Analytical measurement: measurement uncertainty and statistics
Measurement
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Transcript of Measurement
MeasurementAndrew Martin -- PS 372
What is measurement?
• Measurement is the process by which phenomena are observed systematically and represented by scores and numerals.
Operationalization
• Political scientists have figure out how to measure the presence of absence of concepts in the real world.
• The process requires political scientists to provide an operational definition of their concepts. Sometimes this is called operationalization.
© Judith A. Perrolle 1987
Operationalization Examples
• Concept: Fundraising
• Operational definition: Itemized receipts of daily campaign contributions made to each presidential candidate (FEC Database) (Haynes, Crespin, Zorn (2004) )
Operationalization Examples
• Concept: legislator ideology
• Operational definition: Legislator ratings from Americans for Democratic Action, which is set on a 100-point scale, 0 being “most conservative” and 100 “most liberal.”
What about corruption?• How would one operationalize corruption?
Political Corruption• Most define political corruption as the use of
legislated powers by government officials for illegitimate private gain.
• However, if one were going to going to operationalize political corruption, how would it be measured?
Transparency Int'l• Transparency International is a non-
governmental organization that tracks corruption in the public sector around the globe.
• The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) focuses on corruption in the public sector.
Corruption Perceptions Index
• The surveys used in compiling the CPI ask questions relating to the abuse of public power for private benefit.
• These include questions on:
– bribery of public officials
– kickbacks in public procurement
– embezzlement of public funds
– strength and effectiveness of public sector anti-corruption efforts
Corruption Perceptions Index
• Measures the perceived levels of public sector corruption in 180 countries and territories.
• A composite index based on 13 different expert and business surveys.
• Is not intended to measure a country's progress over time.
U.S. Corruption?• U.S. DOJ Public Integrity section tracks data on
the number of federal, state and local government officials prosecuted and convicted for corruption crimes.
• The data the provide the number of people prosecuted by each U.S. Attorneys office.
• Corruption isn't clearly defined, but cases include election fraud, obstructing an investigation and violation of campaign finance regulations.
Three-step process
• 1. Abstract concept
• 2. Conceptual definition
• 3. Operational definition
Measurements
• The quality of measurements is judged with regard to both accuracy and precision.
• Accuracy refers to how close the measure comes to explaining the true value of a concept.
• Precision refers to the consistency of the measure in quantifying the concept.
Measurements
• Reliability is the extent to which an experiment, test or any measurement procedure yields the same results in repeated trials.
Testing MeasurementsTest-retest
method -- Apply the same test to the same observations after a period of time has passed.
Testing Measures
Alternative-form method -- Use two different measures of the same concept rather than the same measure.
Ex: Using two different kinds of ideology measures for legislators.
NOMINATE scores vs. Interest Group scores
Testing Measurements
• Split-halves method -- Using two different measures with both measures applied at the same time.
• Ex: Nominate and IG scores both in the same statistical model
Measurements
• Validity -- the degree of correspondence between the measure and the concept it is thought to measure.
• Examples of validity issues -- Native Americans on U.S. Census, racial politics research, election turnout and voting
Measurements
• Face validity is asserted by arguing that a measure corresponds closely to the concept it is designed to measure.
(Ex: Party ID and Ideology)
Face ValidityTo confirm the validity of ideology and political party identification measures, I could examine their relationship:
Political Party U.S. Senate U.S. House
Republicans 20 16
Democrats 87 92
2007 ADA score based on a 100-point scale, with 0 meaning “always votes conservative” and 1 meaning “always votes liberal.” The measure is typically based on 20 voters in the 2008 congressional session.
Senators of interest:Obama: 75 (15 votes 15/15) McCain: 10 (15 votes 2/15)
Measurements
• Content validity is demonstrated by ensuring that the full domain of a concept is measured.
Content Validity
• Example: Dahl’s polyarchy
• Polyarchy, according to Dahl, is a form of representative democracy characterized by a particular set of political institutions. These include elected officials, free and fair elections, inclusive suffrage, the right to run for office, freedom of expression , alternative information and associational autonomy.
Content Validity
Domain: Dahl book
Measurements
• Construct validity is demonstrated for a measure by showing that it is related to the measure of another concept.
• Ex: Ideological identification and level of education.
Inter-item Association
• Inter-item association relies on the similarity of outcomes of more than one measure of a concept to demonstrate the validity of the entire measurement scheme.
• Ex: Candidate strength can be cross validated by comparing measures of campaign funds, polling numbers, primary votes and newspaper coverage.
Correlation• A correlation indicates the direction and
strength of a linear relationship between two random variables.