hong Kong, Singapore, Shanghai and Sao Paulo
▪ Diamond & Jewellery Clients (D&JC) finances primarily rough and polished diamond traders based on borrowing base facilities.
Mainly active in Belgium and a smaller presence in Hong Kong
▪ Mainly short-term lending, book 2/3
collateralised
▪ Clients generally do not take open
positions and are hedged
▪ Effective de-risking Diamonds (US
closed, Dubai portfolio in rundown)
▪ Credit quality improved reflecting de-
risking of lower quality clients in TCF
▪ Impairment risk typically relates to
fraud: in past 10 years 75% of
impairments was fraud related
Risk profile
5.1 4.3
6.55.0
1.1
0.5
12.6
9.8
YE2017 2020 Q1
Diamond & JC
Energy & Metals
AgriCulture
Agri NL 14%
Agri SG13%
Agri US8%
Agri BR9%
E&M NL25%
E&M SG 10%
E&M HK 6%
E&M CH 1%
E&M US 9%D&JC 5%
Loans &Receivables
9.8bn
EUR bn
37
1) Loans & Receivables (net of allowances), Q1 2020. EAD Oil & Gas of 14bn (as reported in Annual Report 2019) includes CIB segment Oil & Gas and TCF Energy
Oil & Gas related exposures show continued de-risking
Drilling, Seismic & Accommodation 6%
Energy Services 6%
Floating Production 12%
Other Offshore2%
Upstream48%
Midstream19%
LNG7%
OSV 0%
Loans &Receivables
6.4bn
Business exposure 1) Exposure over time 1)
Oil & Gas (O&G)
▪ The majority of Oil & Gas exposure is in the US. Upstream is largest sub sector followed by Midstream and LNG
▪ Key products are syndicated senior secured credit facilities (Borrowing Bases and Term Loans)
Offshore
▪ The majority of Offshore activities is from Northern European clients
▪ Offshore subsectors: Largest segment is Floating Production (contracted cashflow) followed by Energy Services (diversified players),
and Drilling, Seismic and Accommodation companies (most volatile to prolonged downturn)
▪ Key products are syndicated credit facilities (Revolvers and Term Loans) and Guarantees/LCs
▪ Lending typically secured by
extensive security packages
▪ Majority of O&G clients have hedge
programs in place. Offshore clients
with limited contract backlog exposed
to prolonged downturn
▪ De-risking ongoing in both O&G and
Offshore. In Offshore de-risking
primarily took place in drilling, seismic
& accommodation
Risk profile
4.1 4.7
2.7 1.6
0.30.1
7.16.4
YE2017 2020 Q1
OSV Offshore Oil & Gas
EUR bn
38
Group Functions for central support functions
▪ Group Functions supports and controls the businesses
▪ Through various disciplines: Strategy & Sustainability,
Innovation & Technology, Finance incl. ALM & Treasury, Risk
Management, Legal, Compliance, Group Audit,
Communication and Human Resources
Financials and key indicators
EUR m Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Net interest income 21 -46
Net fee and commission income -10 12
Other operating income 42 69
Operating income 53 35
Operating expenses 0 49
Operating result 53 -14
Loan impairments 1 -1
Income tax expenses 18 -1
Profit for the period 34 -11
EUR bn Mar 2020 YE2019
Loans & Advances Customers 5.5 4.7
Due to Customers 6.1 2.7
RWA 4.4 4.1
FTEs (#) 6,492 5,899
additional slides
capital, liquidity & funding
40
Strong capital position
Regulatory capital structure 1) Key points
▪ CET1 at 17.3%, modestly below Basel III target range of
17.5-18.5% 2)
▪ Decision on final dividend (639m) for 2019 postponed,
remains reserved and is not accrued in CET1 ratio
▪ RWA increase reflects increase in credit & market risk.
▪ ECB announced capital relief to support banks in serving the
economy: temporarily allowed to operate below P2G and
CCB buffers, SRB-OSII buffer permanently lowered, CCyB
temporarily lowered in several countries
▪ Total capital ratio at 25.2%
▪ Robust Basel IV capital position of c. 14% before further
mitigations
Mar 2020 YE2019EUR m, fully-loaded
Total Equity (IFRS) 20,737 21,471
Regulatory adjustments -1,422 -1,558
CET1 19,315 19,913
Capital securities (AT1) 1,983 1,987
Regulatory adjustments -1 -5
Tier 1 21,298 21,895
Sub-Debt 10,347 10,041
Regulatory adjustments -3,541 -3,505
Total capital 28,105 28,431
o/w IRB Provision shortfall - 93
Total RWA 111,704 109,825
o/w Credit risk 91,412 89,071
o/w Operational risk 18,148 19,391
o/w Market risk 2,144 1,362
CET1 ratio 17.3% 18.1%
1) Regulatory capital structure ABN AMRO Bank for both YE2019 following the legal merger
2) SREP requirement 2020 excl. counter-cyclical buffer of 0.02% at 9.7% (Pillar 1 4.5%, Pillar 2 Requirement 1.2%, Capital conservation buffer 2.5% and SRB-OSII 1.5%)
41
1) CET1 capital requirement: P1 = Pillar 1, P2R = Pillar 2 Requirement (incl. AT1 shortfall, if any), SRB-OSII = highest of Systemic Risk and Other Systemically Important Institution
Buffer, CCB = Capital Conservation Buffer, CCyB = Countercyclical Capital Buffer, MDA = Trigger level for Maximum Distributable Amount
2) CRR2 expected by mid-2021. CRR2 assumes SA-CCR calculation methodology for clearing guarantees, decrease of Exposure Measure estimated at c.79bn
Regulatory measures provide temporary capital relief
Capital requirement lowered 1) Large buffer to SREP and MDA
▪ ECB announced capital relief to support banks in serving the economy: temporarily allowed to operate below P2G and CCB buffers,
SRB-OSII buffer permanently lowered, CCyB temporarily lowered in several countries.
▪ P2R amended with immediate effect allowing use of Tier 2 and AT1 instruments releasing CET1
▪ Decision on final dividend of 639m for 2019 postponed and remains reserved and is excluded from CET1 ratio
▪ Large buffer of 7.5% CET1 to MDA trigger level of 9.7%, temporary CCB relief has no impact on SREP and MDA trigger level
▪ Leverage ratio declined to 4.1% and reflects mainly increased activities in Clearing and Q1 result. Starting to manage business under
pro-forma CRR2 since strengthened 2)
Leverage ratio 2)
P1
P2R
SRB-OSII
CCB
CCyB
17.3%
9.7%
7.5%
CET1% Buffer SREP & MDA
4.1
%
4.8
%
0.73%
-0.12%
-0.30%
4.5
%20
19
Q4
T1 C
apital
Exp
osu
reM
ea
sure
20
20
Q1
CR
R2
Pro
fo
rma
20
20
Q1
4.5% 4.5%
2.0% 1.2%
3.0%
1.5%
2.5%
2.5%
0.1%
0.02%
SREP & CCyB12.1%
SREP & CCyB9.7%
Formerrequirement
Currentrequirement
42
1) Based on actual YE2019 BIII RWAs versus YE2019 BIV RWAs including realised mitigations
2) Risk weights prior to the application of the 72.5% output floor
Well positioned for Basel IV from 2023
BIS announced Basel IV implementation delayed until January 2023, timelines for EU implementation remain uncertain
▪ Active regulatory dialogue on uncertainties: eg indexing mortgage collateral, specialised lending risk weights
▪ Implement low cost and no regret actions: eg reduce data limitations
▪ Cautious approach to repricing to safeguard franchise through implementation uncertainties and transition
Response Objective Actions
Mitigations of c.20%
of Basel IV inflation 1)
Reduce
RWA
inflation
Specific initiatives to reduce static Basel IV RWA inflation
▪ Enhance data quality: eg source turnover to identify SME’s, source real estate information to better
distinguish between CRE to RRE
▪ Rationalise product offering: eg from committed to uncommitted, reduce undrawn headroom in
credit lines, restructure clearing credit lines, centrally clear securities transactions
▪ Source collateral information: eg financial collateral lowers exposure, improve data sourcing
▪ Procure external credit ratings: externally rated clients can have risk weight <100% 2)
Reduce capital
intensive activities
Reduce
RWAs
▪ Focus on reducing NPLs
New business model Enhance
returns
▪ CIB adopts more capital efficient business model, i.e. active portfolio management, originate to
distribute, increase risk mitigation
▪ CB: co-lending partners, credit insurance
▪ RB: externally funded long-term mortgage platform
Pricing Enhance
returns
▪ Mortgages priced for Basel IV requirements for some time
▪ Pricing for long term products allows for Basel IV phase-in: eg CRE, Shipping
▪ CB: sector based pricing
43
1) Leverage ratio ABN AMRO Group before Q2 2019, leverage ratio ABN AMRO Bank as of Q2 2019 reflecting legal merger
2) CRR2 assumes SA-CCR calculation methodology for clearing guarantees and is estimated to decrease Exposure Measure by c.78bn
Capital ambitions on track
Leverage ratio 1, 2) Limited MREL needs, focus on MREL refinancing
▪ Strong leverage ratio at 4.1%, decline reflects mainly
increased activities in Clearing and Q1 result
▪ Including CRR2 leverage ratio increases to 4.8% 2)
▪ EC proposal to amend exposure to central banks could
improve leverage ratio temporarily by c.30bps
▪ Preliminary MREL ambition of 27% of RWA by 2022
requires around 2-4bn issuance yearly, full MREL
requirement applicable from 2024
▪ MREL steering through own funds and SNP, excludes use of
senior unsecured, inaugural SNP issuance in January 2020
▪ Future steering subject to regulatory guidance, BRRD2,
CET1 developments, redemptions and RWA inflation
Leverage ratio (CDR) based on Tier 1 (CET1 and AT1) capital EUR bn
108.0
109.8
111.9
28.8%
27%
28%
29%
30%
95
102
109
116
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2019 2020
RWA (lhs) MREL (rhs, %)
4.1
%
4.5
%
4.1
%
4.8
%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q1 PF
2019 2020
Leverage ratio Exposure Measure
44
Capital instruments provide a significant buffer of loss absorbing capacity
AT1 disclosures (31 March 2020)
TriggersTrigger
LevelsCET1 ratio
Distr. Items
(EUR bn)
- ABN AMRO Bank 7.000% 17.3% 17.7bn
- ABN AMRO Bank Solo Consolidated 5.125% 16.7% n/a
MDA trigger for ABN AMRO Bank at 9.7%, incl. counter-cyclical-buffer (0.02%)
1) SNP debt instruments are eligible as Qualifying Junior Debt (QJD) for the benefit of senior preferred debt instruments under Fitch’s rating methodology
Eligibility based on current understanding
Type Size (m)Loss
absorptionCallable Maturity Coupon ISIN
Basel 3 /
CRD 4
BRRD
MREL
FSB
TLAC
S&P
ALAC
Moody’s
LGF
Fitch
QJD
Additional Tier 1: deeply subordinated notes
AT1, 9/2015 EUR 1,000 Statutory Sep 2020 Perpetual 5.750% p.a. XS1278718686 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
AT1, 9/2017 EUR 1,000 Statutory Sep 2027 Perpetual 4.750% p.a. XS1693822634 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Tier 2: subordinated notes
T2, 4/2011 EUR 1,228 Statutory Bullet 27 Apr 2021 6.375% p.a. XS0619548216 GF ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 4/2011 USD 595 Statutory Bullet 27 Apr 2022 6.250% p.a. XS0619547838 GF ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 6/2011 USD 113 Statutory Bullet 15 May 2023 7.750% p.a.144A: US00080QAD79
RegS:USN0028HAP03GF ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 6/2015 EUR 1,500 Statutory Jun 2020 30 Jun 2025 2.875% p.a. XS1253955469 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 7/2015 USD 1,500 Statutory Bullet 28 Jul 2025 4.750% p.a.XS1264600310
US00080QAF28✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 4/2016 SGD 450 Statutory Apr 2021 1 Apr 2026 4.750% p.a. XS1341466487 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 4/2016 USD 1,000 Statutory Bullet 18 Apr 2026 4.800% p.a.XS1392917784/
US00084DAL47✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 1/2016 EUR 1,000 Statutory Jan 2023 18 Jan 2028 2.875% p.a. XS1346254573 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 3/2016 USD 300 Statutory Bullet 8 Apr 2031 5.600% p.a. XS1385037558 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
T2, 3/2017 USD 1,500 Statutory Mar 2023 27 Mar 2028 4.400% p.a. XS1586330604 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Subordinated notes (pari passu with T2)
7/2012 EUR 1,000 Statutory Bullet 6 Jul 2022 7.125% p.a. XS0802995166 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
EUR 118 Statutory ≤ Jan 2025 Various instruments ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Senior Non-Preferred
SNP: 1/2020 EUR 1,250 Statutory Bullet 15 Jan 2027 0.600% p.a. XS2102283061 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ 1)
Overview dated at the date of this presentation. GF = grandfathered instruments, subject to annual amortisation
45
1) 12 month rolling average
2) Survival period reflects the period the liquidity position is expected to remain positive in an internally developed (moderate) stress scenario.
This scenario assumes wholesale funding markets deteriorate and retail, private and corporate clients withdraw part of their deposits
Sound liquidity position, strong liquidity buffer
Q1 2020 Q4 2019
LtD 117% 114%
LCR 1) 133% 134%
NSFR >100% >100%
Survival period (moderate
stress) 2)
>12
months
>12
months
Sound liquidity position Strong liquidity buffer
▪ Strong liquidity and funding position, with c.4bn issued in term funding Q1, including the inaugural SNP issuance
▪ LCR decline reflects temporary higher liquidity needs in Clearing, given the strong increase in market volatility
▪ Additional drawdowns from clients on committed lines following market dislocations were modest and largely placed on deposit
▪ Liquidity buffer declined to 70.8bn reflecting collateral usage with ECB for USD liquidity (in anticipation of market disruptions) in
combination with a decline in deposits following the lowering of client rates
▪ Future funding need through combination of central bank and wholesale funding, depending on market circumstance
Modest drawdowns committed lines
11.7
30.4
12.5
11.2
27.4
11.4
CB CIB Otherbusiness lines
2019 Q4
2020 Q1
Undrawn committed lines, EUR bn
35.5
70.8
Wholesale maturities ≤1yr
Liquiditybuffer
EUR bn, Q1 2020
46
EUR 83%
GBP 17%
Cov. Bonds 51%
Sr Non-Preferred 32%
Sr Preferred 17%
1) Based on notional amounts. Other LT funding not classified as issued debt includes TLTRO II, LT repos and funding with the Dutch State as counterparty
2) Issued and matured funding includes the repayment of TLTRO I in 2016 and the participation of TLTRO II
Well diversified mix of wholesale funding
▪ Diversifying funding sources, steered towards a mix of
funding types and maturity buckets
▪ Strategic use of secured funding: long dated covered bonds
to fund mortgages with long interest fixings
▪ Asset encumbrance 17% at YE2019 (19% YE2018)
▪ Avg. maturity of 4.8yrs at YE2019 1)
Funding focus
Matured vs. issued term funding 2)Maturity calendar term funding 1)
14
40
10
20
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Matured/Maturing Issued
EUR bn
0
9
18
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 ≥2030
Snr unsecured Cov. bonds Other LT funding
EUR bn, 31 March 2020
Diversification issued term funding (2020ytd)
EUR
3.9bn
47
1) Table provides an overview of wholesale funding benchmark transactions not yet matured. S(N)P = Unsecured Senior (Non-)Preferred, CB = Covered Bond, AT1 = Additional Tier 1 , T2 = Tier 2
2) 3mE = 3 months Euribor, 3m£L = 3 months GBP Libor, 3m$L= 3 months USD Libor, m/s = mid swaps, UKT= UK Treasuries, UST= US Treasuries
Recent wholesale funding benchmark transactions
Type 1) Size (m) Maturity Spread (coupon) 2) Pricing date Issue date Maturity date ISIN
YTD2020 benchmarks
SP GBP 500 5yrs UKT+80 (1.375%) 09.01.'20 16.01.'20 16.01.'25 XS2103007675
SNP EUR 1,250 7yrs m/s+70 (0.6%) 08.01.'20 15.01.'20 15.01.'27 XS2102283061
CB EUR 2,000 15yrs m/s+5 (0.375%) 07.01.'20 14.01.'20 14.01.'35 XS2101336316
2019 benchmarks
CB EUR 825 20yrs m/s+11 (1.125%) 15.04.'19 23.04.'19 23.04.'39 XS1985004370
SP (Green) EUR 750 7yrs m/s+38 (0.5%) 08.04.'19 15.04.'19 15.04.'26 XS1982037696
SP EUR 1,500 5yrs m/s+78 (0.875%) 08.01.'19 15.01.'19 15.01.'24 XS1935139995
SP EUR 1,000 2yrs 3mE+40 08.01.'19 15.01.'19 15.01.'21 XS1935134095
CB EUR 750 15yrs m/s+26 (1.375%) 03.01.'19 10.01.'19 10.01.'34 XS1933815455
2018 benchmarks
SP EUR 750 3yrs 3mE+40 26.11.'18 03.12.'18 03.12.'21 XS1917574755
SP EUR 1,250 3yrs m/s+35 (0.25%) 26.11.'18 03.12.'18 03.12.'21 XS1917577931
SP (144a) USD 1,000 3yrs 3m$+57 21.08.'18 28.08.'18 27.08.'21 US00084DAS99
SP (144a) USD 1,000 3yrs UST+75 (3.4%) 21.08.'18 28.08.'18 27.08.'21 US00084DAT72
SP EUR 1,250 5yrs m/s+35 (0.5%) 09.07.'18 17.07.'18 17.07.'23 XS1856791873
SP GBP 450 2yrs 3m£+35 22.05.'18 29.05.'18 29.05.'20 XS1827629897
SP (Green) EUR 750 7yrs m/s+28 (0.875%) 11.04.'18 18.04.'18 22.04.'25 XS1808739459
CB EUR 1,250 20yrs m/s+8 (1.45%) 03.04.'18 12.04.'18 12.04.'38 XS1805353734
SP (144a) USD 1,100 3yrs UST+60 (2.65%) 09.01.'18 19.01.'18 19.01.'21 US00084DAQ34
SP (144a) USD 750 3yrs 3m$+41 09.01.'18 19.01.'18 19.01.'21 US00084DAR17
CB EUR 2,000 15yrs m/s+2 (1.25%) 02.01.'18 10.01.'18 10.01.'33 XS1747670922
48
▪ Ratings of ABN AMRO Bank N.V. dated 13 May 2020. ABN AMRO provides this slide for information purposes only. ABN AMRO does not endorse Standard & Poor’s, Fitch or Moody’s ratings or views
and does not accept any responsibility for their accuracy
▪ Capital ratings are (S&P/Moody’s/Fitch): AT1: BB+ / not rated / BBB-, T2: BBB / Baa2 / A-, SNP: BBB+ / Baa2 / A+
▪ DBRS provides unsolicited ratings for ABN AMRO Bank: A(high)/R-1(middle)/Stable
Credit ratings
S&P Moody’s Fitch
Rating structure Rating structure Rating structure
▪ Anchor BICRA 3 bbb+ Macro Score Strong + ▪ Viability Rating A
▪ Business position Adequate +0 ▪ Solvency Score a3 ▪ Qualifying Junior Debt +1
▪ Capital & earnings Strong +1 ▪ Liquidity Score baa2 ▪ Support Rating Floor No floor
▪ Risk position Adequate +0 Financial Profile baa1 Issuer Default Rating A+/Neg
▪ Funding
Liquidity
Average
Adequate+0 ▪ Adjustments +0
SACP a- Assigned adj. BCA baa1
▪ ALAC +1 ▪ LGF +2
Issuer Credit Rating A/Neg ▪ Government Support +1
Senior Unsecured Rating A1/St
09/04/2020
“The negative outlook on ABN AMRO Bank reflects
our views that the bank's earnings are under rising
pressure due to heightened risks in its lending
portfolio, and other business areas sensitive to
financial market volatility, and ongoing costs to
remedy the compliance and know-your-customer
case. Some of these risks are common to peers in
Europe, but others are more bank-specific, notably
exposures to cyclical sectors and risk tolerance in
the clearing business.“
02/01/2020
“ABN AMRO's baseline credit assessment (BCA) of
baa1 reflects the bank's overall good financial
fundamentals including sound profitability and asset
quality, solid capitalization and a robust liquidity
position. The BCA further captures the bank's strong
presence in the Dutch market, its balanced business
mix between retail and commercial banking, and its
private banking activity undertaken across Europe.”
17/01/2020
“ABN AMRO’s VR reflects its strong domestic
universal banking franchise complemented by the
European private banking and international
corporate & institutional banking (CIB) franchises.
The bank's solid capitalisation and
sound funding and liquidity profile are rating
strengths. The VR also factors in ABN AMRO's
well-executed strategy, healthy asset quality and
sound earnings..”
49
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events or circumstances after the date the
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20200212 Investor Relations – Q4 2019