Personal

David BurridgeEx Director ECMWF

Ex Director IPO (twice)Ex .........

NED Met Office

Science Plan peer-reviewed;

Implementation Plan 2004-2015

approved;

Approved annual expenditure

$1.2M through a trust fund;

First Symposium (Montreal,2004)

Regional Committees - RAII,IV,VI

Southern Hemisphere alliance

GEOSSGEOSS

ToMitigateNatural

disasters

The Team

Elena Manaenkova Nathalie Tournier and David Burridge

Jim Caughey David Parsons Tetsuo Nakazawa

”Chuchu” Feng

And $1,200,094 per annumor (better still)

$1,824,795 per annum!in reality ……

O th er TC s

M an ag em en t G rou p

C B S

T AB SAB

ShAP Regional Com m ittees

InternationalProgram m e

Office

Data Policyand M anagem ent

W G

PredictabilityDynam ical Processes

W G

ObservingSystem

W G

Data Assim ilationObserving Strategies

W G

Societal&Econom icApplications

W G

G lobal InteractiveForecast System

W G s

Executive Board

T HORPEX ICSC

SSC/W W RP

C A S

W G N E

JS C W C R P R A s

E xecu tive C ou n c il IC S U E B IO C E C

C on g ress

In 2008, the organisational structure was revised

With scientific oversight being provided by the WWRP JSC

My take on the major successes of the programme

GIFS-TIGGE – TIGGE data base and TIGGE services; GEOWOW

DAOS – analysis of the data from field experiments, reviews of the GOS and a authoritative assessment of the results of targeting PDP – Field experiments, science community building

GEOSS – took us to places I didn’t expect to go, great source of support and funding

YOTC – essentially the outcome of the Trieste (date) meeting

Regional plans

Global Interactive Forecast System using the THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE)End-to-end forecast system “tuned” for end users, using targeted

observations called on in ‘sensitive areas’, adaptive data assimilation, grid computing and distributed archives accessible through a single entry point.

Upgraded Russian Upgraded Russian Radiosonde Network for IPYRadiosonde Network for IPY

U.S. (NOAA)U.S. (NOAA)

WinterWinter

NOAA G-4 andNOAA G-4 and

Air Force C-130sAir Force C-130s

JapanJapanPalauPalau

Typhoon Landfall

EU, US, Japan, Korea, Canada

[DLR Falcon, NRL P-3]

EU, US, Japan, Korea, Canada

[DLR Falcon, NRL P-3]

WMOWMOWCRP/WWRPWCRP/WWRP

Asian/IndianAsian/IndianMonsoonMonsoon

U.S.U.S.ONR/NSFONR/NSF

TCS-08TCS-08[NRL P-3, WC-130][NRL P-3, WC-130]

THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign/Tropical Cyclone Structure-08 Experiments and Collaborative Efforts

SoWMex

TH08

PROBEX

Extra observations and targetedobservations to improve

track prediction

Additional Targeting Component at DLR and FZK, Germany

Patrick HarrNaval Postgraduate School

Monterey, CA USApaharr@nps.edu

Targeting Motivation: Track Uncertainty 10 September

ECMWF Strike Probability JMA Ensemble Members

Numerical model aids

THORPEX and GEOSS Contribute to GEOSS societal benefit areas, for

example

HEALTH - use advanced weather forecasting methods to improve predictability of major health hazards in W. Africa

WEATHER - further develop TIGGE and societal applications

AGRICULTURE - help improve the predictability of food supplies in Africa

ENERGY - demonstration project utilizing the TIGGE databases to improve energy management techniques (particularly those linked to hydro-power)

THORPEX and WCRP

JSC/WCRP member of ICSC and science groups

THORPEX in WCRP/COPES

Joint project initiated to develop a unified ultra-high-resolution

global weather and climate prediction system

Collaboration in TIGGE

TIGGE and Task Force on Seasonal Prediction (TFSP)

Similar technical issues (data, archiving, policy)

Potential for “seamless” days-seasons prediction systems

Links established between THORPEX and TFSP

And

THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop

Organisation and Organisation and

Maintenance of Maintenance of

Tropical Convection Tropical Convection

andand the Madden Julian the Madden Julian

OscillationOscillation

 THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop

Organisation and Maintenance of Tropical Convection and the Madden Julian Oscillation

Hosted by the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 13-17 March 2006, Trieste, Italy

  

Meeting Report prepared by Julia Slingo, Franco Molteni, Mitch Moncrieff and Mel Shapiro

      

Regional Plans

Symposia

BBC weather pagesMonday 10 November Published at 10:00

Monthly OutlookSummary

Umbrellas at the ready - Our hats and scarfs were out as the UK ……

Monday 10 November—Sunday 16 NovemberMore rain on the cards - Get your brollies at the ready as the UK is set for an unsettled week ….The positive side to unsettled spells is that frosty conditions will be few and far between

Monday 17 November—Sunday 23 NovemberLow pressure still dominates - Our old friend low pressure looks set to remain situated somewhere to the south-west of the UK ……

Monday 24 November—Sunday 7 DecemberDon't put the umbrellas away just yet - As autumns moves along for another year and winter begins to arrive, mild and unsettled weather looks set to cling to the UK…

Monthly forecasting

The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 17 November

The High Impact Weather ProjectA WWRP research activity

Legacy Projects

THORPEX TRUST FUND CONTRIBUTORS

Canada China France Germany Japan Korea, Rep of Norway (2004-

2009) United Kingdom USA

Huge World-wide contributions to the creation of data bases, numerical experiments, field experiments and other regional activities

Thank you for a wonderful 10-year programmeGood luck to WWRP and the follow-on to THORPEX