Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the...

55
C ITY OF N EW O RLEANS Office of Criminal Justice Coordination Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend 2015 Annual Report

Transcript of Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the...

Page 1: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

CITY OF NEW ORLEANS

Office of Criminal Justice Coordination

Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend

2015 Annual Report

Page 2: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Report Overview

● This report provides analysis of murders and non-fatal shootings in New Orleans

during 2015

● It examines the number of incidents and victims, the contextual environment of

incidents, modality of violence, characteristics of victims, and characteristics of

arrested suspects in cleared cases

● These factors were analyzed geographically to highlight differences between the

NOLA FOR LIFE target areas and the city as a whole:

o Behrman Area

o Central City

o Little Woods

o St. Roch Area

● The data was collected from several datasets and databases maintained by the New

Orleans Police Department, and the analyses were conducted by staff in the Mayor’s

Office of Criminal Justice Coordination

2

Target Neighborhoods include: Behrman, Central City,

Little Woods, McDonogh, Seventh Ward, St. Claude, St.

Roch, and Whitney

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Examination of Target AreasDemographics

● The four Target

Neighborhoods are similar

in gender distribution

compared to the citywide

representation

3

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Citywide

Residents’ Gender

Male Female

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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● The proportion of residents

who are African-American is

much higher in the Target

Neighborhoods than

citywide

4

Examination of Target AreasDemographics

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Citywide

Residents’ Race

African-American Caucasian Other

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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● Central City more closely

mirrors the age distribution

of the city than the other

Target Neighborhoods

● The Behrman Area and

Little Woods are at least 6

percentage points more

residents younger than 18

years old than the citywide

comparison

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Examination of Target AreasDemographics

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Citywide

Residents’ Age

< 18 Years 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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% NOT Earning a Salary,

Wage, or Self-Employed

Income

Average Annual

Household Income

% Living Below the

Poverty Level

% Spending >=30% of

Household Income on

Rent

Behrman Area 17% $38,658 26% 42%

Central City 32% $35,687 42% 37%

Little Woods 21% $40,222 32% 36%

St. Roch Area 33% $29,335 42% 46%

Citywide 18% $60,280 27% 35%

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Examination of Target AreasSocioeconomic Indicators

• The average annual household income is more than 40% less in the Target Neighborhoods than the citywide

comparison ($35,976 vs. $60,280)

• A higher proportion of residents in Central City and the St. Roch Area are not earning a salary, wage, or self-employed

income when compared to the Citywide benchmark (+14 and +15 percentage points respectively)

• A higher proportion of residents in Central City and the St. Roch Area are living below the poverty level when

compared to the Citywide benchmark (both are +15 percentage points respectively)

• More residents of all Target Neighborhoods are spending 30% or more of their household income on rent than the

Citywide comparison

• St. Roch, highlighted in red, performed worse in each category amongst the Target Neighborhoods when compared

citywide

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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● Although a greater

percentage of residents in

the Target Neighborhoods

have a high school diploma

than citywide residents,

college attendance and

degree obtainment see an

opposite trend

7

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Citywide

Educational Attainment

Less than High School High School Diploma or GED

Some College, No Degree Associate's Degree or higher

Examination of Target AreasEducational Indicators

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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● Similar to the citywide

comparison, the plurality of

Target Neighborhood

households are children

living only with their mother

● Among Target

Neighborhoods, Little

Woods has the largest

percentage of households in

which children lived with a

married parent (25%)

8

Examination of Target AreasSocial Indicator

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area Citywide

Household Composition

Children Living with Mother Only Children Living with Grandparents

Children Living with Married Parent

Graph derived from data obtained from the Greater New Orleans Community Data

Center website: http://www.gnocdc.org/NeighborhoodData/Orleans.html based on

U.S. Census 2010 updated in 2014.

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2015 Murder and Non-Fatal Shootings in Review

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• There were 164 murders in 2015 (avg. 13.6 per month)

• Murders were up 9.3% (+14) over 2014

• The 7th District had the most murders (44)

• Little Woods, in the 7th District, had the most murders of any neighborhood (17)

• 30% (50) of 2015 murders were cleared within the calendar year

• There were 39 murder victims within the NOLA FOR LIFE target group (African-

American male age 16-24) (24%)

• There were 340 non-fatal shooting victims in 2015 (avg. 28.3 per month)

• Non-fatal shootings were down 13.5% (-53) under 2014

• The 5th District had the most non-fatal shootings (71)

• Central City, in the 6th District, had the most non-fatal shootings of any neighborhood

(46)

• 26% (89) of 2015 non-fatal shootings were cleared within the calendar year

• There were 116 non-fatal shooting victims within the NOLA FOR LIFE target group

(African-American male age 16-24) (34%) Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

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2015 in Review Continued

Summary of Murders

● Majority of murder victims were African-American males (77%)

● The average age of a murder victim was 32 years old

● Murder victims were more likely to be killed in a public space (61%) and were more likely to

be drug related (26%)

● A handgun was the most commonly used weapon in a murder (75%)

● The majority of arrested murder suspects were African-American males (87%)

● The average age of an arrested murder suspect was 29 years old

Summary of Non-fatal Shootings

● Majority of non-fatal shooting victims were African-American males (77%)

● The average age of a non-fatal shooting victim was 29 years old

● Non-fatal shooting victims were more likely to be shot in a public space (64%) and were

equally likely to be drug related or the result of a retaliation or feud (26%)

● A handgun was the most commonly used firearm in a non-fatal shooting (78%)

● Arrested non-fatal shooting suspects were commonly African-American males (86%)

● The average age of an arrested non-fatal shooting suspect was 30 years old

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Page 11: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

• In 2015, New Orleans’

murder rate (42.7)

continued the trend of

being lower than its

average since 2010 (46.9)

• The New Orleans

murder rate was almost

15 points lower in 2015

(42.7) than it was in

2004 (57.2), the year

before Hurricane

Katrina a decade ago

• The average New

Orleans murder rate

since 2010 (46.9) was

more than 36% lower

than it was two decades

ago during the same 6

year span (1990-1995:

70.6)

Historical Murder Trend

Average Murder Rate by Decade: 1980s – 37.9; 1990s – 63; 2000s – 56.2; 2010s – 46.9

46.9

42.7

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rder

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New Orleans Murder Rate: Historical Comparison

2010-15 Avg. 2015

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• In 2015, the number of

murders (164) in New

Orleans continued the

trend of being lower

than the average (173)

since 2010

• The number of murders

in New Orleans was

38% lower in 2015 (164)

than it was in 2004

(264), the year before

Hurricane Katrina a

decade ago

• Since 2010, the average

number of murders in

New Orleans (173) was

more than 50% lower

than it was two decades

ago during the same 6

year span (1990-1995:

352)

173

164

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Murders in New Orleans: Historical Comparison

2010-15 Avg. 2015

Historical Murder Trend

Average Murder Count by Decade: 1980s – 212.5; 1990s – 311.6; 2000s – 214.6; 2010s – 172.6

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Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings – 2015

157

241

398

211

293

504

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Incidents Victims

Note on murders: Totals do not include justifiable/negligent homicides

or police shootings

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City,

Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.13

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Incidents by Type

55

86

141

8 15 23

137

172

309

0

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300

350

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murders Murder Incidents with Non-Fatal Shooting Victim(s) Non-Fatal Shootings

14Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

Page 15: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Trends

15

Note on murders: Totals do not include justifiable/negligent

homicides or police shootings.

0

30

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150

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210

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Murders Citywide (164)2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

0

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90

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Murders in Hot Spots (64)2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

0

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10

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20

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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Murders by Month

2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

48%

9%

14%

29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Not Solved

Exception

Warrant

Arrest

Clearance Rate: 52.4%

Note on clearance rate: The murder clearance rate for similar sized

cities in 2014 was 56.6%.

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Murders by District

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Target Neighborhoods are located in the 4th, 5th, 6th, and

7th Districts.

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1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Murders by NOPD District

2014 2015

• The plurality of murders

occurred in the 7th

District in 2015

compared to 2014 where

they mostly occurred in

the 5th District (27% and

26%, respectively)

• The 7th District saw the

largest increase in

murders compared to

the other Districts in

2014 (+13)

• The 5th and 6th District

each experienced 8 fewer

murders compared to

2014

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Murders by Target Neighborhood

• Similar to 2014, more

murders occurred in the

St. Roch Area than other

Target Neighborhoods

• The fewest murders

occurred in the Behrman

Area for 2 consecutive

years

• Murders in Little Woods

increased by more than

88% (+8)

17

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area

Murders by Target Neighborhood

2014 2015

Page 18: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Trends

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murders by Type of Location, 2015

Residential Commercial Public Space

18

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder by Type of Location, 2014

Residential Commercial Public Space

• There was no significant

change in where murders

occurred between 2014

and 2015

• The majority of murders

were committed in a

public space (63%)

• Murders occurred the

least in commercial

locations (6%)

• Murders in residential

locations steadily

declined through the 3rd

Quarter in 2015 before a

slight increase in the 4th

Quarter, mirroring a

trend seen in 2014 as

well

Page 19: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Trends by Location

Commercial Residential Public Space

• There was no significant

difference in murder

locations between the

Target and Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• Murder victims were

most likely to be killed in

a public space than any

other location in both

Target and Non-Target

Neighborhoods

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Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

Page 20: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Trends

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of All Murder Victims that Die at the Scene

2014 2015

20

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Percent of Murder Victims that Died at the Scene with a GSW to the Head

2014 2015

Note: GSW = Gunshot wound

• Murder victims were

more likely to die at the

scene of an incident than

en route to or at a

medical facility (64%)

• The percent of murder

victims that died at the

scene with a GSW to the

head steadily declined

from the 1st Quarter and

finished the year at 22%

in the 4th Quarter

• Three fewer murder

victims died at the scene

with a GSW to the head

compared to 2014

Page 21: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Trends by Death Site

Died at the Scene Died Enroute to Hospital Died at the Hospital

21

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

• There is no significant

difference in death sites

between the Target and

Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• Only 1 victim died en

route to the hospital; this

incident occurred in a

Non-Target

Neighborhood

Page 22: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Trends

• Fifty-three percent (87)

of all murders in 2015

occurred in 5 zip codes

(33% of the population);

11 zip codes account for

the remaining 47% of

murder victims

• Of the 5 zip codes with

15 or more murders in

2015, 70117 and 70126

decreased under 2014 (-4

and -3, respectively)

• Murders on the weekend

(Friday, Saturday, and

Sunday) slightly declined

under 2014

• Murders during the week

(Monday through

Thursday) increased by

an average of 3.5 murder

victims per day over

2014

22

0

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100

70114 70117 70119 70126 70127 Other ZipCodes

Murders by Zip Code with 15 or More Victims

2014 2015

0

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10

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20

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Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Murder Trends by Day of the Week

2014 2015

Page 23: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Trends

• There is no significant

difference in the murder

distribution across time

categories between 2015

and 2014

• Murders are more likely

to occur in the evening

between 6PM and 12AM

23

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Murders by Time Category, 2015

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Murders by Time Category, 2014

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

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Murder Victims’ Demographics

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Murder Victims by Race by Neighborhood, 2015

African-American Caucasian Other

24

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder Victims, by Gender

2014 Male 2014 Female 2015 Male 2015 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

• Most murder victims

were African-American

in both Target and Non-

Target Neighborhoods

• The proportion of

female murder victims

steadily decreased

throughout 2015 from

22% in the 1st Quarter to

6% in the 4th Quarter

• Although the proportion

of female murder victims

decreased during 2015,

from 22% in Q1 to 6%

in Q4, the total year did

not differ significantly

from the 2014

proportion

Page 25: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Victims’ Demographics

• Two murder victims in

2015 are not included

because their age was

not reported

• In 2015, there were two

murder victims younger

than 10 years old

• Murder victims aged 17

and younger decreased

by 18% under 2014 (-2)

• Murder victims between

18 and 34 decreased by

7% under 2014 (-7)

• There were 21 more

victims over the age of

34 compared to 2014

25

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0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+

Murder Victims by Age Category

2014 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Murder Victims Aged 17 and Younger

2014 2015

Page 26: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Clearance Rate By NOPD District

• The 2015 clearance rate

reported to the FBI is

30.5%, which is

calculated by dividing

the number of murders

cleared in the year

regardless of the year it

occurred by the total

number of murders in

2015

• Forty-eight of 2015

murders were cleared in

the calendar year

(29.6%)

• The 7th District

accounted for the most

murders of all districts

(27%) and 30% of its

cases were cleared (13)

• Sixty percent of the 8th

District’s cases were

cleared (3), the most of

any district

26

Note: Murder clearance rate is calculated by dividing the number of

murders cleared by arrest, warrant, and exception by the total number of

murders

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Percent of Murders by NOPD District Showing Cleared and Open Cases

Cleared Murders Open Murders

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 4th, 5th, 6th, and

7th Districts.

Page 27: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Murder Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder Suspects by Race, 2015

African-American Caucasian Other

27

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder Suspects by Gender, 2015

Male Female

• There were 67 suspects

arrested for murder in

2015

• Eighty-eight percent (59)

of all arrested murder

suspects were African-

American males

• Over 90% of the

arrested murder suspects

in both the Target and

Non-Target

Neighborhoods were

African-American

• Over 90% of the

arrested murder suspects

in both the Target and

Non-Target

Neighborhoods were

males

Page 28: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Murder Suspects’ Demographics

• There were 4 more

female arrested murder

suspects in 2015

compared to 2014

• Twenty-five percent of

the arrested murder

suspects in Q4 2015

were female

• The proportion of

arrested murder suspects

aged 35 and older

increased by 11

percentage points over

2014

28

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+

Arrested Murder Suspects by Age Category, 2015

2014 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Arrested Murder Suspects, by Gender, 2015

2014 Male 2014 Female 2015 Male 2015 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Page 29: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Murder Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

• Arrested murder

suspects in both Target

and Non-Target

Neighborhoods were

more likely to be outside

the NOLA FOR LIFE

target group of African-

American males between

the ages of 16-24

because they were older

than 24 years old

• The average age of an

arrested murder suspect

older than the NOLA

FOR LIFE target group

was 36 years old

29

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Murder Suspects, 2015Within or Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

Page 30: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Identified Murder Motives

• Murders related to drugs

or resulting from

arguments and

retaliation/feuds all

decreased under 2014 (-

5, -8, and -2 percentage

points respectively)

• In 2015, there was an

increase in murders as a

result of robberies and

domestic related

incidents (+5 and +8

percentage points

respectively)

• The increase in

domestic-related

murders occurred in

early 2015, but was not

sustained throughout the

remainder of the year

30

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Argument Drug-Related Retaliation-Feud Robbery DomesticRelated

Escape

Identified Murder Motives

2014 (52) 2015 (65)

Page 31: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Identified Murder MotivesBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

• Similar to the citywide

comparison, the plurality

of murder motives

identified in Target

Neighborhoods were

drug related in 2015

• A murder resulting from

a retaliation/feud was

most common in the

Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• The proportion of

domestic-related

murders was smaller in

Target Neighborhoods

compared to Non-Target

Neighborhoods

31

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Identified Murder Motives, by Neighborhood (65)

Drug-Related Retaliation-Feud Argument Robbery Domestic Related Escape

Page 32: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Murder Weapons

• More than 90% of all

weapons used in murder

incidents were some

form of firearm

• Three out of four

firearms used in a

murder in 2015 were

handguns

32

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Handgun Shotgun Assault Rifle Unknown Firearm

Type of Firearms Used

2014 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Firearm Knife Vehicular Beating/Trauma Strangulation Drowning

Types of Murder Weapons

2014 2015

Page 33: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Shooting Trends

Note on shootings: The number of shootings presented in these graphs are

those that are known to NOPD. Shootings that did not strike an individual

are not included.33

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Shooting Victims Citywide (492)2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

0

50

100

150

200

250

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Shooting Victims in Hot Spots (199)2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Shooting Incidents & Victims

Victims Incidents

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Shooting Victims by District2010-14 Avg. 2014 2015

Page 34: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by District

34

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by NOPD District

2014 2015

• The 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 7th, and

8th Districts all

experienced a decline in

non-fatal shooting victims

• Nearly 60% of all non-

fatal shooting victims

were shot in the 5th, 6th,

and 7th Districts

• The 3rd District saw the

greatest decrease under

2014 (-54; -65%)

compared to other

Districts in 2014

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 4th, 5th, 6th, and

7th Districts.

Page 35: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Target

Neighborhood• Little Woods was the

only Target

Neighborhood to show a

decline in non-fatal

shooting victims (-40%)

• St. Roch Area

experienced the largest

change over 2014 when

it accounted for only

27% of all the Target

Neighborhoods’ non-

fatal shooting victims to

making up almost 43%

in 2015

35

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Behrman Area Central City Little Woods St. Roch Area

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Target Neighborhood

2014 2015

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

Page 36: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shootings by Type of Location, 2015

Residential Commercial Public Space

• There was no significant

change in where non-

fatal shooting victims

were shot from 2014 to

2015

• The majority of non-

fatal shooting victims

were shot in a public

space (66%)

• Similar to 2014, non-

fatal shooting victims

were least likely to be

shot in a commercial

area

36

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shootings by Type of Location, 2014

Residential Commercial Public Space

Page 37: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting TrendsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

• Non-fatal shooting

victims were most likely

to be shot in a public

space in both Target and

Non-Target

Neighborhoods

37

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends by Location

Commercial Residential Public Space

Page 38: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends

38

0

20

40

60

80

100

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends by Day of the Week

2014 2015

0

50

100

150

200

70113 70114 70116 70117 70119 70126 70127 Other ZipCodes

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Zip Code with 20 or More Victims2014 2015

• Almost 68% (230) of all non-

fatal shooting victims in 2015

were shot in 7 zip codes (39%

of the population); 10 zip

codes account for the

remaining 32% of non-fatal

shooting victims

• Four of the 7 zip codes

decreased under their 2014

respective totals (70116: -17;

70119: -10; 70126: -5; and

70127: -3)

• With the exception of

Sundays, the number of non-

fatal shooting victims did not

differ much among the days

of the week

• With the exception of

Tuesday and Thursdays, the

total number of non-fatal

shooting victims decreased on

every day under 2014

Page 39: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Trends• 2015 was similar to 2014

in the distribution of

non-fatal shooting

victims across time

categories

• Non-fatal shooting

victims are more likely to

be shot in the evening

(6PM-12AM)

39

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Non-Fatal Shootings by Time Category, 2015

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

12AM - 6AM 6AM - 12PM 12PM - 6PM 6PM - 12AM

Non-Fatal Shootings by Time Category, 2014

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Page 40: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Race and Neighborhood

African-American Caucasian Other

• Most non-fatal shooting

victims were African-

American in both Target

and Non-Target

Neighborhoods

• The majority of non-

fatal shooting victims

were male

• Female non-fatal

shooting victims

averaged about 17% (+3

percentage points over

2014) of victims before

increasing to 24% in the

4th Quarter

40

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims, by Gender

2014 Male 2014 Female 2015 Male 2015 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Page 41: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims’ Demographics• There were 4 non-fatal

shooting victims younger

than 10 years old

• The total number of

non-fatal shooting

victims younger than 35

years old decreased

under 2014 (-58; -15%)

• Non-fatal shooting

victims younger than 18

doubled in the 4th

Quarter over the same

quarter in 2014 (+7)

41

0

50

100

150

200

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims by Age Category

2014 2015

0

5

10

15

20

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Non-Fatal Shooting Victims Aged 17 and Younger

2014 2015

Page 42: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Clearance Rate by

NOPD District• Police jurisdictions do

not report a non-fatal

shooting clearance rate

to the FBI the way they

do for murder. Only

aggravated assaults as a

whole are reported.

Therefore, a shooting

clearance rate akin to the

murder clearance rate is

unavailable.

• Fifty-five (55) of the

2015 non-fatal shooting

incidents were cleared in

the calendar year 2015

(22.2%)

• Sixty-nine (69%) of the

8th District’s cases were

cleared (11); the highest

portion of any district

42

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th

Non-Fatal Shooting by NOPD District Showing Cleared and Open Cases

Cleared Non-Fatal Shootings Open Non-Fatal Shootings

Target Neighborhoods are located in the 4th, 5th, 6th, and

7th Districts.

Note: Non-fatal shooting clearance rate is calculated by dividing the

number of non-fatal shooting incidents cleared by arrest, warrant, and

exception by the total number of non-fatal shootings incidents

Page 43: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Race, 2015

African-American Caucasian Other

• There were 28 suspects

arrested for a non-fatal

shooting in 2015

• Ninety-six percent (96%)

of all arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects were

African-American (100%

in Non-Target

Neighborhoods)

• Arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects in

Target Neighborhoods

were exclusively male

compare to Non-Target

Neighborhoods where

about 20% were female

43

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Gender, 2015

Male Female

Page 44: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ Demographics

• There is no significant

difference in the

proportion of arrested

female non-fatal

shooting suspects in

2015 compared to 2014

• The proportion of

arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects aged

24 and younger

decreased by 16

percentage points under

2014

44

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0-9 10-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Age Category

2014 2015

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1st Quarter 2ndQuarter

3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects by Gender

2014 Male 2014 Female 2015 Male 2015 Female

1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter

Page 45: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects’ DemographicsBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

• Sixty-five percent of

arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects did

not fit the NOLA FOR

LIFE target group of

African-American males

aged 16-24

• Arrested non-fatal

shooting suspects in

both Target and Non-

Target Neighborhoods

were more likely to be

outside the NOLA FOR

LIFE target group

because they were older

than 24 years old

• The average age of an

arrested non-fatal

shooting suspect older

than the NOLA FOR

LIFE target group was

30 years old

45

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Arrested Non-Fatal Shooting Suspects, 2015Within or Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target

Group

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group Outside NOLA FOR LIFE Target Group

Page 46: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives

• Non-fatal shooting

victims who where shot

as a result of an

argument or domestic

related incident

decreased under 2014 (-

35 and -17 percentage

points respectively)

• Non-fatal shooting

victims shot as a result

of retaliations or feuds,

robberies, and general

disturbances and fights

have shown large

increases over 2014

(+26, +11, and +11

percentage points

respectively)

46

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives

2014 (85) 2015 (76)

Page 47: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting MotivesBy Target Neighborhoods, Non-Target Neighborhoods, and Citywide, 2015

• Thirty percent (30%) of

all identified motives for

non-fatal shooting

victims were the result

of a retaliation or feud

• The plurality of non-fatal

shooting victims in

Target Neighborhoods

were shot as a result of a

retaliation or feud

• The plurality of non-fatal

shooting victims in Non-

Target Neighborhoods

were equally likely to be

shot for drug

involvement or while

being robbed

47

Target Neighborhoods Include: Behrman Area, Central City, Little Woods, and St. Roch Area.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Target Neighborhoods Non-Target Neighborhoods Citywide

Identified Non-Fatal Shooting Motives, by Neighborhood (76)

Argument Burglary Domestic Dispute Drug-Related

Retaliation-Feud Robbery Disturbance/Fight

Page 48: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Non-Fatal Shooting Weapons

• Similar to 2014,

handguns were the most

commonly used firearm

in non-fatal shootings

• The use of assault rifles

increased 2 percentage

points over 2014

48

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Handgun Assault Rifle Shotgun Unknown Firearm

Type of Firearms Used

2014 2015

Page 49: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

Contact InformationFor Additional Questions and Comments

For further information about future activities and reports, please contact:

Sarah Schirmer

Criminal Justice Policy Advisor

Office of Criminal Justice Coordination

Office of Mayor Mitch Landrieu

1300 Perdido St.

Suite 8W03

New Orleans, LA 70112

[email protected]

49

Page 50: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

APPENDIX

50

Page 51: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

NOPD Districts

51

D7

D4

D3

D5

D2

D6

D1

D8

Page 52: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Behrman Area

52

Page 53: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Central City

53

Page 54: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

Little Woods

54

Page 55: Murders and Non-Fatal Shootings Trend...• In 2015, New Orleans’ murder rate (42.7) continued the trend of being lower than its average since 2010 (46.9) • The New Orleans murder

NOLA FOR LIFE Target Area:

St. Roch Area

55