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Transcript of Predictive Analytics DemoScript
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DOCUMENT CLASSIFICATION: INTERNAL AND PARTNER
General Information: Industry Name – Retail
Application – SAP Predictive Analysis
Country or Global - Global
A th I817248
DEMO SCRIPTRetail
Reward Customer Loyaltywith SAP Predictive Analysisand SAP Business Objects
Dashboards
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© COPYRIGHT 2014 SAP AG. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or for any purpose without the express
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N ti l d t ifi ti
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Demo Script Overview .........................................................................................................4
1.1.
Demo Description .................................................................................................................................... 4
1.2. Intended audience ................................................................................................................................... 4
1.3. Protagonists ............................................................................................................................................ 4
1.4 Key Messages and Value Proposition ..................................................................................................... 4
2. Technical Requirements ......................................................................................................5
2.1. Prerequisites/Restrictions ........................................................................................................................ 5
2.2. System Access Information ..................................................................................................................... 5
2.2.1. System Landscape ..................................................................................................................... 5
2.2.2. System Access ........................................................................................................................... 5
2.2.3. Users .......................................................................................................................................... 5
2.2.4.
Languages Supported ................................................................................................................ 6
2.3. Release for Used Components ............................................................................................................... 6
3. Demo Script .........................................................................................................................7
3.1. Story Flow ............................................................................................................................................... 7
3.2 Step-By Step Guide................................................................................................................................. 8
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DEMO SCRIPT OVERVIEW
1.1. DEMO DESCRIPTION
This demo shows how a national retailer is able to quickly evaluate customer and sales data to retain key customers byrewarding their loyalty. The retailer uses SAP Predictive Analysis to create customer segmentations, identify the mostloyal and profitable customers, and develop targeted promotions..
1.2. INTENDED AUDIENCE
Please select for which audience this demo script is intended by selecting the appropriate boxes below.
Retailers
CPG
1.3. PROTAGONISTS
Marketing Analyst/Managers
1.4. KEY MESSAGES AND VALUE PROPOSITION
SAP Predictive Analysis:
• Determine hidden purchase relationships between products
• Optimize customer segmentation
• Visualize large amounts of data quickly• Improve up-sell and cross-sell success with stronger relationship definition• Identify traffic drivers and affinity products from transaction history
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TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS
2.1 PREREQUISITES/RESTRICTIONS
The software licensing requirements are needed to implement this solution are:SAP BusinessObjects Enterprise 4.0 SAP BusinessObjects Dashboard Design (Xcelsius)SAP BusinessObjects Web IntelligenceSAP Predictive AnalysisSAP JAM
Please download and install the latest SAP BusinessObjects Mobile App:
Launch App Store and search “SAP BusinessObjects Mobile” and you will see the App Install the app
2.2 SYSTEM ACCESS INFORMATION
2.2.1 System Landscape
System Landscape, this Process is built in
SAP Demo Cloud
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2.2.3 Languages Supported
Please select the standard languages in which this demo is available (i.e. translated into).
English PortugueseGerman Japanese
French Simplified Chinese
Spanish Korean
2.3 RELEASE FOR USED COMPONENTS
Software Component Release Support Pack
SAP Predictive Analysis1.0.9
SAP BusinessObjects Mobile4.4
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DEMO SCRIPT
3.1 STORY
1) It is close to quarter end, Jack Lee, Operations Director at BestRun Retailer, notices from his Dashboard thatsales will not meet target would like to run some promotions to increase sales. They would like to identify themost profitable customers and their purchase preference, in order to reward their loyalty and promote cross-sell opportunities.
2) Lead Analyst, Mike starts with high level visualization of where their customers are and their demographicinformation.
3) To gain more insight, Mike uses Clustering to perform customer segmentation. He discovers a small cluster ofcustomers that had made relatively high amount and item in purchases. They are also younger, more affluentcustomers.
4) Mike zooms in this specific group of customers, he also notices that most of them made last purchase only 1week ago. This looks like the loyal, profitable customers they want to target. Mike also discovers that thesecustomers make purchases online.
5) Mike exports the segmentation result to a CSV file.
6) Mike now needs to figure out what items can be offered in the promotion to this group of customers. He
conducts an association run for market analysis. Mike concludes that focusing on the cross-sell relationship
between these items would lead to the a win-win situation for both Best Run and its loyal customers.
7) Best Run sends special promotional ‘online’ offers to this group of customers. The promotion is a success,
along with other actions that management has taken, Best Run closes out the quarter above target. In
addition, due to analysis done in SAP Predictive Analysis, Best Run is now able to track their top customers ‘s
KPI on a ongoing basis. Best Run is also able to create individual view of their most loyal customers’ activities
and metrics. This dashboard can also viewed on a mobile device. Team members can collaborate using SAP
Jam to quickly create personalized offers.
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3.2 STEP-BY STEP GUIDE
3.2.1 Install SAP BusinessObjects Mobile App on iPad
Step 1.0 Download and install SAP BusinessObjects Mobile App on iPad
What To Do What to Say (include necessary Screenshots)
Launch SAP BusinessObjects Mobile app oniPad and connect to the BI platform, refer to 2.1.
User name: smithjo
Password: welcome
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3.2.2 Demo
What to say
It is close to quarter end, It is close to quarter end, Jack Lee, Operations Director at Best Run, reviews his Sales Performance Dashboard. He
notices that Total Sales is not going to meet target.
Though HANA is not directly used for tstoring the back end data displayed on these dashboard, you can easily talk here about what HANA can bring
to your customers/prospects
When used as a transactional or Datawarehousing platform, SAP HANA provides on-the-fly analysis for all combinations of data. You can make
immediate decisions using real-time operational analytics whether the data comes from your SAP® applications, third-party solutions, or custom
applications.
Big Data Warehousing:
SAP HANA unleashes the potential of Big Data with its ability to handle large volumes and a variety of structured and unstructured data in real-time.
Build a data warehouse integrated with Hadoop or easily migrate your existing SAP NetWeaver Business Warehouse (BW) to SAP HA NA and make
decisions within the window of opportunity.
What To Do What to Say (include necessary Screenshots)
Save swf files customerloyalty.swf and customer Analtycis.swf to your local drive.
First open the customer Loyaltyswf file.
Present the dashboard, firstshowcase its functionality suchas displaying a secondarychart.
Click on the ‘*’ next to PromoSales
Jack is able to view metrics such as sales, inventory, top products on the Sales Performance dashboard. Thisparticular dashboard is develped in LAVA (Lightweighted Applied Visual Analytics), the newest approach toanalytics visualization developed by SAP. It is simple and systematic. Jack is able to view a secondary chart bytapping on the ‘*’ when he would like to get additional information.
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Then point at the sign nextto Total Sales chart. And pointout the downward trendpresented the blue line which isactual sales
Jack notices the red alert signals next to the Total sales and net sales metrics. It seems that sales for this quarteris not meeting target.
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The same dashboard can beviewed on the SAPBusinessObjects Mobile App oniPad.
Open Mobile BI followinstructions described in 2.2.2system access portion of thescript.
logon with below account:
smithjo/welcome
Tap on
Lava Dashboard works on mobile devices too. When Jack is outside of his office, he can easily review the samedashboard on his iPad and make the same observations.
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Tap on Retail from the list under‘Server’.
And tap on
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What to say
Jack realizes that they need to run some promotions to increase sales.
One of the action items is to identify the most profitable customers and their purchase preference, in order to reward their loyalty and promote cross-sell
opportunities. Best Run will utilize SAP Predictive Analysis.
Use also this opportunity to discuss SAP HANA advantages for PA:
SAP HANA is a fully ACID compliant, in-memory, columnar, massively parallel processing platform that provides common database for online transactional
processing (OLTP) and online analytical processing (OLAP), eliminating redundancy and latency. It also unifi es end-to-end data processing with search,
text, geospatial and predictive analytics on top of the in-memory columnar foundation, further extending the benefit of redundancy and latency elimination toall data processing workloads. SAP HANA provides a powerful suite of predictive, spatial, and text analytics librairies that can run across multiple data
sources. Visualize new opportunities and gain deep insights with unified analysis of all of data types.
SAP HANA also enables real-time prescriptive analytics by reducing layers of processing and accelerating complex computations required for scheduling
and simulations.
What To Do What to Say (include necessary Screenshots)
Start SAP Demo Cloud CSA(Green Phoenix) Showroom and
Click on Desktop.
You should see a Predictive Analysis icon once remotedesktop starts.
Save Excel file first to thedesktop drive.Note: You can obtain the Excelfile from the same place in SAP
Demo Store where you downloadthis demo script.
At next screen, click on ‘NewDocument’
Mike, Lead Analyst of BestRun, starts his analysis by opening SAP Predictive Analysis and beginning a “NewDocument”.
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Click on
Select Retail.xlsx from your localdrive and select sheet:Customers.
And click on Create
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Click on “Prepare ” tab
Move to “Facets” view of the data
Mike uses data from customer table, which contains customer demographic information gathered from loyalty cardprogram and transcations information. He can view the “Facets” view of our data, which provides the frequencies of thedifferent values for our variables.
Click on icon next to“Income” Column.
Select sort from the drop downmenu and choose Sort dimensiondescending
In Facet view, Mike can directly sort to view the values of each varialbe. For instance, he click on the sort button forIncome and notices that the highest income of the customers is $307064 and there is one customer with that amount ofincome.
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Click on “Visualize” tab
Click on next to Dimension“Region”
Select “create a geographichierarchy” and click on “ByNames”
Predictive Analysis has visualization and graphing capabilities built right into the modelling tool, so there is no need tomove between programs when Mike conducts his analysis. Mike would like to perform some high level analysis first.He starts with a Geo chart to gain a high level view of the customers.
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Click on Confirm.
Click on OK
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Choose Geo Choropleth Chart
Drag and drop the Region fromHierarchies to the Geographyportion of the chart.
Drag Customer_Sum fromMeasures to Value portion of thechart.
Mike is able to tell right away that California and Midwest states have the highest number of customers. And he alsonotices the states with very light colors, these are the states with fewer customers.
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Change to “Geo Pie chart”
Drag Time Last Purchase Madeto Overlay Data
Mike can get an additional layer view of the data quickly by adding Time last purchase made to the same chart.
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Click on share tab.
Select the visualization and clickon “Send visualization by mail”
Mike can share this visualization in one click via email with his colleagues.
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Click on “Predict” tab
Drag and drop R-K-Meansalgorithm to the workspace
The Geo map chart provides a high level overview; but does not provide the in depth analysis needed to identify the mostloyal customers. To conduct advanced analysis, Mike moves to the Designer area of SAP Predictive Analysis to set upthe workflow needed for his analysis.
First, Mike would like to run a Clustering Algorithem to segment the customers.
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Double click on R-K-Means iconto Configure Properties.
First Check
Then uncheck these twovariables:
Customer numberPostal code
Set cluster number to 8
And click on
Click on on top right of window to run analysis.He starts the analysis and clicks Yes to proceed to view the result. And then proceed to Visualization area when he receives the run success window.
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Click on icon thebottom corner of the Result view.
Customers are segmented into 8 groups. Mike notices clusters 1, 2, 6 and 8, these clusters all have high density, whichmeans customers within each of these groups share very similar characteristics.
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Select the scatter matrix chart
in the result view.
Mike observes that cluster 1 consists only of the younger age group.
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Click on
Select the component
From the top of the window.
Select bubble chart.
Click on the down arrow next to
the following measures to select Average for each measure.o # of purchases last 6
monthso Ageo CreditScoreo Total purchase lifetimeo Total items purchased
last 6 months
Mike now switches to Visualize mode to get a better understanding of the segmentation result.He would like to know the purchasing pattern for each cluster. He starts with a bubble chart.
Mike notices the big bubble that is apart from the rest of bubbles. Based on the legend, this bubble represents cluster 1customers. It seems that cluster 1 customers have the highest lifetime purchase amount, and highest number of totalitems purchased in the last 6 months.
Note: Cluster number is assigned randomly when you run th is a lgor i thm. It might not be cluster #2 when you
run th is in PA . Please note the cluster wi th the least numb er of records; th is is the cluster that wi l l be used in
the fo l lowing steps.
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Then set up the bubble chart asshown on right.
Select “Combined column linechart with 2Y- Axes”
Next, Mike introduces some demographic variables to the analysis and discovers that cluster 1 customers are a younger
group of customers with high credit scores. This is definitely the type of customers that retailers would like to target.
And enter setting as below:
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And enter setting as below:
Select “Tag cloud” for your
visualization now.
Enter setting as below:
Next, Mike conducts analysis on this cluster customer alone. First, he creates a tag cloud chart to check their buying
frequency and most recent buying period. It turns out most of them made a purchase pretty recently, ranging from 1week ago to 6 month ago. And they purchased relatively high amount of popular items –as indicated by the colorintensity of the words. It seems that Mike has found the loyal customers he is searching for. However, Mike alsonoticed that more customers in this cluster made last purchase 1 month ago, so they could be at the verge ofabandonment.
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Click on “Add filter” at the top ofthe window.
Select cluster number for addingfilter from the drop down menu.
Choose cluster number 1 andclick on “OK”
Click on “Pie Chart” Now that Mike has found the loyal customers he is searching for he needs to understand how they purchase Mike uses
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Click on Pie Chart
Enter setting as below:
Leave ClusterNumber filter infounchanged.
Now that Mike has found the loyal customers he is searching for, he needs to understand how they purchase. Mike usesa pie chart and discovers that 77% of them shopped online. This fits the younger, affluent customers’ shopping pattern.
Click on TabMike would like to export the segmentation result to a file. He chooses to export as a CSV file. This output assignscluster number to each customer record.
Drag and drop CSV writer from
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Drag and drop CSV writer fromthe data writers tab on the rightside of the window.
Double click on the CSV writer toconfigure its properties.
Enter path and file name youwant the export to be.
Click on Done.
Select Run to execute theanalysis
When the execution statusprompt window appears click on“OK”
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Click on tab
Click on “New Data Set”
Choose the same file and selectthe Transactions sheet.
Click on “Create”.
Click on tab.
Drag and drop “R- Apriori” fromthe algorithms tab to theworkspace
Now Mike needs to decide what items can be used to reward this group of loyal customers and address the potentialabandonment issue. He conducts a R-Apriori Association analysis for basket analysis. The apriori algorithm will output a
set of rules representing cross-sell or up-sell relationships. First, Mike selects the item column to be “product”, as he
wants to start by conducting his analysis at the product level. Next, Mike selects transaction ID column to be “trans”.
“Support” is the minimum percentage of t ransactions in our data that need to contain items from the categories that we
are analyzing. If we are looking at the purchase relationship between categories A and B with a support level of 5%, then
greater than 5% of the purchases must contain products from categories A & B. Mike sets this value at “0.05”.
“Confidence” is the liklihood that a customer will purchase from category B given they have purchased A, in essence what
percent of transactions that contain A also contain B. Mike sets this value at “0.1”. Now he can save and run his market
basket analysis.
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D bl li k th l ith t
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Double click on the algorithm toconfigure its properties.
Configure the settings as shownin the figure.
Click on “Done”.
Click on “Run” to execute thel i
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analysis.
When the execution statusprompt window appears click on“OK”
Select the “Association chart”from the result view.
Mike will get a notification that his analysis has been successfully executed, and he will be able to see the relationshipsbetween his purchases.
Now he can evaluate the results of our analysis with the provided purchase relationships. The “PreRule” productcategories on the far left are the traffic driver products. The “PostRule” product categories are affinity products, basketbuilders that are most often purchased with something else. The “Lift” value on the far r ight is the one number used toevaluate these relationships as cross-sell or up-sell opportunities, the higher the better. Generally a “Lift” value over 1 isconsidered a viable opportunity.
The basket analysis results suggests that customers usually buy collection pencil skirt when they shop for chiffon tops
and suede pumps. Mike concludes that focusing on the cross-sell relationship between these items would lead to the a
win-win situation for both Best Run and its loyal customers.
Since Mike has exported the segmentation result already, in the output table, each record is assigned a cluster number.
He can easily identify cluster #1 customer and email them an ‘online special offer of ‘buy 1 chiffon top, get 1 collection
pencil skirt 75% off’.
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Open the Sales Performancedashboard again Click on
The promotion is a success, along with other actions that management has taken, Best Run closes out the quarter abovetarget In addition due to analysis done in SAP Predictive Analysis Best Run is now able to track their top customers ‘s
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dashboard again. Click onScenario 3 tab on the top rightcorner.
Click on ALL next to CUSTOMERpoint out the upward trend inTotal Sales chart.
target. In addition, due to analysis done in SAP Predictive Analysis, Best Run is now able to track their top customers sKPI on a ongoing basis.
Click on TOP In addition, due to analysis done in SAP Predictive Analysis, Best Run is now able to track their top customers ‘s KPI ona ongoing basis. They have created a Top filter specifically to track metrics related to this group of customers.
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a ongoing basis. They have created a Top filter specifically to track metrics related to this group of customers.
The same dashboard can beaccessed on iPad by followingthe instructions outlined earlierfor
The same dashboard is aviliable on iPad for consumption out of office.
Open Customer Analytics swf file to showcase the various
Best Run is also able to create individual view of their most loyal customers’ activities and metrics. And take immediateaction to retain/reward these customers. Team members can collaborate using SAP Jam to quickly create personalized
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metrics tracked for the individualcustomer. Also mention that SAPJam can be utilize forcollaboration.
g q y poffers.
The same dashboard can beaccessed on iPad by followingthe instructions outlined early.In this case, tap on
The exact same dashboard can be viewed on an iPad.