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REPORTING HELSINKI NODEACTIVITIES AND NEW PLANS 2015-2016

Helsinki NodeFinland Futures Research Centre/University of Turku

Sirkka HeinonenMarjukka Parkkinen & Sakari Nisula

Millennium Project Planning Committee MeetingWashington 21-22 July 2016

HELSINKI NODE OF THE MILLENNIUM PROJECT

Osmo Kuusi Toni Ahlqvist Sari Söderlund Juha Kaskinen Sirkka Heinonen

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Jerome GlennVisitedFinlandJanuary

2016

FISA13th Jan

New emphasis on combining1) futures studies,2) political studies and 3)international studies

…further activities byJerome Glenn in Finland

• Lecturing at the course of Certified Foresight Professional/FFRC and Turku BusinessSchool Exe programme in Turku 13th January

• Meeting at Sitra’s Megatrends event with representatives of PMO and Sitra inHelsinki 14th January

• Keynote at the 5th FISA conference on 15-16 January 2016 in Hämeenlinna on“Future and Forecasting”. The conference strives to provide a comprehensive,current and multidisciplinary look into Finnish international relations research, andto bring together researchers in different stages of their careers, otherprofessionals, as well as people interested in the subject.

• Dinner meeting on 16th Januaryin Helsinki with Sirkka,Jaana Tapanainen andMarkku Wilenius

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Sirkka Heinonen

Nov/Dec 2016Visited Hong Kong and AustraliaMelbourne, Brisbane, Sydney- Tekes-funded Neo-Carbon Energy project• Visiting Lecture + expert discussion at Univ. Sunshine Coast, Australia.• Faculty of Art and Business. Futures Program Co-ordinated by Dr. Marcus Bussey

(Graduate Certificate in Futures Studies) Sustainable Development• Promoting MP/Future of Work/Technology2050 study

Book review forthcoming on”Lone Wolf Terrorism” for FUTURAFinnish Journal of Futures Studies

Innovative Futures of Citieshighlighted topic in 2016

• FEN meeting in San Sebastian 15 March 2016 (Sirkka participated)

• ENCORE Working Paper 1 = report based on the survey (now on acommentary round) Respondents from MP/FEN

• Abstract accepted to Urban Transition Summit, oral presentationinvited in Shanghai 5 – 9 September 2016

http://www.urbantransitionsconference.com/

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Osmo Kuusi

• Visited Poland and Germany• Quality Criteria article in EJFR• RADICAL INQUIRER• MP Future of Work Scenarios reviewed at

Political Studies Course 1st April

RADICAL TECHNOLOGY INQUIRER• The ongoing updating of the Radical Technology Inquirer• The updating of the list of key 100 emerging technological solutions

of the tool is ready. The updating is based on the crowd sourcing inthe Facebook pages of the tool with 1500 participants and about100 high quality activists.

• The Finnish report will be soon available In the home pages of theFinnish Parliament like the earlier English versionhttps://www.eduskunta.fi/FI/tietoaeduskunnasta/julkaisut/Documents/tuvj_11+2014.pdf

• Next step is updating of the 20 Global Value Producing Networksneeded for the national and global evaluation of the promise theemerging technological solutions.

• If you are interested in this stage very limited English materialconcerning the updating or common project /article related to thetool/ other similar tools, please contact osmo.kuusi@utu.fi

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SariSöderlund

• MP as teaching material at Finland Futures Academy (FFA)and Master’s Programme/Doctoral Programme

• Visited UNESCO, Paris September 2015• UNESCO Chair for FFRC/Markku Wilenius• Visiting Germany, Freie Universität, March 2016• Organising FFRC Summer School as International

Symposium/MILLENNIUM FORUM with Sirkka/June 2016

• Leena-Maija Lauren/FFRC to co-work with Marie-Anne Delahaut as CreativeDirector with the Millennia2025 Women and Innovation Foundation for theinternational network of women.

• The new Foresight process She4Innovation towards the year 2025 just begun

• To integrate the global level targets set by United Nations SustainableDevelopment Goals (SDGs 2030), and the strategic contributions derived fromthe Millennia2015 Foresight research process since 2008.

Millennia 2025Women andInnovationFoundation

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JOINT RESEARCH APPLICATIONS

• Horizon 2020 high competition• COMSEC Comprehensive Security in Networked

World (co-ordinator VTT, FFRC as a partner, JariKaivo-oja discussion with Ted and Elizabeth inIsrael, Sirkka in advisory board, the aim toconnect with MP), applied from StrategicResearch Council – not funded

• Nordic City 2.0 applied from Strategic ResearchCouncil, Helsinki Node/MP as network – notfunded

Survey on the Futures of Innovative Cities- highlights –

ENCORE PROJECT– Economically Viable City Centre and Urbanizing Downtown

Techno-economic, political, and spatial developmentsand changes in housing, consumption, and workinfluence the urban environment in unpredictableways.

àPressure for rigid urban planning system to reinventitself

The aim of the project:Illustrate new future possibilities in urban planning

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Expert Survey

• Semi-customised web questionnaire addressed to 7respondents (100% answered)

• Urban development experts with differentbackgrounds mainly from Millennium Projectnodes/Foresight Europe Network (FEN)

• 6 questions posed to all respondents + 2–3customised questions according to their expertise

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Expert Survey

• Research question:What is a lively city and how it could be enabled?

• Content analysis on the responses in four categories

1) Lively Urban Environment2) Smart City3) Participation4) Governance

Highlightsfrom the

Questionnaire

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1) Lively Urban Environment

Photo: https://www.iamsterdam.com/remote/ndtrc/Images/52/5272f5fa-8bee-43ed-9e51-39c3d37f08a8/b14fc681-53a7-4917-9086-31d0bfc479aa.jpg

Can you give a good example of a lively urban environment?

Photo: https://www.iamsterdam.com/remote/ndtrc/Images/52/5272f5fa-8bee-43ed-9e51-39c3d37f08a8/b14fc681-53a7-4917-9086-31d0bfc479aa.jpg

What makes it an interesting example?

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Photo: https://www.iamsterdam.com/remote/ndtrc/Images/52/5272f5fa-8bee-43ed-9e51-39c3d37f08a8/b14fc681-53a7-4917-9086-31d0bfc479aa.jpg

2) Smart City

How can we ensure that smart cities of the future arealso developed to be socially and culturally livable andaesthetically attractive?How could “smart city” enhance such livability of cities?

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”[…]I don’t think smart cities of the future are going to simply be cities werethere is ubiquitous technology; it will be cities that work for theircircumstances and that the social, cultural, etc. issues are fundamental tothat – both in terms of functionality and livability.”

“Along with capturing and debating technological developments related tothe concept of a smart city the focus should also be on methods/actions thatwould capture the VALUES and FEELINGS of citizens towards their cities andspecific development projects.[…].”

1. Defining the smart city2. Political leadership and urban/regional governance supported with

foresight3. Vision4. Strategy5. Implementation6. Participation7. Resources: funds, tech, platforms, services, education, decision makers,

connections, information, and research8. Measuring/ follow-up

What are the most important steps needed to enablethe implementation of smart cities?

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Photo: Zymetil (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], source: Wikimedia Commons

Participation

How do you think the people and organizationsinfluencing the urban environment in the futurewill differ from the ones who influence it today?Do you see citizens having a greater role thantoday, and what could it be?

3) Participation

Photo: Zymetil (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], source: Wikimedia Commons

Participation

”The presence of politicians on social media and their ability of engagingdirectly citizens will be a major element of political success.”

”I believe that governance systems will be more inclusive and participatory, andthat several movements we already see today (e.g. grassroots) will increase inquantity and diversity exerting pressure on governments for quality services,transparency and responsibility.”

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4) Governance

“The first main challenge is to obtain knowledge about good governanceprinciples by city leaders and the second main challenge is the commitment -‘’walk the talk.’’ […]”

“[…]the success of the story is linked to other intangible factors such as anexcellent city management, citizens engagement, international cooperation, etc.”

What are the main challenges for good governance?

SUMMARY

• Liveability = multiple concept• Smart city emphasis building on social, cultural and

environmental factors, technology as an enabler

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Future of Work/Technology 2050highlighted topic

• Respondents invited for the scenariocommenting rounds

• Negotiations made for national workshop• Preparatory Futures Clinique on 13 April• International Symposium on 7th and 8th June• National workshop?

Futures Clinique II APRIL 2016Fuzzy Futures of the Neo-Carbon Work

• 13th April at Sitra (12.00 – 16.00)• Groups anticipated the future of work inspired by

Neo-Carbon scenarios• Ca. 40 participants• MP Future of Work/Technology2050 scenarios as

background material -> preparatory event fornational workshop

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© Sirkka Heinonen

RADICALSTARTUPS

VALUE-DRIVEN TECHEMOTHS

GREEN DIY ENGINEERS

NEW CONSCIOUSNESS

Four Scenarios +Energy implications

Heinonen, Sirkka – Karjalainen, Joni & Ruotsalainen, Juho(2015), Towards the third industrial revolution. NEO-CARBON ENERGY project Future Clinique I ”Creating theThird Industrial Revolution” 6.5.2015 FFRC eBook 6/2015.Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku. 74 p.ISBN 978-952-249-394-1, ISSN 1797-1322.https://www.utu.fi/fi/yksikot/ffrc/julkaisut/e-tutu/Documents/FFRC-eBook-6-2015.pdf

• The goal is to find new sources of growth and productivityfor the Finnish economy & diversify the structure ofproduction

• To vision new services/occupations/job skills in a worldwhere automation has replaced many of today’s jobs

• The neo-carbon ”logics” as background (low-costrenewble energy, peer-to-peer society)

• There will also be a group task on energy: who producesenergy and how, how much energy is consumed, how iscarbon-neutrality manifested at the workplace etc.

Forthcoming report and paper for EJFR

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7th-8th June 2016 Kiasma, HelsinkiKeynote: José Cordeiro, MP,Singularity UniversityWorking topics: Clean Disruption,Energularity & EnerNet, social relationsKey questions:What does the combination of energyand Internet mean? What are socialrelations and communities like in Neo-Carbon scenarios? What kinds of futureenergy innovations andproducts/services/practices couldemerge? Who are the key actors andgame changers?

International Symposium JUNE 2016“Clean Disruption for Abundant Futures”as Summer School and Futures Clinique III:

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• Organized by: Finland Futures Academy (FFA) andFinland Futures Research Centre (FFRC), University ofTurku as Summer School, Futures Clinique III andMillennium Forum!

• 62 participants: Doctoral and Master’s degree studentsfrom Futures Studies and other disciplines, as well as,selected experts from the government, Tekes, cities, etc.

• Background material: MP Future ofWork/Technology2050 scenarios, the Neo-Carbon Energy2050 Scenarios, The “Energularity” and other texts

• Learning aims:• Students learn how to anticipate possible futures co-creatively in a Futures Clinique• They learn to use different workshop foresight methods such as the Futures Window, Futures Wheel,

Futures Table, and Black Swans• Content-wise students learn about possible futures of renewable energy and different communities

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Keynote speakersJosé Cordeiro

- Clean Disruption,EnerNet, andEnergularity

Sirkka Heinonen– What is Disruption?

- Use of methods

Christian Breyer,Professor of solar economy at LUT

- How to reach 100%renewable energy system?

Pasi Vainikka,coordinator of

the Neo-Carbon project &the principal investigator at VTT

Group-working in six groups onthe four Neo-Carbon scenarios

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Futures Wheel

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Futures Table PESTEC & Black Swans

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Cross-fertilization and presentations ofFutures Images created in the Clinique

All group works werecommented byJośe Cordeiro

Finland Futures Academy

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Evening get-together

The Millennium Project interns- Helsinki Node at FFRC Helsinki Office

Merja Lang- Futures Studiesmaster’s degree

student

Sakari Nisula- Futures Studiesmaster’s degree

student

Professor Sirkka Heinonen

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• Link open 21st Julyuntil 8th August

• MP experts invited

• Interested inparticipating?please contactSirkka

JUST LAUNCHED:Expert survey on the Neo-Carbon Scenarios 2050

FUTURES OF COMPLEX WORLD12-13 June 2017, Turku, Finland

Welcome to the18th International Futures Conference ofthe Finland Futures Research Centre

and Finland Futures Academy, University of Turku.See conference website for more information:

www.futuresconference.fi/2017

HELSINKI NODE – NEW PLANS continued…

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Happy 20th Anniversary tothe Millennium Project!

NEXT 20 YEARS Proposal: Study on the Futureof the Millennium Project, using futures research

methods e.g. CLA!

HELSINKI NODEProf. Sirkka HeinonenFinland Futures Research CentreUniversity of TurkuKorkeavuorenkatu 25 A 200130 Helsinki, Finlandsirkka.heinonen(at)utu.fi

Thank You!Kiitos!