Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership: Key Findings and Evangelistic ImplicationsFindings from research conducted by the North American Mission Board 2007 NAMB New Millennium Ministers Study

Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership

Part I: Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership Part II: Calvinism Trends in SBC Church Leadership Part III: Evangelistic Implications

2

All 1998-2004 Masters level seminary graduates from Golden Gate, New Orleans, Midwestern, Southeastern, Southwestern and the Canadian Southern Baptist Seminary were invited to complete the survey late 2006. A limited subset of Southern graduates was available for the study. The total number of survey respondents was 2149, of those 2134 were usable. By seminary: Golden Gate (N=270), New Orleans (N=287), Midwestern (N=148), Southeastern (N=403), Southwestern (N=978), Canadian Southern Baptist Seminary (N=11), Southern Seminary (N=52). 1,234 respondents serving as pastors or staff members at a Southern Baptist church. Within this group, 527 serve as senior or solo pastor of congregation.

2007 NAMB New Millennium Ministers Study

3

2007 NAMB New Millennium Ministers Study QuestionsStrongly agree, Somewhat agree, Somewhat disagree, Strongly disagree, Dont know

I am a five-point Calvinist. God is the true evangelist and when He calls someone to himself, his grace is irresistible. People do not choose to become Christians; God chooses and calls people who then respond to him. I give a verbal presentation of the gospel (outside of church) at least once a week.

4

Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership

Percent Strongly Agree or Somewhat AgreeAmong SBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) in SBC Church Leadership 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 67%

58%

27%

I am a five-point Calvinist

God's grace is irresistible

God chooses and calls people

5

Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership

P ercent F ive-P oint C alvinist40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%Am ongS S inary G duates(1998-2004) who a S P s BC em ra re BC a tors

29%

S Pas BC tors

6

Calvinism Trends in SBC Church Leadership

Percent Strongly Agree or Somewhat Agree by Graduation YearAmong SBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) in SBC Church Leadership

7

Calvinism Trends in SBC Church Leadership

Percent Strongly Agree or Somewhat Agree I am a five-point Calvinist by Graduation YearAmong SBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) in SBC Church Leadership

40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

8

Calvinism Trends in SBC Church Leadership

SBC Seminaries and their proportion of graduates who are Calvinist in descending orderSBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) Who are Calvinist Southern* Midwestern Golden Gate Southwestern New Orleans Southeastern

* Only a limited subset of Southern graduates were surveyed; A list of all Southern graduates was not made available

9

Evangelistic Implications

Percent Share the Gospel Once a WeekAmong SBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) in SBC Church Leadership

60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

50%

46%

48%

49%

50%

45%

I am a five-point Calvinist

God's grace is irresistible

God chooses and calls people

Agree

Disagree

10

Evangelistic Implications

In the 2007 NAMB New Millennium Ministers Survey, an equally high proportion (approximately 95%) of SBC pastors who claim to be and claim not to be five-point Calvinists believe churches should be involved in sponsoring missions and new church plants.

11

Evangelistic Implications

Mean W eekly W orship AttendanceAm S S inary Gradua (1998-2004) who a S Pastors ong BC em tes re BC

200.0 180.0 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0

182.7 142.2

Calvinist Pastors

Non-Calvinist Pastors

12

Evangelistic Implications

Mean Annual Baptis s mAm S S ina Graduates (1998-2004) who a S P stors ong BC em ry re BC a

16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0

14.6 11.3

Calvinist Pastors

Non-C alvinist Pastors

13

Evangelistic Implications

Mean B aptismR atesBaptismRates =(Baptism s/Attendance)*100

10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0

8.8

9.4

Among SBC Seminary Graduates (1998-2004) who are SBC Pastors

Calvinist Pastors

Non-Calvinist Pastors

14

ConclusionsThere are several important items this report has found related to Calvinism among SBC church leadership. First, Calvinist led churches are in the minoritythough the number is increasing. Second, Calvinism is on the rise among most recent seminary graduates. If present trends continue, Calvinism will continue to grow as an influence in our convention; however, these trends will take years to create a critical point of equality with non-Calvinist led congregations.15

Conclusions Third, Calvinist led churches, pastored by recent seminary graduates, are generally smaller in worship attendance and annual baptisms than non-Calvinist churches led by recent seminary graduates. Fourth, church growth statistics in terms of annual baptism rates indicates that there is little difference between Calvinist and non-Calvinist led churches.

16

Calvinism and SBC Church Leadership: Key Findings and Evangelistic ImplicationsFindings from research conducted by the North American Mission Board 2007 NAMB New Millennium Ministers Study