Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic...

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Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Transcript of Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic...

Page 1: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Ports as strategic assets

Olaf Merk

ESPO Annual Conference

2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Page 2: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Ports are strategic assets

… for a stronger, greener, fairer, smarter Europe

• A powerful geopolitical tool

• Catalyst for climate change mitigation

• Generator of employment and social cohesion

• A testing bed for innovation

Within a dynamic global-local interaction

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Page 3: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Ports as catalysts for climate mitigation

Could ports be the tail that wags the dog?

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Page 4: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Strategic climate change incentives by ports

Three levers: dues, concessions, berth allocation

Port dues:– Lower port dues if ship reduced speed in territorial waters (Long Beach)

– Not only local pollutants, also carbon (Sweden): adapt criteria ESI, GreenAward

– Not only bonus, also malus. So more coordination between ports needed

Port concessions and procurement:– Carbon emissions as one of criteria for port concessions (terminals, towage).

– Related: carbon targets for EU funding of port infrastructure

Berth allocation: – Clean ship jumps queue (Panama)

Put such incentives in IMO 2018 Initial GHG Strategy

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Page 5: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Ports as a strategic geopolitical tool to…

• …prioritise own and strategic supply chains

(preferential berthing)

• …block supply chains of foreign nations (via

port closures or more subtle measures)

• …provide services to naval vessels

(provisioning, bunkering, ship repair)

Becoming increasingly relevant in current context

(“We are on our own now” – Angela Merkel)

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Page 6: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Ports and geopolitics: current state

• Growing divergence of Chinese participation in

EU ports and EU participation in Chinese ports

• Emerging ambition of Chinese state-owned

companies in foreign terminal operations.

• Asymmetry in allowed foreign ownership

shares

• Privatisation of port authority functions

• Increased inter-relation of carriers and

terminals (and terminal joint ventures)

obfuscating matters

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Page 7: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Growing divergence

Chinese state-owned capacity in EU: 8.6 mln TEU

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2003 2016

Private China State-owned China

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2003 2016

Private EU State-owned EU

Chinese terminal stakes in Europe European terminal stakes in China

Source: ITF/OECD elaborations based on Drewry

Page 8: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Asymmetry foreign ownership shares

No European majority stakes in Chinese ports

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Chinese terminal stakes in Europe European terminal stakes in China

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 2 4 6 8

Terminal capacity (mln TEUs) Terminal capacity (mln TEUs)

Source: ITF/OECD elaborations based on Drewry

Page 9: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Vertical integration (carriers-terminals)

Carrier-owned terminals have 38% market share of terminal capacity

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Other

GTOs

Carriers

Source: ITF/OECD elaborations based on Drewry

Page 10: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Horizontal integration

Top 4 carriers have 50% market share of container ship capacity

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Market

sh

are c

on

tain

er l

ines (

%)

Top 4 Top 10

Source: ITF/OECD elaborations based on data from Alphaliner

Page 11: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Links between carriers and terminals

• Will carrier consolidation lead to trend of ports

replacing multi-user terminals with carrier-

driven terminals because they “bring cargo”?

• So an easy target for quickly expanding

carrier-driven terminal operators?

• Acquisition of even a small share in a carrier

could give a foreign state a majority share in

the terminals owned by the carrier

• E.g. CMA CGM and Terminal Link

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Page 12: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

How to be more strategic?

• Reciprocity in market access to port operations?

• Are ports less strategic than airline sector? They

have maximum 49% foreign ownership.

• A list of strategic regulatory port functions that

should not be privatised?

• Towards a network of global ports essential to

EU supply chains or naval interests? Network

formed by the foreign stakes of EU public ports

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Page 13: Ports as strategic assets - European Sea Ports Organisation 1 Olaf Merk.pdf · Ports as strategic assets Olaf Merk ESPO Annual Conference 2 June 2017, Barcelona, Spain

Thank you!

Olaf Merk

[email protected]

Twitter: @o_merk