POLENERGIA Management Presentation · 4 Polenergia1is already functioning as mid-sized integrated...
Transcript of POLENERGIA Management Presentation · 4 Polenergia1is already functioning as mid-sized integrated...
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March 2014
POLENERGIA
Management Presentation(potential expansion of activity as informed as of February 13, 2014, RB 3/2014)
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Senior managament
Highly motivated management team with great track r ecord
Anna Kwarcińska, Vice President PEP, Vice President Polenergia (CFO)
• PEP Vice-President since 2003• Previously Manager at Arthur Andersen Poland• English Philology at Adam Mickiewicz University in
Poznań, Management and Administration of the Warsaw University and MBA at University of Illinois and INSEAD Executive Certificate in Global Management
Michał Kozłowski, Vice President PEP, Vice President Polenergia (Wind Portfolio)
• PEP Vice-President since 2005• Previously Vice-President of Polska Grupa Gospodarki
Odpadami, Manager at Deloitte & Touche• Economics and Sociology at the University of Łódź,
MBA at Oxford Brookes University, Chartered Certified Accountant (ACCA)
Arkadiusz Zieleźny , Vice President of Polenergia, CEO of Polenergia Trading
• Vice President of Polenergia since 2011• Previously worked as Managing Director at Alpiq
Energy Spółka Europejska (formerly Atel Polska) and at PSEG Polska and Enron
• Warsaw School of Economics, TiasNimbas Business School, MBA at Purdue University
Bart Dujczyński, Investment Director (KI), Vice President of Polenergia
• Vice President of Polenergia since 2012• Previously worked at Oaktree Capital Management and
Utilities and Infrastructure team at Rothschild and PwC. At KI since 2009 as Investment Director London/Warsaw
• King’s College, University of London, Chartered Accountant (ACA), MBA from Booth Business School, University of Chicago
Jacek Głowacki, CEO of Polenergia, Managing Director of Polenergia
• CEO of Polenergia since 2012 • Previously Vice-President of the Management Board
of Ashmore Energy Int, CEO of the Nowa Sarzyna CHP plant, Managing Director Kulczyk Holding
• Science and Technology in Kraków, MBA from Booth Business School, University of Chicago
Zbigniew Prokopowicz, CEO of PEP, Managing Director of Polenergia
• President of the Company’s Management Board since July 2008, executive chairman since 2004 and CEO since 2008
• Previously CEO of Mondi Packaging UK and Ireland, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Opoczno S.A.
• Economics at Paris Dauphine IX University and MBA at Institut Dʼetudes Politiques in Paris
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01010101Overview and investment thesis
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� Polenergia1 is already functioning as mid-sized integrated utility across the electricity value chain with strategic focus on
renewable generation and energy/gas infrastructure, both with healthy, regulated and predictable cash flows and returns
� Generation assets have limited exposure to market prices volatility as their revenues are based on regulatory framework or
secured by PPA/CPA agreements
� Strong growth profile (near term based on onshore wind) leading to a creation of 1.4-2.2GW portfolio across technologies
by 2022
� Experienced team driving disciplined project selection and execution leading to above average returns
Listed, vertically integrated utility offering predictable returns and strong growth profile
Generation DistributionSales /
Trading
Coal
Gas
RES • Operating and
pipeline on-shore
wind assets and
offshore projects
• CHP plant
– infra-like profile
• German-Poland
gas
interconnector
project
• Coal-fired power
plant project
• Specialised distributor
and seller for:
industrials, commercial
buildings and
residential communities
Geographical location
Note1 PEP S.A. is envisaged to be renamed to Polenergia S.A. after the consolidation of energy assets under PEP S.A. umbrella
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Appealing
transaction
structure and
support from
the key
shareholder
• Listed vehicle providing for flexible funding and exit options
• Ability to attract debt financing as well as specialist co-investors at asset level (i.e. for off-shore wind)
• Transparent valuations and corporate governance
• Long-term major shareholder fully supporting the business growth and strategy. Successful track record of co-operationin Poland with global players such as SAB Miller (Brewing), KBC (Insurance), Strabag (Motorways) or Volkswagen (Auto).
Attractive
market
environment
Key investment highlights
Diversified
asset base
with strong
identified
growth
potential
Seasoned
organisation
with sector
and
technology
expertise
• Strong management team with extensive sector expertise at all levels and a strong track record in the Polish market haveto date developed ca. 500MW of onshore wind farms of which 184MW have been retained (including 80MW inoperations, 67MW under constructions and 37MW ready to build) and 302MW have been sold
• Best in class development process ensuring high quality of operating assets and pipeline certainty
• Track record of successfully managing the business during its transformation from single plant venture into multi-technology vertically integrated utility
• Proven ability to transact as well as raise equity and debt financings in various markets
• Presence throughout the value chain with different technologies allowing for flexible market approach
• Predominantly ’infra-like’ operating assets with contracted revenues and limited market risk which will generatepremium return due to supreme operational characteristics
• Significant high-quality onshore pipeline of projects, including 67MW under construction, 37MW ready to build andanother 277MW advanced pipeline with COD by 2016 – all with wind yields above average
• Access to offshore opportunity in Poland – most advanced projects, which will be first farms to be built from within the1.65GW offshore capacity projection by the Polish Government by 2030
• Access to gas transmission development between Poland and Germany
• Continued positive performance of the Polish economy, with expectations of further pickup in economic activity and realGDP growth of 2.9% in 2014 and cumulatively 24% by 2018
• Requirement for significant growth in renewable capacity and new efficient conventional generation in the context of thecurrent Polish fuel mix and capacity replacement needs to meet the Polish renewable target of 19% by 2020 (20% by2021)
• Strong ongoing support from EU with proposed 27% renewable target for 2030 and a 40% reduction of CO2 emissions(from 1990 levels)
• Strong public support for new investments into energy generation and distribution with new regulations to provide solidreturns to sound renewable assets. Stable renewable support legislation giving optimal balance between the greencertificates mechanism and auction feed-in tariff
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PEP Assets
100%
Polenergia Assets
Other Investors
(mainly pension funds)
60.51% 39.49%
PEP SA is listed on WSE1
Group structure
Generation & Fuels
Distribution & Transmission
Sales & Trading
Polenergia
Trading
Elektrociepłownia
Nowa Sarzyna
Elektrownia
Północ
Offshore
Project
Polenergia
Kogeneracja
Polenergia
Dystrybucja
PEP Pellet
Production
PEP Biomass
(Wińsko)
PEP Onshore
Windfarms
PEP
Cogeneration
Company overview
Ex Ante: Group Structure Pre Merger
The company will be established by consolidation of two groups:
− PEP (Polish Energy Partners) –Warsaw-listed renewables developer and operator, which has been acquired by Polenergia Holding in 2012; and
− Polenergia assets with a focus on gas-fired generation, electricity distribution and sales/trading as well as transmission, renewable and conventional development projects
Both companies have progressed with operational merger in 2013 and plan to legally combine in H2 2014 as part of this Transaction via the contribution of Polenergiaassets into PEP
The combined group will remain listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange
Operationally merged
Note1 PEP S.A. is envisaged to be renamed to Polenergia S.A. after the consolidation of energy assets under PEP S.A. umbrella
Gas
Transmission
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Ex Post: Transaction will create a vertically-integrated utility with impressive
growth story P
ost
me
rge
r
Merged Assets
20-30%
It is intended that PEP with the contribution of assets by Polenergia Holding will issue new capital which will be cash covered by a separate equity issue to existing & new investors so that PH remains the majority shareholder
Other Investors
(mainly pension funds)
After contributing PH assets to PEP, the Company changes its name to Polenergia which intends to remain listed on theWarsaw Stock Exchange
Generation & Fuels
Sales & Trading
Polenergia
Trading
Elektrociepłownia
Nowa Sarzyna
Elektrownia
Północ
Offshore
Project
Polenergia
Kogeneracja
Polenergia
Dystrybucja
PEP Pellet
Production
PEP Biomass
(Wińsko)
PEP Onshore
WindfarmsPEP Cogeneration
Distribution & Transmission
New Entity Name:
POLENERGIA S.A.Polenergia Assets + =
20-30%
Cornerstone Investor
50%+
Gas
Transmission
8
80461
959 959
124
381124
498
300
31
800
300
300
600116
116
31
31800
800
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
2013 Onshore windfarms
2016 Onshore windfarms
Offshore windfarms
Biomass-firedpower plant
ElektrowniaPółnoc
(optional)
2022 Offshore windfarms
2026
� Company plans to intensify development in the RES segment and reach wind power generation capacity of 461 MWe by
2016, and c. 1.3GW (incl. 300MW offshore wind) by 2022
� Current pipeline of 381MW comprise 104MW in construction stage and 277 MW in advanced development
� Furthermore the Company has identified and developed project in other segments that might be launched over the
coming 2-3 years subject to profitability assessment, e.g. gas transmission, coal-fired generation (800MW) or biomass
generation
Tangible capacity development plan focused on Renewable Energy Sources…
204
2,506
Onshore windfarms
Gas-fired CHP
Biomass-firedpower plant
Offshore windfarms1
Planned capacity development (MW)
Coal-fired powerplant (optional)
585
2,206
Note1 Off-shore wind: chart presents capacity attributable to Polenergia (full project capacity is 1,200 MW)
1,406
1,706
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…and an ideal platform for further expansion and opportunistic acquisitions
Unique, independent vertically integrated utility prepared to grow - one of its kind in Poland and the region
An integrated unit across the electricity value chain with strategic focus on renewable energy generation and
energy/gas infrastructure, with healthy, regulated and predictable returns and cash flows
The company will demonstrate significant long term growth based on renewables in a well hedged
diversified fuel mix portfolio
Managed under a very strict operational and cost conscious regime leading to efficiencies versus the state
owned publicly listed utilities
After the transaction, the company will be uniquely positioned on the WSE between large state-owned
energy groups and the few single-asset energy companies
Given the possible market capitalization of the combined entity as well as adequate free float and volume,
the company could be included in the mWIG40 index on the WSE
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02020202Favorable global trends and an attractivemacroeconomic and regulatory backdrop
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120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
2013E 2016E 2019E 2022E
A highly attractive investment environment
…with strong power market growth and support for new capacity
10-year history of sustained GDP growth well above EU and US
average:
− Attractive macro outlook, forecast 3.3% CAGR (‘14-’15F) and cumulatively 24% by 2018
− Resilient economy, the only country in the EU which went
unscathed through the 2009-12 downturn and has not been in recession
− Strong flow of EU funds, planned at ca. €100bn in 2014-2020
Politically stable, open economy with population of 38m people
− Public debt at ca. 50% of GDP1 vs. EU average of 82%
− EU member, but independent and stable currency
− Low corporate tax rate of 19%
High demand for new generation and distribution capacity driven
by:
− Low capacity reserve in the Polish power system
− Decommissioning of obsolete power units
− Significant increase in electricity demand due to low comparative electric energy consumption per capita
Low penetration of RES
− Wind energy density in Poland among the lowest in Europe also in light of 20/20/20 directive
Strong governmental backing for construction of new RES capacity:
− Obligatory share of renewable electricity in retail electricity sales to reach 20% in 2021 (up from 10.4% in 2012)
− EU energy mix guidelines and CO2 emission limits
− New favourable RES law finalised giving long term stability
Electricity consumption Obsolete generation capacity
Source EIU
+27.1TWh (+20%)
12,0% 12,6%
9,8% 11,0%
30,7% 32,0%
47,5% 44,5%
Boilers Turbine sets
up to 10 years 10 - 20 years20 - 30 years more than 30 years
77%78%
Source EIA Source UOKiK and ERO, as of Dec 2010
Real GDP per capita growth (%)
Real GDP growth per capita rebased (2000=100)
(6,0%)
(4,0%)
(2,0%)
-
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
2000 2005 2010 2015
80
100
120
140
160
180
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
PL Eurozone US
� Perfect positioning in a leading EU economy with significant growth potential driven by further
infrastructure projects, investments and EU funding
Robust macro trends triggering transformation in the energy market
Note1 Polish public debt calculated according to EU methodology
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Strong state support reflected in the new renewable act
Projects in Operation and in Construction: Green Ce rtificates New Projects: Auction/Feed-in Tariff
Long Term Support Maintained: support for 15 years from date of operation throughFeed-in Tariff in Reverse Auction system giving fixed price contracts for 15 years
Simple Reverse Auction Mechanics:
− Target amount of energy produced in five 3-year settlement periods will beauctioned
– Ministry of Economy will determine every year the Reference Price for eachtechnology taking into account average CAPEX and OPEX for standardizedproject
– only offers with proposed price equal or lower than the Reference Price forgiven technology will be taken into account
– all technologies will be able to participate in the auction mechanism
– pool of offers with lowest prices that meets the volume under given auctionwill be granted contracts based on the winning offer price for 15 years withprice indexed annually (CPI)
Bilateral Contracts permitted: will be able to sell the electricity to anyone, eitherbilaterally or in the market (including group trading companies) with the differencesbetween the price achieved through auction and the market prices (determined basedon TGE quotations) will be settled by a Governmental Agency (contract for difference
mechanism)
Envisaged offshore auctions:
― Dedicated auctions for technologies producing less than 4000 MWh per annum(effectively excluding all technologies except offshore and dedicated biomass)
― Extended construction period to 72 months (allowing for construction of offshorefarms)
Projects in operation and development/construction: Green certificates system isoptional for all projects commissioned before the new RES regulation becomeeffective after notification by EU (expected 1H 2016)
Long Term Support Maintained: 15 years from date of operation, continuation ofGreen Certificates System
High level of Substitution Fee: frozen at c. PLN300/MWh (after indexation in 2014)
Provisions for re-balancing of Green Certificate supply & demand which will lead to
material price recovery:
� Supply: significant limitation of qualification for certificates which willeliminate c.50% of supply through elimination of support for hydro plantsabove 5 MW capacity, and reduction of support for biomass co-firing withbiomass to 0.5 per MWh if share of biomass in fuel mix (calorific value) isbelow 20%
� Demand: renewable obligation target for sales to final customers set at 20% in2016 and determined annually based on the projected amount of electricity tobe generated from RES therefore allowing to balance demand and supply ofgreen certificates. The option to pay the Substitution Fee will be removed inthe event of certificate prices falling in average below 75% of the fee value inthe period of 3 month preceding the obligation fulfilment date. Unfavourabletax treatment of costs resulting from Substitution Fee will be introduced. –this will guarantee that Green Certificates minimum price will not fall below75% of the Substitution Fee.
Bilateral Contracts permitted: New regulations allow to sell certificates under longterm contracts
Option to move to the Auction/Feed-in Tariff system: all projects under the greencertificates system will have the opportunity to move to the feed in tariff through anauction system
� Expected changes in the support system provide
safe cash flows for existing wind farm projects
with attractive IRRs
� Feed in tariff through auction system for new
projects provides fixed price with secured return
and limited market exposure
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New RES regulations - positive impact on Polenergia Group
Current Projects outperformance: green certificates for 15 years of operation provide an attractive and securecash flows for existing wind farms (80MW) and projects in development/construction (381MW) to becommissioned prior to 2016
Flexibility to choose between Systems: opportunity to move to the auction system through the Reverse Auctionif the fixed price contract is more economically beneficial
No price risk for Reverse Auction System: feed in tariff through auction system for new projects will be based onfixed price through the whole support period with limited market risk exposure (no electricity price risk)
Focus on key renewable drivers in Polenergia Group: as the levelised cost of power generated in on-shore windfarms is the lowest, and it is expected to further decrease, this technology (together with biomass) is expected tobe dominant in the new support system. Support for offshore wind farms is expected to be regulated by separatelegislation for projects with commissioning date after 2020 – this is in line with our Business Plan which containsprojects with grid connection terms agreed (we are one of only two players in Poland who have secured gridconnection terms already)
Superior productivity of Polenergia projects will enhance returns: Reference Prices are expected to be set on anaverage IRR 12%. Polenergia portfolio projects have additional advantage of productivity exceeding averageconditions (average load factor > 30%)
Ability to generate trading synergies: additional margin can be achieved through synergies with trading company(Polenergia Obrót) as there is no limitation on who to sell the electricity or certificates to under both systems
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-35,00
-25,00
-15,00
-5,00
5,00
15,00
25,00
35,00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
TWh
Green certificates demand Green certificates supply Green certificates overhang
Green Certificates supply and demand mechanics
� GC overhang will disappear by 2016/17 and supply shortfall in the long term mean that GC will settle at or
close to the level of the substitute fee – this is why it is key to commence building and operating Wind
Farms as soon as possible to take advantage of the GC alternative as part of the new RES law
Growth in supply through Wind is scaled back through specific Supply adjustment mechanism, of which the main two are:
― Large scale Hydro (>5MW) receives no GC from 2015;
― Co-firing limited to 0.5x GC from 2015;
This results in a reversal of the Over Supply by 2014 and a gradual reduction of the GC overhand by 2016-2017
Supply Shortfall
Source: Own calculations based on Confederation Lewiatan model
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The levelised cost of electricity for on-shore wind is already one of the lowest and is
projected to decline even further in the future
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Coal firedNatural gas CCGT
CHPNuclear
Small hydroLarge hydro
Biomass - anaerobic digestionLandfill gas
Geothermal - flash plantBiomass - incinerationMunicipal solid waste
Wind - onshoreGeothermal - binary plant
PV - c-SiBiomass - gasification
PV - c-Si trackingPV - thin film
STEG - tower & heliostat …STEG - parabolic trough
Wind - offshoreFuel cells
STEG - parabolic trough + storageSTEG - tower & heliostat
STEG - LFRMarine - tidal
Marine - wave
Global LCOE range Regional scenarios Q1 2013 central Q2 2013 central
1059861
531
USD/MWH
� Onshore wind represents one of the lowest levelised costs of electricity among all fuel sources and is
expected to decline due to innovation and economies of scale. Levelised cost of energy generation in gas-
and coal fired facilities will increase due to fuel prices and carbon risk
Expected levelised cost of energy - windLevelised cost of energy
Source Levelised cost of electricity update:Source Company
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Coal will decline in the Polish fuel mix and will be replaced by RES…
Rapid development of RES Polish fuel mix (2013A – 2035E)
− Share of RES in power generation in Poland remains relatively low, offering very attractive prospect for development of this market segment in the future
− The demand for RES energy is also strengthened by pan-European targets to reduce long-term energy cost and greenhouse gases emissions by 2020 which have significant impact on the Polish fuel mix but nevertheless coal will remain dominant fuel and price setter for the long term…
− …which in light of CO2 emission limits will cause the black energy prices to increase, and at the same time improving profitability of renewable and efficient new coal, biomass and gas projects which will benefit the company
− Wind will remain the key RES technology driven by attractive wind conditions, falling capex costs and strong state support
− RES levelised cost of electricity is falling therefore reinforcing its competitiveness
� Aim to reduce long-term energy cost and greenhouse gases emissions by 2020 will impact the Polish fuel mix
but nevertheless coal will remain dominant fuel for the long term
2013Total: 162TWh
2035Total: 207TWh
% Total RES share
Source Polish power market scenarios, Energy Market Agency (ARE), December 2013
25.9%54TWh
18.8%39TWh
17.4%36TWh
11.6%24TWh
13.1%27TWh
8.5%18TWh
3.3%7TWh
1.2%3TWh
48.6%79TWh
34.3%56TWh
2.3%4TWh
4.5%7TWh
5.2%8TWh
3.6%6TWh
1.5%2TWh
10.3%17TWh
26.2%54TWh
Hard Coal Lignite NuclearGas Other Biomass&biogassWind onshore Wind offshore Hydro
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…however coal will remain price setting fuel in the merit order
− Current merit order leaves significant price premium for renewable generation, which operates at marginal cost close to zero, allowing for premium profits in a market with the price set by coal
− Low share of renewables and high share of lignite-based generation secures significant reserve capacity, for the price premium to hold in the future.
Renewables Renewables
Coal-generation will remain the price setting technology
Polish merit order curve (December 2035)Polish merit order curve (December 2013)
− Although c. 10GW of renewable capacity is expected to be added by 2035, this still will not be enough to offset the expected raise in demand
− As such, coal will remain the minimum price setter, even in 2035
− In effect, price premium reserved for renewable generation is expected to be secured for the next decades.
Source Company Source Company
� Polenergia sees an opportunity in the high profit margins available for renewable generation. Once the financing is
amortized wind generation will present a zero-cost generation profile and above average profits in the long-run
� Significant new renewable capacity will be added over the next 20 years. Yet, given the projected increase in electricity
demand, renewables will always sit well within the base load part of the merit order and secure profits due to the short run
marginal costs being well below those of price setting technologies, mainly coal
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Polish capacity development (2014-2035)
� Redpoint capacity development forecasts confirm important role of wind offshore in Polish fuel mix
reaching installed capacity at 2.5 GW by 2035
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
Nuclear Hard coal Lignite Gas Other Res Biomass& biogas Wind onshore Wind offshore Hydro
GW
Source Company, December 2013
2.5GW of wind offshore
capacity by 2035
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Global trends are shifting towards RES
� Total share of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in global power generation capacity is expected to grow
from 28% in 2012 to 48% in 2030.
� Share of wind energy is expected to grow to 17%.
28%
48%
17%
WindRES
Source: Company
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Strong government support for offshore
wind in major EU member states
− European offshore wind market is expected to grow at 18.6% CAGR to 29.9 GW by 2020, and further to 71.5 GW in 2030.
− The weighted average levelised cost of electricity is currently EUR 158/MWh, and is expected to decrease by 22% to EUR 128/MWh in 2020.
− The world’s largest offshore wind farm – the London Array (630 MW) was commissioned in 2013, which marks the industry’s transition from smaller scale (100-200 MW) to large scale (300-600 MW) which will populate the market in the future.
− Several of 5-7 MW turbines started the testing phase in 2013, and the largest offshore wind HVDC converter (800 MW) was installed in the North Sea.
Favourable regulatory framework for
offshore wind in Poland
− Marine Areas Act, which sets ground for site permits already in place
− Renewable Energy Sources (RES) Act, which sets ground for renewable energy support system for offshore approved by Komitet Staly (Government Committee), which confirms official position of Polish Government to have 1,65 GW offshore capacity by 2030
− The EU has initiated work on RES targets for 2030, which are expected to be concluded by March 2015.
− It is expected that these targets will give strong support for offshore wind projects because:
− The final targets are may be binding/obligatory for EU member states
− Key EU players, Germany and France are strongly in favour of increasing both RES growth and C02 emission reduction targets from 2020 to 2030
− By that time onshore wind and photovoltaic facilities will reach high density, so the only technology allowing to meet the increased targets will be offshore wind, in particular taking into account its decreasing capex costs over time
1 985 1 6632 539
3 581 3 904
4 847
5 992
7 039
8 008
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
UK Germany China Other
Global offshore wind - capacity additions per annum (MW)
Source: Company
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New projected global capacities will be dominated by RES with large share of wind
Development of installed capacity by source
Source Company
− Globally 69% of the new power generation capacity added between 2012 and 2030 will be from renewable technologies
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Marine
Solar thermal
Small-scale PV
Solar PV
Offshore wind
Wind
EfW
Biomass
Geothermal
Hydro
Nuclear
Oil
Gas
Coal
69%
Installed capacity of wind farms
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
− installed capacity of wind energy in 2030 will reach more than 1,600 GW.
− The dynamic growth of this segment will lead to 17% shareof global capacity.
Off-shore wind farms
On-shore wind farms
Source Company
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Continued capex increase for RES assets
Source Company
� The level of capital expenditure on RES confirms its key position in the global power industry
− Since 2004, there has been an upsurge in global capex on new generation assets producing electricity from RES and continues to stay at a very high annual level of over USD 250 billion in 2013.
55
80
116
167
195 196
262
318
286
254
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Capex for RES assets (USbn)
23
03030303Appendix
24
AAAA Onshore wind assets
Operating Operating Operating Operating assetsassetsassetsassets portfolioportfolioportfolioportfolio
25
Wind farmInstalled
capacity (MW)Load factor (P-
50)COD Turbines Clients
Puck 22 22% 200611 x 2 MW Gamesa G80
hub height: 80m
Łukaszów 34 29%2 201117 x 2 MW Vestas V90 2.0
hub height: 105m
Modlikowice 24 28%2 201112 x 2 MW Vestas V90 2.0
hub height: 105m
Total / Average 1 80 27%
48 39 40 44 40 40
80 74
5249
4839 40 44
172163
0
50
100
150
200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Puck Łukaszów Modlikowice
Onshore wind farms – high quality operational portfolio
Description
− The Company’s key operational wind assets comprise of three on-shore wind farms with total capacity of 80MW: Puck, Modlikowice and Łukaszów
− All three wind farms have long-term PPAs with electricity off-takers
− There are project finance arrangements in all three wind farms with international lenders
Notes
1 Average weighted by installed capacity.2 Projected long-term load factors.
Production (GWh)
26
199
304
382
486
Cumulative
Puck22MW
Łukaszów34MW
Modlikowice24MW
Location and capacity of retained wind farms (MWe)
Skurpie37MW
Rajgród25MW
Gawłowice41MW
177
105
20
22
24
34
41
25
37
2005-2010 2011 2012 2013
Sold Retained Construction stage
Proven track record of successful development of onshore wind farms
− Since early 2000s company has gained significant expertise in wind projects by developing 486 MW of onshore wind capacity (some of them sold at pre-construction stage)
− Three wind farm projects have been retained and are currently in operation
Track record
Operating wind farms
Wind farms under construstion/RTB
27
AAAA Onshore wind assets
Development portfolioDevelopment portfolioDevelopment portfolioDevelopment portfolio
28
Wind farms under construstion/RTB
Tychowo (35MW)
Suwałki (41MW)
Klukowo/Samborsko (105MW)
FW G
Łukaszów (34 MW)
FW K
FW B (53 MW)
Mycielin (48 MW)
Myślino (20MW)
Pągów (51MW)
Puck (22 MW)
FW H
FW C
Dębice/Kostomłoty (45 MW)
FW I
Wartkowo (30MW)
Bądecz (42 MW)
Piekło (12 MW)
FW A
Rajgród (25MW)
Skurpie (37MW)
Gawłowice (41MW)
Grabowo (40 MW)
FW D
FW F
Zielona/Debsk(90MW)
FW M
FW M
FW L
FW J
Onshore wind farm assets
Projects sold after development stage
Projects in advanced development
Operating wind farms
Description
− Leading Polish wind farm development platform with 932MW pipeline
− Great track record of renewable projects developed by a highly experienced team of professionals
− Unique platform to become a significant renewable energy player in the near future
− Renewable energy is and will continue to be highly supported in Poland: obligatory purchase of electricity and granting of green certificates for a 15-year grandfathered scheme. Longer term move to auction system for long term pipeline will also guarantee long term stability
− Gawłowice and Rajgród already have binding long term PPAs in place.
Map of onshore wind assets and development pipeline
Modlikowice (24 MW)
Projects in early development
FW E
Jarogniew/Mołtowo (20MW)
29
498MW498MW 53MW53MW
In earlier stages
of development
In earlier stages
of development
One wind farm
intended for sale
One wind farm
intended for sale
Operating wind projectsOperating wind projects
Construction stageConstruction stage
Advanced development (for construction in 2015-16)Advanced development (for construction in 2015-16)
# Location Pwr (MW)Load factor
(P-50)Start-up Clients
1 Puck 22 22% 2006 Energa, Polenergia
2 Modlikowice 24 28%1
2011 Tauron PE
3 Łukaszów 34 29%1
2011 Tauron PE
80 MW
# Location Pwr (MW)Load factor
(P-50)Building permit Completion
4 Gawłowice 41 40% Under construction 1Q 2015
5 Rajgród 25 33% Under construction 1Q 2015
6 Skurpie 37 36%RTB
financing in progress3Q 2015
104 MW
Overview of wind farm portfolio
Pipeline build up
− By 2021F all 25 wind projects, of which 22 currently in-development, will be operating amounting to the total capacity of 959 MW
Total capacity : 959MW
80 80184
461594
756 756888
959879 879
775
498365
203 20371
53 53
2013 2014F2015F2016F2017F2018F2019F2020F2021F
In operations In development Intended for sale
Notes1 Projected long-term load factors
# Location Pwr (MW)Load factor
(P-50)Building permit Completion
8 Mycielin 48 39% Q3 2014 2016
9 Zielona/Dębsk 90 38% Q4’14/Q1’15 2016
10 Piekło 12 36% Q3'14 2016
11 Bądecz 42 33% Q4 2014 2016
12 Grabowo 40 39% Q2 2015 2016
13 Kostomłoty/Dębice 45 36% Q4'14/Q1’15 2016
277 MW
30
CompletionCompletion
Key elements of wind farm development process and wind energy business model
LandLand
Securing land for investment
(long term lease or ownership)
ZoningZoning
Changing or confirming
suitable land zoning
Wind StudiesWind
Studies
Performing wind quality tests
Environment
Environment
Obtaining environmental
decision required for building
permit
Grid connection
Grid connection
Filing for and obtaining a building
permit
Building permit
Building permit
Agreeing grid connection terms
with a local network operator
24 18 12 126
some stages are done
simultaneously
4 – 6 years4 – 6 years
X Estimated time required (months)
Key steps in wind farm development process
Current status of Company portfolio
Notes1 Includes 53MW Wind Farm Szymankowo that is intended for sale in 2015
80MW184MW
460MW354MW
545MW663MW
967MW932MW
828MW
552MW658MW
467MW349MW
45MW
Completion Building permit Grid connection Environment Wind studies Zoning Land
Total capacity : 1,012 MW 1
Done
31
BBBB Offshore wind farms
32
Description
Leading offshore wind farms developer in Poland with first mover advantage
− Company plans to develop two projects with combined planned capacity of c. 1.2GW
− The plan is to build offshore projects in cooperation with an experienced industrial player (50/50 JV)
− Potential investors interest was confirmed during preliminary discussions
− Third site permit for 1.6GW constitute upside option without incurring any further development costs
− Electricity offtake will be secured for 15 years by purchase obligation and contract for difference mechanism under the auction system
Project Green600 MW net to PH
Installed capacity and electricity generation (PH share)
Development projects:
Offshore wind farms
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2014 2018 2022 2026 2030
Installed gross capacity (MW) Power generation (GWh, rha)
Location and capacity Project NameBałtyk
Środkowy IIIBałtyk
Środkowy IIActually planned capacity (MW)
600 600
Number of turbines c. 100 c.100
Distance to the shore 22 km 37 km
Net area 116.6 km2 122 km2
Depth 25-39m 23-41m
Average wind speed 9 – 10 m/s 9 – 10 m/s
Planned construction CAPEX (€bn)
c. 2.46 c. 2.35
Planned key datesBałtyk
Środkowy IIIBałtyk
Środkowy II
Environmental decision 1Q 2016 3Q 2016
Construction start 2020 2023
Comissioning date 2022 2026
33
Project key milestones and current status
Key milestones Bałtyk III Bałtyk II
Site permit Obtained, paid Obtained, paid
Environmental scoping Obtained Obtained
Terms and conditions to connect to transmission system
Obtained Obtained
� Company has the first mover advantage in Poland and is expected to benefit from global trend to develop
offshore wind capacity
Milestone 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 24 2025 2026
Bałtyk Środkow y III and export cable
Bałtyk Środkow y II
Completion of environmental studies
Environmental Impact Assessment and Report
Environmental Decision
Met mast
Basic engeeneering for construction permit
Operations (pow er generation)
Construction permit
Contracting construction
Supplies manufacturing
Construction
Contructing O&M
34
Competetive advantages
First mover advantage – Polenergia has been the leader in the offshore wind development in Poland:
− The first and most attractive site permits obtained (wind speed, distance, depth, least collisions with environmental protection targets, etc.)
− The first and most attractive (i.e. the quickest to start) terms and conditions to connect to the national electricity transmission system obtained
− The most advanced environmental process (min. 18 months advantage to the second player in the market) which allows for the first environmental decisions and least accumulated effect risk
− The most advanced in securing export cable route
As a result, Polenergia’s project are most likely to:
− Win the first auctions
− Bear the least environmental risks and limitations due to accumulated impact effect
− Be the first built and commissioned
− Enjoy the whole period of 15 year support system
− Enjoy the highest investment returns in the sector
35
CCCC Gas-fired CHP
36
Gas-fired CHP – operational portfolio
Location and capacityDescription
− Natural gas-fired combined heat and power station with a total generating capacity of 116 MWe and 70 MWt
− Modern plant which began commercial operations in 2000
− Operating at high efficiencies, the facility works under a base-load operating regime
− Power generated is exported via three 110 kV overhead transmission lines.
− The plant exceeds Polish environmental standards
− Stable income and cash flow streams from government sponsored stranded cost payments through 2020 – giving an infrastructural like risk and return profile
− Under the currently expected price environment post 2020, ENS is assumed to operate as a gas-peaker, producing short volumes and taking advantage of high baseload – peak spreads
ENS116MWe / 70MWt
Gas fired power plant
Operating assets:
Remuneration formula
− ENS generates revenues through sales of energy and heat, additionally it receives stranded cost compensation and gas compensation as well as cogeneration certificates
− Guaranteed stranded costs compensation effectively sets company EBIT at zero, (it is calculated in a way to balance energy and heat sales minus COGS and opex)
− As non cash position amortization allows to service debt and interests costs
− Gas compensation and cogeneration certificates are fully passed to earnings before tax
Installed capacity
Net capacity
Average Net Generation
Plant
Fuel
Efficiency
Type
COD
Availability
2000
93,80%
Elektrociepłownia Nowa Sarzyna
116MWe, 70MWt
113MWe
Gas fired CCGT cogen w ith fuel oil backup
Natural gas / fuel oil backup
HHV (48.6%), LHV (54.0%)
2*1 CCGT Thomassen (GE) frame 6
Electricity: ca. 760MWhHeat: ca. 530TJ
37
DDDD Electricity distribution
38
Electricity distribution
Length of distribution, lines (# of projects)
Szczecin0.6 km
Żarnowiec37.5 km
Gdańsk25.9 km (2)
Łysomice11.4 km
Warszawa13.4 km (17)
ŁSSE1.0 km
Nowiny3.6 kmKraków
1.4 km
Tczew3.9 km
Electricity distribution
Operating assets:
Warszawa3 km (2)
Development projects:
Electricity distribution
Kościan1.5 km
Leszno8.0 km
Operating Development Total
Electricity
distribution capacity 76 MW 11 MW 87 MW
Electricity
distribution volume 235 GWh 37 GWh c. 270 GWh
Number of projects 27 3 30
End-customers 8.2k 0.4k c.8.6k
Power lines length
(km)111.3 26.8 138.1
No of substations 87
No of transformers 149
RAB PLN 49m PLN 28m PLN 77m
Polenergia Dystrybucja
Description Value creation and benefits for clients− Polenergia Dystrybucja is
niche distributor of electricity to industrial and individual clients and to commercial off-takers: residential communities, production plants, office buildings and shopping malls
− Fully regulated under the WACC/RAB regulated regime with approved capexplans
Development projects
− 3 development projects based on contracts with real estate developers and industrial partner
− All projects fully regulated under the WACC/RAB regime with approved capexplans
− Ideal platform for larger scale expansion in electricity distribution
Value creation
− Extension of regulated activities by obtaining an electricity distribution license for “last mile” electricity infrastructure in non-residential real estate such as shopping malls and offices buildings
− Effective use of the synergies between the regulated activity (distribution of electricity) and commercial (sale of electricity) due to unbundling
− Offering partners opportunity for the optimization of the electricity infrastructure cost during construction site as well as maintenance
− Effective use of the synergies in the Polenergia Group
Unique package of benefits for its clients
− Immediate recoupment or reduction of the electricity infrastructure cost
− Competitive tariff rates for distribution and grid connection fee
− All costs associated with the infrastructure maintenance covered by Polenergia Dystrybucja
− Settlement of electricity by the company
− Risk of payment delays for electricity transferred on the company
− Third Party Access (TPA) available for recipients
39
Business model of distribution
+ Operating costs
+ DSO distribution costs
+ Real estate tax
+ Grid losses
+ Return on RAB
+ RAB depreciation
REGULATED REVENUE
- Operating costs
- DSO distribution costs
- Real estate tax
- Grid losses
REGULATED COSTS
= EBITDA
= CFADS
Co
sts
+ Connection Fees
― The Company has agreed its RAB with ERO along with apath to full recognition in 2015, currently 72% is recognized
― Development Plan approved by ERO directly impacts RAB ascapital expenditures included therein establish the base forRAB.
― RAB is passed through to tariff via regulated returncalculated using WACC set by ERO
― RAB provides the cash flows necessary to service the capexdebt financing costs through the following:
― depreciation of RAB
― return on RAB currently 9%
― The financing structure reflects this profile in order to bestsupport the business
― CFADS further improved through connection fees
Business model description EBITDA calculation
40
EEEE Trading
41
Trading
Overview of Polenergia Obrót (trading)
− Central trading and risk management platform located in Warsaw
− In January 2013 company took over ex-Vattenfall trading team operating in CEE power markets
Polenergia Obrót historical value-at-risk (PLNm)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
03mar14 04mar14 05mar14 06mar14 07mar14 08mar14 09mar14 10mar14
GER PL Limit
− Polenergia Obrót has a very conservative risk management policy
− Daily exposure capped at a prudent level of VAR = PLN16m
− Historical VAR stays well below the set limit at c. PLN 8m
Electricity traded 3,153 GWh
Natural gas traded 44 mm3
Restricted risk policies controlled daily
Trading based on the physical product delivery
Polish Renewable and Cogeneration Certificates
Low risk profile
Polenergia Obrót (2013)
Trading activities
Physical power trading across Poland primarily with careful
consideration of cross border contracts & physical trading in
Germany
Asset backed trading: market access, portfolio management and
physical optimization of Polenergia’s assets (power and
certificates)
42
FFFF Other Development Projects
BernauBernauBernauBernau –––– Szczecin Szczecin Szczecin Szczecin pipeline (Germanypipeline (Germanypipeline (Germanypipeline (Germany----Poland)Poland)Poland)Poland)
43
Poland: Breakdown of natural gas supply, 2011F
bcm
Source IHS CERA(*) Includes low methane gas from domestic production; Total supply reaches c. 15 bcm in high-calorific equivalent.
Poland: Natural gas sales market share by players
%, by volume
Source IHS CERA
Excess demand for natural gas in the Polish market
− Regarding all stages of the supply chain, the Polish gas market is characterized by a very low level of competition and is dominated by one major player – PGNiG
− All Polish long-term import contracts are held by PGNiG
− PGNiG oversees imports, E&P, distribution and storage. It also represents 98% of the gas sales in Poland in both – wholesale and retail market
Natural gas demand in Poland
− Poland‘s natural gas demand is around 15 bcm p.a., mainly driven by industrial and residential customers and on per capita basis is one of the lowest in the EU reaching 0.4 mcm per capita in 2011 (c. 50% of EU27 average)
− Currently gas consumption in the Gas-to-power sector is comparable low, since the Polish power generation is dominated by coal fired plants. However, the existing coalinfrastructure is very old and requires quick replacement. Several new investments based on CCGT are planned in upcoming years
− Total gas consumption in Poland will reach 20 bcm p.a. in 2023
Low diversification of supply sources
− The Polish domestic gas production is about 4 bcm p.a. (high-calorific equivalent) (about 27% of the gas supply) and is expected to be stable in the following years
− Russia has been the main gas supplier with a share of about 89% of the total imports (65% of the total supply). The remaining 11% mostly come from intra EU imports, of which the lion‘s share was imported from Germany
− A liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal at Świnoujście is currently under construction by Polskie LNG S.A., a 100% GAZ-SYSTEM affiliate, and will provide an initial capacity of 5.0 bcm p.a. starting in 2015. Only one contract is signed for 1.5 bcm at prices much above pipeline gas, so this import path is not likely to play significant role
98%
2%
PGNiG (nationalincumbent)
Others
Poland vs. EU: Gas consumption per capita, 2011
mcm per inhabitant
Source BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2012, Eurostat
0,10,4 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,6 0,7 0,7 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 1,1 1,1 1,2 1,2 1,3 1,4
2,3
Swed
en
Po
lan
d
Bu
lgar
ia
Po
rtu
gal
Fran
ce
Ro
man
ia
Fin
lan
d
Spai
n
Den
mar
k
Cze
ch R
epu
blic
Ger
man
y
Hu
nga
ry
Au
stri
a
Lith
uan
ia
Slo
vaki
a
Ital
y
Un
ite
d…
Bel
giu
m &
…
Net
her
lan
ds
EU27 Average: 0,9
6,0
0,9
9,1
Indigenous production *
Imports from Germany& Czech Rep.
Imports from Russia
Market structure
44
Available and planned natural gas transmission capacities on Polish border from West to
East direction
Source Gaz-System
Gas import infrastructure in the context of Poland’s strategic objective
Lasów• 1.5 bcm p.a. of transmission capacity
available on firm basis.• 100% of capacity booked
Yamal pipeline - Virtual reverse flow • 2.3 bcm p.a. of transmission capacity
available on interruptible basis.• 100% of capacity booked until 2015. • Firm reverse flow of 5 bcm p.a.
capacity will be available since Q2 2014
LNG Terminal in Świnouj ście• 5.0 bcm p.a. of transmission capacity
available on firm basis since 2015• Further extension up to 7.5 bcm
optional• Currently only 30% booked
New, planned transmission capacities
Legend
Currently available firm transmission capacities
Currently available interruptible transmission capa city
5.0
5.0
LwówekWłocławek
1.5
2.53.3
Total reverse flow on Yamal pipeline is limited with technical possibilities at the connection with Polish network (up to 5.8 bcm/a in total)
0.5
Cieszyn• 0.5 bcm p.a. of transmission capacity
available on interruptible basis.• 100% of capacity booked
− Due to past political reasons, the Polish import infrastructure is mostly one-side designed for gas supplies from Russia
− Although Poland has a number of interconnection points with neighboring countries, the existing system is highly utilized and all capacities at entry points are almost completely booked by PGNiG
− At present the firm capacities from West European markets amount only to slightly more than 10% of today’s Polish consumption
− This will be increased to about 47% of todays consumption after 5 bcm reverse flow on Yamal pipeline is commissioned
− And to 80% of todays consumption including additional 5 bcm of LNG
− Given the planned increase of natural gas demand in Poland to 20 bcm p.a., Poland is still likely to be short of 20% of its future consumption (4 bcm) from western markets
− Apart from sourcing the Polish market, additional connection with Germany may be used to re-export gas to Ukraine and Baltic states, which desparately search for the same option to get gas imports independent from Russia
� Poland’s strategic objective is to reach 100% of natural gas supplies independent from Russia
Available and planned natural gas transmission capa cities on Polish border from West to East direction
45
Bernau – Szczecin pipeline (Germany-Poland)
− Gas transmission project is ideally located to connect western gas markets with the isolated markets of Poland and other Eastern European countries (Ukraine, Baltic states)
− It is to provide the access to import infrastructure in Germany and become one of the key market openers of the East Europe gas market
− Customers in Poland (and potentially in neighbouring countries to the east and south of Poland) will gain access to the liquid Gaspoolspot market which allows them to purchase gas at lower prices and from various suppliers, thus significantly improving their energy security and ensuring supplies of this strategic commodity in a diversified way
− Strategic partners are to be invited for joint development of the project in Poland and Germany in 2014. The company assumes to hold 51% of German part of the business
− Already secured attractive RAB based remuneration
10 % of the pipeline capacity dedicated to short-term products ( up to 1 year) offered
in auctions
90 % of the pipeline capacity dedicated
to long term products (up to 20 years) offered in
auctions(1.5 bcm p.a
reserved exclusively for POLENERGIA)
5.0 bcm p.a.
firm capacity
or conditionally firm
90 % of the pipeline capacity dedicated
to long-term products (up to 15 years) offered in
auctions acc. to CAM network code rules
EXIT POLAND / ENTRY GERMANY EXIT GERMANY / ENTRY POLAND
10 % of the pipeline capacity dedicated
for short-term products (up to 1 year) offered in
auctions acc. to CAM network code rules
3.5 bcm p.a.
firm and interruptible
capacity
General characteristic
Overview
Tota l technica l capaci ty 3.0 – 5.0 bcm p.a .
Compress or s tations 1 x 5.4 MW
Length c. 150km (30km in POL, 120km in GER)
Start of construction 2015
Start of operations 2018
FEED Des ign Secured
Construction Permits Secured
Rights of Way c. 50% Secured
TPA/Unbundl ing In progres s
Commercia l clos ing In progres s
Grid connection In progres s
EPC To be completed
Financing To be completed
Bernau – Szczecin pipeline
Project Status
46
FFFF Other Development Projects
ElektrowniaElektrowniaElektrowniaElektrownia PółnocPółnocPółnocPółnoc –––– coal fired power plant coal fired power plant coal fired power plant coal fired power plant
47
Coal fired PP – development project
Elektrownia Północ
Elektrownia Północ:
− Construction of a coal-fired power plant with a capacity of 800 MWe using supercritical pulverized coal combustion technology
− Project intended to be basedupon long term Take-or-Pay PPA for 20 years
− Project will decrease the electrical power shortages in the region which are expected to occur in the second part of the decade (2017-2018)
− We are considering inviting strategic investor to this project
Project status:
• Real estate: 223 ha secured
• EPC tender process: completed(signed with Alstom)
• Grid connection: Signed
• Fuel Supply Agreement: Signed
Elektrownia Północ
Planned capacity 800 MWe
Efficiency over 45%
Fuel (hard coal) 20-22 GJ/tonne
EP800 MWe
Elektrownia Północ – coal fired power plant
Location and capacity
Hard coal PP
Development projects:
Perfect moment in the Polish power market cycle: low capacity reserve in the Polish power system, decommissioning of obsolete units and low comparative electric energy consumption per capita contribute to a strong outlook and fundamental support for power price growth in Poland
New incentives from Polish government to construct new capacity expected
Multi offtaker mode allowing for benefiting from the power price growth
Robust offtake structure ensuring Project’s bankability: pass-through PPAs with creditworthy offtakers, including recovery of fixed and variable costs, debt service, and a price upside-sharing mechanism, all of which improve Project’s overall cash-flow profile thus contributing to debt financing costs optimization
Strong competitive position of the Plant: one of the most efficient plants in Europe, placing it at a favorable point in the Polish merit order - the Project will operate always in base load throughout its life as a high efficiency plant with an advantageous FSA
Strong economic environment
Optimal project structuring
Optimal fuel choice
Competitive and stable fuel supply agreement secured
Favorable location: the Project is conveniently located in the northern part of Poland (close to key transmission grid lines, sea shore, and with access to the key rail line) and will be supported by expected power shortages in this region
Strong local support for the Project
Key investment considerations
48
Located where unbalanced distribution and transmission assets are
Northern Region2
Capacity installed1: 4.7 GW
(13.3%)
GDP: PLN 202bn (17.2 %)
Notes
1 2007 Data 2 Calculations based on the following provinces: West Pomeranian, Pomeranian, Warmian-Masurian and Kuyavian-Pomeranian 3 Calculations based on the following provinces: Lower Silesian, Opole, Silesian and Lesser Poland
Source GUS, PSE Operator
Southern Region3:Capacity installed1 : 14.37 GW
(40.1 %)
GDP: PLN 363bn (30.8 %)
The Polish transmission network is underinvested.
Southern Poland with high concentration of power is connected with the north suffering from power shortages by merely two 400 kV lines
To Sweden
600 MW
600 MW
992 MW
1280 MW
1889 MW
443 MW
628 MW
358 MWExports capacity
Imports capacity
Non-operational
Białystok - Roś
Wólka Dobrzyńska - Brześć
Krosno Iskrzyna - Lemesany
Mikułowa - Hagenverder
Krajnik - Vierraden
RUSSIA LITHUANIA
BELARUS
UKRAINE
SLOVAKIA
CZECH REPUBLIC
GERMANY
400kV
400kV
450kV
220kV
110kV
220kV
750kV
400kV
220kV400kV
Only 7% of total production of Polish power sector of 163.2 TWh flowed out of Poland in 2011, whilst only 4% flowed into Poland
− 40.1% of installed capacity of Polish power plants exists in the South of the country, due to the concentration of industrial production in the region and the availability of coal deposits
− Majority of newly constructed wind assets are located in the North of the country making balancing and stabilizing of the grid extremely difficult without reliable and predictable generation capacity
− Supplementing the power shortage in the North using excess capacity from the South is difficult due to the underinvested national transmission grid
− Low interconnection capacities to foreign electricity grids substantially limit imports of energy to Poland
Installed capacity in the North and South Transmission grid of PSE OPERATOR, 2011
Interconnection capacities
49
As one of the most efficient plants in Europe, EP will be favourably placed in the
Polish merit order and will operate predominantly at base load
Polish merit order curve (December 2013)
Polish merit order curve (December 2035)
Source Company
− More than 75% of the installed boilers and turbines in Poland are older than 20 years and close to 50% of all boilers and turbines in use are older than 30 years
− High efficiency rate of EP, with substantially lower costs of fuel, emissions and other variable costs, will guarantee high utilization of the available capacity of EP
− It is expected that the Plant will operate always in base load throughout its early life, due to its position in the Polish merit order as a high efficiency plant with an advantageous FSA
− In case of the increasingly more probable non-nuclear scenario, the Plant’s position in the merit order will shift to even more advantageous place
To be updated
50
FFFF Other Development Projects
Biomass power plantBiomass power plantBiomass power plantBiomass power plant
51
Highly efficient biomass power plant
Biomass power plant – development projectLocation and capacity
Standalone biomass combustion:
− PEP has significant experience in biomass energy project construction and operation (operated EC Saturn, a CHP with one of the largest biomass-fired blocks in Poland - 80 MWe / 201 MWt for 8 years)
Wińsko:
− Currently, PEP develops a 31 MWe power plant in Wińsko, which is fully permitted
Key characteristics
Turbine Condensing / Alstom
BoilerVibrating grate/ DP Cleantech
Installed capacity 31 MWe
COD 2019
Customer Supply to the grid
Load factor 92%
Efficiency Electrical 33%
Operational period 30 years
Wińsko31 MWe
Development projects:
Biomass power plant
52
Project selection criteriaProject selection criteria
Availability of biomass fuel
Availability of biomass fuel
Availability of grid connection
Availability of grid connection
OtherOther
− 280k tons of biomass fuel (of which 30-40% from agriculture (straw, energy crops) and 60-70% from forest (forest residues, saw dust, energy crops)
− Selected location guarantees availability of:
− Cereal, rape and corn straw production of 3.2m tons within 70-100km distance (c. 0.7m tons available for sourcing)
− Forest biomass - 0.6m tons of forest cutting residue available for sourcing within 200km distance
− Sawmill biomass – 0.9m tons (0.1m tons available for sourcing)
− Agricultural land available for energy crops
− Limited competition from pellet, mushroom, and energy producers
− 280k tons of biomass fuel (of which 30-40% from agriculture (straw, energy crops) and 60-70% from forest (forest residues, saw dust, energy crops)
− Selected location guarantees availability of:
− Cereal, rape and corn straw production of 3.2m tons within 70-100km distance (c. 0.7m tons available for sourcing)
− Forest biomass - 0.6m tons of forest cutting residue available for sourcing within 200km distance
− Sawmill biomass – 0.9m tons (0.1m tons available for sourcing)
− Agricultural land available for energy crops
− Limited competition from pellet, mushroom, and energy producers
− Availability of land with suitable zoning
− Access to water and waste water treatment facilities
− General willingness of local administration
− Road infrastructure
− Availability of land with suitable zoning
− Access to water and waste water treatment facilities
− General willingness of local administration
− Road infrastructure
60% of total required biomass is already
contracted
60% of total required biomass is already
contracted
Wińsko - project selection process
The Company carefully analysed a number of potential locations for the planned biomass power plant. Three potential locations in Lower Silesia were selected of which Wińsko is being currently developed
53
Status 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Construction permit
Grid connection (terms)
Grid connection (agreement)
Financing confirmed (term sheet)
Supervisory Board’s approval
Ground acquired
Financing complete
Supplier contracts signed
Construction
COD
Key characteristicsKey characteristicsType: Condensation
Capacity: 31 MWe
Supplier: Alstom
Expected project timingExpected project timing
Type: Vibrating grate
Capacity (net): 78 MWt
Supplier: DP Clean Tech
Expected start-up: 2019
Turbine Boiler
Wińsko
CustomerCustomer Supply to the grid
Wińsko key characteristics
Biomass power plant
54
GGGG Other Operating Assets
Zakrzów CHP, Zakrzów CHP, Zakrzów CHP, Zakrzów CHP, MercuryMercuryMercuryMercury PP, PP, PP, PP, ppppelletelletelletellet plantsplantsplantsplants
55
Other operating assets
Zakrzów CHP Mercury PP Pellet plants
− CHP plant with heat capacity of 29MWt located in Wrocław
− Energy is generated from natural gas supplied by PGNiG
− Established in 2000 for the purpose of supplying electricity and heat to Whirlpool under long term contract (valid until Oct 2020)
− Constructed by PEP on a turn-key basis, together with the necessary infrastructure (gas pipeline and connections)
− Whirlpool remains the sole user of energy generated
− Power plant located in Wałbrzych
− Launched in July 2006
− Power unit consists of a gas-fired boiler and steam turbine with a capacity of over 8 MWe
− Power unit generates electricity from coke-oven gas, which is a by-product of coke production at WZK Victoria
− Operated under a contract concluded between PEP and WZK Victoria for the supply of coke-oven gas and offtake of electricity. The contract is valid until December 31st 2021
− In response to growing demand, in 2008 PEP launched projects to supply the energy sector with pellets manufactured from agricultural biomass, in particular from straw
− The company operates three pellet plants:
− Fabryka Północ, located in Sępólno Krajeńskie
− Fabryka Południe, located in Ząbkowice Śląskie
− Fabryka Wschód, located near Zamość
Fabryka
Północ
Fabryka
Południe
Fabryka
Wschód
COD 20122010 and
2011 2012
appr
CapexPLN 1.7m PLN 18.5m PLN 25.5m
Annual
prod.
(tonnes)
36k 53k 51k
56
DisclaimerThis presentation (the “Presentation”), is being provided solely for information only and non-reliance basis.
The purpose of the Presentation is to provide selected information relating to Polish Energy Partners S.A. ("PEP") and Polenergia Holding ("Polenergia") (the “Transaction”).
This Presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any shares in Polish Energy Partners S.A. and/or Polenergia. The contents of this Presentation should not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice.
The Presentation has been prepared on the basis of information provided by PEP and Polenergia and also from publicly available information. The information provided should not be relied on for any purpose and should not in any way serve as a substitute for other enquiries and procedures that would (or should) otherwise be undertaken.
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