MONEY AND THE DETERMINATION OF INTEREST RATE · DETERMINATION OF EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE If at a...
Transcript of MONEY AND THE DETERMINATION OF INTEREST RATE · DETERMINATION OF EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE If at a...
MONEY AND THE
DETERMINATION OF
INTEREST RATEDongpeng Liu
Department of Economics
Nanjing University
ROADMAP
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INCOME
EXPENDITURE
LIQUIDITY
PREFERENCE
IS
CURVE
LM
CURVE
AGGREGATE
DEMAND
SHORT-RUN
LABOR
MARKET
AGGREGATE
SUPPLY
AS-AD
MODEL
IS-LM
MODEL
PHILLIPS
CURVE
INTERMEDIATE-RUN
SOLOW
MODEL
LONG-RUN w/
CAPITAL
ACCUMULATION
LONG-RUN
AS-AD
MODEL
LONG-RUN w/o
CAPITAL
ACCUMULATION
MONEY
Money is an asset that can be easily used for transactions
Functions of money
Medium of exchange: Money is what we use to buy goods and services. The ease
with which an asset can be converted in to the medium of exchange and used
to buy goods and services is called the asset’s liquidity.
Store of value: Money is a way to transfer purchasing power from the present
to the future.
Unit of account: Money provides the terms in which prices are quoted and
debts are recorded.
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TYPE OF MONEY
Money that has no intrinsic value is called fiat money because
it is established as money by government decree, or fiat.
e.g., RMB, US dollars, Japanese yen, Euro etc.
If not widely accepted, fiat money bills are just pieces of paper
Most societies in the past have used a commodity with some
intrinsic value for money, which is called commodity money.
e.g., gold, silver, copper.
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THE DEVELOPMENT OF FIAT MONEY
1. People carry around bags of
gold
When a purchase is made, the
buyer measures out the
appropriate amount of gold
If the seller is convinced that
the weight and purity of the
gold are right, the buyer and
seller make the exchange
High transaction cost (Why?)
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2. The government gets
involved in the monetary
system to help reduce
transaction costs
The government can mint gold
coins of known purity and
weight
Values of gold coins are
widely recognized
Lower transaction costs
THE DEVELOPMENT OF FIAT MONEY
3. Government accepts gold from
the public in exchange for
gold certificates
If people believe the
government’s promise to redeem
paper bill for gold, the bills
are as valuable as the gold
Bills are lighter than gold and
easier to use. (Even lower
transaction costs)
No one carries gold around at
all. Gold-backed government
bills become the monetary
standard.
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4. Gold backing becomes
irrelevant
No one bothers to redeem the
bills for gold
No one cares if the option is
abandoned as long as paper
bills are widely accepted for
exchange.
Commodity money system evolves
into fiat money system.
HOW THE QUANTITY OF MONEY IS MEASURED
Different countries use different measures
M0: Currency
M1: M0 + checkable deposits
M2: M1 + saving deposits + time deposits
Which of the following is a part of money balance?
Balance in your debit card
Credit card balance
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MONEY vs. BONDS
For simplicity, assume there are two types of financial assets
Money
Bonds
Money can be used for transactions, but we do not receive interest payment by holding money.
Bonds can not be used to buy goods and services, but we can receive interest payment from bonds. In reality, there are more than 1 kinds of bonds and different interest rates due to bonds’ different liquidities and levels of risk. For simplicity, we assume there is only 1 type of bonds and 1 interest rate.
Interest rate (i) is the cost of holding 1 unit of money.
People need to consider the tradeoff between convenience and returns
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MONEY DEMAND: LIQUIDITY PREFERENCE THEORY
Money demand depends on
Amount of transactions: The more money needed for transactions, the more
money is held.
Interest rate: Higher interest rate → Higher cost of holding money → Lower
money demand
𝑀 = 𝑃𝑌𝐿(𝑖) or 𝑀
𝑃= 𝑌𝐿(𝑖)
P: general price level
Y: real GDP
PY: total amount of transactions
M/P: real money demand and real money balance
L(i): a decreasing function of interest rate
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MONEY DEMAND CURVE
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MONEY DEMAND CURVE
Real money balance is on the horizontal axis
Interest rate is on the vertical axis
Money demand curve is downward sloping
As interest rate changes, quantity of real money demanded moves
along the money demand curve
For any given interest rate, an increase in Y will lead to an
increase in real money demand, causing the money demand curve
to shift to the right
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MONEY SUPPLY CURVE
(Real) money supply is determined by the central bank. (Money
supply is exogenous)
Money supply curve is a vertical line.
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HOW MONEY SUPPLY IS CONTROLLED
The primary way in which the central bank controls the supply
of money is through open market operations
Open market operations: The purchase and sale of government
bonds by the central bank
If central bank purchases bonds in the bonds market, then the
sellers of bonds (the public) will receive money and money
supply increases. This is called expansionary open market
operation.
If central bank sells bonds in the bonds market, then the
buyers of bonds (the public) will pay with money and money
supply decreases. This is called contractionary open market
operation.
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EQUILIBRIUM IN THE MONEY MARKET AND THE
DETERMINATION OF EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE
If at a certain interest rate, (real) money demand equals (real)
money supply, the money market is in equilibrium and the
interest rate is the equilibrium interest rate
We can figure out the equilibrium interest rate by finding the
intersect of the money demand curve and money supply curve
If there is an increase in money supply, there will be excess
supply of money
Interest rate drops
Equilibrium in the money market is restored
Controlling money supply and controlling interest rate are the
two sides of the same coin
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EQUILIBRIUM IN THE MONEY MARKET AND THE
DETERMINATION OF EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE
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SUMMARY
Money
Money demand: liquidity preference theory
Money supply and open market operations
Money market equilibrium and the determination of equilibrium
interest rate
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