Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6...

20
The European Nitrogen Assessment Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective Bruna Grizzetti European Nitrogen Assessment Currently European Research Council Executive Agency Formerly European Commission Joint Research Centre 6 th International Waters Conference 19 th October, Dubrovnik, Croatia

description

Presentation delivered by Grizetti during the GEF STAP session during the 6th GEF Biennial International Waters Conference in 2011 in Dubrovnik, Croatia.

Transcript of Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6...

Page 1: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems:

European perspective

Bruna GrizzettiEuropean Nitrogen Assessment

Currently European Research Council Executive AgencyFormerly European Commission Joint Research Centre

6th International Waters Conference

19th October, Dubrovnik, Croatia

Page 2: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

ENA LaunchApril 2011, EdinburghInternational Conference“Nitrogen & Global Change”

Download the assessment at:

www.nine-esf.org/ENA

ENA Authorship200 experts, 21 countries &89 organizations

Scientifically independent process

Page 3: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Objective of theEuropean Nitrogen Assessment

• To review current scientific understanding of nitrogen sources, impacts and interactions across Europe,

• Taking account of current policies and the economic costs and benefits, as a basis to

• Inform the development of future policies at local to global scales.

Page 4: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

ENA Inputs and Authorization

NitroEurope Integrated Project (co-funded by the European

Commission)

Managing Nitrogen at the biosphere

atmosphere interface

Nitrogen in EuropeResearch Networking

Programme (ESF)

729729

UNECETask Force on Reactive

Nitrogen

International Nitrogen Initiative

Linking UNConventions

Global Partnershipon Nutrient

Management

Page 5: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Scaling up of issues through the European Nitrogen Assessment

N in Europe: the present position

N processing in the biosphere

N flows and fate at multiple

spatial scales

Managing N in relation to key societal threats

European N policies and

future challenges

FluxesFrom land to river basin to

regional balance

ProcessesIn the

atmosphere, terrestrial and

aquatic ecosystems

ImpactsOn air,

water, soil, biodiversity and climate

PolicyDifferent

sectoral policies, national and international

policies

Integrated Assessment

Page 6: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

The five key threats of excess Nitrogen

The WAGES of too much nitrogen

Water qualityAir qualityGreenhouse balanceEcosystems Soil quality

Page 7: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Nitrogen Cascade and Processes

Quantify N fluxes ?

WATERProcesses

Page 8: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Nitrogen effects: Humans and aquatic ecosystems

Effects of N ?

Increased biomassAlgal bloom, toxic

algae

Biodiversity lossHabitat loss

Fish kills

Regime shiftLost of aesthetic

value

The human and the aquatic systems are strictly interconnected

Eutrophication reduces the capacity of the aquatic ecosyetm to absorb external stress, such as climate changes

Increase of nutrients in the aquatic ecosystem EUTROPHICATION

Page 9: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

From river basin to coastal water

Europe is exporting 4.7 Tg N/yr to its seas (model GREEN)

Net Anthropogenic N Input (NANI): 3700 kg N/km2

(5 times natural N2 fixation)

~ 80% is stored (in soils, sediments and groundwater) or lost to the atmosphere

~20% reaches the basin outlet and the marine coastal zones(4 times the natural background)

Page 10: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Trends at European scale: rivers and aquifers

• NO3 concentrations in European rivers, lakes and coastal waters are high in many regions

• Groundwater NO3 concentrations have remained stable and high in some regions

• Lag time of groundwater response to changes in fertiliser application

mg NO3/l

See also:Bouraoui and Grizzetti (2011) Science of The Total Environment

Page 11: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er F

low

(100

0 m

3/s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - European Seas

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

35019

85

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er F

low

(100

0 m

3/s)

Tota

l P L

oad

(100

0 to

nP)

Phosphorus Load - European Seas

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

Grizzetti, Bouraoui, Aloe (2011) Global Change Biology

Nutrients discharged to the European seas1985-2005

Page 12: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er Fl

ow (1

000

m3/

s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - Atlantic Sea

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er Fl

ow (1

000

m3/

s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - Mediterranean Sea

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

02468101214161820

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er Fl

ow (1

000

m3/

s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - Baltic Sea

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Wat

er F

low

(100

0 m

3/s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - Black Sea

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Wat

er Fl

ow (1

000

m3/

s)

Tota

l N L

oad

(100

0 to

nN)

Nitrogen Load - North Sea

Other Point sources Agriculture Water Flow

Nitrogen discharged per regional sea1985-2005

Page 13: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Tota

l N co

ncen

trati

on m

g/L

Atlantic Sea

Mediterranean Sea

North Sea

Baltic Sea

Black Sea

All Seas

Nitrogen

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

0.45

0.50

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Tota

l P co

ncen

trati

on m

g/L

Atlantic Sea

Mediterranean Sea

North Sea

Baltic Sea

Black Sea

All Seas

Phosphorus

Grizzetti, Bouraoui, Aloe (2011) Global Change Biology

Nutrients concentration from 1985 to 2005

Page 14: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

N:P ratio in European coastal waters from 1985 to 2005

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

N:P

ratio

Baltic Sea

North Sea

Atlantic Sea

Med Sea

Black Sea

All EU seas

Page 15: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Nitrogen Damage Costs & Sources

Nature 14 April 2011EU Damage cost: 70 - 320 billion € / year

Page 16: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Effects of policies

EU and international legislation

• Reduction of nitrogen in waste water discharges, but diffuse pollution from agriculture still remains a major threat for waters

• Policy tools are available within the European Union and under international conventions but their full implementation has not been achieved yet

• In many cases a delay in the water quality response to the implementation of measures have been observed

• The issue of pollution swapping between environmental compartments has appeared as an important element to be considered by both the scientific and policy prospective

Design site specific mitigation measures

Implementation of existing policy

Encourage integration in sectoral policies

Recommendations:

Reduce the primary N inputs to the river basin

Page 17: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

7 ENA measuresSeven key actions for better nitrogen management

Agriculture(1) Improving nitrogen use efficiency in crop production.(2) Improving nitrogen use efficiency in animal production.(3) Increasing the fertilizer N equivalence value of animal manure

Transport and industry(4) Low-emission combustion and energy-efficient systems

Waste water treatment(5) Recycling nitrogen (and phosphorus) from waste water systems

Societal consumption patterns(6) Energy and transport saving(7) Lowering the human consumption of animal protein

Reduce N diffuse inputs

Reduce all N inputs

Reduce N point inputs

Reduce N atm inputs

All measures have a positive effect on water quality

Page 18: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Key messages• Each year Europe exports to its seas 4 times more N than the natural background and

this is only the 20% of the antrophogenic nitrogen input in the watershed (Nr retained in soils and aquifers, and Nr lost to the atmosphere is unknown).

• A significant part of the European population could be potentially exposed to high nitrate values in drinking water if adequate treatments were not in place. Many of European aquatic ecosystems are eutrophic or at risk of eutrophication.

• The continuous nitrogen export to water pose a threat to to the provision of goods and services from the aquatic ecosystem and reduces its resilience

• Nitrogen concentrations in European rivers, lakes, aquifers and coastal waters are high in many regionsand do not show significant decreasing trends.

• Even under favourable land use scenarios the nitrogen export to European waters and seas is likely to remain significant in the near future

• The full implementation of the existing N regulations is necessary, together with the integration of the sectoral policies to reduce N cascade and avoid pollution swapping

Page 19: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Threats:- Human health- Aquatic ecosystem health- Provision of good and services

Trends: Not significan decreaseScenarios: N export is likely to remain high

Key messages: a pictureN input is 4 times more than the natural background

Way forward:

Full implementation of the existing N regulations and integration of the sectoral policies to reduce N cascade and avoid pollution swapping

Our political and societal choice

Page 20: Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective (IWC6 Presentation)

The European Nitrogen Assessment

Download the assessment at:

www.nine-esf.org/ENA

Thank you

[email protected]