SIMULASI MONTE CARLO

4 1= Base 2= Low 3= High

1

Sensitivity Base Low High Random

n 0.75 0.5 1 0.72374 0.72374

permeability 800 200 1400 686.25281 800

1

4= Random No. AOF AOF for MC1 531.02 463.9624439940482 531.019533022566 46.08689527985073 531.019533022566 1299.31780639344 531.019533022566 25.11815152178525 531.019533022566 23.71432078135356 531.019533022566 393.3564452984297 531.019533022566 2985.326697360648 531.019533022566 13.35525860409749 531.019533022566 43.9148670443587

10 531.019533022566 40.271904134531411 531.019533022566 8.5030997911469212 531.019533022566 50.638694683427413 531.019533022566 16.139131218387614 531.019533022566 221.3152790705615 531.019533022566 77.40390251471516 531.019533022566 2639.6064578864117 531.019533022566 88.702761013554918 531.019533022566 3.7324615850832319 531.019533022566 461.71704234788220 531.019533022566 1492.211129469121 531.019533022566 35.263259275367722 531.019533022566 130.86474872333523 531.019533022566 20.510951970060924 531.019533022566 920.08245502334125 531.019533022566 488.93559764361326 531.019533022566 84.992571387130127 531.019533022566 22.621736446083428 531.019533022566 12.452858758558629 531.019533022566 99.024439607856130 531.019533022566 63.374389435787131 531.019533022566 51.429650518206932 531.019533022566 735.09883177678633 531.019533022566 48.97664747576234 531.019533022566 731.40471304897435 531.019533022566 41.009249003371136 531.019533022566 4.7573628695194637 531.019533022566 5.5085158161883838 531.019533022566 116.5416626039739 531.019533022566 131.69112314540640 531.019533022566 561.67974243525841 531.019533022566 23.765353001368242 531.019533022566 349.09030334191943 531.019533022566 63.5086804002364

2 3

44 531.019533022566 15.620288578191545 531.019533022566 77.293782727494146 531.019533022566 131.0863907975747 531.019533022566 423.10578591790348 531.019533022566 164.39501002463649 531.019533022566 974.83762932285950 531.019533022566 249.7836719553951 531.019533022566 7.9270290083609252 531.019533022566 28.611414705964853 531.019533022566 2.9271367465921554 531.019533022566 12.211240588932555 531.019533022566 11.371914163280156 531.019533022566 361.18125579360557 531.019533022566 42.2315566303258 531.019533022566 19.439013149747559 531.019533022566 301.57329660435360 531.019533022566 32.513176951330861 531.019533022566 93.412885454346562 531.019533022566 1352.0458075540763 531.019533022566 523.88273844854764 531.019533022566 2107.6300518802665 531.019533022566 14.870956134676566 531.019533022566 480.29438863232167 531.019533022566 28.888228293850468 531.019533022566 52.654527480180169 531.019533022566 24.701084951788970 531.019533022566 391.92507188127571 531.019533022566 20.092437210947972 531.019533022566 6.2821607184796173 531.019533022566 6.3477241068921474 531.019533022566 27.97997919857375 531.019533022566 61.509435347978776 531.019533022566 17.205742735752377 531.019533022566 57.015509790072378 531.019533022566 164.62467241864179 531.019533022566 296.71637391856280 531.019533022566 787.07688225422581 531.019533022566 67.118439654109182 531.019533022566 295.29027544813883 531.019533022566 1015.4943000182284 531.019533022566 180.68806479460185 531.019533022566 202.88875439234386 531.019533022566 100.94491029432787 531.019533022566 236.86184061625488 531.019533022566 342.12345152090489 531.019533022566 267.49631367683690 531.019533022566 50.873041216275491 531.019533022566 24.6803220719454

92 531.019533022566 52.250479325251193 531.019533022566 425.39103008155294 531.019533022566 4222.4807476219795 531.019533022566 10.709696912922996 531.019533022566 5.9513795486815697 531.019533022566 905.57182789105598 531.019533022566 3176.5093403015499 531.019533022566 348.591620745285

100 531.019533022566 871.563613592352101 531.019533022566 107.568093917002102 531.019533022566 41.3572255664927103 531.019533022566 631.487107356864104 531.019533022566 1099.71675682132105 531.019533022566 675.667994237372106 531.019533022566 64.9551712300419107 531.019533022566 91.064083663032108 531.019533022566 117.011447440582109 531.019533022566 1.83421422659434110 531.019533022566 54.5140025113907111 531.019533022566 17.0155500666414112 531.019533022566 441.829493110078113 531.019533022566 55.0346450850069114 531.019533022566 42.9358627283816115 531.019533022566 44.2425342613924116 531.019533022566 5.80227473831511117 531.019533022566 109.564595892358118 531.019533022566 15.279885846703119 531.019533022566 158.240944037416120 531.019533022566 100.752672412618121 531.019533022566 36.7692811456892122 531.019533022566 14.2165478454919123 531.019533022566 1384.5863787779124 531.019533022566 33.5364837071088125 531.019533022566 102.842434352563126 531.019533022566 33.0280469080858127 531.019533022566 317.769395100753128 531.019533022566 5.2479275609824129 531.019533022566 280.249916490408130 531.019533022566 9.87633131247292131 531.019533022566 1723.86354181899132 531.019533022566 133.357497152652133 531.019533022566 684.671744008032134 531.019533022566 1812.72780282813135 531.019533022566 10.2338046013287136 531.019533022566 3020.03886959302137 531.019533022566 50.2751485071298138 531.019533022566 1235.67448613213139 531.019533022566 5182.70009188631

140 531.019533022566 403.284039200084141 531.019533022566 478.159197853411142 531.019533022566 423.522524089074143 531.019533022566 1488.13012907896144 531.019533022566 4.18375089468018145 531.019533022566 1928.29044929732146 531.019533022566 9.32959132853893147 531.019533022566 51.7165914331354148 531.019533022566 85.8241310853334149 531.019533022566 811.645728775573150 531.019533022566 1517.90352370486151 531.019533022566 1437.7443712259152 531.019533022566 1084.76565843695153 531.019533022566 79.9165478400709154 531.019533022566 172.064126055387155 531.019533022566 9.89260406351886156 531.019533022566 40.5850149725102157 531.019533022566 15.2510433802634158 531.019533022566 254.810402576899159 531.019533022566 432.264384925292160 531.019533022566 46.9458207528529161 531.019533022566 12.7667197207046162 531.019533022566 4879.42135734605163 531.019533022566 36.7651710758868164 531.019533022566 43.6808978232307165 531.019533022566 146.417181971236166 531.019533022566 201.343229324931167 531.019533022566 13.6764333959062168 531.019533022566 352.395829877466169 531.019533022566 6.45774625111783170 531.019533022566 5.47906293932081171 531.019533022566 19.8496528235777172 531.019533022566 632.54317140789173 531.019533022566 1868.5093581473174 531.019533022566 5.53565476839867175 531.019533022566 202.890291083671176 531.019533022566 2493.81966925156177 531.019533022566 30.8638692669978178 531.019533022566 988.219090484572179 531.019533022566 72.1347614302951180 531.019533022566 7.05414241158168181 531.019533022566 48.0691875365767182 531.019533022566 794.556583616983183 531.019533022566 105.328550698012184 531.019533022566 191.549396450526185 531.019533022566 8.87833355773347186 531.019533022566 10.9980550354256187 531.019533022566 19.9569979670471

188 531.019533022566 9.89633719008087189 531.019533022566 3054.99574063001190 531.019533022566 156.456967015511191 531.019533022566 2.40228084969849192 531.019533022566 60.7965089948706193 531.019533022566 20.7924663647449194 531.019533022566 13.8422013524872195 531.019533022566 21.4057918041837196 531.019533022566 17.469964557968197 531.019533022566 85.4818127454599198 531.019533022566 1222.21089600465199 531.019533022566 5.40203804271539200 531.019533022566 7.33312828019982201 531.019533022566 122.157580394312202 531.019533022566 269.965792889593203 531.019533022566 14.1609143044511204 531.019533022566 387.704086766258205 531.019533022566 18.7852700239623206 531.019533022566 33.9145875183597207 531.019533022566 74.2534536180369208 531.019533022566 169.743034500043209 531.019533022566 95.3445558397978210 531.019533022566 112.611031632612211 531.019533022566 6.23027712688726212 531.019533022566 493.453180225494213 531.019533022566 1942.95863739926214 531.019533022566 893.925442047241215 531.019533022566 242.826779406326216 531.019533022566 130.928416853062217 531.019533022566 2897.75951605714218 531.019533022566 3879.79572662178219 531.019533022566 8.31560367440077220 531.019533022566 17.7984272845696221 531.019533022566 134.644207312718222 531.019533022566 23.916929636206223 531.019533022566 88.296057041703224 531.019533022566 15.2759640048459225 531.019533022566 273.79290500377226 531.019533022566 18.2106654229798227 531.019533022566 161.377668570792228 531.019533022566 65.0951659921321229 531.019533022566 33.4380556212669230 531.019533022566 781.431755348797231 531.019533022566 210.981718388767232 531.019533022566 83.4748583662688233 531.019533022566 67.3752878835185234 531.019533022566 198.085723136738235 531.019533022566 1359.31646829311

236 531.019533022566 5.46190202652162237 531.019533022566 50.9515695251921238 531.019533022566 1957.7286118465239 531.019533022566 193.142614125902240 531.019533022566 3015.66824281864241 531.019533022566 40.1801826116686242 531.019533022566 186.376771938516243 531.019533022566 38.9729659954907244 531.019533022566 586.038997456856245 531.019533022566 304.083991635852246 531.019533022566 156.619313887048247 531.019533022566 533.739122226255248 531.019533022566 442.752020205225249 531.019533022566 233.288220688435250 531.019533022566 1719.91164084859251 531.019533022566 15.3231457517782252 531.019533022566 42.6843507253508253 531.019533022566 168.374016388754254 531.019533022566 6.69192075856282255 531.019533022566 30.1179883381183256 531.019533022566 537.670218372333257 531.019533022566 129.430782912801258 531.019533022566 143.482495612981259 531.019533022566 753.272901354857260 531.019533022566 79.6081102770833261 531.019533022566 59.6906544742289262 531.019533022566 419.953022057576263 531.019533022566 81.7380119345018264 531.019533022566 116.793807984119265 531.019533022566 2.67629433229535266 531.019533022566 733.685414629345267 531.019533022566 30.0942915929879268 531.019533022566 26.8222991871224269 531.019533022566 20.8165281306966270 531.019533022566 7.10686374629471271 531.019533022566 634.763993379912272 531.019533022566 395.93337332312273 531.019533022566 129.28734627647274 531.019533022566 144.035943356041275 531.019533022566 324.008685153676276 531.019533022566 11.7326346847798277 531.019533022566 96.5093894218524278 531.019533022566 82.9079612058974279 531.019533022566 55.1904888658848280 531.019533022566 129.157882168356281 531.019533022566 64.7710817462332282 531.019533022566 731.977982026781283 531.019533022566 603.371871249089

284 531.019533022566 228.630625661484285 531.019533022566 169.874291050128286 531.019533022566 682.587989439913287 531.019533022566 155.564673370033288 531.019533022566 37.377290099868289 531.019533022566 53.5373681244446290 531.019533022566 731.890844748919291 531.019533022566 17.6545142833705292 531.019533022566 48.7465881798438293 531.019533022566 2169.35280251787294 531.019533022566 6.08808311547633295 531.019533022566 1238.95795383975296 531.019533022566 12.7274270141068297 531.019533022566 268.179236893964298 531.019533022566 12.2576596943419299 531.019533022566 89.139201552209300 531.019533022566 13.4908261525993301 531.019533022566 6.83931115190303302 531.019533022566 85.6622760487526303 531.019533022566 154.168858752031304 531.019533022566 85.2083441164568305 531.019533022566 31.7787256942367306 531.019533022566 57.8763744510537307 531.019533022566 7.83520227132119308 531.019533022566 517.43864272438309 531.019533022566 128.949558233791310 531.019533022566 90.7757429544587311 531.019533022566 55.0786478693805312 531.019533022566 114.166490651867313 531.019533022566 172.887538718968314 531.019533022566 4.71278301364951315 531.019533022566 12.7128819198519316 531.019533022566 21.9487376452864317 531.019533022566 4.89611200437895318 531.019533022566 72.7974952854841319 531.019533022566 268.331336949546320 531.019533022566 194.067282952325321 531.019533022566 3724.25982053611322 531.019533022566 76.3656535417807323 531.019533022566 34.7637850336914324 531.019533022566 259.538553165262325 531.019533022566 40.2291269044898326 531.019533022566 300.803619818455327 531.019533022566 55.2260345282487328 531.019533022566 325.463962520234329 531.019533022566 441.337387870286330 531.019533022566 33.5291573509436331 531.019533022566 464.605298759665

332 531.019533022566 53.1186351591008333 531.019533022566 1686.42227055297334 531.019533022566 133.682386203782335 531.019533022566 9.07799186345086336 531.019533022566 553.740988081591337 531.019533022566 9.63201573203054338 531.019533022566 85.7034575163335339 531.019533022566 227.269316981432340 531.019533022566 608.502636907674341 531.019533022566 2.55940040136872342 531.019533022566 312.48790939312343 531.019533022566 364.168269804344 531.019533022566 286.621323909752345 531.019533022566 468.293025406134346 531.019533022566 624.073633682268347 531.019533022566 5.52666462670993348 531.019533022566 57.3773327000789349 531.019533022566 795.737334934107350 531.019533022566 1043.10597211422351 531.019533022566 52.7265204281401352 531.019533022566 12.2737392159043353 531.019533022566 455.447394742992354 531.019533022566 404.356663597901355 531.019533022566 8.3876792022831356 531.019533022566 140.597819227813357 531.019533022566 1661.49331885381358 531.019533022566 165.274556272915359 531.019533022566 462.868101139768360 531.019533022566 139.926712853697361 531.019533022566 142.190329461166362 531.019533022566 542.657573412806363 531.019533022566 106.702734564936364 531.019533022566 2.41047413771591365 531.019533022566 16.9187151253633366 531.019533022566 2600.56085754783367 531.019533022566 11.1580960286532368 531.019533022566 56.1081364273739369 531.019533022566 98.1005857156803370 531.019533022566 252.897490660329371 531.019533022566 176.133906694558372 531.019533022566 458.866009306466373 531.019533022566 462.328454007149374 531.019533022566 470.048003482594375 531.019533022566 108.634976588789376 531.019533022566 800.269343254869377 531.019533022566 55.5196442381249378 531.019533022566 39.3161471241448379 531.019533022566 207.809019798394

380 531.019533022566 28.4986371787456381 531.019533022566 166.594724098431382 531.019533022566 154.529407091907383 531.019533022566 218.020757255188384 531.019533022566 2573.09530713815385 531.019533022566 75.4357395059918386 531.019533022566 39.6463849782834387 531.019533022566 279.46942477234388 531.019533022566 235.78038733315389 531.019533022566 1.84522256996379390 531.019533022566 2719.98015621649391 531.019533022566 216.997460146817392 531.019533022566 38.0231106227422393 531.019533022566 52.0110253957715394 531.019533022566 97.773062797306395 531.019533022566 10.9156463363083396 531.019533022566 129.444459969955397 531.019533022566 145.270175443821398 531.019533022566 571.548963215659399 531.019533022566 188.736412069996400 531.019533022566 124.931747520016401 531.019533022566 153.345278971899402 531.019533022566 49.1524716022105403 531.019533022566 16.9014013456073404 531.019533022566 11.2472923928916405 531.019533022566 201.393789289828406 531.019533022566 96.8481271509859407 531.019533022566 179.965161179425408 531.019533022566 77.8922826522948409 531.019533022566 4.71542749309524410 531.019533022566 8.38433221344475411 531.019533022566 74.5443556891097412 531.019533022566 140.097951594517413 531.019533022566 51.175256031239414 531.019533022566 146.992857390135415 531.019533022566 657.767675187872416 531.019533022566 92.5712701001026417 531.019533022566 342.42090477158418 531.019533022566 10.2962666990449419 531.019533022566 791.958305112385420 531.019533022566 613.476003965141421 531.019533022566 2437.67388294376422 531.019533022566 7.65340719499158423 531.019533022566 1062.25815462611424 531.019533022566 1237.72145875764425 531.019533022566 19.6139412036131426 531.019533022566 21.4955183214711427 531.019533022566 13.3169417124354

428 531.019533022566 890.085236962513429 531.019533022566 10.4228951572767430 531.019533022566 33.5401113588542431 531.019533022566 630.867109187287432 531.019533022566 614.252645042113433 531.019533022566 62.649931151311434 531.019533022566 53.4891688117119435 531.019533022566 126.37737220988436 531.019533022566 20.9271808161721437 531.019533022566 180.825969353867438 531.019533022566 30.0687913161103439 531.019533022566 3.05245432720841440 531.019533022566 9.18774087884137441 531.019533022566 15.0907667170821442 531.019533022566 88.6386040883602443 531.019533022566 403.961951502411444 531.019533022566 117.739150694217445 531.019533022566 15.1159058087468446 531.019533022566 11.3542084352847447 531.019533022566 107.530474479824448 531.019533022566 36.3956031586332449 531.019533022566 8.71975213774105450 531.019533022566 35.1511264970683451 531.019533022566 32.468377608406452 531.019533022566 3724.15862317748453 531.019533022566 1905.95727218159454 531.019533022566 67.9389993635192455 531.019533022566 2262.92959910238456 531.019533022566 51.9261044491424457 531.019533022566 135.269035345117458 531.019533022566 1253.51340558289459 531.019533022566 23.7981935956608460 531.019533022566 124.106526723666461 531.019533022566 106.554731174864462 531.019533022566 5.67296064000333463 531.019533022566 25.3669971883333464 531.019533022566 4874.56439346158465 531.019533022566 16.5341140510507466 531.019533022566 110.636207361701467 531.019533022566 536.052533224104468 531.019533022566 21.6907363419539469 531.019533022566 135.165411684652470 531.019533022566 30.9704608616691471 531.019533022566 514.931157165927472 531.019533022566 19.1553253518382473 531.019533022566 59.2553044602846474 531.019533022566 324.974262326596475 531.019533022566 121.397427333879

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524 531.019533022566 89.0910980472878525 531.019533022566 1573.17632734312526 531.019533022566 20.9448861758149527 531.019533022566 711.246538262793528 531.019533022566 55.3070833922119529 531.019533022566 2022.86669705737530 531.019533022566 3683.56474461965531 531.019533022566 1788.47383927311532 531.019533022566 1186.22560713487533 531.019533022566 18.8836501663125534 531.019533022566 223.221866670654535 531.019533022566 294.615307961946536 531.019533022566 145.859919631947537 531.019533022566 37.3366705843541538 531.019533022566 207.786933359619539 531.019533022566 188.22032601447540 531.019533022566 365.690314841638541 531.019533022566 594.510675370074542 531.019533022566 47.833090348555543 531.019533022566 143.703427792111544 531.019533022566 5.51069564774267545 531.019533022566 347.536515138763546 531.019533022566 12.9151136680798547 531.019533022566 111.118003071256548 531.019533022566 253.595901562794549 531.019533022566 348.221415555917550 531.019533022566 2.33527266702921551 531.019533022566 2802.15203301213552 531.019533022566 83.2163363954348553 531.019533022566 11.8866561834882554 531.019533022566 42.3463344736514555 531.019533022566 278.488190371307556 531.019533022566 158.230195624748557 531.019533022566 31.4601199606561558 531.019533022566 59.6064276637269559 531.019533022566 108.148322489708560 531.019533022566 13.0468319090292561 531.019533022566 4.54631168035978562 531.019533022566 5.55767850784381563 531.019533022566 146.82963121134564 531.019533022566 615.33399896167565 531.019533022566 34.402956689942566 531.019533022566 100.093560621716567 531.019533022566 155.471322718143568 531.019533022566 55.7399067709227569 531.019533022566 43.4669537958636570 531.019533022566 1508.26765459097571 531.019533022566 79.196202596212

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620 531.019533022566 228.227542828114621 531.019533022566 69.1799381185925622 531.019533022566 61.147679612227623 531.019533022566 123.636962004741624 531.019533022566 763.663167805296625 531.019533022566 36.8068056780898626 531.019533022566 1662.7426834416627 531.019533022566 154.984247353019628 531.019533022566 65.7724095401918629 531.019533022566 313.089623468196630 531.019533022566 183.554064677861631 531.019533022566 322.487226092566632 531.019533022566 2836.13634067394633 531.019533022566 44.9739521426652634 531.019533022566 10.6798428917757635 531.019533022566 30.9824134379028636 531.019533022566 2.3173001465985637 531.019533022566 1355.17234382614638 531.019533022566 127.992995316037639 531.019533022566 211.323496227297640 531.019533022566 9.8450056902532641 531.019533022566 95.298876834436642 531.019533022566 193.609226159423643 531.019533022566 20.1869085425953644 531.019533022566 154.850727914513645 531.019533022566 155.85077294273646 531.019533022566 256.722333211192647 531.019533022566 2067.17450680729648 531.019533022566 1063.94576496563649 531.019533022566 73.9487678493341650 531.019533022566 369.790358200162651 531.019533022566 7.23213712087798652 531.019533022566 509.064776626965653 531.019533022566 51.8180310489156654 531.019533022566 399.656505336871655 531.019533022566 119.875963917126656 531.019533022566 1801.58923985918657 531.019533022566 21.4667453725106658 531.019533022566 90.6930758616654659 531.019533022566 32.1376814044932660 531.019533022566 2.97348330351081661 531.019533022566 253.589619606785662 531.019533022566 33.4237037271179663 531.019533022566 5470.13413357006664 531.019533022566 699.39914615246665 531.019533022566 34.670798692163666 531.019533022566 248.957874243841667 531.019533022566 47.5977432429544

668 531.019533022566 173.374230240303669 531.019533022566 233.139616416921670 531.019533022566 104.822667600732671 531.019533022566 64.4383141185372672 531.019533022566 694.355792986762673 531.019533022566 17.8493324989506674 531.019533022566 109.141452605024675 531.019533022566 276.831476835087676 531.019533022566 596.454325874509677 531.019533022566 570.053785024197678 531.019533022566 368.699000511145679 531.019533022566 72.0573754682443680 531.019533022566 220.504330507562681 531.019533022566 67.1840848307091682 531.019533022566 21.6301366475376683 531.019533022566 53.2771842340982684 531.019533022566 122.812396791292685 531.019533022566 21.5835432787515686 531.019533022566 110.214126312343687 531.019533022566 1248.83088497883688 531.019533022566 207.360822540468689 531.019533022566 216.855211352365690 531.019533022566 186.415077804691 531.019533022566 35.6921081047447692 531.019533022566 1291.11211196011693 531.019533022566 188.480517830358694 531.019533022566 1085.51643688723695 531.019533022566 632.779172863345696 531.019533022566 437.700764640728697 531.019533022566 271.662959915156698 531.019533022566 43.5326975595756699 531.019533022566 301.579365484723700 531.019533022566 100.905904623038701 531.019533022566 8.71170906545375702 531.019533022566 107.786920311542703 531.019533022566 99.1713117526998704 531.019533022566 100.438880360173705 531.019533022566 38.0272857371908706 531.019533022566 30.6886266146622707 531.019533022566 139.622991446975708 531.019533022566 73.417644442633709 531.019533022566 107.808132068519710 531.019533022566 100.85242758057711 531.019533022566 1840.98557551312712 531.019533022566 51.3216235024247713 531.019533022566 199.951849542771714 531.019533022566 30.4067451948348715 531.019533022566 372.100474409752

716 531.019533022566 177.979857853275717 531.019533022566 67.6503995719854718 531.019533022566 39.856526819921719 531.019533022566 146.885183553034720 531.019533022566 225.716809815304721 531.019533022566 684.668433066934722 531.019533022566 25.0498410953096723 531.019533022566 2028.3590555752724 531.019533022566 3.04374992397453725 531.019533022566 102.070478662576726 531.019533022566 19.5706035954923727 531.019533022566 394.277216900413728 531.019533022566 85.0413157056306729 531.019533022566 96.6219491875014730 531.019533022566 647.465897788602731 531.019533022566 101.665523375203732 531.019533022566 107.647441615526733 531.019533022566 430.597917227816734 531.019533022566 356.951406245937735 531.019533022566 38.8081200831409736 531.019533022566 1.82883641674886737 531.019533022566 3.70004215023247738 531.019533022566 559.979218231479739 531.019533022566 477.744749606998740 531.019533022566 510.713003845497741 531.019533022566 55.3881961123198742 531.019533022566 76.7521253602028743 531.019533022566 123.288885207496744 531.019533022566 180.54410171978745 531.019533022566 3.10659597240628746 531.019533022566 440.259238721326747 531.019533022566 27.9859386453602748 531.019533022566 12.2528133756929749 531.019533022566 284.490975783716750 531.019533022566 5.81599505827574751 531.019533022566 155.542281377591752 531.019533022566 4.3747788903783753 531.019533022566 181.602559020515754 531.019533022566 1378.32599299062755 531.019533022566 110.585514678805756 531.019533022566 100.270999740881757 531.019533022566 510.614441189524758 531.019533022566 39.7756523920282759 531.019533022566 15.0535395675409760 531.019533022566 5.9063115969603761 531.019533022566 36.1584239478516762 531.019533022566 134.800289363134763 531.019533022566 29.5849642237962

764 531.019533022566 1922.92868985111765 531.019533022566 411.264620438334766 531.019533022566 575.174279824151767 531.019533022566 802.978841993683768 531.019533022566 169.005269004768769 531.019533022566 22.4059495696772770 531.019533022566 6.3548433669083771 531.019533022566 772.684996781423772 531.019533022566 128.404776526985773 531.019533022566 142.658587095048774 531.019533022566 136.759169662686775 531.019533022566 493.864379276085776 531.019533022566 104.074069622964777 531.019533022566 127.619931881704778 531.019533022566 114.773019951641779 531.019533022566 233.913392622492780 531.019533022566 64.7439777302063781 531.019533022566 7.13200585955456782 531.019533022566 487.536972629658783 531.019533022566 97.1402015708417784 531.019533022566 80.226871424348785 531.019533022566 309.334136742746786 531.019533022566 149.876335375164787 531.019533022566 109.689999491205788 531.019533022566 34.8580219491691789 531.019533022566 356.035101346266790 531.019533022566 194.537825524277791 531.019533022566 333.445032127413792 531.019533022566 64.6100216985105793 531.019533022566 83.6435212371012794 531.019533022566 878.929138639834795 531.019533022566 334.830364025552796 531.019533022566 40.9463320711237797 531.019533022566 16.0600717140853798 531.019533022566 268.493226934368799 531.019533022566 20.7435491176831800 531.019533022566 1670.96905073951801 531.019533022566 205.478372292551802 531.019533022566 211.056210844798803 531.019533022566 25.7561326154194804 531.019533022566 46.8013325816016805 531.019533022566 59.6947157104602806 531.019533022566 35.4516618683867807 531.019533022566 113.267415019109808 531.019533022566 6.39250498768601809 531.019533022566 46.8220875083422810 531.019533022566 268.452473760522811 531.019533022566 186.540030156173

812 531.019533022566 2463.94669896383813 531.019533022566 140.374433919112814 531.019533022566 210.818429307046815 531.019533022566 144.075166321009816 531.019533022566 45.2796883706175817 531.019533022566 29.516572461085818 531.019533022566 1461.7390432007819 531.019533022566 29.8985196296921820 531.019533022566 5.28682856521801821 531.019533022566 787.86479339522822 531.019533022566 32.542791841246823 531.019533022566 174.046962140333824 531.019533022566 57.275021278917825 531.019533022566 21.0041288459293826 531.019533022566 51.9668495861323827 531.019533022566 52.2098479456347828 531.019533022566 541.009538862349829 531.019533022566 167.980361439838830 531.019533022566 110.131131029421831 531.019533022566 138.19835924283832 531.019533022566 303.622361847955833 531.019533022566 142.350849063488834 531.019533022566 707.295052241805835 531.019533022566 203.282525193924836 531.019533022566 38.3704249730911837 531.019533022566 53.020793607132838 531.019533022566 21.7261667898378839 531.019533022566 43.6290483753652840 531.019533022566 356.325948113713841 531.019533022566 45.5266980928531842 531.019533022566 21.5189345455594843 531.019533022566 139.456535378118844 531.019533022566 183.578122764602845 531.019533022566 796.789323100179846 531.019533022566 69.2477997926272847 531.019533022566 901.3106461031848 531.019533022566 98.6084740089404849 531.019533022566 6.07084484546966850 531.019533022566 6.91278598202766851 531.019533022566 132.338808211578852 531.019533022566 1409.64215786991853 531.019533022566 37.1122026894789854 531.019533022566 90.0014224569831855 531.019533022566 13.2577091556182856 531.019533022566 19.1769508722412857 531.019533022566 42.6690412027315858 531.019533022566 9.66665470299613859 531.019533022566 342.140255716608

860 531.019533022566 371.953401213623861 531.019533022566 21.6955877966555862 531.019533022566 88.5923846263965863 531.019533022566 239.468727536921864 531.019533022566 32.8427243066045865 531.019533022566 99.6921950745839866 531.019533022566 180.077992019074867 531.019533022566 108.903880074785868 531.019533022566 315.984545653033869 531.019533022566 43.5482286573934870 531.019533022566 136.418354760297871 531.019533022566 89.4454761751496872 531.019533022566 176.595902362955873 531.019533022566 332.3930681023874 531.019533022566 53.8538997103251875 531.019533022566 6.49096364817381876 531.019533022566 2657.56390490261877 531.019533022566 821.849327632159878 531.019533022566 24.3627694389895879 531.019533022566 194.352920782849880 531.019533022566 274.328425326431881 531.019533022566 142.787784247878882 531.019533022566 254.517171164603883 531.019533022566 1174.34520417747884 531.019533022566 7.26489755186147885 531.019533022566 529.891350095097886 531.019533022566 235.836170034107887 531.019533022566 1035.38902445005888 531.019533022566 376.691689246589889 531.019533022566 20.5786094056287890 531.019533022566 1196.2083836679891 531.019533022566 46.0455209025249892 531.019533022566 2791.59663257248893 531.019533022566 28.0818152605168894 531.019533022566 1045.54048418866895 531.019533022566 38.1166715465156896 531.019533022566 143.128731916495897 531.019533022566 948.421395960601898 531.019533022566 348.109388533953899 531.019533022566 34.1478326873528900 531.019533022566 2076.94432138529901 531.019533022566 338.576156673328902 531.019533022566 209.70471866365903 531.019533022566 3681.19722240473904 531.019533022566 12.4714620933315905 531.019533022566 735.45963820289906 531.019533022566 17.2185119635902907 531.019533022566 5.00528375726904

908 531.019533022566 78.9871873863454909 531.019533022566 196.523468088573910 531.019533022566 125.793708364984911 531.019533022566 1095.49307805617912 531.019533022566 485.470903177276913 531.019533022566 195.298162176043914 531.019533022566 47.4682978578862915 531.019533022566 38.7671097930516916 531.019533022566 813.709994762237917 531.019533022566 12.7372010477801918 531.019533022566 357.589039302853919 531.019533022566 322.060664888276920 531.019533022566 5.50070407226381921 531.019533022566 158.113911479183922 531.019533022566 112.656259572529923 531.019533022566 4.35955542486459924 531.019533022566 234.815969153136925 531.019533022566 8.74184173129453926 531.019533022566 1047.05976412534927 531.019533022566 52.8213880751376928 531.019533022566 83.4841815284425929 531.019533022566 251.269350086593930 531.019533022566 42.0926719188254931 531.019533022566 38.4547669759942932 531.019533022566 104.399521206563933 531.019533022566 10.4994955294733934 531.019533022566 102.610832815057935 531.019533022566 21.607294052061936 531.019533022566 52.7521981203899937 531.019533022566 637.026509056073938 531.019533022566 91.9255008364272939 531.019533022566 464.859231376897940 531.019533022566 26.2535457006353941 531.019533022566 56.2814543579115942 531.019533022566 204.05891773734943 531.019533022566 131.206450168283944 531.019533022566 266.465152168949945 531.019533022566 156.235007497603946 531.019533022566 87.9704995613069947 531.019533022566 4.97244527714122948 531.019533022566 2668.3799439662949 531.019533022566 171.400471859239950 531.019533022566 350.956848104433951 531.019533022566 275.600150139677952 531.019533022566 412.54220949105953 531.019533022566 52.0506681227718954 531.019533022566 5.55064613474196955 531.019533022566 147.832684057823

956 531.019533022566 353.810343906421957 531.019533022566 65.6574195166447958 531.019533022566 12.3093548977169959 531.019533022566 1567.50476536824960 531.019533022566 330.419038963477961 531.019533022566 2.72764495736655962 531.019533022566 3.9559795384686963 531.019533022566 323.129768506202964 531.019533022566 529.630790689852965 531.019533022566 301.356774629632966 531.019533022566 122.64732408895967 531.019533022566 152.790877801756968 531.019533022566 1325.33783358919969 531.019533022566 552.615910738651970 531.019533022566 34.8284131328666971 531.019533022566 11.6644172374973972 531.019533022566 818.826613559037973 531.019533022566 188.258850164588974 531.019533022566 13.3468357070581975 531.019533022566 2577.39545199494976 531.019533022566 17.2283817007468977 531.019533022566 93.1129090507602978 531.019533022566 331.738397303427979 531.019533022566 3.9407133305463980 531.019533022566 38.263948118034981 531.019533022566 507.69230615702982 531.019533022566 106.281945447209983 531.019533022566 16.5256815597956984 531.019533022566 38.3662956553933985 531.019533022566 184.356577063423986 531.019533022566 219.169249731634987 531.019533022566 177.023326645805988 531.019533022566 13.9604431670955989 531.019533022566 326.454563300293990 531.019533022566 81.0313079976275991 531.019533022566 33.4913995192548992 531.019533022566 38.5158289939268993 531.019533022566 84.7852167376429994 531.019533022566 341.019045535527995 531.019533022566 19.296386233094996 531.019533022566 11.2762560339997997 531.019533022566 2748.06089126458998 531.019533022566 771.081648424608999 531.019533022566 59.1498624016798

1000 531.019533022566 25.8958602134854

AOF Hasil Simulasi Monte CarloBin Frequency Cumulative %

1.82883641674886 1 0.10%178.225781486211 615 61.60%354.622726555672 146 76.20%531.019671625134 65 82.70%707.416616694596 38 86.50%883.813561764057 28 89.30%1060.21050683352 15 90.80%1236.60745190298 13 92.10%1413.00439697244 14 93.50%

1589.4013420419 9 94.40%1765.79828711137 8 95.20%1942.19523218083 8 96.00%2118.59217725029 8 96.80%2294.98912231975 2 97.00%2471.38606738921 2 97.20%2647.78301245867 5 97.70%2824.17995752814 6 98.30%

3000.5769025976 3 98.60%3176.97384766706 4 99.00%3353.37079273652 0 99.00%3529.76773780598 0 99.00%3706.16468287544 2 99.20%3882.56162794491 3 99.50%4058.95857301437 0 99.50%4235.35551808383 1 99.60%4411.75246315329 0 99.60%4588.14940822275 0 99.60%4764.54635329222 0 99.60%4940.94329836168 2 99.80%5117.34024343114 0 99.80%

5293.7371885006 1 99.90%More 1 100.00%

3

1.82883641674886

354.622726555672

707.416616694596

1060.21050683352

1413.00439697244

1765.79828711137

2118.59217725029

2471.38606738921

2824.17995752814

3176.97384766706

3529.76773780598

3882.56162794491

4235.35551808383

4588.14940822275

4940.94329836168

5293.73718850060

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Histogram

FrequencyCumulative %

Bin

Freq

uenc

y

AOF Hasil Simulasi Monte Carlo

P10P50P90

1.82883641674886

354.622726555672

707.416616694596

1060.21050683352

1413.00439697244

1765.79828711137

2118.59217725029

2471.38606738921

2824.17995752814

3176.97384766706

3529.76773780598

3882.56162794491

4235.35551808383

4588.14940822275

4940.94329836168

5293.73718850060

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Histogram

FrequencyCumulative %

Bin

Freq

uenc

y

AOF Hasil Simulasi Monte Carlo

AOF (mmscfd) C n30.22 0.414234 0.676444

144.95 0.414234 0.771152531.02 0.414234 0.849586

30.22444220842144.9541625788531.0196716251

AOF Hasil Simulasi Monte Carlo