OCTOBER PRESENTATION - Delphi Energy · 2019. 10. 21. · CORPORATE OVERVIEW October 2019 2...
Transcript of OCTOBER PRESENTATION - Delphi Energy · 2019. 10. 21. · CORPORATE OVERVIEW October 2019 2...
OCTOBER 2019
OCTOBER PRESENTATION
CORPORATE OVERVIEW
October 2019 2
CORPORATE INFORMATION
Ticker Symbol TSX:DEE
Basic Shares Outstanding (mm) 185.5
Enterprise Value (mm) $180.0
Bank Debt (1) / Credit Facility (mm) $64.0/ $90.0
5 Year Senior Secured Notes (mm)
Maturity Date: July 2021
$105.0
(1) Estimate of bank debt as of September 30, 2019 includes working capital and excludes $7.4 million of outstanding Letters of Credit
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
Q3/18A Q4/18A Q1/19A Q2/19A Q3/19E Q4/19E
Debt & WC LC's
Ne
t B
ank
Deb
t (
$ m
m)
(in
c/ w
ork
ing
cap
ital
)
SENIOR CREDIT FACILITY
Bank(s) reducing lending values
42% Reduction in Bank Debt Capex << Cash Flow Sale of XS Alliance Service Increased Liquidity
Q2 / 2019 OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
Corporate Production (boe/d) 9,157
Condensate & Pentanes / NGL’s (bbl/d) 3,063 33%
Natural Gas Liquids (bbl/d) 944 11%
Natural Gas (mmcf/d) 30.9 56%
Operating Netback ($/boe) $20.79
Grande Prairie
Bigstone
Montney
Edmonton
Calgary
DELPHI: A PURE PLAY MONTNEY E&P COMPANY
October 2019 3
Bigstone is a liquids-rich Montney asset
yielding top operating margins
Increasing condensate production
and high stable yields
Owned infrastructure leading to
lower operating costs
Pad drilling driving capex efficiencies
Largest operated land position
Large drilling inventory
Alliance / Chicago natural gas
market access
Proven commodities hedging
strategy
Finding relevancy in today’s capital markets
A DOMINANT OPERATED LAND POSITION
Montney land base has grown to 148
gross sections (97 net)
Significant land position allows for
efficient operations, control over
infrastructure and scalable
development
19+ year drilling inventory* on
approximately 118 gross undeveloped
(including partially undeveloped)
sections:
19 years of drilling inventory assuming a 3 rig
(21 well/year) program
Continue to identify and pursue
additional consolidation opportunities
* Based on 4 to 6 laterals per section and 1 to 2 layers across
the 118 sections, increasing in well density from NE to SW.
Refer to disclaimer for further details.
October 2019 4
Largest Land Position at Bigstone
WEST BIGSTONE: MULTIPLE LAYERS COULD DOUBLE INVENTORY
October 2019 5
DEE 6 wells on Section 10:
Targeting Upper D1, D2, D3
275 m well spacing
15-20 m vertical separation
Competitor 2 wells drilled:
Targeting C, D1, Lower D2
Pad built for up to 16 wells
200 m well spacing
Competitor
Multi-Well Pad
Waiting on
CompletionCompetitor
License
Section 10
4 Well Pad
On Production
DEE
XTO
INCREASING CONDENSATE YIELDS
6
Condensate Gas Ratios Significantly Greater in West Bigstone with Frac Design Changes
15-10
10-27
16-23
15-24
15-3011-17
15-21
13-30
2-1
2-78-2116-15
3-26
13-2316-27
12-2716-24
13-24
14-30
14-2414-27
13-21
15-2314-11
16-9
14-21
16-21
15-8
15-11
13-15
15-9
13-9
13-17
14-9
16-18
13-10
9-8
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
IP1
80
CG
R (
bb
l/m
mcf
sale
s)
IP30 CGR (bbl/mmcf sales)
Delphi Bigstone Montney - IP180 CGR vs. IP30 CGR
West Type Well - Stabilized CGRType Well - Stabilized CGR
West wells
East wells
Initial Production (IP) Rate Well Performance (1)
Delphi Bigstone Montney
Total FCondy Field CGR Total FCondy Field CGR Total FCondy Field CGR Total FCondy Field CGR
(boe/d) (bbl/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (bbl/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (bbl/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (bbl/d) (bbl/mmcf)
Average West Wells 1,055 588 277 855 415 207 699 311 171 528 213 143
Average East Wells 1,340 440 108 1,127 308 80 927 230 70 699 158 62
Average All Wells 1,227 498 175 1,019 350 131 848 258 105 649 174 86
(1) Average production for 2 mile, toe-up, slickwater fraced wells calculated on operating days, excludes non-producing days. Includes estimated NGL gas plant recoveries. All production numbers represent sales volumes.
IP30 IP90 IP180 IP365
October 2019
NETBACK COMPARISON – SELECT MONTNEY PRODUCERS
October 2019 7
Sources: DEE; Company MD&As(1) Excluding hedges. DEE hedge gain $2.50 per boe.
Delphi’s condensate yields, total liquids content and operating netbacks
are among the highest in the Montney
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
DEE VII NVA KEL SRX CR BIR AAV
Operating Netback Q2 2019
Operating netback Royalties Operating
Transportation % Liquids (Total) % Condensate
Lean Montney Producers
Liquids-Rich Producers75% greater netback
DEE Water
Disposal
(16-34-59-21W5)
October 2019 8
BIGSTONE INFRASTRUCTURE FULLY INTEGRATED
Invested $100 mm in facility and
pipeline infrastructure over the
past 7 years
Montney gas processed at 4
different plants Pipeline connecting 1-03 to
Amine allowing movement from
West to East for improved
pricing
Amine plant sending sweetened
Montney gas to Bigstone 14-28
natural gas plant (25% Delphi
working interest)
West Bigstone 16-10 and 15-10
wells producing to 100% Delphi
11-03 sweet gas plant
3 of 4 plants dually connected to
Alliance and TCPL
Maintaining flexibility to preferred
natural gas markets
REPSOL
Sour Gas Facility
10 mmcf/d
DEE 7-11
Sour Montney Facility
52 mmcf/d
4,400 bbl/d condensate
DEE Amine Plant
17 mmcf/d
DEE 11-03
Sweet Gas Plant
15 mmcf/d
DEE 5-08
Sour Montney Facility
10 mmcf/d
DEE 1-03
Sour Montney Facility
7 mmcf/d
3,000 bbl/d condensate
Alliance/TCPL/Pembina
SemCams KA/K3
Alliance (2022)
TCPL
Alliance/TCPL/Pembina
SemCams K3Allia
nce/T
CP
L
RE
PS
OL E
dson
TC
PL
CATAPULT
Water Disposal Facility
P/L connected to DEE
REPSOL 14-28
Sweet Gas Plant
85 mmcf/d
Existing DEE Pipeline/Plant
Infrastructure
7-11 AMINE PLANT DELIVERING GAS TO BIGSTONE PLANT
October 2019 9
Delphi
52 mmcf/d sour
compression and
dehydration
facility
Delphi
17 mmcf/d amine
plant sweetens
Montney sour gas
Delivers gas to
Bigstone Plant for
final processing at
much lower cost
than K3 and Edson
BIGSTONE SWEET GAS PROCESSING PLANT
October 2019 10
Repsol / Delphi sweet natural gas processing plant
Delphi 25% working interest - 85 mmcf/d capacity
Significantly under-utilized
Excess capacity to support second amine plant
Now processing amine sweetened Montney gas
Material operating cost savings
30
7
22
Alliance Firm Alliance IT TCPL Firm
SECURE MARKET ACCESS FOR GROWTH
11
Alliance
37 mmcf/d of firm and priority interruptible service
Access to premium pricing via Chicago City Gate
Full utilization of service in 2022 with reactivation of Bigstone Plant Alliance Lateral Delphi captures value of excess service through assignment at a premium or marketing activity
TCPL
22 mmcf/d firm service
Low cost service for growth beyond 2019
Delphi/Alliance
Full Path Service to Chicago
1. Subsequent to sale of 16 mmcf/d of excess Alliance service in September 2019.
Contracted Transportation
Service (mmcf/d)1
October 2019
GAS MARKETING
October 2019 12
(1) Based on Q2/19 average daily gas sales of 30 mmcf/d (45% AECO).
.
Approximately 55% of natural gas sold in Chicago generating significantly higher pricing than AECO
Reactivation of the Alliance pipeline lateral at Bigstone plant in 2022 will increase Alliance - Chicago sales
to approximately 90% of total
AECO 10%
Chicago 90%
Natural Gas Sales by Market - 2022
AECO 45%
Chicago 55%
Natural Gas Sales by Market (1)
PROVEN RISK MANAGEMENT PROGRAM
Majority of near term production is hedged
Risk management contracts generally put in
place over a 12 - 36 month period
Over 13 years risk management program has:
Realized $113 million in hedging gains
Increased revenues by 9%
Increased cash flow by 20%
Added $3.65/boe to netback
October 2019 13
Consistent Hedge Performance
-$20
-$10
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*
Hedging Gains/Losses ($millions)
Cold winter lifting natural
gas prices in 2014
Natural gas
price spike in
2008
Steady decline of natural
gas prices from 2009 to
2013
Collapse of natural gas and
crude oil prices
Commodity Hedges Q4 2019 1H 2020 2H 2020
Natural gas (mmcf/d) 11.7 8.8 2.5
Average hedge price (C$/mcf)(2) $3.43 $3.37 $3.29
% of natural gas production
hedged(3)
38% 28% 8%
Crude oil (bbl/d) 2,350 2,000 1,500
Average hedge price (C$/bbl) $87.89 $83.31 $83.12
Propane (bbl/d) 400 100 100
Average hedge price (C$/bbl) $44.16 $42.69 $42.69
% of condensate & NGL production
hedged(3)
69% 52% 40%
(1) Assumes an FX of 1.32 CAD per USD.
(2) Includes the impact of NYMEX HH natural gas – Chicago basis hedges.
(3) Based on Q2 production of 30.9 mmcf/d of natural gas production, 4,007 bbl/d of condensate and NGL
production
* Mark-to-market value of 2019 hedges as at September 30, 2019
BIGSTONE MONTNEY
OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW
14October 2019
WEST BIGSTONE: DELINEATION SHIFTS TO DEVELOPMENT
15
Ultra-rich West Bigstone:
12 wells now on production
4 well pad on in April 2019
15-10 and 16-10 offsets
are best wells drilled LTD
by Delphi
Section 19 and 31 wells
are also ultra-rich
condensate wellsSections 19 and 31
5 Wells
On ProductionCompetitor
Multi-Well Pad
Waiting on
CompletionCompetitor
License
Section 10
4 Well Pad
On Production
15-10 and 16-10
On Production
October 2019
MOST RECENT WEST BIGSTONE RESULTS
16
13-34-60-24W5 four-well pad
Observing performance over the first 120 -180 days will be necessary to determine impacts of the increased
fracture intensity
Increased stage counts to 80 (50 ball drop and 30 Perf & Plug) on two eastern-most wells directly offsetting 15-10
Cased hole extreme limited entry with 40 stage x 5 clusters = 200 perf clusters on two western-most wells
Larger pads will reduce completion costs
Pad drilling will greatly reduce frac hits (offset frac hits impact gas rate more than field condensate rate)
Initial Production (IP) Rate Well Performance (1)
Well/Pad(2) Frac Design Horizontal Number
Generation Length of Fracs Total Sales Field Condy Liquids Total Sales Field Condy Liquids Total Sales Field Condy Liquids
to Gas Yield (%) to Gas Yield (%) to Gas Yield (%)
(metres) (boe/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (bbl/mmcf) (boe/d) (bbl/mmcf)
15-19 5th 2,862 49 1,828 228 62% 1,300 183 58% 974 168 56%
16-07 5th 2,853 28 607 319 69% 565 208 60% 457 183 58%
16-10 6th 2,855 64 1,441 317 67% 1,234 181 54% 1,035 150 50%
16-19 5th 2,860 34 953 245 63% 722 188 58% 569 167 56%
02/16-31 3rd 2,944 49 1,095 340 70% 800 304 67% 613 279 66%
02/15-19 3rd 2,687 50 998 245 63% 754 199 59% 586 180 57%
15-10 6th 2,963 64 1,294 245 61% 1,100 153 51% 781 158 52%
02/15-10 7th 2,869 80 980 233 62% 852 170 56%
03/16-31 6th 2,938 64 1,173 394 72% 902 312 68% 714 272 65%
14-10 7th 2,945 79 1,171 330 69% 945 238 63%
12-10 8th 2,636 41(3) 756 558 78% 585 408 73%
13-10 8th 2,951 40(3) 886 381 72% 670 269 65%
15-10/16-10 Average 1,367 281 64% 1,167 167 53%
13-34 Pad Average 949 376 70% 763 271 64%
(1) Average production calculated on operating days, excludes non-producing days. Includes estimated NGL gas plant recoveries. All production numbers represent sales volumes.
(2) Wells listed chronologically by rig release date.
(3) Extreme limited entry completion w ith 5 clusters per frac/stage.
IP30 IP90 IP180
October 2019
Stable Ultra-Rich Liquids Yields
$2 $2 $2
$7 $7 $6
$6 $6 $6
$18 $21
$29
-
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
East All Wells West
Re
ve
nu
e (
$/B
OE
)
Royalties Opcosts Transportation Operating netback
IP90 CGR = 131
IP90 CGR = 207
INCREASING NETBACKS
17
% Change
West vs East
Revenue 30%
Royalty 30%
Operating costs (16%)
Transportation (7%)
Netback 61%
1. Based on US$55 WTI, US$2.80 NYMEX gas and 2019 estimated field differentials, operating costs and transportation costs per unit for each product stream and average royalty rates.
2. See Non-IFRS measures in the Advisories.
Corporate Netbacks Increase with Addition of Higher Condensate Yield Wells
Impact of Production Composition on IP90 Operating
Netback for Bigstone Montney1
IP90 CGR
= 80
2
October 2019
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
San
d P
laced
(lb
/hz f
t)
Pla
nn
ed
Sta
ges
Planned stages Sand placed
18October 2019
Montney Frac Generation Design Evolution
CRACKING THE COMPLETION CODE AT WEST BIGSTONE
Evolution to more stages and
sand moving to West Bigstone
More at West - less at East
Optimizing frac sizes to
maximize capital efficiency
Successful results of 65 and 80
stage hybrid fracs at West
Bigstone
On-going testing of limited entry
cased hole completions
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
$/b
oep
d
Montney Drill & Complete Capital Efficiency
IP30 IP90
PAD OPERATIONS WILL LOWER DRILLING COSTS
October 2019 19
DEE 13-34-60-24W5 pad operation
Drilling Cost Savings Opportunities
$3,950
$3,061
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
Base
11
4 v
s 1
39
tie
ba
ck
Le
ase F
ue
l
Surf
ace H
yd
raulic
s
Inte
rme
dia
te H
yd
raulic
s
Ma
in n
o r
eam
Wate
r d
rill
main
La
ndin
g J
oin
t
FB
We
llhea
d
PB
R n
o p
olis
h
Walk
ing R
ig
Ce
men
ted lin
er
vs P
ackers
Inte
rme
dia
te n
o r
ea
m
Full
Savin
gs
Near Term TargetP50 Case: $3.55MM
Targeting 20 - 25 percent
reduction in drilling costs
on future multi-well pads
Pe
r w
ell
dri
llin
g c
os
ts (
M$
)
PAD OPERATIONS WILL LOWER COMPLETION COSTS
October 2019 20
DEE 60,000 m3 frac water storage cell
Frac water storage cell now
operational reducing water
handling costs
In-field water disposal facility
now operational reducing
trucking and disposal costs
$4,908
$3,383
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
Cu
rren
t 4-w
ell
pa
d 4
0 s
tag
e…
in-f
ield
flo
wback
dis
posal
30
sta
ge
EL
E
clu
ste
rdia
gnostics
elim
inate
dis
so
lvable
…
pro
ppan
tsourc
ing
bi-
fuel
ele
ctr
ify
sourc
e w
ate
rin
frastr
uctu
re
wa
ter
re-u
se
6-w
ell
pad
eff
icie
ncie
s
Fin
al 30 S
tage
Well
w/s
am
e…
Pe
r w
ell
co
mp
leti
on
co
sts
(M
$)
Near Term Target
P50 Case: $3.76MM
Targeting 20 - 25 percent
reduction in completion costs
on future multi-well pads
Completion Cost Savings Opportunities
PAD OPERATIONS WILL DRIVE CAPITAL EFFICIENCIES
21
Cost effective frac design innovations driving lower F&D costs:
Drilling and completion costs lower on multi-well pad operations
Increasing condensate rates/yields
Increasing ultimate recoveries of condensate and natural gas
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Cu
mu
lati
ve F
&D
($/b
oe)
Delphi Energy Corp.Full-Cycle Cumulative Montney Finding & Development Costs
Proved Developed Producing Total Proved Total Proved plus Probable
East Bigstone
Exploration and DelineationEast Bigstone
Development
West Bigstone
Exploration and DelineationWest Bigstone
Development
October 2019
45
9
6 6
15
12
4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019
61 wells drilled LTD
BIGSTONE MONTNEY GROWTH
October 2019 22
Montney Production Growth
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 2019
Boe/d
Gas Liquids Non-Montney
Montney Wells Drilled & On Production
Montney 2P Reserve Growth
Montney asset growth funded largely
through cash flow (47%) and non-core
asset dispositions (28%)
Life-to-date (LTD) capital includes
$618 mm DCE&T
$43 mm land / acquisitions
148 gross sections of land acquired
$100 mm LTD facility infrastructure build out
Ownership in 100+ mmcf/d field gathering
and plant processing capacity
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Re
se
rve
s (
mb
oe
)
Montney Other
2P mboe CAGR 48%
NPV10 CAGR 23%Liquids CAGR 47%
Nat Gas CAGR 35%
RECAPITALIZATION
TRANSACTION
OVERVIEW
23October 2019
TRANSACTION INTRODUCTION
24
Reduces bank debt, extends maturity of CEL Notes and provides a full capital solution to further develop the Company’s high quality
Bigstone asset
$30 million treasury offering of Equity Subscription Receipts (“ESRs”) backstopped by Luminus up to $28 million
A concurrent $16.5 million ($22 million of face value) treasury offering of CEL Note subscription receipts (“NSRs”) backstopped to
$15 million by Luminus
Proceeds will be used to fund the Company’s 2020 winter capital program at the Company’s West Bigstone liquids-rich Montney
property or for consolidation of the Bigstone area through acquisitions
A Plan of Arrangement to approve the Offering and extend the maturity date of the CEL Notes to April 2023 (from July 2021
currently) and consolidate the common shares outstanding on a 15 for 1 basis
Sale of excess Alliance transportation provided $11.5 million net proceeds
The recapitalization transaction emphasizes Luminus’ support for Delphi through the committed $43 million backstop
Delphi has entered into a recapitalization transaction with Luminus Management, LLC (“Luminus”) backstopping a
treasury equity and Collateralized Exchange Listed (CEL) Note offering for $46.5 million of aggregate gross proceeds,
comprised of the following components (the “Offering”)
Strengthened Delphi with Greater Financial Flexibility
Reduced Bank Debt
Bank debt reduced by
approximately $35 mm (42%)
Enhanced Capital Availability
$52.2 mm of new net capital prior to a
$25 mm reduction in senior bank line
Durable and Sustainable
West Bigstone development
Participate in area consolidation
October 2019
TRANSACTION HIGHLIGHTS
25
Raises $40.7 million (net) through a combination of debt and equity and an additional
$11.5 million from the sale of excess Alliance transportation.
Improves the credit quality of the Company by extending the maturity date of the Notes
to April 2023 (from July 2021)
Allows Delphi to continue the Montney development through the drilling of two 3-well
(net) pads at West Bigstone in early 2020 or consolidation of the Bigstone area
Improvements in the Company’s capital structure and credit quality are expected to
strengthen the Company’s equity valuation and facilitate the continued execution of the
business plan
The recapitalization transaction sends a strong message to the market that Delphi has a
supportive shareholder base and access to capital for development or acquisitions
Maintain Pace of
Development or
Acquisitions
Improved Credit
Status
Strengthen Equity
Valuation Metrics
Illustration of
Financial
Sponsorship
The Offering and Arrangement provide Delphi with a full capital solution to increase its financial
flexibility and strengthen its future growth prospects, for the benefit of all stakeholders
New Capital
October 2019
2019 / 2020 OUTLOOK
26October 2019
Near term Objectives
Strengthen Delphi’s financial position with an improvement in Delphi’s
liquidity position, its cost of capital and the going concern nature of its
business
– Address the Senior Lenders’ borrowing base redetermination
pressures
– Extend the non-revolving debt maturity to April 2023
– Reduce bank debt while replacing/increasing producing reserves
– Provide the working capital to carry out a sustainable 2019/2020
winter capital program
– Provide the shareholders the opportunity to realize potential equity
appreciation from current levels through further development of its
core asset as well as consolidation opportunities
Beyond the Recapitalization Plan
Remain focused on operational and capital efficiencies and return on
capital:
Continued condensate production/reserve growth efforts driving
value creation in an uncertain natural gas market
Continued focus on operating and G&A controllable cost
reductions
Continued active hedging program to mitigate manage commodity
price risk
Identify, pursue, participate in consolidation opportunities with
increased financial flexibility
APPENDIX
27October 2019
ADVISORIES
Forward-Looking Statements and Information
The presentation contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements relate
to future events or the Company’s future performance and are based upon the Company’s internal assumptions and expectations. All statements other than statements of
present or historical fact are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of any of the words “expect”,
“anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “should”, “believe”, “intends”, “forecast”, “plans”, “guidance”, “budget” and similar expressions.
More particularly and without limitation, this presentation contains forward-looking statements and information relating to: the amount of proceeds to be raised under the
Offering; the use of proceeds from the Offering; the satisfaction of certain conditions of the Offering; the completion of the Offering and the timing thereof; the timing and
completion of the distribution of the Subscription Receipts pursuant to the Offering; the listing of the common shares issuable on exercise of share purchase warrants to be
issued by the Company; the timing and completion of the sale and permanent assignment by the Company of 16 mmcf/d of its firm full-path service on the Alliance pipeline
system and the use of proceeds therefrom; anticipated results from the Company’s corporate recapitalization strategy, including the Company’s ability to reduce leverage,
increase capital availability, increase liquidity, improve credit status, strengthen growth prospects and increase financial flexibility; planned drilling, exploration and
development, including the timing and completion of drilling, testing and completion of two 3-well pads at the Company’s West Bigstone property and the spudding of three
additional wells at the Company’s West Bigstone property on the second pad, and the results thereof; the Company’s financing strategy; the performance characteristics of
the Company’s oil and natural gas properties; the Company’s business prospects and strategy and its ability to continue to execute on its business plan; forecast annual
gross sales and EBITDA, year-end total debt, leverage and coverage ratios, available liquidity, annual and fourth quarter production levels and adjusted funds flow plus
proceeds and capital expenditures, in each case in 2019 through 2021; forecast adjusted funds flow sensitivity in 2020 and 2021; pro forma trading valuations following
completion of the proposed recapitalization transactions; anticipated reduction in frac hits as a result of pad drilling; anticipated reduction in costs and liner problems/failures
through the use of pad completions with cased hole liners; estimated corporate netbacks in the Company’s Bigstone Montney wells; economics/metrics related to
hypothetical type wells in Bigstone Montney, including years to payout, internal rate of return, finding and development costs per barrel of oil equivalent, target capital and
initial sales production for the first 30 and 365 days; and expected capital efficiencies resulting from pad drilling, including lower finding and development costs, increasing
condensate rates/yields and increasing ultimate recoveries of condensate and natural gas. Furthermore, statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking
statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitable in the future. The forward-
looking statements and information contained in this presentation are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Delphi.
28October 2019
ADVISORIES
The following are certain material assumptions on which the forward-looking statements and information contained in this presentation are based: the successful completion
of the Offering on the terms and at the time expected; the timely receipt of required regulatory and other approvals and that no event will occur that would trigger termination
rights in respect of the Offering; the stability of the global and national economic environment; the stability of and commercial acceptability of tax, royalty and regulatory
regimes applicable to Delphi; exploitation and development activities being consistent with management’s expectations; produc tion levels of Delphi being consistent with
management’s expectations; the absence of significant project delays; the stability of oil and gas prices; the absence of significant fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and
interest rates; the stability of costs of oil and gas development and production in Western Canada, including operating costs; the timing and size of development plans and
capital expenditures; availability of third party infrastructure for transportation, processing or marketing of oil and natural gas volumes; prices and availability of oilfield
services and equipment being consistent with management’s expectations; the availability of; and competition for, among other things, pipeline capacity, skilled personnel
and drilling and related services and equipment; results of development and exploitation activities that are consistent with management’s expectations; weather affecting
Delphi’s ability to develop and produce as expected; contracted parties providing goods and services on the agreed timeframes ; Delphi’s ability to manage environmental
risks and hazards and the cost of complying with environmental regulations; the accuracy of operating cost estimates; the accurate estimation of oil and gas reserves; future
exploitation, development and production results; Delphi’s ability to market oil and natural gas successfully to current and new customers; future well production rates; the
performance of existing wells; the success of drilling new wells; the capital availability to undertake planned activities; and the Company’s business and acquisition strategy,
the criteria to be considered in connection therewith and the benefits to be derived therefrom. Additionally, estimates as to expected average annual production rates
assume that no unexpected outages occur in the infrastructure that the Company relies on to produce its wells, that existing wells continue to meet production expectations
and any future wells scheduled to come on in the coming year meet timing and production expectations. Commodity prices used in the determination of forecast revenues
are based upon general economic conditions, commodity supply and demand forecasts and publicly available price forecasts. Certain additional assumptions reflected in the
Montney economic model included on slide 22 of this presentation are set forth under the heading “Montney Economic Model Assumptions” below. The Company
continually monitors its forecast assumptions to ensure the stakeholders are informed of material variances from previously communicated expectations.
Financial outlook information contained in this presentation about prospective results of operations, financial position or cash flows is based on assumptions about future
events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available. The purpose of
this financial outlook is to provide readers with disclosure regarding the Company’s reasonable expectations as to the anticipated results of its proposed business activities.
Readers are cautioned that such financial outlook information contained in this presentation should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed. Although
the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations
will prove to be correct and such forward-looking statements should not be unduly relied upon. Since forward-looking statements and information address future events and
conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Delphi’s actual results, performance or achievements could differ
materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the
forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits Delphi will derive therefrom.
29October 2019
ADVISORIES
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results may vary
materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, failure to complete the Offering in all material respects
in accordance with the expected terms or at all; a reduction in the borrowing base under the Company’s senior credit facility upon the completion of one or more future
borrowing base redeterminations and reviews; a reduction in the borrowing base under the Company’s senior credit facility below the amount drawn at the time of the
borrowing base redetermination and review; general global economic and business conditions including the effect, if any, of a potential economic slowdown in the U.S.
and/or Canada; the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production, delays or changes in
plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures, the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production rates, costs and
expenses, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, marketing and transportation, environmental risks, competition from others for scarce resources, the ability to
access sufficient capital from internal and external sources, changes in governmental regulation of the oil and gas industry and changes in tax, royalty and environmental
legislation. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect the Company’s operations or financial results are included in the Company’s most recent
Annual Information Form and other reports on file with the applicable securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com).
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date
of this presentation for the purpose of providing the readers with the Company’s expectations for the coming year. The forward-looking statements and information may not
be appropriate for other purposes. Delphi undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified
in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
30October 2019
ADVISORIES
Montney Economic Model Assumptions
The following assumptions are reflected in the Montney economic model included on slide 22 of this presentation: (1) Flat pricing: NYMEX $2.80/mmbtu USD, $3.71/mmbtu
CDN; WTI $55.00/bbl USD; (2) Type Well stabilized field condensate beyond month six is 45 bbl/mmcf sales; Rich Type Well stabilized field condensate production beyond
month one is 103 bbl/mmcf sales; (3) C3: Propane, C4: Butane, C5: Pentane. Gas plant recovered natural gas liquids estimated at 44 bbl/mmcf sales; (4) Type Well
reserves and production performance are internal management estimates and were prepared by a qualified reserves evaluator in accordance with the COGE Handbook. (5)
Type well reserve and production estimates are used for illustrative purposes and internal corporate planning and may not reflect the actual performance of future wells.
Economics are half cycle and include target capital to drill, complete, equip and tie-in. No costs for land, central facilities, field gathering infrastructure, corporate costs, etc.
are included.
For further details on the completion and clean-up test results of the 15-19-59-23W5 well, please see the Company’s press release dated January 16, 2018.
Non-IFRS Measures
This presentation contains certain terms which do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures
presented by other issuers. None of these measures is used to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position. With the exception of EBITDA, adjusted
funds flow, adjusted working capital, net debt, there are no comparable measures to these Non-IFRS measures in accordance with IFRS. The following Non-IFRS measures
are considered to be useful as complementary measures in assessing Delphi’s financial performance, efficiency and liquidity :
• "EBITDA" is net earnings (loss) for a fiscal period adjusted for financing costs, certain specific unrealized and non-cash transactions and acquisition and disposition
activity. Net earnings (loss) is the most comparable measure under IFRS to EBITDA.
• “Annualized EBITDA” is used for covenant calculation purposes and is calculated based on the terms and definitions set out in the senior credit facility agreement which
adjusts net earnings (loss) for financing costs, certain specific unrealized and non-cash transactions and acquisition and disposition activity. Annualized EBITDA is
calculated on an annualized basis based on the last two completed quarters. Net earnings (loss) is the most comparable measure under IFRS to EBITDA.
• “Adjusted funds flow” is cash flow from operating activities before decommissioning expenditures and changes in non-cash working capital from operating activities.
Management uses adjusted funds flow to analyze performance and considers it a key measure as it demonstrates the Company’s ab ility to generate the cash necessary to
fund future capital investments, abandonment obligations and to repay debt. The most comparable measure of adjusted funds flow to an IFRS measure would be cash flow
from operating activities.
• “Operating netback” is crude oil and natural gas sales plus realized gains (losses) on financial instruments and marketing income less royalties, operating and
transportation costs. Management considers operating netbacks per boe an important measure of profitability relative to current commodity prices and costs of production.
• “Adjusted working capital” is current assets and current liabilities excluding the current portion of the fair value of the financial instruments. This definition is consistent with
the definition used in calculating the Company’s compliance with its working capital ratio covenant and is used by the Company in determining its net debt.
31October 2019
2300, 333 – 7th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Z1
P (403) 265-6171
F (403) 265-6207
www.delphienergy.ca
32October 2019