MACATAWA AREA COORDINATING COUNCIL

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session

MACC Scenarios

• Goals• Data & Funds• Defining Future Scenarios• Integration with Travel Demand Model• Considerations

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session

MACC Scenarios• In support of the Long Range Transportation

Plan update• 3 future scenarios for growth• Creation of tools to help regional process:

– Generalized Regional Future Land Use– Regional Capacity Analysis– Future Scenario Priorities and Indicators– Growth Allocation– Transportation Analysis Variables Aggregation

• Works across scales from parcels to TAZes

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Tool ProcessPaint Local Zoning

Generalized Regional Zones Immediately Update

Parcel Level Capacity & Future Development Dynamically Determined

Future Development Automatically Aggregated to TAZ Level

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Land Use GeneralizationLocal Zoning Regional Generalized Zoning

MACC Parcels

Agricultural District

Neighborhood Commercial District

General Business District

Industrial District

Rural Estate District

Low Density Residential District

Zoning: Laketown

Medium Density Residential District Rural Estate

Rural Residenti

al

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Generalized Zoning for Region

Regional Zoning Laketown Township ZoningRegional

Zoning DensityLaketown Density

Regional Zoning FAR

Laketown FAR

Agriculture - Protection 0.05 0Agriculture Agricultural District 0.1 0.1 0 0 Rural Residential Rural Estate District 0.5 0.4 0 0Low Density Residential Low Density Residential District 2.5 3.5 0 0Medium Density Residential

Medium Density Residential District 5 5.1 0 0

Multi-family Residential 9 0 High Density Residential 10 0 Urban Residential 12 0 Apartment Residential 14.5 0 Mobile Home Mobile Home 8.7 8.7 0 0Neighborhood Commercial Neighborhood Commercial District 0 0.0 1 1General Commercial General Business District 0 0.0 1 1Highway Commercial 0 1 Central Business District 0 3 Regional Shopping Center 0 1.5 Office 0 0.8 Public 0 2 Light Industrial Industrial District 0 0.0 1.5 1.5Heavy Industrial 0 2

Medium Density Residential

Medium Density Residential District 5 5.1 0 0

Crosswalk Table Look-up Automatically Converts Local Zoning to Regional Generalized Zones based on Density and FAR

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Local Zoning Regional Generalized Zoning

MACC Parcels

Agricultural District

Neighborhood Commercial District

General Business District

Industrial District

Rural Estate District

Low Density Residential District

Zoning: Laketown

Medium Density Residential District

Land Use Generalization

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session

Capacity Analysis

• Generalized zoning densities

• Subtract existing development

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Growth Order Priorities

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Scenario: Current Trends

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Scenario: Conservation Priorities

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Scenario: Alternative Transportation

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Projected New Growth

1 2 3 4 5 etc.Existing Buildings

New Buildings

Desirabilitymost desirable less desirable

Overflow

Probability that a parcel receives an increment of new growth is proportional to its desirability.

Parcels can “fill up.”

Allocation of New Growth

Total Build-outCapacity

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session,

Aggregating Data to TAZes

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session

Status

• MACC has the tools• Staff has conducted in-house capacity training• 3 scenarios being prepared for transportation

modeling• Planned to inform 2040 LRTP update

November 18, 2013Scenario Planning Session

Questions:

Elisa HoekwaterTransportation Program ManagerMacatawa Area Coordinating Council301 Douglas Avenue, Holland, MI 49424616.395.2688 www.the-macc.org

ehoekwater@the-macc.org