Pepsi & Gatorade Regional Market Update May 2011.
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Transcript of Pepsi & Gatorade Regional Market Update May 2011.
Pepsi & Gatorade
Regional Market Update
May 2011
Regional markets offer the best opportunity to grow Pepsi sales and improve ROI
• 40% of cola category sales come from regional markets
• Pepsi in has growth momentum in regional – more popular than in metro for first time
• Lack of competitive RTV activity gives Pepsi a rare opportunity to gain regional markets share
• Gatorade – strong regional BDI means it will benefit from category growth
www.regionaltvmarketing.com.au
RTM is the marketing bureau for Regional free to air TV
Regional TV covers all areas outside capital
cities and reaches 36% of
populationQLD
NNSW
SNSW
TAS
VIC
REG. WA
DIARY
Regional TV coverage
includes large cities and fast
growing coastal suburbs
Newcastle & Central Coast
Gold Coast
Wollongong & Illawarra
Canberra
Diary markets: A diverse mix of urban and rural
Regional WA
Port Pirie/ Broken
Hill
Satellite
Griffith
Mildura
Darwin
Loxton/Mt Gambier
Populations of major regional TV markets are comparable with the metros
SydneyMelbourne
Reg NSWBrisbane
PerthReg QLDAdelaideReg VIC
DiaryWATAS
0m 1m 2m 3m 4m 5m
4,6354,528
3,4892,982
1,8561,764
1,4081,171
969585
510
People
Source: ATR & OZTAM 2011, Nielsen Media Research 2010
NNSW 2,079 SNSW 1,410
Population Increase: 2001 vs. 2011
Source: ATR & OZTAM 2011
Australian population moving North and to the coast. Over 30% growth in 10 years in some regional areas
MARYB
MACKA
YBRIS
NOR RIV
CAIRNS
TOW
NS
PERTH
ROCK
TOOW
CANB
GIPPS M
EL
TAM/T
AR
ALBURY
WOLL
BALLSY
DADEL
NEWC
HOBART
BEND
LAUNCE
SHEP
P
O/D/W
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
National average
QLD NSW VIC TAS METRO
Urbanisation and high population growth changing the profile of regional Australia
• Lower cost of living and lifestyle are main attractions
• Rural populations moving to regional hub towns
• Less than 4% of households depend on farming
3 %7live in Regional TV markets
Source: OzTam AGB Nielsen 2011
1,573,000
Australian teens age 13-17
3 %3live in Regional TV markets
Source: OzTam AGB Nielsen 2011
3,035,000
Australian youths age 16-24
Seachange…
… for baby boomers
…for families
“Typical” Seachanger
Ryan, 36. Wollongong NSW
Made the seachange from the “Shire” to the “Gong”. Owns a small business in building trade
Above average income & primary focus is kids and lifestyle.
Loves footy , cars and teaching kids surfing.
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to Dec 2010)
% of people 25-54 Metro Regional
Employed Full Time 56% 53%
Employed Part Time 23% 22%
Household Income $80K+ 41% 42%
More than one income in household 64% 58%
Children in household 50% 52%
Own or Paying Off Home 59% 61%
Regional consumers have similar
demographic profile to metro
Sep-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-100%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Metro Regional
People 18-54 with HHI $130k+ or Investments $500K+
Doubling in number of wealthy people living in regional Australia in past five years
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to Sep 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005 )
Why has regional spending been more stable and the outlook more
positive?
• Lower cost of living – less debt• Huge investment in infrastructure • Population growth driving development
of local economies• Resources growth impacting many parts
of regional: NSW, QLD, WA, SA.
People 14-24 Metro Reg
Employed FT/PT 49% 51%
In education 72% 61%
Watch FTA TV 91% 93%
Consumed Coca-Cola P7D 46% 50%
Consumed Pepsi P7D 17% 20%
3 %8of young Cola drinkers
live in Regional
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to December 2010)
SYD
MEL
BRI
ADE
PER
NSW
VIC
QLD
TAS
Diary
0k 20k 40k 60k 80k 100k 120k 140k
133
124
61
36
44
97
45
48
10
38
37% of regular Pepsi drinkers (14-24) live in regional TV markets: Regional has 3rd, 5th and 6th biggest markets
Drank Pepsi P7D: People 14-24Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to December 2010)
Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Any Coke Met Any Coke Reg Any Pepsi Met Any Pepsi Reg
People14-24 drink Any Coke or Pepsi variant in the P7D
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to Dec 2010, June 2010, June 2009, June 2008, June 2007, June 2006, June 2005, June 2004, June 2003)
Pepsi has increased consumption in regional markets above metro for first time in past year
Dec 2010
Coca-Cola
Pepsi
FY 04/05 FY 05/06 FY 06/07 FY 07/08 FY 08/09 J-D 2010$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
445
819
541
1200
13851450
0104
972
552
931
496
RTV$ Coke RTV$ Pepsi
Source: Nielsen Media Research AdEx Jul – Jun year as labelled, except Jan- Dec 2010
Pepsi and Coke increased their TV ad investment in Regional TV until last year – in 2011 Coke spend down
Regional TV spend FY since 2004
In 2011 Coca-Cola has spent $1.9m on TV …
99% in metro
…big opportunity for Pepsi to grab regional market share through increased RTV spend
Pepsi grew YOY in Regional QLD and Reg. VICRegional NSW has big growth opportunity ahead
SYD MEL BRI ADE PER NNSW SNSW VIC QLD TAS Diary0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35% 2010 2009
Drank Pepsi P7D: People 14-24
+2.50% +4.80% -1.50% +6.80% -2.40% +0.60% +0.40%+11.10
%+8.80% +0.10% +5.00%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to December 2010 vs. 2009)
Pepsi Max grew its consumption in regional markets except for NNSW where it declined
SYD MEL BRI ADE PER NNSW SNSW VIC QLD TAS Diary0%
5%
10%
15%
20% 2010 2009
Drank Pepsi Max P7D: People 14-24
-1.40% +1.30% -2.60% +6.80% -3.10% -5.30% +4.90% +6.10% +7.60% +2.40% +0.50%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to December 2010 vs. 2009)
Coca Cola consumption increased in NNSW and Sydney
SYD MEL BRI ADE PER NNSW SNSW VIC QLD TAS Diary0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Drank Coca Cola P7D: People 14-24
+6.60% -3.20% -0.40% +2.50% +0.60%+10.50
%-2.50%
+14.70%
-10.50%
-2.70%-
10.80%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (12mths to December 2010 vs. 2009)
Source: ABG NMR Panorama (12mths to Dec 2010)
Drink sports drinks several times a week Metro Reg
Male 77% 77%
18-39 55% 44%
25-54 58% 65%
Play sports P12M 80% 83%
Watch sport on TV 91% 95%
Drank Gatorade P7D 40% 39%
Drank Powerade P7D 45% 36%
High volume regional sports drinkers skew slightly older
and prefer PepsiCo Gatorade
Sports drink consumption is low in regional NSW – big opportunity for brand and category growth
SYD MEL BRI ADE PER NNSW SNSW VIC QLD S/W/NT
TAS0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Drink sports drinks several times a week: People 18-39
-0.30%+0.10
%-0.10%
+1.10%
-0.50%-1.40%-0.40%-0.50%-0.70%-3.50%-0.60%
Source: AGB NMR Panorama 12 months to December 2010 vs. 2009
Regional consumers are heavier viewers of FTA TV but otherwise have same media habits as metro
Women aged 18-39 Metro Reg
Watch 2hrs+ TV per day 49% 60%
Watch daytime TV 71% 74%
Own digital TV at home 85% 90%
Whether subscribe to Pay TV* 24% 23%Listened to any commercial radio
weekday 65% 66%
Accessed the internet 85% 86%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source 12 months to Dec 2010, *AGB NMR Panorama 12 mths to Dec 2010
13/06/2010
27/06/2010
11/07/2010
25/07/2010
8/08/2010
22/08/2010
5/09/2010
19/09/2010
3/10/2010
17/10/2010
31/10/2010
14/11/2010
28/11/2010
12/12/2010
26/12/2010
9/01/2011
23/01/2011
6/02/2011
20/02/2011
6/03/2011
20/03/20110%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Metro Regional
Launch week of 7mate &
Gem
Launch week of Eleven
Audience share of the new commercial “digital” channels has more than tripled since June 2010
Source: Mediaweek, Metro data from OzTAM and Regional data from Regoional TAM. All People 18:00 - 23:59
June 2010 Sept 2010 Dec 2010 March 2011
• Subscription TV audiences are down in all key dayparts for the Survey Year to Date• FTA viewing is up & commercial TV even more
Source: Regional TAM; Survey 1-2, 2011 vs. 2010; Consolidated Data
New commercial channels driving Free to air TV audiences up in 2011
Audience Year on Year % Change; Combined Agg Markets (QLD, NNSW, SNSW, VIC & TAS)
Total People; Sun-Sat; Survey 1-2, 2011 vs. 2010
Reg. TV CPM is 45% below metro TV average and delivers double the cost efficiency and ROI
SYD MEL BRI ADE PER NNSWSNSW VIC QLD TAS40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180164
104
98
7989
71 70
5361
70
Ind
ex
TV market CPM indicesNational average CPM P18+ = 100
Source: Regional TV Agency Survey 2010
SYD19%
MEL19%
BRI12%
ADE6%
PER8%
Reg36%
SYD34%
MEL21%
BRI12%
ADE5%
PER7%
Reg23%
Share of national population
Share of national TV budget
Higher cost efficiency of regional TV is opportunity to push growth harder than in metro
The next year is a crucial opportunity for Pepsi to gain ground in the most cost efficient market where 40% of its potential volume is ….Regional Australia
…and for only 25% of the national TV budget
33%+of Pepsi grocery
channel sales are from regional
*Pepsi includes – Pepsi, Pepsi Light, Pepsi Light Caffeine Free, Pepsi Max, Pepsi SambaSource: Scan Data (4 W/E 11/05/08 to 31/08/08) Coles /Woolworths/Bi Lo (Excludes NT)
2008 RTM case study showed…
Coca Cola
Coca Cola Zero
Diet Coke
PowerAde
Gatorade
Pepsi Max
Grand Total
19%
11%
18%
16%
3%
1%
12%
Metro Regional
In 2010 Coca-Cola brands continue investment in RTV – in 2011 PowerAde invested 23% in RTV – Coke 0%
In 2010 Coca-Cola brands continue investment in RTV – in 2011 PowerAde invested 23% in RTV – Coke 0%
Source: Nielsen Media Research AdExCategory: Beverages – Non Alcoholic, Aerated Soft Drinks
Period: Jan-Dec 2010
Total TV Spend
$4.4m
$2.4m
$1.4m
$1.9m
$1.9m
$2.2m
$15.2m
Pepsi Max
PowerAde
Gatorade