quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010 - NPESquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010. Since 2002, however,...
Transcript of quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010 - NPESquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010. Since 2002, however,...
quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010
Brazil, Mexico and Beyond
Opportunities and Challenges
Moderator: Hamilton Terni CostaSpeakers: Mario César de Camargo Luis Reynoso Vilches
Chicago Oct. 4, 2010
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LA overview
• Latin America is composed of South and Central America, Mexico and Caribbean
• 20 countries in LA and 13 in Caribbean
• 580 million inhabitants
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America: one continent
• Latin America is composed of South and Central America, Mexico and Caribbean
• 20 countries in LA and 13 in Caribbean
• 580 million inhabitants
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America: one continent
• Latin America is composed of South and Central America, Mexico and Caribbean
• 20 countries in LA and 13 in Caribbean
• 580 million inhabitants
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Economy size by countryGDP share
32%
28%
15%
6%
5%4%
3%7%
Brazil
Argentina
Colombia
Chile
Mexico
Peru
Venezuela
Other
Source: ECLAC 2008
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LA economics
The economic history of the region is noted for a sequence of ups and downs (roller coaster), instability and uncertainty.
only 40 year ago we could see a consecutive growth as seem recently
Latin America and Caribbean – GDP per capita
(in %)
source: ECLAC
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Since 2002, however, with agricultural, metal and oil commodities, valorization of the region is growing consistently
income per capita is also growing consistently since 1990
LA economics
source: ECLAC
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LA economics
• The poverty in the region is gradually shrinking.
(still has 190 million people in powerty)
• The main economies: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile and Peru are keeping a sustainable growth with different individual grades.
• Strengthening of the low to middle class
Brazil
Argentina
Chile
Peru
Colombia
Mexico
Venezuela
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LA stabilisation
1. Economic policies (independent central banks, goverment expenditures control, inflation target rate, exchange rate floating)
• people and enteprises can plan better
2. Democracy
• weak but consistency
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still unequal but getting better
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labor productivity gradually going up
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0% 13,3% 26,7%
30,8%
30,0%
27,2%
5,0%
3,4%
1,6%
1,2%
0,8%
27,3%
35,1%
22,6%
6,6%
4,3%
1,5%
1,7%
1,1%
Am. Norte
Asia
Europa Oc
Am. Latina
Leste Europeu
Australasia
Oriente Médio
África
2009 - US$ 700 B 2014 - US$ 725 B
World Wide Market for Print
from US$35 Bto
US$ 48 B
Source: Primir WWMP
emerging markets: higher growthquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010
0 15,00 30,00 45,00 60,00
7,40
8,30
12,30
28,90
33,90
42,50
51,40
51,70
Australasia
. America
West Europe
Asia
Africa
Latin America
Est. Europe
Middle East
Growth forecast by region2009 - 2014
Source: Primir WWMP
LA compoud annual growth rate: 7.3%
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Country 2010/20091st. semester 2009
Peru 9% 2%
Argentina 8,5% 1%
Brasil 8% (1.2%)
México 7% (4%)
Chile 5% 0
Colombia 3% 0
Estimates ANconsulting
Printing Industry Performance
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Print markets
in US billion dollars
11,0
8,5
2,5
1,5
0,9
0,7
Brazil
Mexico
Argentina
Colombia
Chile
PeruEstimates
ANconsulting
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Brazil and Mexico markets
Mario Cesar Martins de Camargo
• Abigraf’s president
• Principal at Gráfica Bandeirantes
Luis Reynoso Vilches
• Principal and Publisher at Bazar Gráfico magazine
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