Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.
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Transcript of Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S. Mathematics Department De La Salle University.
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CHAPTER 7: NORMAL
DISTRIBUTION
Mr. Mark Anthony Garcia, M.S.
Mathematics Department
De La Salle University
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Normal Distribution A normal distribution is a probability
distribution that plots all of its values in a symmetrical fashion and most of the results are situated around the probability's mean.
Values are equally likely to plot either above or below the mean. Grouping takes place at values that are close to the mean and then tails off symmetrically away from the mean.
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Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is represented by a bell-shaped curve called the normal curve and the area under the curve represents the probability of the normal random variable X.
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Situation: Normal DistributionLet X be the height of a student from DLSU and X is a normal random variable. Suppose that the mean height of all DLSU students is with standard deviation .
143 183123 203103 223
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Situation: Normal Distribution
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Properties of the Normal Curve
It is a bell-shaped curve. The mode, which is the point on the
horizontal axis where the curve is a maximum, occurs at x = μ. This means that the mean is equal to the mode.
The curve is symmetric about a vertical axis through the mean μ. The mean divides the set of data into two equal parts. This means that the mean is equal to the median.
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Properties of the Normal Curve
The normal curve approaches the horizontal axis asymptotically as we proceed in either direction away from the mean. (The graph approaches the x-axis but the graph will never intersect the x-axis).
The total area under the curve and above the horizontal axis is equal to 1.
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Formula: Normal DistributionThe formula for the normal distribution is given by
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Comparing Normal CurvesConsider the figure below.
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Comparing Normal Curves
Observe that the blue, red and yellow normal curves have the same mean because they are centered at but with different heights because of different frequencies. However, the green normal curve has mean .
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Comparing normal curvesMoreover, all the normal curves shown have different variances which measures the dispersion or spread of the values in the data set. This is illustrated by the width of the curve. It can be seen from the figure, that the yellow normal curve has the largest width and with variance .
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Comparing Normal Curves To avoid having normal distributions with
different means and standard deviations, we convert the normal random variable X into the standard normal random variable Z.
The standard normal random variable Z has mean equal to zero () and standard deviation equal to one ().
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Standard Normal Distribution
To convert the values of the normal random variable X to the standard normal random variable Z, we use the formula given by .
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Example: From X to Z
Suppose that X is the normal random variable with mean and standard deviation . What is the probability that X is greater than 600?
In symbols, we have . Using the formula , substitute , and .
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
Hupper Corporation produces many types of softdrinks, including Orange Cola. The filling machines are adjusted to pour 12 ounces of soda into each 12-ounce can of Orange cola. However, the actual amount of soda poured into each can is not exactly 12 ounces; it varies from can to can. It has been observed that the net amount of soda in such a can has a normal distribution with a mean of 12 ounces and a standard deviation of 0.015 ounce.
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
A. What is the probability that a randomly selected can of Orange Cola contains 11.97 to 11.99 ounces of soda?
Probability for a Range
From X Value 11.97
To X Value 11.99
Z Value for 11.97 -2
Z Value for 11.99-
0.666667
P(X<=11.97) 0.0228
P(X<=11.99) 0.2525P(11.97<=X<=11.9
9) 0.2297
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
The probability that a can of Orange Cola will have between 11.97 to 11.99 ounces is 0.2297.
If there are 1000 cans of Orange Cola, how many of the 1000 cans will have between 11.97 to 11.99 ounces?
The number of cans is or approximately 230 cans.
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
Suppose we delete the last row of the PhStat output. How do we get
?
Probability for a Range
From X Value 11.97
To X Value 11.99
Z Value for 11.97 -2
Z Value for 11.99-
0.666667
P(X<=11.97) 0.0228
P(X<=11.99) 0.2525
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
To determine the probability, we have
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
B. What percentage of the cola contains at least 12.025 ounces of soda?
Probability for X <=
X Value 12.025
Z Value1.666666
7P(X<=12.025)
0.9522096
Probability for X >
X Value 12.025
Z Value1.666666
7P(X>12.025) 0.0478
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
Suppose that the output below is the only given output.
Probability for X <=
X Value 12.025
Z Value1.666666
7P(X<=12.025)
0.9522096
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Example 1: Normal Distribution
The probability that the cola will have at least 12.025 ounces of soda is 0.0478.
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
The price of diesel oil over the past 24 months is normally distributed with a mean of 41 pesos per liter and standard deviation of 5 pesos per liter.
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
A. What is the probability that the price of diesel is at most 34 pesos per liter?
Probability for X <=X Value 34Z Value -1.4P(X<=34) 0.0808
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
B. For which amount can we find the highest 10% of the diesel prices?
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 10.00%
Z Value -1.2816
X Value 34.592
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 90.00%
Z Value 1.2816
X Value 47.408
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
Since the highest 10% of the diesel prices occurs at the rightmost part of the normal curve, we get the area at the left which is 90%.
Thus, we use the table with cumulative percentage equal to 90%.
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
Getting the X value, we have 47.408. This means that that the probability that
diesel prices is more than 47.408 pesos per liter is 10% or 0.10.
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
Suppose that we delete the last row of the table of cumulative percentage. How do we find the value of X?
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 90.00%
Z Value 1.2816
X Value 47.408
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Example 2: Normal Distribution
Using the formula , we derive X. Then .
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Exercises: Normal Distribution
1. The TV ratings of the show The Big Bang Theory are approximately normally distributed with mean 22.7 and standard deviation 7.4.
Probability for X <=X Value 27.6Z Value 0.7027027P(X<=27.6) 0.7588795
Probability for X >X Value 26.1Z Value 0.5P(X>26.1) 0.3085
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Exercises: Normal Distribution
A. What is the probability that for a given day the show The Big Bang Theory will obtain a rating of at least 27.6?
B. Given 15 episodes of the show The Big Bang Theory, how many episodes would get a rating of less than 26.1?
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Exercises: Normal Distribution
2. In the November 1990 issue of Chemical Engineering Progress, a study discussed the percent purity of oxygen from a certain supplier. Assume that the mean was 99.61 with a standard deviation of 0.08. Assume that the distribution of percent purity was approximately normal.
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Exercises: Normal Distribution
A. What percentage of the purity values would you expect to be between 99.5 and 99.7?
Probability for X <=
X Value 99.5
Z Value -1.375
P(X<=99.5) 0.0845657
Probability for X >
X Value 99.7
Z Value 1.125
P(X>99.7) 0.1303
Probability for a Range
From X Value 99.5
To X Value 99.7
Z Value for 99.5 -1.375
Z Value for 99.7 1.125
P(X<=99.5) 0.0846
P(X<=99.7) 0.8697
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Exercises: Normal Distribution
B. What purity value would you expect to exceed exactly 5% of the population?
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 5.00%
Z Value -1.644854
Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 95.00%
Z Value 1.644854