Overseas Base Closures: Prospects and Impacts · Patriot/Theater Mis. Def 18th MP BDE Signal BDE...

15
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 1 Overseas Base Closures: Prospects and Impacts Dr. Craig College, February 28, 2012

Transcript of Overseas Base Closures: Prospects and Impacts · Patriot/Theater Mis. Def 18th MP BDE Signal BDE...

Page 1: Overseas Base Closures: Prospects and Impacts · Patriot/Theater Mis. Def 18th MP BDE Signal BDE Engineer BDE Sustainment BDE 172nd HBCT 2nd Stryker RGT Joint Multi National Training

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 1

Overseas Base

Closures: Prospects

and Impacts

Dr. Craig College, February 28, 2012

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• Budget

• Europe Reductions

• Overseas Base Closure

• Impact on Domestic Installations

• European Perspective on Base Closures

Overseas Base Closures: Prospects &

Impacts

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 2

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The Fiscal Driver

Federal Deficit/Surplus

3

Federal Surplus / Deficit

-1,600

-1,400

-1,200

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

1940

1942

1944

1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

TY

$ in

B

-12%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

Su

rplu

s / D

efi

cit

as %

of

GD

P

CBO 5 Mar 10 ProjectionCBO 5 Mar 10 Projection

40-year average(1969-2009):

-2.6%

FY08 – $459BFY09 – $1413BFY10 – $1500BFY11 – $1341BFY12 – $915B

FYDP average(2011-2015):

-5.4%

Federal Surplus / Deficit

-1,600

-1,400

-1,200

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

1940

1942

1944

1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

TY

$ in

B

-12%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

Su

rplu

s / D

efi

cit

as %

of

GD

P

CBO 5 Mar 10 ProjectionCBO 5 Mar 10 Projection

40-year average(1969-2009):

-2.6%

FY08 – $459BFY09 – $1413BFY10 – $1500BFY11 – $1341BFY12 – $915B

FYDP average(2011-2015):

-5.4%

FYDP average(2011-2015):

-5.4%

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 3

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.0 M

1.0 M

2.0 M

3.0 M

4.0 M

5.0 M

6.0 M

7.0 M

8.0 M

$ B

$100 B

$200 B

$300 B

$400 B

$500 B

$600 B

$700 B

$800 BDoD Military Manpower DoD Total Manpower DoD $ (FY12 Constant $) FY01-11 Base (FY12 Constant $)

Korean War

Armistice (1953)

Vietnam War

Ends (1973)

Height of

Vietnam

War (1968)

Gulf War

Ends (1991)

Height of

Cold War

(1985)

9/11

(2001)

The Defense Budget Over Time • Discretionary spending is ~35% of total federal budget – Defense budget is ~50% of discretionary spending

• Increasing emphasis on reducing spending/deficit – Congress and the Administration

• Historically, funding levels have decreased as military demand decreases

BCA

BCA

impact

?

OCO?

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 4

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The Army Budget

$78 $84$97 $103 $103 $105 $112

$131$143 $144 $140 $135 $135

$26

$40 $64

$72

$109

$121 $92 $99 $100

$68 $50

$78$86

$123

$143

$167$177

$221

$252

$235$243 $240

$203

$185

$ B

$50 B

$100 B

$150 B

$200 B

$250 B

$300 B

FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

Execution Approp Request

Base OCO OCO Request

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 5

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Supporting Infrastructure

Reductions

Franconia *

FY06

Hessen **

FY08

Giessen

FY07

Darmstadt

FY08

Inactivated

6 Garrisons

DoD Agency Closure: (FY06-11)

22 DoDD Schools (- 578 staff positions)

14 DeCA Commissaries (-198 staff positions)

7 AAFES Main Post Exchanges / 74 other AAFES facilities

* Using OSD BRAC 05 Rules,

Site w/$100M PRV = Major Closure

Heidelberg

FY10 Mannheim

FY11

Announced Site Closures / Pending Actions (FY12-16)

22 Sites to Return 6,550 Acres $4.931B PRV

1 Garrison (USAG-BW) To Inactivate

BRAC 05 (FY06-11)

ARMY’s 12 Major Closures *

@ $7.2B PRV

Consigned Site Reductions

* AKA Wurzburg

** AKA Hanau

Installations & sites returned to the Host Nation

– FY06 07 Sites Returned (211 Acres, PRV .36B)

– FY07 29 Sites Returned (2,986 Acres, PRV 2.48B)

– FY08 26 Sites Returned (11,305 Acres, PRV 2.53B)

– FY09 20 Sites Returned (7,816 Acres, PRV 2.71B)

– FY10 08 Sites Returned (68 Acres, PRV .50B)

– FY11 07 Sites Returned (298 Acres, PRV .51B)

Total 97 ( 27 Major Closures* @ 23,224 Acres $9.1B PRV)

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 6

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2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 7

7

USAREUR Transformation Overview

Ansbach

Stuttgart

Garmisch

Mannheim /

Heidelberg

Wiesbaden

Baumholder

Grafenwoehr

Hohenfels

Kaiserslautern

IMCOM-Europe Related Actions: Garrison Restructuring: Close 2* and convert 2 Garrisons to sub-sites of their parent garrison

Site Reductions: Close 9 sites ( ~$39.7M Annual Savings)

Logistics Transfer: Region CPSSO, Consol Maint / Garrison DOLs to AMC FY13?

Build up of the Receiving (Enduring) Garrisons

Maintain the Region’s Centralized SRM Account to support USAREUR Transformation

Establish the New USAG Vicenza Dal Molin site to support 173rd BCT consolidation

Schweinfurt *

Bamberg

To the

United States US Army EUR HQs

V Corps HQs

66th MI

5th Sig

170th HBCT

IMCOM-E HQs

21st TSC/7th CSC

Landstuhl Regional Med Center

ERMC

Patriot/Theater Mis. Def

18th MP BDE

Signal BDE

Engineer BDE

Sustainment BDE

172nd HBCT

2nd Stryker RGT Joint Multi National Training Command

Vicenza Livorno

173rd ABCT US Army Africa HQs

APS 2 Site

EUCOM HQs

AFRICOM HQs

SOF HQs

USAREUR Units Relocations 1. Returned 1st AD to Ft. Bliss (2011)

2. Relocate V Corps HQs to Wiesbaden (~2011)

3. Relocate USAREUR HQ to Wiesbaden (~2012-13) 4. Inactivation of the 170th (FY12) & 172nd HBCT (FY13) 5. Consolidate 173rd ABCT in Italy (2014)

12th Aviation BDE

Enduring

Closing

Non-Enduring

Garrisons

Conversions

Schinnen

Brussels

BENLUX

* Pending HQDA TAA14-18 Force Structure decisions

Proposed

Conversions

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2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 8

USAREUR HQs C2 Consolidation

CLOSE DARMSTADT

Consolidation at Wiesbaden Permits:

Consolidation of USAREUR HQ, V Corps HQ, 5th Signal Cmd and 66th MI Bde

Closure of 3 non-enduring communities; Mannheim, Heidelberg & Darmstadt

Provides improved force protection, expansion capability and enhanced communications

CLOSE MANNHEIM

27 mi

37 mi

59 mi

WIESBADEN

CLOSE HEIDELBERG

$112M Annual Savings w/ROI of 3.4 Yrs

AFH

Mission

Command

Center

FY09/11

Consolidated

Intel Center

FY11

Information

Processing

Center

FY11

Color Organization

USAREUR

V-Corps

5th SIG CMD

4th ASOG

66th MI BDE

1/214th AVN BN

529th MP CO / CLE

Medical + WTU

USAG Wiesbaden

ELIMINATES: • 48 installations (28/20)* • $8B Plant Value • 9 DoDEA schools • 45 controlled gates • 2 airfields • 5K+ AFH Quarters • 3 sets of community support infrastructure

* 28 Closed / 20 Pending Closure

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USAG Schinnen Relocation

7.7 Miles

Brunssum NATO

Joint Forces HQs

Hendricks Mine Site

1.1 Miles

ESSO

ESSO

ESSO

ESSO

$3.7M Annual savings, ROI = 2.9 Years

Brunnsum

NIC Site

USAG Schinnen

Emma Mine

Leased Site

Leased Site Reduction

NL Gov’t

Is funding $14M to

Support the Move

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 9

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Germersheim Army Depot MILCON Projects

FY12 Central Distr. Facility for AAFES $21.0M

Allows for closure of AAFES Giessen Depot

• Status: 95% design in progress

• Construct 16,000 SF admin building (Renovate Brks Bldg)

• Construct 48,000 SY container hardstand (Build Smaller)

• Renovate 13 warehouses (Limit Scope)

FY09 Logistics Distr. Center, DLA $21.0M

Allows DDDE to relocate from “Big O” facilities

• 235,000 SF warehouse & operations center

•10,000 SF admin facility

• 6,000 SY concrete warehouse aprons

FY12 Infrastructure Upgrade (entire depot) $16.5M

• Status: Design started 22 Nov 2011

•135,000 SY road construction & repair (Deferred)

• Upgrade electrical service (Limit Scope)

• Install water & gas lines (Limit Scope)

Germersheim Army Depot IMCOM-E use of Host Nation Payment-In-Kind (PIK) /

SRM to fill in for recently cancelled /deferred MILCON)

AAFES Distribution Center

Ex-Giessen Army Depot

Germersheim Army Depot (GAD)

~$5.3M Annual

BASOPs Cost*

* Large Deferred Maintenance Bill

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 10

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Overseas Base Closure

1. IMCOM-Europe and USAREUR consult and determine which sites or entire

installations would be excess to need.

2. USAREUR, nominates the site/installation to EUCOM for return.

3. EUCOM Staff reviews the proposal and coordinates to see if any other

service could use. EUCOM coordinates with the affected Embassy to

conduct a host nation sensitivity study. If no major issues, forward to Joint

Staff. (Staffing & Embassy coordination until EUCOM approval ~30 days)

4. Joint Staff reviews, coordinates with the services and if no objections,

forwards to OSD.

5. OSD Staff reviews, determines policy or NATO impact, notifies/coordinates

w/ State Department, sends to Office of SECDEF for signature.

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 11

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2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 12

6. OSD returns signed approval memorandum to EUCOM.

7. EUCOM coordinates with USAREUR to set an official Host Nation notification

date. EUCOM coordinates with Embassy to conduct classified Host Nation

notification to affected Ministry of Defense/Federal Government.

8. USAREUR & IMCOM Public Affairs Officers coordinate a "Public

Announcement" packet.

a. USAREUR Liaisons notify state government officials .

b. USAREUR Civilian Personnel Division notifies Local National Head

Works council.

c. Garrison Commanders notify affected Mayors, Local National Works

Councils, and employees/family members of the action.

d. Once notifications are complete, USAREUR & IMCOM-E Public Affairs

release an official news release to U.S. and Local National news

organizations.

Overseas Base Closure

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2

ARMY

NAVY

AIR FORCE

SOCOM

ARMY

DOD Combine Services on Installations

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 3 2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 13

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 11

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WE JUST DO NOT KNOW FOR SURE……

• WHICH UNITS?

• Recent announcement: (Army Times, 27 FEB 2012)

- 170th Brigade (Baumholder) by Oct 2012.

- 172nd Brigade (Schweinfurt/ Grafenwoehr) by end of 2013.

• CG USAREUR has offered other units that may be better used

in CONUS.

- Military police companies, Engineer Brigade HQS, truck

companies, logistic units

• WHEN & WHAT OTHER UNITS?

• Await decision from the National Command Authority

(President through Secretary of Defense)

Force Structure Changes

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 14

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Impact on Domestic Installations

• Primary:

• The Army is drawing down to 490K from 569K

• No authorities that permit Army to execute stationing

decisions without standard Congressional notification

• Potential BRAC

• Secondary:

• Potential Overseas Base Closure

• Not clear what will happen with other USAREUR units

• Don’t know what other units will deactivate or relocate to

CONUS

• Reductions may relieve Installation / IMCOM budget

constraints

2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 15