Parameterization of subgrid heterogeneities for hydrologic ...

1
Soil heterogeneity is relevant for hydrological processes modelling and distributed hydrological models take into account that issue by an explicit representation of spatial variability. Parametric and mechanistic models are characterized by de problem that its parameter’s values depend on the scale at which they are calibrated. Going downwards in model development we need to know what level of complexity is sufficient to represent the main behavior of our hydrological systems. We present a formulation to parameterize subgrid heterogeneities of soil hydraulic parameters and its incorporation within TETIS hydrological model. The parameterization approach was tested in a small experimental watershed and compared with TETIS parameterization without subgrid representation by using aggregated parameters at a coarser support. The representation of subgrid heterogeneities improved model performance in spatial-temporal validation. This work present the development of scaling equations to transfer the effect of subgrid spatial heterogeneities of soil parameters within a hydrological model. The implementation of hose equations in TETIS model demonstrated its potential to improve the representation of the hydrological processes within the catchment. The main advantage of taking into account sub-grid heterogeneity is that we can obtain a more robust calibrated hydrological model than using stationary effective parameters. The robustness is improved in the sense of better performance of runoff simulations at locations don’t used to hydrological model. calibration Nevertheless, the stationary effective parameters have shown a good representation of watershed properties for runoff modeling and its results are close to sub-grid results in high magnitude events. The results of validation by continuous simulation confirms the utility of subgrid equations to represent the Hydrology of Goodwin Creek. But it is needed to contrast this hypothesis in other catchments to state a stronger analysis based on the study of a wide range of hydrologic conditions. This study was supported by the Programme ALBan, the European Union Programme of High Level Scholarships for Latin America, scholarship No. E07D402940CO, and by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the project Consolider-Ingenio SCARCE (ref: CSD2009- 00065). Francés, F., Vélez, J.I., Vélez, J.J. (2007) Split-parameter structure for the automatic calibration of distributed hydrological models. Journal of Hydrology 332: 226-240. Gourley, J. J. and B. E. Vieux (2006). "A method for identifying sources of model uncertainty in rainfall-runoff simulations." Journal of Hydrology 327 (1-2): 68-80. Merz R, Parajka J, Blöschl G. (2009). Scale effects in conceptual hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 45: W09405 doi: 10.1029/2009wr007872. 1. Introduction 3. Results 2. Approach 4. Conclusions Acknowledges References Parameterization of subgrid heterogeneities for hydrologic modelling Miguel Barrios ([email protected]), Félix Francés ([email protected]) Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 Valencia, Spain Figure 1. Scheme of TETIS Hydrological model (Francés et. al, 2007) 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 , ln( ln( ) ( )1 t t t t u t t uef t H X H X H X H H [1] [13] [14] MODEL CALIBRATION Calibration procedure was carried out for a rainfall-runoff event (19-09-1983). The SCE-UA optimization algorithm was used to maximize Nash-Sutcleffe Eficiency at the outlet gauge station. Three calibrations were performed: 1. parameter values resolution of 30x30 (Support 1), 2. parameter values resolution of 1732x1732 (Support 2) and 3. the coarser parameter resolution with subgrid equations (Support 2 + subgrid). Each calibration was applied with a spatial resolution of 30x30 m 2 and temporal discretization of 5 minutes. 1. The spatial-temporal validations indicate an important difference in model performance when comparing the three approaches (Figure 6). There is a consistent improvement of model performance when is considered the sub-grid heterogeneity by non-stationary effective parameters. 2. Validation by continuous simulation: The validation for an entire year (1984) confirms the better performance of the hydrological model by using equations taking into account subgrid heterogeneities. The worst performance was founded neglecting subgrid variability and using the coarser spatial resolution of parameters. Figure 5. Parameter fields used to test the utility of subgrid representation. Top: 30x30 m 2 spatial resolution (Support 1). Down: 1732x1732 m 2 of spatial resolution (Support 2) . Figure 6. Comparison of NSE in spatial-temporal validation for all approaches. Based on the assumption of Beta distribution of soil static storage capacity (H u ) and Lognormal distribution of saturated hydraulic conductivities k s and k p at point scale (S1) we calculated derived distribution functions of flow variables at point scale. We propose the inversion of the Equations (1 and 2) to calculate non-stationary effective parameters at cell scale (S2). This technique lets us to calculate H u [S2] when X 2 [S2] is larger than zero (Equation 3), that assumption preserves mass balance. The inversion of Equation 2 lets us to state that the parameter k s [S2] is equal to X 3 [S2], and a similar procedure was carried out to calculate effective parameters of k p . The resulting equations are expressed in an integral form and the validity of those equations was tested by Monte Carlo simulations on a single cell containing N subcells. Verification by Monte Carlo simulations: Calculation of k pEF,t has a similar structure to equations [7], [8] and [9]. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 if 1 if f a b u u u H f a b u a b H H H X H a b f H a b H H H X H a b w w 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 a b x w u u u f uEF u a b w X x w a b H H H E H H dH a b a b H H X H X dH a b 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 , 3 6 8 3 6 4 4 3 2 2 6 8 3 6 4 if 2 2 t t t t t t t t t t t t tt t t t t uEF t t m n nm m wm n m l l w l n nl l wl n l H n w if t n 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 / / s s X k X k X F X F X t F X F X t F X 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 / / / s s s X k X k X k X f X F X t F X F X t F X F X t F X 3, 3, max 3, , 3, 3, 3, 0 t t X t sEF t t X t t E X k X f X dX 1 1, t t t n n X 1 t t n l w t t m w n [5] [6] [7] [8] [10] [11] 2, 1, 2, 1 1 2, 1, 0 1 if 1 if t t t t p b a X t u t X X a b F X d H H a b 1, 2 1 ,1 ; 1; in otherwise 1 1 t a t t a a X a b q q F a ba a b w a w 1 1 t t w n p w 2, 1 t t t q X w n 2 1 ypergeometric function F H [9] , 1, 1, 2, 2 2 2 2 ut t t t H S X S H S X S 1 2, 3, 2, , 1 3, 3, 2, 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 t t t st t t t X S t X S X S k S X S t X S X S Direct Formulation: Analytical non-stationary effective parameters: 2 1 1 (0; ) u X Max X H H 3 2 ( ; ) s X Min X t k Inverse Formulation: Semi-empirical equations of non-stationary effective parameters: [12] [2] [3] [4] VALIDATION Figure 3. Scatter plots showing the validity of non-stationary effective parameters equations. Figure 7. Comparison of NSE in spatial-temporal validation for continuous simulation (year 1984). realizations 10000 a 2 b 2 Λ 20 mean k s 5 variance k s 100 mean k p 6 variance k p 144 dt 1/6 hours H1 initial 0.2*Hu alpha k s 0.0996 apha k p 0.104 mu 2.306 sigma 5.82E-04 We formulated semi-empirical equations of non-stationary effective parameters because of the analytical ones must be solved by numerical integration and their solution would require the use of many computational resources to be applied in a real case study. Figure 2. Non-stationary effective parameter as a function of input and state variable. Figure 4. Study area. , 2, 2, 2 , ( ) 1 ,, ( ) sef t s t s t t s X k X X k k k , 3, 3, 3 , ( ) 1 ,, ( ) pef t p t p t t p X k X X k k k

Transcript of Parameterization of subgrid heterogeneities for hydrologic ...

Page 1: Parameterization of subgrid heterogeneities for hydrologic ...

Soil heterogeneity is relevant for hydrological processes modelling and

distributed hydrological models take into account that issue by an

explicit representation of spatial variability. Parametric and mechanistic

models are characterized by de problem that its parameter’s values

depend on the scale at which they are calibrated. Going downwards in

model development we need to know what level of complexity is

sufficient to represent the main behavior of our hydrological systems.

We present a formulation to parameterize subgrid heterogeneities of soil

hydraulic parameters and its incorporation within TETIS hydrological

model. The parameterization approach was tested in a small

experimental watershed and compared with TETIS parameterization

without subgrid representation by using aggregated parameters at a

coarser support. The representation of subgrid heterogeneities improved

model performance in spatial-temporal validation.

This work present the development of scaling equations

to transfer the effect of subgrid spatial heterogeneities

of soil parameters within a hydrological model. The

implementation of hose equations in TETIS model

demonstrated its potential to improve the representation

of the hydrological processes within the catchment.

The main advantage of taking into account sub-grid

heterogeneity is that we can obtain a more robust

calibrated hydrological model than using stationary

effective parameters. The robustness is improved in the

sense of better performance of runoff simulations at

locations don’t used to hydrological model. calibration

Nevertheless, the stationary effective parameters have

shown a good representation of watershed properties for

runoff modeling and its results are close to sub-grid

results in high magnitude events.

The results of validation by continuous simulation

confirms the utility of subgrid equations to represent the

Hydrology of Goodwin Creek. But it is needed to

contrast this hypothesis in other catchments to state a

stronger analysis based on the study of a wide range of

hydrologic conditions.

This study was supported by the Programme ALBan, the

European Union Programme of High Level Scholarships

for Latin America, scholarship No. E07D402940CO, and

by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through

the project Consolider-Ingenio SCARCE (ref: CSD2009-

00065).

Francés, F., Vélez, J.I., Vélez, J.J. (2007) Split-parameter

structure for the automatic calibration of distributed

hydrological models. Journal of Hydrology 332: 226-240.

Gourley, J. J. and B. E. Vieux (2006). "A method for

identifying sources of model uncertainty in rainfall-runoff

simulations." Journal of Hydrology 327 (1-2): 68-80.

Merz R, Parajka J, Blöschl G. (2009). Scale effects in

conceptual hydrological modeling. Water Resour. Res. 45:

W09405 doi: 10.1029/2009wr007872.

1. Introduction 3. Results

2. Approach

4. Conclusions

Acknowledges

References

Parameterization of subgrid heterogeneities for hydrologic

modelling Miguel Barrios ([email protected]), Félix Francés ([email protected])

Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Camino de Vera s/n, 46022 Valencia, Spain

Figure 1. Scheme of TETIS Hydrological model (Francés et. al, 2007)

121 1 1 1

1 1,ln( ln( )

( ) 1t t tt

ut tuef tHX H X H

X H H

[1]

[13]

[14]

MODEL CALIBRATION

Calibration procedure was carried out for a rainfall-runoff event

(19-09-1983). The SCE-UA optimization algorithm was used to

maximize Nash-Sutcleffe Eficiency at the outlet gauge station.

Three calibrations were performed: 1. parameter values resolution

of 30x30 (Support 1), 2. parameter values resolution of

1732x1732 (Support 2) and 3. the coarser parameter resolution

with subgrid equations (Support 2 + subgrid).

Each calibration was applied with a spatial resolution of 30x30

m2 and temporal discretization of 5 minutes.

1. The spatial-temporal validations

indicate an important difference

in model performance when

comparing the three approaches

(Figure 6). There is a consistent

improvement of model

performance when is considered

the sub-grid heterogeneity by

non-stationary effective

parameters.

2. Validation by continuous

simulation: The validation for

an entire year (1984) confirms

the better performance of the

hydrological model by using

equations taking into account

subgrid heterogeneities. The

worst performance was founded

neglecting subgrid variability

and using the coarser spatial

resolution of parameters.

Figure 5. Parameter fields used to test the utility of subgrid representation. Top: 30x30 m2 spatial resolution (Support 1).

Down: 1732x1732 m2 of spatial resolution (Support 2) .

Figure 6. Comparison of NSE in spatial-temporal validation for all

approaches.

Based on the assumption of Beta distribution of soil static storage

capacity (Hu) and Lognormal distribution of saturated hydraulic

conductivities ks and kp at point scale (S1) we calculated derived

distribution functions of flow variables at point scale. We propose the

inversion of the Equations (1 and 2) to calculate non-stationary effective

parameters at cell scale (S2). This technique lets us to calculate Hu[S2]

when X2[S2] is larger than zero (Equation 3), that assumption preserves

mass balance. The inversion of Equation 2 lets us to state that the

parameter ks[S2] is equal to X3[S2], and a similar procedure was carried

out to calculate effective parameters of kp. The resulting equations are

expressed in an integral form and the validity of those equations was

tested by Monte Carlo simulations on a single cell containing N subcells.

Verification by Monte Carlo simulations:

Calculation of kpEF,t has a similar structure to equations [7], [8] and [9].

1

1 1

1 1

1 1 1

1 11 1

1 if

1 if

f

a b

u uu

H f a b

u

a b H HH X H

a bf H

a b H HH X H

a b w w

1

1

1

1 1

1

10

1 1

1 1 1 1 11

1

1

1

a bxw u u u

f uEF u

a bw X

xw

a bH H HE H H dH

a b

a bH H X H XdH

a b

2 2 2 23

33

2 2 2 2

,3

6 8 3 6 44 3

2 2

6 8 3 6 4 if

2

2

t t t t t t t tt t

t t t t t t t tuEF t

t

m n n m m wm n ml l

w

l n n l l wl n lHn

w

if tn

3 2 23 3 3 3 31 1 / /

s sX k X k XF X F X t F X F X t F X

3 2 2 23 3 3 3 3 3 3/ / /

s s sX k X k X k Xf X F X t F X F X t F X F X t F X

3,

3,

max

3, , 3, 3, 3,0

t

t

X

t sEF t t X t tE X k X f X dX

1 1,t t tn n X 1

tt

nl

w

t tm w n

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[10]

[11]

2,

1, 2,

11

2, 1,0

1 if

1 if t

t

t t

pba

X t u t

X X

a bF X d H H

a b

1,

2 1 ,1 ; 1; in otherwise11

t

a

t t

a a

X

a b q qF a b a

a b wa w

1

1

t

t

w np

w

2, 1t t tq X w n 2 1 ypergeometric functionF H

[9]

, 1, 1, 2,2 2 2 2u t t t tH S X S H S X S

1

2, 3, 2,

, 1

3, 3, 2,

2 2 22

2 2 2

t t t

s t

t t t

X S t X S X Sk S

X S t X S X S

Direct Formulation:

Analytical non-stationary effective parameters:

2 1 1( 0 ; )uX Max X H H

3 2( ; )sX Min X t k

Inverse Formulation:

Semi-empirical equations of non-stationary effective parameters:

[12]

[2]

[3]

[4]

VALIDATION

Figure 3. Scatter plots showing the validity of non-stationary

effective parameters equations.

Figure 7. Comparison of NSE in

spatial-temporal validation for

continuous simulation (year

1984).

realizations 10000

a 2

b 2

Λ 20

mean k s 5

variance k s 100

mean k p 6

variance k p 144

dt 1/6 hours

H1 initial 0.2*Hu

alpha k s 0.0996

apha k p 0.104

mu 2.306

sigma 5.82E-04

We formulated semi-empirical equations of non-stationary effective

parameters because of the analytical ones must be solved by numerical

integration and their solution would require the use of many

computational resources to be applied in a real case study.

Figure 2. Non-stationary effective parameter as a

function of input and state variable.

Figure 4. Study area.

, 2, 2, 2, ( ) 1 , , ( )sef t s t s t t sX k X X kk k

, 3, 3, 3, ( ) 1 , , ( )pef t p t p t t pX k X X kk k