Maryland Republican Central Committee Voting Methodology - 20110426

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Maryland Republican Central

    Committee Voting MethodologyTuesday, April 26th 2011

    Marcus Alzona, MD State RCC MemberMaryland Legislative District 16

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    Overview / Purpose

    Discuss issues relating to recent voting

    methodology proposals for the Maryland

    Republican Central Committee

    Propose a solution and way forward

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    PrimaryResponsibilities of Different

    Republican Central Committees

    National Republican Committee

    Presidential, U.S. House / Senate

    State Republican Central Committee

    Governor, State House / Senate, etc.

    Local Republican Central Committee

    County Executive / Council, School Boards,

    Mayors, etc.

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Purpose of Maryland State Republican

    Central Committee (CC)

    Elect Republicans at all levels (general goal shared at alllevels)

    Primarilyresponsible for Governorship, StateLegislature, and state-wide offices

    Note that how you become a state CC member (i.e.being elected to a county CC) is NOT the same as whatyou are responsible for as a state CC member (i.e. electRepublicans state-wide)

    Federal elections as delegated/coordinated by the RNC Local elections as delegated/coordinated by the county

    central committees

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Complex Voting Scheme 2011

    (here-after referred to as Complex2011)

    March 2011 Proposal by MDRCC By-Laws

    Committee

    Overly complex

    Many variables, based on county

    Requires spreadsheet to calculate votes

    Ignores Population Differences and Trends

    Perverse Incentives

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Proposed Complex Voting Scheme and

    Population Realities

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    23%

    77%

    Complex2011 Voting Strength

    Baltimore, Montgomery, and Prince George's Counties and

    Baltimore City

    All Other Counties

    56%

    44%

    Population

    Baltimore, Montgomery, and Prince George's Counties and

    Baltimore City

    All Other CountiesSource: David Parker, March 2011

    By-Laws Committee Spreadsheet

    Source: United States Census Bureau

    44% of Maryland gets 77% of the vote

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Problem with Division By County

    No elections of state offices by county

    State Senate seats have not been divided by

    county for nearly 50 years (see Maryland

    constitutional changes in the 1960s)

    Votes for Governor are state-wide, there is no

    Maryland Gubernatorial electoral college,

    winning a county just gets you the raw votes Amplifies my county vs. your county

    problem

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Wont Show Up Issue (LCD)

    It used to be that a single member from somelarge counties had more voting strength than fivemembers of a smaller county and so theydecided they werent going to bother showing

    up (rationale against LCD, as stated by some2011 By-Laws Committee members) State CC member from county A = 5x member from

    county B

    Identified as unfair and disruptive

    Identified as the primary reason for people from thosecounties not showing up

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Wont Show Up Issue

    (Complex2011)

    New Complex Voting Scheme 2011 has the sameproblem, just with a change in the beneficiaries /victims If you were against LCD, then you should be against

    Complex2011 as well All the same still applies (just with different A/B):

    State CC member from county A = 5x member fromcounty B

    Identified as unfair and disruptive Identified as the primary reason for people from those

    counties not showing up

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Wont Show Up Issue

    (Complex2011)

    Exacerbates CC Member Recruitment/Attendance

    Problems recruiting CC members in heavilyDemocratic areas

    This is where we are being blown out do we really want todiscourage participation by potential members from theseareas?

    Problems getting CC members from those areas toattend

    Not Helpful: By the way, if you go to the state convention,you are only worth 1/5 of a vote

    Potential Donor Problem

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    The Real Battle Lines: State Senate

    Legislative Districts

    Regardless of who draws the state legislative

    district lines (it is what it is), these are the

    boundary lines for the state legislative general

    elections (i.e. why we are here)

    Changes every 10 years

    We need to be agile, adjusting immediately to the

    new district realities when they happen (insteadof clinging to a structure that hasnt existed for

    half a century or more)

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Perverse Incentives in Complex2011

    If incentives encourage performance within acounty, it follows that it discourages sharingbetween counties (which is the opposite of whatwe need to do)

    Discourages sharing of successful strategies If you share your methods with another county, that

    other county may use your strategy and performbetter, reducing your own voting strength

    Discourages helping elections in other counties Helping with an election in another county just means

    less voting strength for you if successful

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Cross-County Collaboration Example

    In a heavily Democratic Legislative District (LD) in alarge county, a Republican Party Activist and Donoragreed to run as the GOP 2010 MD State SenateCandidate

    While participating in his own campaign, the candidatespent significant time and resources campaigning forfellow GOP candidatesin other counties (running inmore evenly split LDs / closer races)

    This kind of for the whole state party spirit would bediscouraged by the Complex2011 Voting Scheme

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Complex2011 Voting Scheme Solves

    Nothing & Ignores Reality

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    Changing Maryland

    Population andDemographics

    Proposed Complex2011 Voting Scheme

    but there is still time to change course.

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Solution: One-Person-One-Vote

    Encourages Participation

    You show up, you have a vote

    You dont show up, you dont have a vote

    Fair and Simple to Use No referencing tables or spreadsheets to figure

    out if you have enough votes to pass a measure

    Encourages Statewide Joint Effort At the state level, we are all in it together

    Other state CC are partners not opponents

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    One-Person-One-Vote (Reality)

    Based in Reality

    Delegations are based on the number of state

    legislative districts, adjusted to give small counties

    a boost

    Uses the reality of what we face in the general

    elections, not the structure from the 1960s

    Adjusts automatically every 10 years withchanging legislative districts

    Approximately 123,000 people per LD

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    One-Person-One-Vote (Small Counties)

    Still includes bonus for smaller counties

    when looking at it by State Legislative District

    (i.e. the general election fight we have)

    LD 37 = 24 state CC members (2 full county

    delegations, 2 half county delegations)

    5,000 people per state CC member

    LD 16 = 6 state CC members (5 specific 1 general) 20,000 people per state CC member

    Is 4x the voting strength not enough?

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Voting Method Comparison

    Complex By-Laws Proposal 2011

    Divides the party

    Complex to use

    Where do I staple my W-2?

    Perverse Incentives

    Discourages Collaboration

    Maintains past problems

    Just inverts the targets

    Simplified One-Person-One-Vote

    Based in Reality

    Fair and Simple to Use

    Encourages participationand collaboration

    Automatically adjusts forchanging populations andlegislative districts

    We already have thismethod by default nochanges required

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Stop Voting About Voting Schemes

    One-Person-One-Vote is already our currentvoting scheme

    Simple, Fair, Reality-Based

    To keep One-Person-One-Vote, just vote againstany voting scheme

    The By-Laws Committee Complex 2011voting scheme:

    Has no real benefit

    Causes Problems

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    BEYOND VOTING SCHEMES

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    MDRCC, MD LD16

    Beyond Voting Schemes / Future

    Voting about voting schemes is a distraction,

    lets stop doing it and move on to real work

    The following page contains an example idea

    that attempts to address the real issue before

    us (i.e. winning State races)

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC, MD LD16

    State Legislative District Central

    Committee Coordination

    Propose that all state CC members residing withineach State Senatorial Legislative District meet atleast once annually (or more) to coordinate races/ candidates / efforts at the legislative district

    level Note that this is an additional meeting, not meant to

    replace current county and state CC activities

    Based upon the idea that all MD RCC members are in

    it together One-Person-One-Vote The perverse incentives of the Complex2011 Voting

    Scheme discourage this collaboration

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    Marcus Alzona

    MDRCC MD LD16

    State Legislative District Central

    Committee Coordination (continued)

    Particularly important for LDs that crosscounty lines

    When asked, was told by CC members from

    County A that they never hear from thepeople/CC/candidates from County B about theirshared LD, and that they dont know if County Beven tries to do anything about that LD race

    County B said essentially the same thing aboutCounty A.see the problem?

    Makes it an obvious state CC issue

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