Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

22
Global Talent Market Quarterly THIRD QUARTER l 2012
  • date post

    19-Oct-2014
  • Category

    Career

  • view

    1.368
  • download

    4

description

This report delivers valuable insights about global labor market trends.

Transcript of Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Page 1: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Global Talent Market QuarterlyTHIRD QUARTER l 2012

Page 2: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Global Talent Market Quarterly

CONTENTS

3 Global Economic Situation •Briefing

•Outlook

6 Global Labor Market Update •Americas

•EMEA

•APAC

•GlobalLaborMarketSpotlight

•LegislativeUpdate

12 U.S. Labor Market Overview •CurrentEmploymentConditions

•SupplyandDemand

•LaborMarketSpotlight

16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight •GlobalLaborSupplyandDemadForecasts

•TalentChallengesinRapidGrowthMarkets

•SocialMedia:BusinessorPleasure?

•KellyKnowledge

Page 3: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Global Economic SituationTHIRD QUARTER l 2012

Page 4: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING  

 The  global  economy  has  hit  a  soS  patch  in  2012,  as  contrac?on  in  several  European  markets  and  slowing  in  India  and  China  is  leading  to  muted  economic  ac?vity  worldwide.  Emerging  markets  and  the  APAC  region  con?nue  to  lead  the  growth  trend,  despite  some  weakness.        

AMERICAS  The  global  economic  slowdown  is  expected  to  cause  sluggish  growth  across  the  Americas  region  through  2013.  Stronger  economic  ac?vity  is  forecast  to  resume  in  2014.  

Canada  Modest  growth  of  around  2%  is  predicted  to  con:nue  through  2013.  Strength  in  the  natural  resources  sectors  is  being  tempered  by  government  austerity  measures  and  consumer  and  business  cau:on  in  the  face  of  uncertain  global  economic  condi:ons.  

U.S.  The  U.S.  economy  con:nues  to  expand  at  a  modest  pace,  with  2%  growth  projected  through  2013.  Future  gains  depend  on  both  the  health  of  the  global  economy  and  policy  measures  following  the  2012  elec:on.  

La?n  America  Economic  ac:vity  in  the  region  con:nues  to  cool  in  2012,  with  the  slowdown  felt  most  heavily  among  export-­‐dependent  countries.  Although  growth  is  expected  to  accelerate  again  in  2013  and  beyond,  policy  adjustments  will  also  be  necessary  to  create  and  sustain  more  robust  growth  levels.    

   

EMEA  The  Eurozone  crisis  con?nues  to  drag  down  economic  growth  across  most  of  the  region.  Gradual  recovery  is  expected  to  begin  in  2013.  

Eurozone  Economic  growth  in  many  Eurozone  countries  is  barely  posi:ve,  while  markets  including  Italy,  the  Netherlands  and  Spain  are  sinking  into  recession.  Improvements  are  expected  in  2013,  but  significant  growth  will  hold  off  un:l  2014.  

U.K.  GDP  growth  is  expected  to  resume  in  the  U.K.  in  the  second  half  of  2012  aZer  three  quarters  of  contrac:on.  The  economy  is  expected  to  con:nue  to  recover  gradually    in  2013  and  2014,  in  step  with  the  rest  of  Western  Europe.  Central  and  Eastern  Europe  Reduced  demand  from  Western  Europe  will  con:nue  to  dampen  economic  performance  through  2013,  but  growth  in  many  of  the  region’s  larger  markets  including  Russia,  Turkey  and  Poland  is  expected  to  remain  healthy.    

Middle  East  and  North  Africa  Despite  ongoing  poli:cal  tensions,  economic  momentum  should  accelerate  in  the  region  in  2012-­‐13  as  many  countries  con:nue  to  develop  and  implement  policies  that  foster  growth.    

APAC  Low  export  demand  and  cooling  growth  in  China  and  India  have  soSened  the  APAC  outlook  for  2012-­‐2013,  but  healthy  domes?c  demand  is  helping  to  prop  up  many  markets.  

Japan  Economic  growth  was  surprisingly  strong  in  the  first  part  of  2012,  thanks  to  healthy  household  spending  and  con:nued  recovery  efforts.  Growth  is  expected  to  remain  moderate  throughout  the  rest  of  the  year  and  in  2013.  

China  Second  quarter  growth  decelerated  to  7.6%,  the  lowest  rate  in  nearly  three  years.  S:mulus  efforts  are  expected  to  revive  the  economy  in  the  second  half,  but  a  return  to  sustained  long-­‐term  growth  will  require  structural  reforms.  

India  The  economy  has  lost  some  momentum  due  to  weak  global  demand  and  domes:c  policy  issues,  but  growth  is  projected  to  accelerate  in  2013  and  strengthen  further  in  2014.  

Australia  Australia’s  economy  remains  strong  in  the  face  of  the  cooler  global  climate,  with  a  sound  outlook  supported  by  con:nued  growth  in  the  mining  and  natural  resources  sectors.  

   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Wall  Street  Journal,  07.13.12  and  07.18.12;  Reuters,  05.22.12  and  07.18.12    4  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 5: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

*/010C#/&0(!A00Y&

")5=P6>OP&O56785&E96:6;<9&OB6J=P&<M&EVFE9=EG&=6&899E5EB8=E&<:&,-.3&8:G&M>BF8MM&<=M&56:OZ=EB;&=BE:G&5EIE5&6L&3H@\&<:&,-.WT&MEIEB85&G6J:M<GE&B<MDM&BE;8<:T&<:95>G<:O&P<OP&5EIE5M&6L&O6IEB:;E:=&8:G&P6>MEP65G&GE7=T&JE8D&P6>M<:O&;8BDE=MT&8:G&F65<?985&>:9EB=8<:?EMH&&&

$E85&4%U&4B6J=P&$8=EM&]\&/P8:OE^&2E5E9=&C8BDE=M&&

/6>:=BN_&$EO<6:& ,-.,&]F^& ,-.3&]F^& ,-.W&]F^&

)C*$#/)2&QB8X<5& MBKN" YBON" fBON"/8:8G8& MBON" MBON" MB_N"(H2H& MBON" MBON" MB^N"*C*)&RB8:9E& OBON" OB!N" OB^N"4EB;8:N& !BON" !B!N" !BKN"#=85N& SMB!N" S!BMN" OBON"$>MM<8& KB_N" KBfN" YBON"(HYH& OBON" !BON" !BYN"*>B6X6:E& SOBYN" SOB!N" OB^N")U)/&)>M=B85<8& KBKN" MBfN" KBON"/P<:8& ^BeN" ^BgN" eBMN"#:G<8& _BfN" ^BON" eBON"[8F8:& MBYN" !BeN" KBON")U)/& fB!N" fB!N" fBgN"K0$A%& MB^N" KBON" KBeN"

Z,\& Z.\& -\& .\& ,\& 3\& W\& `\& @\& a\& b\& c\& .-\&

#=85N&

RB8:9E&&

(HYH&&

4EB;8:N&&

/8:8G8&&

(H2H&&

QB8X<5&&

[8F8:&&

)>M=B85<8&&

$>MM<8&&

#:G<8&&

/P<:8&&

$E85&4%U&4B6J=P&$8=EM&]\&/P8:OE^&MO!M"a7c"" MO!K"a7c"" MO!Y"a7c"

61>&(%G"U`6"/012)0"U?*'895"&%71&5*"ab>0@"MO!Mc"

f"

/012)0"/A-"/&1F59"aMO!M"7cG"MB^N"

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 6: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Global Labor Market UpdateTHIRD QUARTER l 2012

Page 7: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS  

 Posi?ve  employment  trends  con?nue  across  the  Americas  region,  although  the  U.S.  and  Canada  have  seen  some  cooling  in  2012  as  a  result  of  the  global  economic  slowdown.  Cau?ous  hiring  is  expected  to  con?nue  across  most  of  the  region,  leading  to  lower  unemployment  levels  in  the  coming  years.  

 UNITED  STATES  Robust  job  crea:on  in  the  first  quarter  of  2012  was  replaced  by  more  subdued  hiring  in  the  second  as  the  labor  market  began  to  react  to  the  cooler  global  economy.  Stronger  ac:vity  is  expected  in  2013  and  2014  as  uncertain:es  subside.  

 

BRAZIL  Despite  more  moderate  recent  economic  growth,  employment  con:nues  to  trend  upwards  and  unemployment  rates  con:nue  to  fall  in  Brazil  in  2012,  a  sign  that  employers  remain  confident  and  are  preparing  for  the  eventual  economic  upturn.    

CANADA  Canada’s  labor  market  outlook  is  broadly  posi:ve,  as  vacancy  and  wage  data  suggest  that  demand  for  labor  is  healthy.  Fihul  hiring  trends  in  the  first  part  of  2012  indicate  that  employers  remain  somewhat  cau:ous  in  light  of  the  global  economic  situa:on.  

MEXICO  The  official  unemployment  rate  in  Mexico  remains  in  the  4.5%-­‐5%  range—low  by  regional  standards  but  s:ll  higher  than  its  pre-­‐recession  level  of  3.5%-­‐4%.  Gradual  improvement  is  expected  as  the  economy  con:nues  to  add  formal  jobs.  

Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Reuters,  05.21.12,  06.20.12  and  07.06.12    

8.1%  

5.7%  

7.3%  

4.8%  

7.8%  

5.6%  

6.8%  

4.6%  

7.2%  

5.3%  

6.5%  

4.3%  

0%  

2%  

4%  

6%  

8%  

10%  

U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico  

Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate  

2012  (p)  

2013  (p)  

2014  (p)  

7  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 8: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA  

 Weakness  stemming  from  the  European  fiscal  crisis  is  keeping  worker  demand  low  and  unemployment  high  across  much  of  the  region,  with  significant  improvements  not  expected  un?l  2014.  Despite  the  uncertain  economic  situa?on,  labor  markets  con?nue  to  perform  well  in  some  countries,  including  Germany,  Russia,  and  the  U.K.    

GERMANY  Job  growth  in  Germany  remains  rela:vely  healthy  in  the  face  of  soZer  economic  condi:ons.  The  country’s  steady  decline  in  unemployment  has  lost  some  momentum  in  2012,  but  is  expected  to  resume  its  downward  trend  in  2013.  

FRANCE  The  labor  market  con:nues  to  deteriorate,  with  unemployment  in  mid-­‐2012  at  its  highest  level  in  more  than  a  decade.  The  new  government  is  considering  stricter  legisla:on  surrounding  layoffs  to  help  curb  the  rising  joblessness.  

UNITED  KINGDOM  Despite  the  economic  climate,  unemployment  has  remained  in  check  in  2012  due  to  increases  in  self-­‐employment  and  part-­‐:me  work,  and  job  crea:on  driven  by  the  Olympics.  Real  improvements  in  the  labor  market  are  not  expected  un:l  2014.  

RUSSIA  Unemployment  in  Russia  con:nues  to  steadily  decline  as  the  economy  remains  resilient.  The  lowest  unemployment  rates  are  seen  in  the  regions  around  Moscow  and  St.  Petersburg.        

ITALY  Demand  for  workers  is  expected  to  remain  weak  throughout  2012  and  2013.  Austerity  plans  have  cut  employment  in  the  public  sector,  and  private  employers  are  hesitant  to  add  jobs  in  the  midst  of  a  declining  economy.  

Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  Reuters,  06.28.12;  Reuters,  06.07.12;  BusinessWeek,  07.18.12;  Moscow  Times,  07.23.12;  Agence  France  Presse,  07.02.12    

6.8%  

9.8%  

8.5%  

5.7%  

9.7%  

6.6%  

9.8%  

8.7%  

5.4%  

10.0%  

6.2%  

9.3%  8.4%  

5.2%  

9.9%  

0%  

2%  

4%  

6%  

8%  

10%  

Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy  

Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate  

2012  (p)  

2013  (p)  

2014  (p)  

8  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 9: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC  

 Many  APAC  labor  markets  are  showing  some  signs  of  soSness  in  2012,  par?cularly  in  manufacturing  sectors  as  the  region  grapples  with  slowing  export  demand.  However,  healthy  domes?c  demand  and  ongoing  recovery  efforts  are  helping  to  boost  employment  levels  across  the  region,  and  the  labor  market  outlook  for  2013  and  2014  is  posi?ve.    

 

JAPAN  Employment  growth  and  job  crea:on  trends  are  posi:ve,  as  the  economy  con:nues  to  recover  following  the  2011  natural  disasters  and  ongoing  rebuilding  efforts  encourage  employers  to  take  on  more  workers.    

CHINA  The  labor  market  in  China  is  showing  some  signs  of  weakness.  Indicators  suggest  that  hiring  is  slowing,  and  job  cuts  may  be  spreading  in  manufacturing  and  heavy  industry,  amid  more  modest  demand  trends  and  a  cooling  economic  climate.    

INDIA  Employment  growth  in  India  has  moderated  somewhat  due  to    soZer  economic  condi:ons  both  at  home  and  globally.  Hiring  inten:ons  are  strongest  in  the  construc:on  industry  and  the  service  sector,  par:cularly  retail,  sales  and  healthcare.    

AUSTRALIA  Labor  market  performance  is  healthy  but  uneven  as  global  uncertainty  and  the  strong  currency  constrain  employers’  hiring  sen:ments.  The  market  is  expected  to  con:nue  along  an  unsteady  path,  with  modest  employment  gains  offset  by  higher  labor  force  par:cipa:on.  

Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (July  2012);  HSBC  06.07.12  and  07.12.12;  India  Times,  07.23.12;  Indian  Express,  07.23.12;  Financial  Times,  07.11.12;  Reuters,  05.28.12  and  06.28.12  

4.8%  4.2%  

9.3%  

5.2%  4.7%  

4.1%  

9.1%  

5.1%  4.6%  

4.0%  

9.0%  

4.7%  

0%  

2%  

4%  

6%  

8%  

10%  

Japan   China   India   Australia  

Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate  

2012  (p)  

2013  (p)  

2014  (p)  

9  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

9

Page 10: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:    AGING  WORKFORCE  

 As  organiza?ons  try  to  envision  and  plan  for  the  labor  market  of  the  future,  aging  workforces  are  a  key  considera?on  in  many  countries.  An  increasingly  older  labor  force  will  bring  unique  challenges,  including  filling  skills  gaps  and  addressing  re?rement  issues.  

 

Source:  :  The  World  at  Work:  Jobs,  Pay,  and  Skills  for  3.5  Billion  People,  McKinsey  Global  Ins:tute,  2012  *Re:rees  are  defined  as  workers  between  55-­‐70  years  old  who  are  not  likely  to  be  in  the  labor  force  in  2030.  Advanced  Economies  are  those  with  GDP  Per  Capita  above  $20,000  (USD  at  2005  PPP).  Other  Emerging  Markets  are  those  with  GDP  Per  Capita  between  $3,000  and  $20,000  including  na:ons  in  Asia  (Philippines,  Indonesia,  Thailand,  Malaysia,  etc.),  La:n  America  (Brazil,  Mexico,  Argen:na,  Peru,  etc.),  the  Middle  East  and  Africa.  

10  

NEARLY  A  QUARTER  OF  GLOBAL  WORKERS  WILL  BE  AGE  55+  BY  2030    The  aging  trend  will  be  most  acutely  felt  in  the  advanced  economies  and  China.  In  the  advanced  economies,  the  share  of  older  workers  in  the  labor  force  will  grow  from  18%  in  2010  to  27%  in  2030.    In  the  most  rapidly  aging  advanced  economies  such  as  Japan  and  Germany,  more  than  30%  of  the  labor  force  will  be  55+  in  2030.  In  China,  the  propor:on  of  older  workers  is  expected  to  more  than  double  in  the  next  two  decades.  Even  in  La:n  America,  which  has  a  rela:vely  young  popula:on,  aging  will  slow  labor  force  growth.  

AGING  TREND  WILL  CAUSE  FUTURE  LABOR  FORCE  CHALLENGES  The  number  of  re:rees  in  the  world  is  expected  to  grow  by  2.3%  per  year  over  the  next  two  decades,  more  than  twice  the  annual  labor  force  growth  rate,  leading  to  a  number  of  issues.  Skills  shortages  are  expected  to  intensify  as  educated  workers  re:re.  The  growing  number  of  re:rees  will  lead  to  greater  demand  for  social  and  healthcare  services.  And  economies  will  need  to  boost  produc:vity  in  order  to  sustain  growth  rates  with  smaller  labor  forces.  Boos:ng  labor  force  par:cipa:on  rates  of  older  workers  is  one  way  to  help  solve  these  challenges.  

28%   16%   11%  

62%  69%  

68%  

10%   14%   22%  

1980   2010   2030E  

Older  (55+)  

Prime  (25-­‐54)  

Young  (15-­‐24)  

GLOBAL  Labor    Force  %  by  Age  

Net  New  Re?rees  per  New  Worker,  2010-­‐2030E*    

22%  12%   10%  

65%  70%   64%  

13%   18%  27%  

1980   2010   2030E  

ADVANCED  ECONOMIES  

32%   13%  6%  

60%  

72%  62%  

8%   15%  31%  

1980   2010   2030E  

CHINA  

0  

0.5  

1  

1.5  

2  

Advanced  Economies  

China   Other  Emerging  Markets  

India  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 11: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE  

 Several  countries  have  implemented  or  are  considering  changes  to  their  regula?ons  on  temporary  and  contract  workers,  including  Norway,  which  will  bring  its  prac?ces  in  line  with  the  EU’s  Agency  Worker  Direc?ve.  New  and  pending  labor  legisla?on  in  Venezuela,  Saudi  Arabia,  and  Canada  aims  to  increase  labor  force  par?cipa?on,  while  the  new  lower  re?rement  age  in  France  defies  that  trend.  

MALAYSIA  A  minimum  wage  law  will  take  effect  in  Malaysia  for  the  first  :me  as  of  January  2013,  and  will  likely  be  phased  in  over  the  next  two  years.  The  minimum  wage  level  is  expected  to  be  modest  and  vary  across  the  country.  

Sources:  Global  Insight  06.14.12,  06.07.12;  Reuters,  05.24.12;  SIA  Daily  News,  05.30.12,  06.28.12,  07.17.12;  HRM  Asia  05.28.12;  VenezuelaAnalysis,  05.01.12;  Global  Market  Brief  &  Labor  Risk  Index  Q3  2012,  KellyOCG/Eurasia;  SIA  Legs  and  Regs  Advisor,  April  2012    

11  

CANADA  New  regula:ons  expected  to  take  effect  in  early  2013  will  require  workers  receiving  unemployment  benefits  to  be  willing  to  accept  available  jobs  that  are  lower  paying,  outside  their  field,  or  are  located  farther  away.  

FRANCE  The  new  French  government  lowered  the  re:rement  age  from  62  to  60  for  workers  with  more  than  40  years  of  social  security  contribu:ons.  The  move  is  contrary  to  many  other  developed  countries  that  are  increasing  re:rement  ages  in  the  face  of  demographic  and  fiscal  challenges.  

U.S.  The  Supreme  Court  upheld  the  health  care  reform  act,  paving  the  way  for  the  implementa:on  of  both  the  individual  and  employer  mandates  for  health  care  insurance  provision  in  2014.  

SINGAPORE  The  Employment  Act  will  be  reviewed  in  the  second  half  of  2012,  with  expected  revisions  to  address  working  condi:ons  and  pay  for  low  wage  employees  and  contract  workers.  

NORWAY  Although  not  a  member  of  the  European  Union,  Norway  will  implement  the  EU’s  Agency  Worker  Direc:ve  in  2013,  ensuring  the  equal  protec:on  and  treatment  of  temporary  workers.  

VENEZUELA  The  country’s  new  labor  law  includes  provisions  to  eliminate  the  prac:ce  of  outsourcing,  reduce  working  hours  from  44  to  40  hours  a  week,  lengthen  maternity  leaves,  and  make  layoffs  more  difficult.  

SAUDI  ARABIA  Pending  legisla:on  would  shorten  the  workweek  in  the  private  sector  in  order  to  force  companies  to  expand  their  workforces.  

AUSTRIA,  BELGIUM  New  legisla:on  requires  employers  to  ensure  equal  treatment  of  temporary  workers.  In  Belgium,  liZing  restric:ons  on  the  use  of  temporary  workers,  par:cularly  in  the  public  sector,  is  being  reviewed.  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 12: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

U.S. Labor Market OverviewTHIRD QUARTER l 2012

Page 13: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

SECOND  QUARTER  HIRING  DECELERATES  The  U.S.  job  market  hit  a  soZ  patch  in  the  second  quarter  of  2012,  adding  to  concerns  that  the  broader  economic  slowdown  has  now  started  to  affect  U.S.  hiring.  Employment  gains  averaged  only  75,000  a  month  in  the  second  quarter,  three  :mes  slower  than  the  rate  of  job  crea:on  in  the  first  three  months  of  the  year.    

UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE  STAGNANT  The  unemployment  rate  remained  at  8.2%  in  June  2012.  Although  lower  than  the  above-­‐9%  rates  seen  in  much  of  2011,    unemployment  has  shown    litle  improvement  since  the  first  of  the  year  and  remains  significantly  above  pre-­‐recession  levels.    

DEMAND  GROWS  AND  LAYOFFS  SLOW  The  number  of  job  openings  has  been  increasing  steadily  since  the  recession  ended,  signaling  a  renewed  demand  trend.  The  pace  of  layoffs  has  also  slowed  and  is  now  back  to  its  long-­‐term  average  level.  But  these  encouraging  trends  have  not    yet  translated  into  significant  and  sustained  job  crea:on.    

U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS  

 

EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW  

EMPLOYERS    REMAIN  CAUTIOUS  Some  employers  indicate  that  the  lack  of  hiring  stems  from  the  inability  to  find  skilled  workers,  but  many  simply  remain  hesitant    to  ramp  up  their  full-­‐:me  workforces  in  the  midst  of  uncertain  economic  and  poli:cal  condi:ons.  The  ongoing  European  crisis,  slowdowns  in  emerging  economies,  and  concern  over  U.S.  policies  con:nue  to  weigh  heavily  on  employers’  minds  and  put  a  damper  on  hiring  plans.    

13  Sources:  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs  

U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE  

5  6  7  8  9  10  11  

-­‐900  

-­‐600  

-­‐300  

0  

300  

600  

Jun-­‐09

 

Sep-­‐09

 

Dec-­‐09

 

Mar-­‐10  

Jun-­‐10

 

Sep-­‐10

 

Dec-­‐10

 

Mar-­‐11  

Jun-­‐11

 

Sep-­‐11

 

Dec-­‐11

 

Mar-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12

  Une

mploy

men

t  Rate  (%

)  

Employ

men

t  (00

0’s)  

Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate  

JUN   MAY   APR   MAR   FEB  

Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   80K   77K   68K   143K   259K  

Private  employment  growth   84K   105K   85K   147K   254K  

Unemployment  rate   8.2%   8.2%   8.1%   8.2%   8.3%  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 14: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND    

JOB  DEMAND  ON  UPWARD  BUT  UNEVEN  TREND    Employers  con:nue  to  look  for  more  workers,  as  online  adver:sed  job  vacancies  increased  at  an  average  rate  of  over  100,000  per  month  in  the  first  half  of  2012.  The  demand  momentum  remains  fihul,  however,  as  job  ads  were  up  sharply  in  June  but  declined  in  May  and  July.    

DEMAND  SURPASSING  PRE-­‐RECESSION  LEVELS  Job  adver:sements  con:nue  to  grow,  with  around  two-­‐thirds  of  both  U.S.  states  and  metropolitan  areas  now  at  or  above  their  pre-­‐recession  levels  in  labor  demand.  Despite  the  posi:ve  trend,  some  metro  areas  s:ll  have  unfavorable  supply/demand  ra:os,  including  Riverside,  Los  Angeles,  and  Sacramento,  CA;  Las  Vegas;  and  Miami.  

JOB  MARKET  TIGHTEST  FOR  STEM  OCCUPATIONS  STEM  (science,  technology,  math  and  engineering)  workers  con:nue  to  be  in  hot  demand.  Computer  and  mathema:cal  science,  healthcare  prac::oners,  and  architecture/  engineering  are  the  only  large  occupa:onal  categories  in  which  adver:sed  job  vacancies  outnumber  job  seekers.  

   

 

 

 

“As  of  June,  almost  half  of  the  occupa:onal  groups  have  Supply/Demand  rates  at  or  below  2.0.  Most  of  these  are  in  professional  categories,  such  as  business  and  finance,  healthcare  professionals,  and  management.”    

—    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  July  2,  2012  

14  

U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY  

Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs  

2,000  

3,000  

4,000  

5,000  

6,000  

7,000  

8,000  

9,000  

10,000  

2,000  

4,000  

6,000  

8,000  

10,000  

12,000  

14,000  

16,000  

Jun  08

 Sep  08

 De

c  08

 Mar  09  

Jun  09

 Sep  09

 De

c  09

 Mar  10  

Jun  10

 Sep  10

 De

c  10

 Mar  11  

Jun  11

 Sept  11  

Dec  11

 Mar  12  

Jun  12

 

No.  of    Online  Job  Ad

s    (in

 000

's)  

No.  of  U

nemploy

ed    

(in  000

's)  

#  of  unemployed  workers   #  of  online  ads  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 15: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  BRIDGING  THE  TALENT  GAP  

 

15   Source:  The  Talent  Crunch,  CareerBuilder,  June  2012  

HELP  WANTED  SIGNS  ARE  STILL  UP  Plenty  of  U.S.  companies  are  looking  for  workers.  According  to  a  recent  CareerBuilder  survey,  more  than  one-­‐third  of  employers  say  they  currently  have  open  posi:ons  for  which  they  cannot  find  qualified  candidates.    

OPEN  POSITIONS  TAKING  TOLL  ON  WORKERS,  FIRMS  Ongoing  job  vacancies  are  affec:ng  current  workers’  axtudes  and  performances—and  companies’  botom  lines.  Over  half  of  employers  say  that  current  employees  are  working  longer  hours.  More  than  one-­‐third  of  employers  reported  that  job  vacancies  have  led  to  overworked  employees,  a  reduced  quality  of  work  and  lower  morale.  Nearly  one-­‐fourth  cited  a  loss  in  revenue  due  to  the  inability  to  fill  open  posi:ons.  

EMPLOYERS  NOT  ADDRESSING  SKILLS  GAPS  Employers  report  that  the  most  difficult  posi:ons    to  fill  are  those  in  cri:cal  areas  such  as  C-­‐level  management,  business  development,  engineering,  and  IT.    But  despite  the  shorhalls  in  such  high-­‐profile  areas,  less  than  half  (41%)  of  employers  surveyed  say  they  are  engaging  workers  in  training  or  other  programs  to  help  alleviate  the  talent  crunch.    

CANDIDATES  ARE  READY  TO  LEARN,  CHANGE  Job  seekers,  however,  say  that  they  are  more  than  willing  to  gain  the  addi:onal  skills  that  employers  are  looking  for.  Nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  candidates  (65%)  say  that  they  are  extremely  or  very  willing  to  learn  new  skills,  and  more  than  three-­‐fourths  (77%)  say  they  would  be  willing  to  train  for  a  job  in  a  different  field.  

61%   58%   57%   54%  48%   47%  

0%  

20%  

40%  

60%  

80%  

Engineering   C-­‐Level   Business  Development  

Crea:ve/  Design  

Management   IT  

Most  Difficult  Posi?ons  to  Fill  

51%  

36%   34%   33%  23%  

0%  10%  20%  30%  40%  50%  60%  

Longer  hours     Overworked/  no  work-­‐life  balance  

Lower  quality  of  work  

Lower  morale   Loss  in  revenue  

Effects  of  Job  Vacancies  on  Current  Workers  

65%   77%  

But  Many  Candidates  are  Willing  to  Learn  New  Skills  and/or  Train  for  a  Job  in  a  Different  Field    

Few  Employers  Have  Programs  that  Fill  Skills  Gaps  

41%  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 16: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Workforce Solutions Industry Insight

THIRD QUARTER l 2012

Page 17: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

THE  WORLD  AT  WORK:  GLOBAL  LABOR  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND  FORECASTS  

 Labor  forces  around  the  globe  are  being  shaped  by  various  economic,  demographic,  and  cultural  changes  that  are  leading  to  mismatches  in  the  supply  and  demand  for  workers.  A  new  report  by  the  McKinsey  Global  Ins?tute  predicts  that  these  skills  imbalances  will  grow  stronger  in  the  decades  to  come,  unless  decisive  ac?on  is  taken  by  key  stakeholders,  including  policymakers  and  businesses.  

17  Source:  The  World  at  Work:  Jobs,  Pay,  and  Skills  for  3.5Billion  People,  McKinsey  Global  Ins:tute,  2012  

Young  Developing  Countries  are  in  Asia  (Bangladesh,  Pakistan)  and  Africa  (Nigeria,  Kenya,  etc.).      

23%  

21%  

21%  

16%  

13%  

SKILLS  IMBALANCES  WILL  INTENSIFY  As  the  world  economy  shiZs  towards  knowledge-­‐  and  service-­‐based  employment,  demand  for  trained  and  skilled  workers  con:nues  to  grow.  Global  labor  markets  will  face  the  challenge  of  having  too  few  high-­‐  and  medium-­‐skilled  workers,  and  too  many  low-­‐skilled  workers  in  the  coming  years.    

The  shortage  of  high-­‐skilled  workers  will  be  most  severe  in  advanced  economies  and  in  China.  China,  despite  a  drama:c  rise  in  educa:onal  atainment,  is  expected  to  see  a  gap  of  23  million  college-­‐educated  workers  by  2020.    

Industrializa:on  is  expected  to  raise  demand  for  medium-­‐skilled  workers  in  India  and  young  developing  economies,  but  a  shortage  of  these  workers  will  arise  due  to  low  rates  of  secondary  educa:on  enrollment  and  comple:on.  

A  poten:al  surplus  of  around  90  million  or  more  low-­‐skilled  workers  worldwide  is  projected  by  2020.  Advanced  economies  will  need  to  find  employment  for  more  than  30  million  low-­‐skilled  workers,  but  nearly  two-­‐thirds  of  the  oversupply  will  be  in  India  and  other  young  developing  economies  in  Asia  and  Africa.  

Advanced  Economies      -­‐16  to  -­‐18M  

China    -­‐23M  

India  -­‐13M  

Young  Developing  Economies    -­‐31M  

High-­‐Skill  Workers  Total  Shortage    -­‐38  to  -­‐41M  

Medium-­‐Skill  Workers  Total  Shortage    

-­‐45M  

Low-­‐Skill  Workers  Total  Surplus    +89  to  94M  

India    &  Young  Developing  Economies  +58M  

Advanced  Economies    +32  to  +35M  

DEMAND/SUPPLY  GAPS  BY  SKILL  LEVEL,  2020(E)  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 18: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

-­‐10%  

+11%  

College  Degree   High  School  or  Lower  

Advanced  Economies  

THE  WORLD  AT  WORK:  GLOBAL  LABOR  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND  FORECASTS  

 Future  imbalances  in  the  supply  and  demand  for  labor  have  the  poten?al  to  create  tremendous  challenges  for  workers,  businesses,  and  economies.  To  help  create  berer  outcomes,  McKinsey  suggests  that  leaders  across  the  globe  need  to  take  new  approaches  to  educa?on  and  training,  as  well  as  formulate  new  strategies  for  job  crea?on.  

18  Source:  The  World  at  Work:  Jobs,  Pay,  and  Skills  for  3.5Billion  People,  McKinsey  Global  Ins:tute,  2012  

23%  RAISING  SKILLS  THROUGH  EDUCATION  AND  TRAINING  In  both  developing  and  advanced  economies,  improving  training  and  educa:on  opportuni:es  will  be  cri:cal  in  raising  skill  levels  in  order  to  bridge  the  looming  talent  supply  gap.    

Advanced  economies,  which  will  have  too  many  workers  with  a  high  school  educa:on  and  too  few  college  grads,  need  to  raise  college  gradua:on  rates  and  direct  more  students  to  higher  skilled  fields.    China  will  also  need  to  con:nue  to  boost  college  enrollment  as  it  faces  a  large  deficit  of  highly  educated  workers.  

India  could  encounter  a  unique  set  of  labor  imbalances,  with  surpluses  of    both  college-­‐educated  workers  and  workers  with  litle  educa:on,  but  a  shortage  of  workers  with  a  secondary  educa:on.  In  India,  more  high  school  and  voca:onal  educa:on  is  needed,  as  well  as  retraining  for  large  numbers  of  unskilled  adults.      

JOB  CREATION  FOR  ALL  TALENT  LEVELS  Training  and  educa:on  alone  will  not  solve  the  talent  mismatch.  Across  the  globe,  countries  and  businesses  also  need  to  sustain  demand  and  create  more  jobs  for  medium-­‐  and  lower-­‐  skilled  workers,  according  to  McKinsey.    

Developing  higher  value-­‐added  manufacturing  and  services  is  one  way  for  emerging  markets  to  provide  more  employment  for  low-­‐skilled  workers.  And  in  advanced  economies,  opportuni:es  exist  within  the  service  sectors,  par:cularly  in  the  healthcare  field,  to  create  quality  jobs  for  the  surplus  of  medium-­‐skilled  workers.    

DEMAND/SUPPLY  GAPS  BY  EDUCATION  LEVEL,  2020  (E)  

-­‐16%  

+11%  

College  Degree   High  School  or  Lower  

China    

+8%  

-­‐10%  

+7%  

College  Degree   High  School   Primary  School  or  Lower  

India    

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 19: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

GROWING  PAINS:  TALENT  CHALLENGES  IN  RAPID-­‐GROWTH  MARKETS  

 Talent  management  has  become  increasingly  important  to  interna?onal  organiza?ons  as  they  seek  to  grow  and  execute  global  strategies.  But  for  companies  in  rapid-­‐growth  markets,  talent  management  strategies  oSen  lag  behind  the  widening  scope  of  their  opera?ons.  New  research  from  Ernst  &  Young  iden?fied  four  major  talent-­‐related  challenges  that  companies  in  rapid-­‐growth  markets  face,  and  suggested  ac?ons  to  take  in  order  to  tackle  these  challenges  successfully.  

19   Source:  Growing  Pains:  Companies  in  Rapid-­‐Growth  Markets  Face  Talent  Challenges  as  They  Expand,  Ernst  &  Young,  2012  

23%  

21%  

21%  

16%  

13%  

Top  management  teams  lack  interna:onal  experience  

Lack  of  internal  management  pipeline  forces  companies  to  

recruit  from  rivals  

Companies  are  unable  to  retain  and  reward  high  performers  in  different  

markets  

C-­‐suite  leaders  and  lower-­‐level  managers  hold  

conflic:ng  views  on  talent  management  

Integrate  talent  management  and  global  mobility  strategies  

Iden:fy  talent  needs  across  markets  and  align  strategies  with  individuals’  objec:ves  

Connect  short-­‐term  recruitment  strategies  with  

long-­‐term  workforce  planning  efforts  

Establish  uniform  metrics  for  manager  performance  and  create  an  inclusive  people  

culture  

KEY  TALENT  MANAGEMENT  CHALLENGES    

BUSINESS  IMPLICATIONS  AND  RESPONSES  

16%  

17%  

17%  

20%  

20%  

23%  

27%  

0%   10%   20%   30%  

How  effec?ve  is  your  company  at  the  following  aspects  of  talent  management?  

Developing  an  internal  pipeline  of  management  talent  

Recrui:ng  and  retaining  key  global  talent  

Evalua:ng  and  rewarding  high  performance  across  markets  

Planning  for  future  talent  needs  across  markets  

Aligning  business  strategies  with  individuals’  performance  objec:ves  

Iden:fying  talent  gaps  and  responding  quickly  to  fill  them  

Mo:va:ng  employees  from  different  cultures  

TALENT  MANAGEMENT  WITHOUT  BORDERS  Mul:na:onal  companies  in  fast-­‐growing  markets  face  cri:cal  challenges  as  they  seek  to  implement  global  talent  strategies.  Management  teams  struggle  with  cultural  differences,  conflic:ng  internal  views,  difficul:es  in  balancing  global  and  local  talent,  and  unreliable  leadership  pipelines.  Organiza:ons  need  to  create  integrated  talent  management  strategies  that  address  these  issues  and  help  them  succeed  beyond  their  borders.  

810  respondents;  %s  are  those  who  strongly  agree.  

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 20: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

KGWI:  SOCIAL  MEDIA—BUSINESS  OR  PLEASURE?  

 The  explosion  of  social  media  con?nues  to  transform  communica?on  and  open  up  new  ways  of  interac?on  –  but  it  also  brings  challenges,  par?cularly  in  a  work  sewng.  Findings  from  the  2012  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index  (KGWI)  show  that  awtudes  towards  social  media  and  its  usage  in  the  workplace  are  far  from  consistent.  

 

20   Source:  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index,  June  2012  Note:  Regional  differences  may  be  atributed  in  part  to  the  genera:onal  composi:on  of  the  survey  samples,  with  the  APAC  region  having  a  larger  propor:on  of  Gen  Y  respondents.  

SOCIAL  MEDIA  ON  THE  JOB  A  large  share  of  workers  don’t  think  that  personal  social  media  has  a  place  in  the  workplace.  Only  30%  of  employees  say  it’s  OK  to  use  social  media  for  personal  reasons  at  work,  and  43%  believe  that  social  media  use  at  work  adversely  affects  produc:vity.  Only  around  one-­‐quarter  of  workers  think  that  sharing  opinions  about  their  work  on  social  media  is  acceptable.    

But  axtudes  towards  social  media  use  in  the  workplace  differ  greatly,  with  younger  workers,  professional  employees,  and  those  in  the  APAC  region  consistently  taking  a  more  tolerant  and  open  approach.  Employers  may  want  to  consider  these  differences  among  key  workforce  segments  as  they  develop  social  media  strategies  and  policies.  

   

Baby  Boomer  19%    

Baby  Boomer  49%  

Gen  X  30%  

Gen  Y  36%  

Gen  X  44%  

Gen  Y  40%  

30%  of  employees  feel  it  is  acceptable  to  use  

social  media  for  personal  use  at  work  

 

43%  of  employees  say  that  the  use  of  social  media  at  

work  nega?vely  

impacts  produc?vity  

APAC    48%  

EMEA  31%  

Americas  16%  

APAC    34%  

EMEA  41%  

Americas  53%  

Baby  Boomer  16%    

Gen  X  22%  

Gen  Y  28%  

APAC    36%  

EMEA  22%  

Americas  17%  

24%  of  employees  feel  it  is  acceptable  to  share  their  opinions  about  work  on  social  media  

 

Professional/  Technical  

35%  

Non-­‐  P/T  24%    

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 21: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

Kelly  offers  a  complete  library  of  white  papers,  reports,  case  studies,  and  webcasts  that  advance  the  discussion  and  thinking  around  current  trends,  strategies,  and  issues  impac?ng  global  talent  management.        

To  register  for  webcasts  or  for  more  informa:on,  visit  www.kellyocg.com  

TITLE   PRESENTED  BY:   DESCRIPTION  

Key  Findings,  KGWI:  The  Rise  of  Social  Media  for  Personal  and  Professional  Use  

Todd  Wheatland,  VP,  Head  of  Thought  Leadership  &  Marke:ng,  Kelly  Services    

Megan  RaZery,  Sr.  Manager,  Workforce  Research  and  Intelligence,  Kelly  Services      

This  webcast  on  September  12,  2012  presents  the  key  findings  of  the  2012  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index  release  on  The  Rise  of  Social  Media  for  Professional  and  Personal  Use.  Learn  more  about  understanding  and  managing  the  unique  and  varied  workplace  issues  associated  with  social  media.    

Forging  Successful  Partnerships  with  an  Outsourcing  Provider  

KellyOCG  and  the  Henley  Centre  for  Customer  Management  at  Henley  Business  School    

KellyOCG  and  the  Henley  Centre  for  Customer  Management  conducted  a  year-­‐long  study  to  iden:fy  the  repeatable  characteris:cs  of  successful  outsourcing  provider  partnerships.  The  findings  are  crystallized  in  a  15-­‐minute  primer  for  senior  execu:ves.  

Five  Ways  to  Improve  Your  Recruitment  in  Asia-­‐Pacific  

Anthony  Raja  Devadoss,  VP,  APAC,    KellyOCG  

Peter  Hamilton,  Director,  RPO  –  Australia  and  New  Zealand,  Kelly  Services  

Labor  markets  vary  widely  across  the  Asia-­‐Pacific  region,  with  talent  shortages  emerging.  Find  out  more  about  key  mo:vators  to  help  atract  and  retain  employees  in  the  Asia  Pacific  region  via  this  webcast  and  whitepaper.  

21  

KELLY  KNOWLEDGE  

 

Global Talent Market Quarterly

BACK TOTABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 22: Q3 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

AbouT Kelly ServiceS®

Kelly Services, inc. (NASDAQ: KelyA, Kelyb) is a leader in providing workforce solutions. Kelly® offers a comprehensive array of outsourcing and consulting services as well as world-class staffing on a temporary, temporary-to-hire and direct-hire basis. Serving clients around the globe, Kelly provides employment to more than 550,000 employees annually. revenue in 2011 was $5.6 billion. visit kellyservices.com and connect with us on Facebook, linkedin, & Twitter. Download The Talent Project, a free iPad app by Kelly Services..

A Kelly ServiceS rePorT

All trademarks are property of their respective owners. An equal opportunity employer © 2012 Kelly Services, inc. X1414