Needham Growth Conference - January 2016

16
Germain Lamonde Chairman, President & CEO January 12, 2016 NEEDHAM GROWTH CONFERENCE

Transcript of Needham Growth Conference - January 2016

Germain Lamonde Chairman, President & CEO January 12, 2016

NEEDHAM GROWTH CONFERENCE

2 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Certain statements in this presentation, or given in response to your questions, may constitute

forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1934. The Private

Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides “safe-harbors” for such forward-looking

statements and we intend that any forward-looking statements made today be subject to the

safe harbors. We caution you that any forward-looking statements are just predictions. They are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may

differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements and we invite you to review

the company’s most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission or Canadian

securities commissions for a discussion of the factors at risk. These forward-looking statements

speak only as of the date of this presentation and, unless required by law or applicable

regulations, we will not be reviewing or updating the material that is contained herein.

For a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA to net earnings, refer to the Q1 2016 press release or

the “Non-IFRS Measures” section on EXFO’s website.

All amounts in millions of US dollars, except otherwise noted.

FORWARD-­‐LOOKING  STATEMENTS

3 © 2015 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

EXFO BY NUMBERS

IN PORTABLE OPTICAL TESTING

LEADER

FY 2015 SALES OF $222.1 M (GLOBAL NO.2 PLAYER)

SCALE

GEOGRAPHICAL SALES FOR FY 2015

DIVERSIFIED

1500 EMPLOYEES

IN 25 COUNTRIES

GLOBAL

OF TOTAL BOOKINGS IN FY 2015

WIRELESS

30%%

CASH RETURNED TO SHAREHOLDERS VIA SHARE

REPURCHASE PLANS

SHAREHOLDER    VALUE

4 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

-­‐  MULTI-­‐TECHNOLOGY  PLATFORMS -­‐  WORLD  NO.  1  IN  OPTICAL  TEST -­‐  SIMPLIFICATION  &  AUTOMATION

LEADER  IN  PORTABLE  TEST

5 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

LEADER  IN  SERVICE  ASSURANCE

-­‐  FULL  END-­‐TO-­‐END  SOLUTION  PORTFOLIO -­‐  CONVERGED  &  VIRTUALIZED  IP  SERVICES -­‐  OVER  100  DEPLOYMENTS  WORLDWIDE

6 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..© 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserve

ANALYTICS  FOR  E2E  VISIBILITY

-­‐  CORRELATE  NETWORK  PERFORMANCE,      SERVICE  DELIVERY  &  QUALITY  OF  EXPERIENCE -­‐  MULTI-­‐LAYER  END-­‐TO-­‐END  ANALYTICS -­‐  PROVEN  PERFORMANCE  AT  TIER-­‐1  SCALE

7 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

CONSUMER AND BUSINESS TRENDS

By 2021…

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

VIDEO AUGMENTED REALITY

CONNECTED CARS

HEALTHCARE INTERNET OF THINGS

MOBILITY | BROADBAND | CLOUD

Source:  Ericsson  Mobility  Report,  November  2015

› 9.1B mobile subscribers

› 7.7B mobile broadband subscribers

› 28B connected devices

› 10X mobile data traffic growth (from 2015)

8 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

MAJOR OPPORTUNITIES FOR EXFO

FIELD AUTOMATION › Operational efficiency › Deploy services faster › Reduce time-to-revenue

QoE + E2E VISIBILITY

› QoE and retention › Reduce service costs › Prioritize and predict › Simplify operations

FIBER EVERYWHERE

› … rich in the core › … deeper in access › … to-the-home › … to-the-antenna

High-Speed, NFV, Cloud, Data Centers › NFV + H/W co-exist › Service complexity › Operational cost › QoE and retention

› World  No.1  in  portable  test › Consistent  share  gains › Frost  &  Sullivan  Market  Leadership  Award  for  2015 › Major  new  offerings

› EXFO  Connect  penetraPon › iOLM,  FIP,  etc. › TestFlow™  process  automaPon › Wins  at  Per-­‐1  MNO  …                      more  to  come

› AcPve/Passive  +  analyPcs › Both  NFV  +  HW-­‐centric › NFV  driving  acPve  SA › Xtract:  Major  wins  &  funnel

› NFV  ready  for  deployment › 100G+  growth  (labs  &  field) › Web-­‐scale  +  data  centers › Driving  acPve/analyPcs  opportuniPes

RELEVANCE  TO  EXFO

9 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

GROWTH STRATEGY TOP-LINE DRIVEN: BOLSTER SALES AND GROSS MARGIN

TRANSFORM Into a solutions partner. Customers seeking E2E solutions to enhance network performance and service experience quality.

EXPAND Share of wallet with tier-1 network operators. Top-15 operators account for lion’s share of capital spending.

ACCELERATE Penetration of data center, Cloud and web-scale operator markets. Web-scale operators spending at a faster rate than network operators.

INCREASE Wireless presence. Bookings to wireless customers reached 30-32% of total bookings in FY 2015.

10 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

PROFITABILITY TARGET

1  Adjusted  EBITDA  represents  net  earnings  before  interest,  income  taxes,  deprecia<on  and  amor<za<on,  stock-­‐based  compensa<on  costs  and  foreign  exchange  gain  or  loss.

REDUCED  OPEX  FROM  RESTRUCTURING  AND  CURRENCY  TRENDS

$3.5M  

BETTER  PRODUCT  AND  GEOGRAPHICAL  MIX

ADJUSTED  EBITDA1

>40%  Growth  YoY

$20M  

FY  2016

REQUIRES  ~3%  YoY REVENUE  GROWTH

GOOD  START  IN  Q1/16. ADJ.  EBITDA  TYPICALLY  STRONGER  IN  H2.

$5.3M  

11 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

PROTOCOL (Wireless,  T&D,    SA,  AnalyZcs)

PHYSICAL (OpZcal  &  Access)

TELECOM MARKET

TAM

SAM

Major competitors

Market growth rate

Sales ―― FY 2015

Gross margin profile

$815 M

$495 M

Viavi, Anritsu

0-5%

$144.1 M

55-60%

$4.3 B

$2.4 B

Viavi, IXIA, Netscout

10-15%

$80.6 M

70-75%

PROTOCOL TO DRIVE REVENUE AND EARNINGS GROWTH

*Excludes losses on FX contracts.

$5.1 B

$2.9 B

Single-digit

$224.7 M*

63%-65%

TOTAL

12 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

PHYSICAL-LAYER SOLUTIONS

COPPER ACCESS ›  Most advanced product portfolio for

high-speed copper links ›  MaxTester secured contract wins

with several tier-1 operators ›  Supports pair bonding, vectoring

and G.fast (up to 1 Gbit/s)

PORTABLE OPTICAL

›  No. 1 player with >34% market share

›  Market dominance in OTDR testing

›  Key differentiator: iOLM software

›  Market leader in dispersion testing

›  Unmatched product breadth & depth

13 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

PROTOCOL-LAYER SOLUTIONS

SERVICE ASSURANCE & ANALYTICS SOFTWARE

›  Probe-based systems targeted at medium to large network operators

›  E2E solutions with fully integrated active/passive monitoring and infrastructure polling to assure SLAs

›  Real-time analytics for unmatched network performance and service experience visibility

WIRELESS ›  Network simulators: Large-scale

emulation of IMS, WebRTC subscriber sessions to test routers, gateways and session border controllers

›  Protocol analyzers: 4G/LTE and 3G test solutions for deployment and troubleshooting applications

TRANSPORT AND DATACOM ›  Multi-service analyzers for SONET/

SDH, OTN and Ethernet rates from 10M to 100G

›  Comprehensive portfolio for wireless backhaul and fronthaul

›  Pioneered new standard for Ethernet testing (EtherSam)

14 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Q1 2016 HIGHLIGHTS

› Sales reached $55.2 M

› Bookings attained $58.5 M (B/B ratio of 1.06)

› Robust bookings across Physical and Protocol lines

› Strong results in North America

› Gross margin1 improved to 63.5%

›  IFRS net earnings amounted to $1.8 M

› Adjusted EBITDA2 totaled $5.3 M (9.6% of sales)

1Gross margin before depreciation and amortization is a non-IFRS measure and represents sales less cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization. 2Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain.

15 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS1 (in US$ millions, except gross margin)

1 All financial results from continuing operations, except net earnings/loss and adjusted EBITDA. 2 Gross margin before depreciation and amortization is a non-IFRS financial measure and represents sales less cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization. 3 Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings (loss) before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, restructuring charges, stock-based compensation costs, changes in the fair value of the cash contingent consideration, gain from the disposal of discontinued operations and foreign exchange gain or loss.

Sales

Gross  Margin2 Net  R&D  Expenses Adjusted  EBITDA3

Net  Earnings/Loss SG&A  Expenses

j  

16 © 2016 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

STRONG VALUE PROPOSITION WHY INVEST?

1. History of market-share gains Captured market share in growth and downward markets

2. Well positioned for key growth drivers 3G, 4G/LTE, wireless backhaul, small cells, DAS, RRH, FTTx, 100G

3. Balancing sales growth and profitability Targeting Adj. EBITDA of $20 M at a revenue level of about $230 M for FY 2016

4. Solid balance sheet Cash position of $29.4 M and no debt — as at Nov. 30, 2015

5. Experienced and disciplined management team Averaging >15 years of experience in sales, marketing, R&D, manufacturing, finance, HR

1Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain or loss.