Powertrain Strategies for the 21st Century: Revolution … Strategies for the 21st Century:...
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Transcript of Powertrain Strategies for the 21st Century: Revolution … Strategies for the 21st Century:...
Powertrain Strategies for the 21st Century:Revolution and Evolution
Chief Engineer
July 22nd, 2015
John Shutty
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 2
Agenda
� BorgWarner Company Background
� Forecasts and Technology Trends
� Advanced Components for Fuel Economy
� Outlook
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 3
BorgWarner at a Glance
� 2014 Sales: $8.3 Billion ($9B unconsolidated)
� Employees: 22,000
� Operations: 58 Locations
19 Countries
� Products: Engine, Transmission and Driveline systems
� Market Drivers: Fuel Economy, Emissions, Performance
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 4
Customer and Geographic Diversity
*NSK-Warner included** NSK-Warner excluded
EuropeAsiaAmericas ~27%*
~30%*~43%*
29%**26%**45%**
VW/Audi 11%
Daimler 6%
Ford 4%
Renault 3%
BMW 3%
Fiat 2%
PSA 1%
GM 1%
Commercial 2%Vehicles
Other 11%
Hyundai/Kia 6%
Toyota 4%
Nissan 1%
Honda 1%
China 13%
Other 5%
Ford 8%
Chrysler 5%
GM 3%
Asian OEMs 2%
Commercial 4%Vehicles
Other 5%
2015 Sales Outlook*
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 5
Where Advanced Engineering fits…
Julie WattsSenior Executive Assistant
Scott GallettVice President
Marketing & Public Relations
John GasparovicVice President
General Counsel & Secretary
Kim JenettVice President
Human Resources
Thermal Systems
Emissions Systems
Transmission Systems
Tom TanPresident
BorgWarner China
James VerrierPresident and Chief Executive Officer
Ron HundzinskiVice President,
Chief Financial Officer
Turbo Systems
Morse TEC
Chris ThomasVice President
Chief Technology Officer
TorqTransferSystems
Advanced Engineering
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 6
Corporate Advanced Engineering - Functions
Core FunctionsActivities which support
the goals of BUs and BW Corporate, but are not
tied to a specific product or technology offering.
BU SupportDemonstrating advanced BU technologies which
require system integration for maximum
benefit. Internal resource for sim. & controls work.
System Engineering
ProjectsInvestigating new operating
regimes and system configurations to identify product
and technology trends which cross BU boundaries.
New Product DevelopmentDevelopment of new
market leading products/technologies that do not currently fit into an
existing BU.
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 7
Diversification: Many solutions will be required for the future
• Strategy used to mitigate risk• A way to deal with uncertainty
% o
f 20
14 V
ehic
les
mee
ting
futu
re r
egul
atio
n
Risk & UncertaintySource: 2014 EPA Trends Report
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 8
Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Segments
Range ExtendedElectric Vehicle
BatteryElectric Vehicle
Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)+ Electrification
Electric Motor+ ICE
Electric MotorOnly
HYBRID ELECTRIC “HEV”
Mild HEVParallel
Full HEVParallel/Series
Toyota Prius
ELECTRIC DRIVE
% of Total LV2020 ~1%2025 ~2%
% of Total LV2020 ~47%2025 ~50%
% of Total LV2020 ~2%2025 ~9%
% of Total LV2020 ~5%2025 ~6%
INCREASING ELECTRIFICATION
Nissan LeafBMW 328i Buick Regal eAssist
ENHANCED ICE
Stop/Start
Source: IHS Automotive, BorgWarner forecasts (January 2015)
GM Chevy Volt
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 9
I.C. Engines will continue through 2025
Source: BorgWarner forecasts, IHS Automotive (January 2015)
What technology will be in the IC Engine of the
future?
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 10
Light-weighting Cost Reduction Fuel Diversification
Downsizing and boosting
Downspeeding Emissions Reduction
Electrification Stop/Start 48 Volts Thermal Management
Powertrain Trends
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 11
53.572.4
89.6
103.8
2015E 2020E
17.6 21.23.6
15.9
89.6
103.8
2015E 2020E
2.0 3.79.4 13.0
32.432.8
6.410.8
89.6
103.8
2015E 2020E
Fuel Economy Driving Component Growth
Global light vehicle industry volumes; units in millions (January 2015)* CAGRs are shown in parentheses
Fuel Economy
LV Transmissions
19.3 22.1
15.628.5
89.6
103.8
2015E 2020E
LV VCT Systems
(3%)*Diesel(13%)* Gasoline
(6%)* VCT Systems
LV EGR Systems
LV Turbocharged Systems
Diesel (4%)*Gasoline (35%)*
DCT (11%)*
CVT (7%)*AMTs and EVTs (13%)*
Step ATs (1%)*
Manual Transmissions
Non-EGR Non-VCT
Non-Turbocharged
11
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 12
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
2.5
25.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
2.3
4.3
29.9
0 M 5 M 10 M 15 M 20 M 25 M 30 M 35 M 40 M
Turbo- &Supercharging
Super-charging
eTURBO
eBOOSTER
Multiturbo
Turbo-charging
units 2030
units 2025
Boo
stin
g2025 / 2030 Technology Projections
Source: BorgWarner forecasts, Schlegel & Partners
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 13
Exh
aust
Rec
ircul
atio
n
0.3
5.1
4.7
8.5
1.1
4.3
5.8
12.3
0 M 5 M 10 M 15 M 20 M 25 M 30 M 35 M 40 M
Dedicated EGR(Gasoline)
HP-EGR(Diesel)
Dual Loop(Diesel)
Cooled EGR(Gasoline)
units 2030
units 2025
2025 / 2030 Technology Projections
Source: BorgWarner forecasts, Schlegel & Partners
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 14
Timing system
EGR cooler
Control module
Clutch module
AWD coupling
R2Sturbocharger
Gasoline ignition coils
FXD
VCT
Timing chain
Fans/fan drive
Solenoid
Friction
Transfer case
Turbocharger
Diesel cold start
Expanding Component Set for Fuel Economy
Wet clutch for manual transmissions
Exhaust heat recovery system
eBOOSTER®turbocharger
EcoFlash® high frequency ignition
Permanently Engaged Starter
Variablevalvetrain
Eco-Launch TM
solenoid valve
Cabin heater for EVs
ePhaser
Copyright © 2015 BorgWarner Inc. 15
What will the Future Hold for the I.C. Engine?
1. There is an exciting future for the IC Engine2. All eggs wont be in one basket, a diverse range of strategies will be used3. Joint effort from OEMs, Suppliers, and Governments working together