Prof. Göran Roos - ATSE Home Manufacturing/goran... · Title: Understanding the strategic...

Prof. Göran RoosProf. Göran Roos

Key Enabling technologies are technology domains that are knowledge Key Enabling technologies are technology domains that are knowledge intensive and associated with high R&D intensity, rapid innovation cycles, intensive and associated with high R&D intensity, rapid innovation cycles, high capital expenditure, highlyhigh capital expenditure, highly--skilled employment, and that not only skilled employment, and that not only underpin most industrial activities across sectors but that also form underpin most industrial activities across sectors but that also form industrial sectors in their own right. industrial sectors in their own right.

They include in my definition: Information and Communication They include in my definition: Information and Communication Technologies, Nanotechnology, MicroTechnologies, Nanotechnology, Micro-- and Nanoand Nano--electronics, Industrial electronics, Industrial biotechnology, Photonics, Advanced materials, Advanced manufacturing biotechnology, Photonics, Advanced materials, Advanced manufacturing Technologies, and Production Systems for High Cost Operating Technologies, and Production Systems for High Cost Operating Environments.Environments.

© Copyright Göran Roos 2014

Implication by the fact that it can produce almost anything.Implication by the fact that it can produce almost anything.

Implications due to it requiring less assembly lines [solely needed for complex Implications due to it requiring less assembly lines [solely needed for complex systems assemblies] less complex factories [apart from the production and systems assemblies] less complex factories [apart from the production and distribution of the distribution of the nanonano--powder and the assembly of the printer itself]powder and the assembly of the printer itself]

Implications by its intertwining with advancements in material sciences, scanner Implications by its intertwining with advancements in material sciences, scanner technology and CAD software with internet commerce and online collaboration, technology and CAD software with internet commerce and online collaboration, crowdcrowd--sourcing and crowdsourcing and crowd--funding. funding.

Implications it will be the digital designs and digital specifications and not the Implications it will be the digital designs and digital specifications and not the products themselves that will move around the world and the only physical products themselves that will move around the world and the only physical movement will be the movement will be the nanonano--powder and the additive manufacturing units powder and the additive manufacturing units themselves. The savings that will accrue in labour, tooling, assembly, shipping, themselves. The savings that will accrue in labour, tooling, assembly, shipping, inventory, working capital is posing a major threat for countries that have inventory, working capital is posing a major threat for countries that have emphasised lowemphasised low--cost traditional manufacturing. Instead there will be a growth in all cost traditional manufacturing. Instead there will be a growth in all the new service related activities that will take place in digital space e.g. Digital the new service related activities that will take place in digital space e.g. Digital testing, digital simulation, digital file compression, etc. All requiring highly educated testing, digital simulation, digital file compression, etc. All requiring highly educated individuals and sophisticated tool development where the labour cost component in individuals and sophisticated tool development where the labour cost component in the service is small as a percentage of the value provided and hence can be the service is small as a percentage of the value provided and hence can be executed in highexecuted in high--cost countries.cost countries.


Share of patents within Advanced Manufacturing Technologies including additive manufacturing

Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys 20.5% Manufacture of basic precious/non-ferrous metals 16.6% Manufacture of other special-purpose machinery 11.9% Manufacture of other porcelain and ceramic products 10.8% Manufacture of abrasive/non-metallic mineral products 10.3% Manufacture of beverages 9.6% R&D on nanotechnology 9.3% Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products 8.7% Manufacture of electronic components and boards 8.7% Manufacture of glass and glass products 8.5% R&D on biotechnology 8.0% Manufacture of basic chemicals, fertilisers and nitrogen compounds, plastics and synthetic rubber in primary forms

8.0%

Manufacture of refined petroleum products 7.6% Electric power generation, transmission and distribution 7.6% Other R&D on natural sciences and engineering 7.0% Manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, testing and navigation; watches and clocks 6.9% Manufacture of military fighting vehicles 6.7% Manufacture of optical instruments/photographic equipment 6.6% Manufacture of other general-purpose machinery 6.2% Higher education 6.2% Manufacture of plastics products 5.8% Architectural/engineering activities, technical consultancy 5.8% Manufacture of electric motors, generators, transformers and electricity distribution and control apparatus

5.3%

Manufacture of computers and peripheral equipment 5.1% Manufacture of other chemical products 4.8% Installation of industrial machinery and equipment 4.6% Manufacture of consumer electronics 4.5% Technical testing and analysis 4.4% Manufacture of paints, varnishes, coatings, printing ink 4.3% Manufacture of man-made fibres 4.0% Manufacture of general-purpose machinery 3.8% Manufacture of rubber products 3.6% Preparation and spinning of textile 3.4% Manufacture of other electrical equipment 2.9% Manufacture of other food products 2.8% Hospital activities 2.7% Manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard 2.6% Manufacture of electric lighting equipment 2.5%


Other manufacturing: Other manufacturing: Other manufacturing includes a range of lowOther manufacturing includes a range of low--tech, bespoke tech, bespoke manufactures such as toys; these are likely to be one of the earliest markets for additive manufactures such as toys; these are likely to be one of the earliest markets for additive manufacturing.manufacturing.

Metals and building materials: Metals and building materials: Potential for significant disruption from additive Potential for significant disruption from additive manufacturing. However, additive manufacturing may not provide the scale of production manufacturing. However, additive manufacturing may not provide the scale of production required for some industrial and construction processes.required for some industrial and construction processes.

Textiles, clothing and leather: Textiles, clothing and leather: Likely to be heavily disrupted by additive manufacturing, with Likely to be heavily disrupted by additive manufacturing, with design, logistics and retail processes potentially transformed.design, logistics and retail processes potentially transformed.

Rubber and plastics: Rubber and plastics: High likelihood of disruption, especially for bespoke shaped plastics. High likelihood of disruption, especially for bespoke shaped plastics. Plastics are also likely to be the key material for additive manufacturing, which may prompt Plastics are also likely to be the key material for additive manufacturing, which may prompt innovation in development of plastics.innovation in development of plastics.

Pharmaceuticals: Pharmaceuticals: Significant potential for onSignificant potential for on--demand manufacture of drugs in hospitals, demand manufacture of drugs in hospitals, although much will depend on technology.although much will depend on technology.

Machinery: Machinery: 3D printing is likely to play a major role in providing bespoke and on3D printing is likely to play a major role in providing bespoke and on--demand demand machinery.machinery.

Furniture: Furniture: additive manufacturing should play a major role in readditive manufacturing should play a major role in re--shaping furniture markets, shaping furniture markets, with designs and logistics heavily disrupted.with designs and logistics heavily disrupted.

Food, drink and tobacco: Food, drink and tobacco: Unlikely to move wholly to additive manufacturing, although some Unlikely to move wholly to additive manufacturing, although some components (including packaging) may be additively manufactured within supply chains.components (including packaging) may be additively manufactured within supply chains.

Computers, electronics and electrical equipment: Computers, electronics and electrical equipment: Some potential for disruption from additive Some potential for disruption from additive manufacturing, although issues of assembly and precision may limit uptake.manufacturing, although issues of assembly and precision may limit uptake.

Ships and aerospace: Ships and aerospace: Large scale building projects make additive manufacturing unlikely, Large scale building projects make additive manufacturing unlikely, although may be involved in the supply chain.although may be involved in the supply chain.

Cars and other vehicles: Cars and other vehicles: additive manufacturing is unlikely to remove assembly lines or end additive manufacturing is unlikely to remove assembly lines or end mass production, but may play a role in manufacture of components. in the supply chain.mass production, but may play a role in manufacture of components. in the supply chain.


Will enable the centralisation of manufacturing e.g. the tool production for Will enable the centralisation of manufacturing e.g. the tool production for the plant by the plant at the plant the plant by the plant at the plant –– reducing the need for tool makers and reducing the need for tool makers and simplifying and concentrating the value chain; the production of spare parts simplifying and concentrating the value chain; the production of spare parts by the spare part user on the spare part user’s location and when the spare by the spare part user on the spare part user’s location and when the spare part user need it hence simplifying and concentrating the value chain; etc. part user need it hence simplifying and concentrating the value chain; etc.

Benefit: Little to no production waste, short changeover times, and no Benefit: Little to no production waste, short changeover times, and no tooling changes or direct labour required. tooling changes or direct labour required.

Will initially impact B2B manufacturers with low production rate or makeWill initially impact B2B manufacturers with low production rate or make--toto--order assembly lines and manufacturers with products that have order assembly lines and manufacturers with products that have intricate internal structures.intricate internal structures.


6060––80% value increase per 3D80% value increase per 3D--printed product and 35printed product and 35––60% 60% cost savings to consumers plus 10% added value from cost savings to consumers plus 10% added value from customization from consumer usecustomization from consumer use

4040––55% cost savings to buyers of 3D55% cost savings to buyers of 3D--printed products from printed products from direct product manufacturingdirect product manufacturing

30% production cost reduction using superior 3D30% production cost reduction using superior 3D--printed printed moulds from tools and mould manufacturing.moulds from tools and mould manufacturing.


Design Design –– Additive manufacturing will likely create a global market for digital Additive manufacturing will likely create a global market for digital designs, both for generic blueprints and bespoke design services;designs, both for generic blueprints and bespoke design services;

Bespoke manufacturing services Bespoke manufacturing services –– Additive manufacturing may well place Additive manufacturing may well place increased emphasis on the service aspect of manufacturing, with retail and increased emphasis on the service aspect of manufacturing, with retail and production being fused into a bespoke service;production being fused into a bespoke service;

Home Additive Manufacturing Home Additive Manufacturing –– Some Additive manufacturing is likely to Some Additive manufacturing is likely to take place within the home, while some will take place within shops or take place within the home, while some will take place within shops or factories; these domestic and commercial markets will look very different;factories; these domestic and commercial markets will look very different;

Manufacture of Additive Manufacturing UnitsManufacture of Additive Manufacturing Units–– Producing and servicing Producing and servicing Additive manufacturing units themselves should be a big money industry; Additive manufacturing units themselves should be a big money industry; andand

Materials Materials –– Creating and sourcing materials for use in Additive Creating and sourcing materials for use in Additive manufacturing units will also be a significant market.manufacturing units will also be a significant market.


Benefit in Benefit in your existing operation from this technologyyour existing operation from this technology

Change what you do to benefit from this technologyChange what you do to benefit from this technology

Change what you do to avoid being negatively impacted by this technologyChange what you do to avoid being negatively impacted by this technology

Enter one of the new value chains created by this technologyEnter one of the new value chains created by this technology


Prof. Göran Roos - ATSE Home Manufacturing/goran... · Title: Understanding the strategic...

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