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Transcript of Presented by David L. Patton, P.E. Current Trends in Renewable Energy: R. W. Beck, Inc. IPED COAL...
![Page 1: Presented by David L. Patton, P.E. Current Trends in Renewable Energy: R. W. Beck, Inc. IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE January 18-19, 2007 St. Petersburg,](https://reader034.fdocuments.net/reader034/viewer/2022042714/551480eb550346ea6e8b4986/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
presented by
David L. Patton, P.E.
Current Trends in Renewable Energy:Current Trends in Renewable Energy:
R. W. Beck, Inc.
IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE
January 18-19, 2007 St. Petersburg, FL
Tangible and Intangible BenefitsTangible and Intangible Benefits
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Which Renewable Candidates are Realistic Now?Which Renewable Candidates are Realistic Now?
Wind Biomass Fuel Cells Geothermal Hydro Ocean (Tidal, OTEC) Solar (PV, Thermal)
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Renewable Energy Capacity Trend,1999 - 2006Renewable Energy Capacity Trend,1999 - 2006
Geothermal
Solar
Wind
Biomass (Total)
Wood/Wood Waste
MSW/Landfill Gas
Other Biomass
Source: U.S. DOE EIA, August 2005YearYear
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity,
MW
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity,
MW
00
20002000
40004000
60006000
80008000
10,00010,000
12,00012,000
20002000 20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 20052005 20062006
14,00014,000
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U.S. Renewable Electric Generating Capacity 2005U.S. Renewable Electric Generating Capacity 2005
Nuclear8%
Renewables6%
Solar1%
Wind2%
Geothermal5%
Conventional Hydroelectric
46%
Biomass46%
Petroleum Fuels40%
Natural Gas23%
Coal23%
Source: U.S. DOE EIA, January 2007
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Wind Energy – Tangible BenefitsWind Energy – Tangible Benefits
No Fuel Price Uncertainty
No Fuel Cost
Low Operating Cost
Relatively Less Complex
Mature Wind Turbine Technologies
Addresses Environmental Issues
Lease Payments Support Family Farms
Government Financial Incentives & Grants
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U.S. Annual Average Wind Resources MapU.S. Annual Average Wind Resources Map
Source: NREL
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U.S. Annual Wind GeneratingCapacity: Installed and ProjectedU.S. Annual Wind GeneratingCapacity: Installed and Projected
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
2250
2500
2750
3000
1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
MW
Inst
alle
d D
uri
ng
Yea
r
Source: U.S. DOE Wind Energy Program and AWEA
2007 (projected)
3250
3500
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Biomass Energy – Tangible BenefitsBiomass Energy – Tangible Benefits
Lower Fuel Costs
Addresses Environmental Issues
Domestic Sources
Local Economic Benefits
Mature Biomass/Biogas Process Technologies
Government Financial Incentives & Grants
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Biomass Resource AvailabilityBiomass Resource Availability
Biomass Fuel for Generation is Widespread Within Most States
States with Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) / Goals
MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, DC
Source: NREL and PEW Center, Global Climate Change
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States with Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) / GoalsStates with Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) / Goals
Source: NREL and PEW Center, Global Climate Change
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Intangible Benefits – All RenewablesIntangible Benefits – All Renewables
Positive Public Image
Desire for Diversified Portfolio
Public Support/Perception
Political Support
Greenhouse Gas Drivers
Energy Independence / Security
Offset Emissions from “Dirtier” Energy Sources
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RPS Goals vs. Renewable StatusRPS Goals vs. Renewable Status
RPS Year
RPS / Goal*
Arizona 2025 15%
California 2010 20%
Colorado 2015 10%
Connecticut 2010 10%
Delaware 2019 10%
District of Columbia 2022 11%
Hawaii 2020 20%
Illinois* 2013 8%
Iowa 2007 105 MW
Maine 2000 30%
Maryland 2019 7.5%
Massachusetts 2009 4.0%
Source: U.S. DOE EIA & PEW Central Global Climate Change, December 2006
* As a percent of state generation or actual generation / use.
RPS Year
RPS / Goal*
Minnesota 2015 10%
Montana 2015 15%
Nevada 2015 20%
New Jersey 2021 22.5%
New Mexico 2011 10%
New York 2013 24%
Pennsylvania 2020 18%
Rhode Island 2020 15%
Texas 2015 5,880 MW
Vermont 2012 10%
Washington 2020 15%
Wisconsin 2015 10%
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SummarySummary
Realistic Renewable Candidates
Renewable Energy Capacity Trends
Recent Renewable Capacity
Wind Energy – Tangible Benefits
Biomass Energy – Tangible Benefits
Intangible Benefits – All Renewables
RPS Goals
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Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030 (billion kilowatt hours) Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030 (billion kilowatt hours)
00
10001000
20002000
30003000
40004000
19801980 19901990 20052005 20202020 20302030
NuclearNuclear
RenewablesRenewables
CoalCoal
Natural GasNatural Gas
PetroleumPetroleum
History Projections
Source: U.S. DOE EIA
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ConclusionsConclusions
Biomass and Wind are Currently the Most Commercially Realistic Renewables
25,000 to 50,000 Megawatts New Renewable Energy Capacity Nationwide in Next Decade
Policy Consistency and Continuity
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QuestionsQuestions
David L. Patton, P.E.R. W. Beck, Inc.
(508) 935-1811
David L. Patton, P.E.R. W. Beck, Inc.
(508) 935-1811
IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE