Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard...

41
Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD

Transcript of Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard...

Page 1: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Monitoring polar climate change from space

Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch

NASA Goddard Space Flight CenterGreenbelt, MD

Page 2: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

IPY sea ice project in the Antarctic sea ice

Page 3: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

The big news last year: The record minimum in Arctic sea ice

Data from satellite passive microwave data

Page 4: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

2007Previous minimum

2005

Page 5: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

From Rothrock et al.

Page 6: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

From Holland and Bitz, 2006

Page 7: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

February 1996 September 1996

Page 8: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

February 1996 September 1996

Page 9: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Importance of sea ice (1): Global energy balance; Ice/snow albedo feedback

Ocean

Forest

Snow/ice

Page 10: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Importance of sea ice (2): Ocean circulation

What makes the ocean move?1) Wind-driven surface currents 2) Thermohaline circulation

Page 11: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 12: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 13: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Change in temperature 30 years after collapse of the thermohaline circulation

Michael Vellinga, Hadley Centre

Page 14: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Importance of sea ice (3): Ecology, e.g. polar bears

Page 15: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

February 1996 September 1996

Page 16: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

??

Page 17: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

From Gordon and Comiso, 1988

Moisture flux

Albedo

Ice drift

PrecipitationProcesses:

Page 18: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Warmer temperatures

More moisture

More precipitation

More freshwater input into ocean

More stable Southern Ocean

Less entrainment of WDW

Antarctic sea ice increase with global warming?

More sea ice production

Page 19: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Warmer temperatures

More moisture

More precipitation

More freshwater input into ocean

More stable Southern Ocean

Less entrainment of WDW

Antarctic sea ice increase with global warming?

More sea ice production

Thicker snowon sea ice

More snow-to-ice conversion

More thermal insulation

Less basal freezing

Page 20: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Change in sea ice volume as a function of precipitation(Balance between thermal insulation and snow-to-ice conversion)

Page 21: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

IPY sea ice campaign in the Antarctic sea icePart of the project was dedicated to validate ICESat measurements

Page 22: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

What is ICESat?

Page 23: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

hs

hi

hf

i

s

w

ICESat (laser altimeter)

Cryosat2 (radar altimeter, 2009)

hs = snow depthhi = ice thickness hf = freeboard

What is missing? The 3rd dimension!

Page 24: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 25: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 26: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 27: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 28: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 29: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 30: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 31: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 32: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 33: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 34: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 35: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 36: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 37: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 38: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.
Page 39: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

Preliminary ICESat freeboard measurements (for cloud-free areas only) on top of AMSR-E sea ice concentrations.

Page 40: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

ICESat-derived freeboard(the height over the sea ice above water)

Page 41: Monitoring polar climate change from space Thorsten Markus Cryospheric Sciences Branch NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD.

It is a long process to carefully validate satellite measurements of the polar regions and international collaboration is essential.

The polar regions are experiencing drastic changes and we still don’t fully understand all the processes but we cannot effort to turn our heads away.