Q1 2013 TELUS investor conference call May 9, 2013 Darren Entwistle President & Chief Executive...
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Transcript of Q1 2013 TELUS investor conference call May 9, 2013 Darren Entwistle President & Chief Executive...
Q1 2013
TELUS investor conference call
May 9, 2013
Darren Entwistle
President & Chief Executive Officer
Joe Natale
EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
John Gossling
EVP & Chief Financial Officer
TELUS forward looking statement
2
Today's presentation and answers to questions contain statements about future events and financial and operating performance of TELUS that are forward-looking. By their nature, forward-looking statements require the Company to make assumptions and predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. There is significant risk that the forward-looking statements will not prove to be accurate. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a number of factors could cause actual future performance and events to differ materially from that expressed in the forward-looking statements. Accordingly, our comments are subject to the disclaimer and qualified by the assumptions (including assumptions for 2013 annual guidance, CEO three-year goals to 2013 for EPS and free cash flow growth to 2013 excluding spectrum costs, semi-annual dividend increases to 2016, ability to sustain and complete multi-year share purchase programs to 2016), qualifications and risk factors referred to in the first quarter Management’s discussion and analysis and in the 2012 annual report, and in other TELUS public disclosure documents and filings with securities commissions in Canada (on SEDAR at sedar.com) and in the United States (on EDGAR at sec.gov). In addition, there can be no assurance that the Company will initiate a normal course issuer bid. Except as required by law, TELUS disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements, and reserves the right to change, at any time at its sole discretion, its current practice of updating annual targets and guidance.
Series of shareholder friendly initiatives
Increasing dividend July 2 – up 11.5% from a year ago
Extending dividend growth program of circa 10% annually to 2016
Launching $500M issuer bid to December 2013, subject to TSX approval
Targeting share repurchase program of $500M in 2014, 2015, 2016
Reporting strong Q1 results
CEO introduction
4
Returning to shareholders up to $6B or $10 per share 2013 - 2016
Robust postpaid net additions
5
Postpaid net adds (000s)
Q1-12
5263
Q1-13
Postpaid base up 6.6% YoYNow 2nd largest player in national mobility market
Q1-11
Wireless subscribers
7.7M total
1.1Mprepaid
86%
14%
6.6Mpostpaid
59
Strong smartphone adoption and ARPU growth
6
Q1-11 Q1-12 Q1-13
5.8 6.2 6.6
Postpaid subscribers (millions)
Smartphone % of postpaid
$58.87 $60.04$57.89
Voice ARPU
Data ARPU
Smartphone penetration up 12 points to 68% of postpaid basesupporting ARPU growth of 2% in Q1
Q1-11 Q1-12 Q1-13
17.71
40.18
22.83
36.04
25.62
34.4238%
56%68%
Industry leading wireless churn
7
1.55%
Q1-12
1.48%
Q1-13
Blended Postpaid
1.14%
Q1-12
1.11%
Q1-13Q1-11Q1-11
1.70%
1.33%
Best Q1 blended churn since 2007Cost of Retention stable
Industry leading lifetime revenue per susbcriber1
8
Q1-12 Q1-13
$4,057$3,798
1 Lifetime revenue derived by dividing ARPU by blended churn rate
Q1-11
$3,405
Industry leading ARPU and churn generating leading lifetime revenue per subscriber
Healthy TV and Internet growth
9
712
553
29%
TELUS TV (000s) High-speed Internet (000s)
1,3421,2576.8%
358
1,183
TELUS focused on balancing subscriber growth with profitability
Q1-12 Q1-13Q1-11 Q1-12 Q1-13Q1-11
Continued strength in Optik
10
TELUS TV Residential NALsHigh-speed Internet
Q1-12 Q1-13
60K50K
-34K
44K
16K
-47K
34K
16K
TV and high-speed Internet loading exceedsresidential NAL losses for tenth consecutive quarter
Q1 2013 wireless financial results
11
($M, except margins) Q1 2013 Change
Revenue (external) 1,472 6.4%
EBITDA1 666 7.4%
EBITDA margins (network revenue)
48.6% 0.5 pts
Capital expenditures 134 (11)%
TELUS delivers another strong quarter of wireless results
1 For definition, see Section 11.1 in Q1 2013 Management’s discussion and analysis
Wireless data revenue ($M)
Q1-12
498
Q1-13
583
366
Q1-11
Strong Q1 data revenue growth of 17% year-over-yearData now 43% of wireless network revenue, up 4 points
12
Q1 2013 wireline financial results
($M, except margins) Q1 2013 Change
Revenue (external) 1,284 2.9%
EBITDA 368 1.9%
EBITDA margins(total revenue)
27.8% (0.2) pts
Capital expenditures 333 15%
Another quarter of EBITDA growth reflecting revenue growth and improved Optik TV and high-speed Internet margins
13
Wireline data revenue ($M)
Q1-12
700
Q1-13
764
619
Q1-11
Strong data revenue growth of 9% driven by TV and InternetData revenue 60% of external revenue, up 4 points
14
Q1 2013 consolidated financial results
($M, except EPS) Q1 2013 Change
Revenue (external) 2,756 4.8%
EBITDA 1,034 5.4%
EPS (basic) 0.56 14%
Capex 467 5.9%
EBITDA less capex 567 5.0%
Free cash flow1 (FCF) 358 __
FCF before cash taxes 506 25%
1 For definition, see Section 11.2 in Q1 2013 Management’s discussion and analysis
Strong consolidated results driven by both wireless and wireline
15
EPS continuity analysis
Higher EBITDA
Change in tax expense
Depreciation & Amortization
Q1-13 reported
Q1-12 reported
EPS up 14.3% driven by strong EBITDA growth
16
0.490.06 0.02
(0.01)0.56
$1.1 billion 11 year at 3.35%
$600 million 30 year at 4.40%
Funds $300 million 5.0% Notes maturing June 2013
Redeeming one year early May 2014 $700 million 4.95% Notes
Early redemption fee to negatively impact Q2 EPS by approx 3 cents
Successful $1.7 billion financing
17
TELUS long-term debt maturity profile ($M)
Reducing financing risk Average term to maturity 9 years from 5.2
18
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2043
300
700 625 600
700
1,000 1,000
175 245
500
1,100
200
600
20131 20141
1 $300 million June 2013 notes to be repaid at maturity; $700 million May 2014 notes to be redeemed one year early on May 15, 2013
New debt issue
Debt to be repaid
investor relations1-800-667-4871telus.com/[email protected]
Appendix – Q1 2013 free cash flow comparison
2013Q1
2012Q1
C$ millions
EBITDA 981 1,034
Capex (441) (467)Net Employee Defined Benefit Plans Expense 27 26
Employer Contributions to Employee Defined Benefit Plans (116) (36)
Interest expense paid, net (55) (57)
Income taxes refunded (paid), net (48) (148)
Share-based compensation 7 12
Restructuring costs net of cash payments 2 (6)
Free Cash Flow 358
(188) (209)Dividends
Working Capital and Other (62) (138)
Funds Available for debt redemption 61 (19)
Net Issuance (Repayment) of debt (39) (67)
Increase (decrease) in cash 22 (85)
Cash payments for acquisitions and related investments (30)
358
(26)
Real estate joint venture (16) (4)