· Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 ... *...
Transcript of · Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 ... *...
www.alfalaval.com
www.alfalaval.com23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 2 |
Report for Q1 2020Tom Erixon
President and CEO
Alfa Laval Group
Change
picture
UPDATE Picture
www.alfalaval.com
Key figures
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 3 |
Q1 2020 Q1 2019 %-change %-▲,org*
Order intake 11,877 12,213 -3 -2
Net sales 10,590 10,158 4 5
Adjusted EBITA** 1,750 1,728 1
Adjusted EBITA-margin (%) 16.5 17.0
*) Organic growth excluding currency effects and structural changes. SEK 769 (-83) million of the order intake in the quarter is a result of revaluation of the backlog denominated in foreign currency.
**) Impact on EBITA of foreign exchange effects SEK 90 (95) million.
www.alfalaval.com
Orders received
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 4 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
SEK million SEK million R 12
-3%
+2
2%
+1
4%
+1
4%
-22
%
= Order intake per quarter
= Order intake per quarter “large” = Rolling twelve months value
= % development by quarter, year on year+XX%
www.alfalaval.com
− Orders received excluding the “Marine Environmental”* business
Orders received
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 5 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
SEK million SEK million R 12
+4
%
+8
%
+1
1%
-12
%
-21
%
= Order intake per quarter
= Order intake per quarter “ Marine Environmental”
”
= Rolling twelve months value, excluding “Marine Environmental”
= % development by quarter, year on year, excluding “Marine Environmental”+XX%
*) Alfa Laval PureSOx and Alfa Laval PureBallast.
www.alfalaval.com
− Order intake Q1, share and development
Service, by division
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 6 |
ENERGY FOOD & WATER MARINE
Q120: 27%
Absolute development
YoY
Absolute development
YoY
Absolute development
YoY
+ +
Q120: 33% Q120: 27%
+
= Service share of total order intake
www.alfalaval.com
− January – March 2020 & development Q1-20 vs. Q1-19 at constant rates
Orders received by region
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 7 |
17%;
North America
-37%
-5%
+33%
+9%
-24%
+18%
2%;
Africa & Oceania8%; Nordic
20%;
Western Europe
7%;
Central- & Eastern
Europe
42%; Asia
4%;
Latin America
+67%
January – March 2020 vs Q1 2019
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK million at prevailing rates
Top ten markets*
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 8 |
0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000
France
Benelux
Japan
South East Asia
Mid Europe
Adriatic
Korea, South
Nordic
China
United States
*The order intake development of the 2019 top ten markets.= FY 2019
= LTM 2020
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK millions and in percent of sales
Adjusted EBITA/margin*
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 9 |
* Adjusted EBITA – ”Earnings before interests, taxes, amortization of goodwill and step up values and comparison distortion items.”
10,0
11,0
12,0
13,0
14,0
15,0
16,0
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SEK million Percent of sales
16.517.016.9
15.7
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Energy division
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 10 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Investment activity in the hydrocarbon chain
negatively impacted by current market turmoil.
• Demand in HVAC and refrigeration continued on a
high level with good growth in the quarter.
• Stable growth in Service.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Strong invoicing growth and a favorable load resulted
in an improved operating margin in the quarter.
Q1 20 Q1 19 YoY %-
change
Q4 19
ORDERS 3,197 3,448 -7.3 3,594
SALES 3,039 2,807 +8.3 3,961
EBIT 488 399 593
EBIT (%) 16.1 14.2 15.0
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Sales EBIT
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Food & Water division
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 11 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Overall demand remained stable on a high level.
• Strong demand from customers in the dairy and
biotech segments.
• Service developed well in the quarter.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• The positive mix from a higher share of service could
not fully compensate for the lower invoicing and
lower load in some factories.
Q1 20 Q1 19 YoY %-
change
Q4 19
ORDERS 3,612 3,480 +3.8 3,720
SALES 3,118 3,153 -1.1 3,938
EBIT 498 524 664
EBIT (%) 16.0 16.6 16.9
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Sales EBIT
www.alfalaval.com
− Highlights and comments
Marine division
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 12 |
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Demand in BU Pumping systems was solid both for
cargo pumping and offshore.
• Demand for PureBallast systems continued on a high
level, while the retrofit demand for PureSOx was
negatively impacted by the oil price development.
• Service continued to grow.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Capital sales was affected by negative mix. FX driven
balance sheet revaluations had a negative effect on
profitability.
Q1 20 Q1 19 YoY %-
change
Q4 19
ORDERS 5,068 4,963 +2.1 3,840
SALES 4,433 3,932 +12.7 5,017
EBIT 708 761 985
EBIT (%) 16.0 19.4 19.6
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Sales EBIT
Note) SEK 636 (-60) million of the order intake in the Marine Division in the quarter is a result of revaluation of the backlog denominated in foreign currency.
| www.alfalaval.com| © Alfa Laval
Report for Q1 2020 Jan Allde
CFO
Alfa Laval Group
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Sales
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 14 |
0
7 000
14 000
21 000
28 000
35 000
42 000
49 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
= Sales per quarter = Rolling 12-months value
= % development year on year+XX%
+4
%
+1
5%
+9
%
-1%
-10
%
10,590
SEK million R 12SEK million
www.alfalaval.com
− In percent of sales
Adjusted gross margin
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 15 |
30
35
40
45
Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
37.638.038.3
37.1
Q1 2019 38.0
Mix/price -
Load/volume =
PPV/metals +
FX -
Structure =
Q1 2020 37.6
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Divisional sales and profitability
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 16 |
ENERGY FOOD & WATER MARINE
Q1 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019
Sales 3,039 2,807 3,118 3,153 4,433 3,932
Op. profit 488 399 498 524 708 761
Op. margin, % 16.1 14.2 16.0 16.6 16.0 19.4
• Volume and factory
loading (+)
• Mix impact (-)
• Cost (=)
• Volume and factory
loading (-)
• Mix impact (+)
• Cost (-)
• Volume and factory
loading (=)
• Mix impact (-)
• FX (~ -2%) • Revaluation (~50%)
• Dilution (~50%)
• Cost (-)
Op. Margin (%) comments
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Key figures
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 17 |
Q1 2020 Q1 2019
Sales 10,590 10,158
Gross profit 3,763 3,604
Sales & Admin -1,670 -1,669
R&D -286 -260
Net other cost/income -291 -212
Operating income 1,528 1,471
Financial net -142 151
Profit before tax 1,386 1,622
Taxes -362 -397
EPS 2.43 2.90
www.alfalaval.com
− MSEK
Cash-flow statement
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 18 |
Q1 2020
Q1 2019
Cash flow from- operating activities- investing activities
959-83
975-494
Financial net paid -347 167
Total 529 648
Pro Forma Free cash-flow* 405 708
*Incl. operating activities, capital expenditure and financial net paid.
www.alfalaval.com
− Estimated impact on adjusted EBITA from FX fluctuations, MSEK
Foreign exchange
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 19 |
Q1 2020 FY 2020 FY 2021*
Transaction effect 60 530 380
Translation effect 30 20 -
Total 90 550 380
Projected FX-effect for 2020 communicated with Q4 report: SEK 380 million
Note: Excludes FX effects caused by revaluation of balance items in foreign currency.
*) Based on EUR/USD 1.118 and EUR/SEK 10.935
www.alfalaval.com
− SEK billion
Order backlog as per March 31
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 20 |
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
22.9
15
.57.4
25.7
16
.69
.1
book to bill1.20 0.860.88
= For delivery next year or later
= For delivery during the current year
0.89 1.12
www.alfalaval.com
− FY 2020, SEK billion
Sales
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 21 |
Q1 Sales 10.6
Backlog, for delivery current year +15.5
Subtotal 26.1
Price
“In-for-out”*
FX translation
Acquisitions
Full year 2020
*IFO in Q2-Q4 2019 excluding acquisitions/divestments was SEK 20.0 bln.
For you to consider:
www.alfalaval.comwww.alfalaval.com23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 22 |
“We expect demand in the second quarter to be lower than in the first quarter.”
Outlook for the second quarter:
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www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of orders Q1 2020 (MSEK)
Activity split O&G, total
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 24 |
Marine
Alfa Laval
Share of totalAlfa Laval
Energy
Drilling Processing &Transportation
PetrochemicalsRefinery
Grand total SEQ/YOY
960 (-/-)
735 (+/+)
=1,695*(-/-)
= 14.3%3.7% 3.3%1.6%5.7%
38
399
= 437
336
336
= 672
196
0
= 196
390
0
= 390
*) incl. aftermarket
(SEQ/YoY)
www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of orders LTM, end of March
Marine Division’s industry split
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 25 |
Share
Driver
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical power
needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
Legislation &
fuel cost
30%
4%26%
7%
33%
www.alfalaval.com
− Distribution of sales LTM end of March
Marine Division’s industry split
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 26 |
Share
Driver
28%
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
4%
26%
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical power
needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
35%
Legislation &
fuel cost
7%
www.alfalaval.com
− Compared with same quarter last year (%), excluding currency effects
Organic growth pace
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 27 |
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
20
30
Q115 Q215 Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
= Order intake growth
www.alfalaval.com
Cautionary statement
23/04/2020 | © Alfa Laval 28 |
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
current expectations of the management of Alfa Laval Group.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be
given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results
could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a
result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive
conditions, changes in the regulatory environment, other government actions and
fluctuations in exchange rates. Alfa Laval undertakes no obligation to publicly
update or revise these forward-looking statements, other than as required by law
or other regulations.
www.alfalaval.com